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5* graded play on the Louisville Cardinal as they take on the Kentucky Wildcat for state bragging rights set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by 15 or more points. Louisville defense will contain Kentucky to less than 21 points in this contest. In past games this is not good news for Kentucky as they are just 11-24 ATS since 1992 when scoring 14 to 21 points in a game. Louisville returns seven starters including their quarterback and this experienced unit will be going up against a highly suspect Kentucky defensive unit that lost seven starters from last year’s unit. The key is that Louisville has returned eight starters from last year’s unit and this well seasoned group of defenders will be able to dominate the LOS. Kentucky had the fourth worst scoring offense at 15.8 PPG in the FBS last season and their defense did not stop or even contain any of the SEC teams. I strongly believe Louisville gets out ot a fast start using play action pass routes and getting isoltaed coverage situations on the perimeter of the Kentucky defense leading to big gains. Take Louisville.
100* Play Cincinnati (-175) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY) Starts at 2:00 PM EST
Houston has lost 88 of the last 119 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have also lost 36 of the last 47 games when playing on a Sunday. Houston has lost 70 of the last 105 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 65 of the last 89 day games.
50* Play San Francisco (-170) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY) 50* Play Detroit (-170) over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
SMU/ Baylor Under 58.5: Im going to take a shot at the Under in this one. Something is up here. 89% is on the Over yet the line has come down. HMMMM. If ya go by what these two teams did offensively last year, the easiest thing would be to take the Over, but both team,s lost a ton of offense from last years teams. The Bears bring back 6 on offense but lose their top rusher, top WR and RG3. RB Granaway accounted for 22 TD's. while RG3 was responsible for 47 TD's and that is just too much to replace, especially in game one. Making it harder on the Baylor offense is the fact that SMU was 2nd in the pass happy Conference USA in total defense and they bring back 7 starters from that group so they could be stronger.The Baylor Bears were horrible on defense last year, but with 8 starters back should be much improved and will be facing an SMU offense that has just 3 starters back. Both defenses should clearly be ahead of the offenses in this one.
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