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| Info Plays 7* Milwaukee Brewers -130 |
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Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
TEXAS -135 Over Chicago: Google News Play Gotta love the Rangers here, especially with double the revenge. First was the fact that Chris Sale was the starter when the Rangers took their worst loss of the year, a 19-2 defeat in Chicago back on July 3rd and the second revenge factor is the fact that Chicago also swept Texas in that series. Chris Sale has been special for the Sox this year, but after allowing 5 ER's in his last start may he be tiring a bit? In his last 2 years he has pitched just 94 total inning, but this year he is already at 117 innings pitched. The Ranger offense has been struggling for much of the month, but they showed signs of coming out of it in their last series vs Boston. Texas does average 5.4 rpg at home and when Darvish has been on the mound at home they have averaged 6.6 rpg for him. Yu is 6-1 at home with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. The White Sox score very well at home, but on the road they have averaged 4.08 rpg, including putting up just 3.9 rp/9 innings off of righties away from home. Payback should be in order here by a team that is probably the best in baseball.
3 UNIT PLAYS
MILWAUKEE -131 over Washington: Tough to go against a Washington team that has won 6 in a row and has allowed exactly 2 runs in each game, but I feel this is the spot to do so. Ross Detwiler has allowed just 1 ER in his last 2 starts since returning to the rotation, but both were at home and vs offensively challenged Atlanta and the Mets. Now he is one the road vs a Milwaukee squad that scores 5.16 rpg at home, including 5.38 rp/9 innings at home vs lefties. Michael Fiers has been very steady for the Brewers this year, but not allot of wins as the run support just hasn't been there for him. Michael is 3-4 on the year, but with a 1.96 ERA, while at home he has gone 1-3 with a 2.78 ERA. The Brewers are just 2-4 in his last 6 starts, but he carries an 0.88 ERA in those 6 games. Incredible. The Nats do score score 4 rpg on the road, but should be hard pressed to get to that tonight. Ross is 4-3 with a 3.45 ERA at night, while Michael is 2-0 with a very nice 0.45 ERA in 3 night starts and that seems to be the time that he gets some run support as the Brewers have scored 4.7 rpg for him at night. The Nats are playing well right now, but this looks like the perfect spot for them to take a fall. Let's just hope that Michael will go all 9 and keep that horrid Brewers pen out of it. LOL. Look for milwaukee to bounce back tonight.
Boston/ NY Yanks Under 10.5: Boston's offense has been sputtering of late and the loss of Ortiz certainly hasn't helped. The BoSox have scored just 3.2 rpg in their last 5 games and just came off a series in Texas where they scored 6 runs in the 3 games. The Yankees offense has also been sputtering of late as they have averaged just 3.9 rpg in their last 10 games, with the Under going 9-1 in those games. Granted the Yanks played 7 of those games in non-hitters parks (Seattle and Oakland), but this is their first game back from that trip and it may take them a game or two to get their timing back. They will also be facing Aaron Cook, who has pitched very well of late. Aaron is just 1-2 in his last 4 starts, but he has a 1.91 ERA in those starts. The Sox have given him just 3.8 rpg worth of support in those starts and just 3.5 rpg worth of support in his 2 road starts this year, where he is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA. Phil Hughes has been pitching very well for New York of late. in his last 9 starts Phill has allowed more than 3 ER's just once, while he comes in with a 3.94 ERA at home on the year. In his last 3 home starts he has allowed just 4 ER's in 23 innings of work and his home starts this year have averaged just 8.9 rpg. We Also have solid pens in this one, especially a Boston pen that has a 2.36 ERA on the road. THis game should not come all that close to double figures.
POWER ANGLE PLAY
LA ANGELS -162 over Tampa Bay: One of the things that I realized in the last 8 weeks is that you don't have to pick just dogs or favorites at 130 or less to be considered a good handicapper. For the first part of the year I went with a ton of totals and kinda got caught up with the Marco contest trying to play allot of games at under 120 and it cost me. My hats off to Marco cause that was an unbelievable streak and very hard to do. Well after looking over some of the pro's pages I have seen higher juiced games being played. So with all the poor bullpens screwing up totals I have adapted and started to throw in some higher juiced games at times and it has helped. Still I have made just 8 top plays on favorites of over 150 this year and have gone 7-1 in those games and I really like this one. Alex Cobb has really struggled of late, going 1-4 with a 7.02 EA in his last 5 starts. Alex is 2-2 with a 5.54 ERA on the road, but just 1-2 with a 6.43 ERA in his last 3 starts away from home. Now he must take to the road again and face an Angels squad that has averaged 5.5 rpg in their last 10 games and as the season has progressed they just seem to be getting better offensively. The Ray's have not been getting better as they have averaged just 3.9 rpg in their last 10 and 3.4 in their last 5. Dan Haren was horrid before his stint on the DL, but he came back to hold down a strong Texas offense allowing just 2 ER's in 6 innings. Dan is also 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in his last 4 starts vs the Rays. Tampa Bay is really outmatched at the plate and on the mound and will not walk away with a win here. See Below For The Power Angle For This Play.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
San Diego/ Miami Over 8.5
ARIZONA -135 over NY Mets
1 UNIT PLAYS
St Louis -160 over CHICAGO
Philadelphia -106 over ATLANTA: Google News Play
2 POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (10-1 RUN) (19-9 +7.31 UNITS)
Play against all teams (Toronto) with a ML line of -100 to -150 if they are off off 2 or more consecutive Overs, vs a team that is is 4 or more consecutive Unders. This Play is 30-13 the last 5+ seasons. Play on Detroit +107 over Toronto.
Since 2004 the Rays are 1-17 as a road dog of 130 or more if they lost by 1 run in their starters last start and he had a WHIP of at least 1.35 in that start.
Play on LA Angels -164 over Tampa BayComment
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LEGIT PICKS
Friday 7/27/12 Plays...
4* INDIANS/TWINS (OVER)
---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--
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