9-30-12

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Baseball Sunday

100* Play Atlanta -290 over New York Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 1:30 PM EST

Kris Medlen has won 17 of the last 18 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 10 consecutive games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Kris Medlen has won 13 consecutive home games and he has won 11 consecutive games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.

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50* Play Milwaukee -235 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play New York Yankees -200 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

VegasTout MLB Baseball for Sunday


Play Atlanta -300 over New York Mets—Top MLB Play

Kris Medlen has won 14 consecutive games vs. division opponents and he
is 8-0 in all starts this season with an ERA of 1.04. Kris Medlen is
3-0 at home this season with an ERA of 1.28 and he has an ERA of 1.64
in his last three overall starts.

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Play Milwaukee -235 over Houston---Bonus MLB Play

[Mr. IWS]

VegasTout Football Plays for Sunday


Play Green Bay -7.5 over New Orleans—NFL FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

4:30 PM EST

Green Bay has covered the spread in 15 of the last 19 games coming off
a road game and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 13
games coming off a loss against the spread. Green Bay has covered the
spread in 8 of the last 11 games as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14
points and they have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games after
scoring 14 points or less in their last game.

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Play NY Jets +4 over San Francisco---NFL BONUS PLAY
Play NY Giants +2 over Philadelphia---NFL BONUS PLAY

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NFL / Pass MLB

Washington +2½ -106 over TAMPA BAY
Tampa has yet to not cover but this is also the first time it has been asked to give away points to an opponent. In this case, they’ll be spotting points to a Washington team that has scored 28 points or more in every game and we’re not convinced the Bucs can keep pace.

Bucs managed to stay close to the Giants and Dallas but while the scores may appear tight, Tampa was clearly the inferior squad in both. In Dallas, the Buccaneers were held to only one touchdown, as Josh Freeman continues to struggle with two of his three games thus far producing fewer than 140 passing yards while completing only 51% of passes. Turnovers played a huge part in the contest with the Giants, an opportunity lost, as Tampa could not take advantage of New York’s error-filled afternoon.

This now becomes a tall order for a Bucs team that can’t seem to get all of its parts working in unison on same day. Washington’s pass defense has been leaky but this Bucs offence is not one to fear. With Washington losing back-to-back games to St. Louis and Cincinnati, its stock is low. With Tampa winning its opener and subsequently nearly pulling off back-to-back upsets, its stock is high. This now becomes a true sell-high, buy low opportunity and we’re on it.
Our PickWashington +2½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

Miami +5½ -106 over ARIZONA
Dating back 2+ years, a span of 35 games, the Cardinals have been priced in this range just twice. The first time was in Cam Newton’s first-ever regular season game in last year’s season opener when the Cardinals covered at home as a 6½-pt. choice (winning by 7). The second attempt, midway through last year but also at home, was as a 6-pt. choice to the hapless Browns. That one resulted in a non-covering 20-17 win. Point being, that while Arizona is off to a fabulous start, it’s a much different animal having to win by a margin than it is to be pulling off these upsets.

Arizona’s defence has suddenly become a football headline. With an unexpected 3-0 start, media has focused upon this part of the Cardinals’ game. The players lap this stuff up and when it is a team unaccustomed to success, they sometimes forget about an upcoming task at hand. With featured Thursday night game in St. Louis on deck and now being prohibitive chalk, this is uncharted territory for this group.

After a horrible pre-season and displaying other issues on HBO’s Hard Knocks series before getting smoked in opener to Houston, pundits everywhere were predicting a painful season for the Dolphins. While they have a long way to go, the team has been competing. After handling the Raiders two weeks ago, Miami could easily be 2-1 after blowing last week’s OT game to the Jets. The Fish will continue to do battle here and are capable of pulling off an upset against this unsuspecting host.
Our PickMiami +5½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

Carolina +7 -106 over ATLANTA
Nothing against the AFC West but it’s not exactly the best grouping in football. In an unusual scheduling sequence, the Falcons opened this season with three wins against three members from that division. While a sense of security may not exactly be false, flying back from the west coast to face a divisional rival, after the Panthers have had extra rest and were embarrassed on a Thursday prime timer, a feeling of complacency could occur.

Carolina is off to a poor start but with a strong running game and the added prep time, expect a better effort here. Atlanta has not been more than a 3-pt choice in this young season. Last year, they were only 3½ at home to these Panthers. The market has overreacted here and we’ll gladly back the undervalued side.
Our PickCarolina +7 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

JACKSONVILLE +120 over Cincinnati
The Bengals may have the winning record here but we’re not quite ready to trust them as road chalk, especially when facing a team capable of exploiting Cincinnati’s most glaring weakness.

Aside from giving up the 2nd most points in the league, the Bengals are currently relinquishing 155 yards per game on the ground, ranking them 31st in the NFL. That poses a problem when facing Jacksonville star Maurice Jones-Drew, who appears to be hitting his best form after a 177-yard rushing performance last week. This will be the second home game for the Jags after losing first one to elite Texans and after gritty win at Indy, expect a spirited effort here against a suspect visitor.
Our PickJACKSONVILLE +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)

[Mr. IWS]

Gold Medal Club

#209 Carolina +7
#214 Kansas City +1
#220 Miami + 5
#224 Jacksonville +1
#227 Washington +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin
50 Dime Winner # 16 out of 20
Arizona Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
50 Dime
TB / WAS Under

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams
1500♦
Arizona Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
250,000♦
Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco
5 Dimes
Texans

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
20 dimes
Packers

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday NFL

4* Best Bet = SAN FRANCISCO
3* = NEW ENGLAND
3* = WASHINGTON
2* = Cincinnati
2* = Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

HANDICAPPSTER

Sunday NFL

Jets +4.5 (5 UNITS)
Chiefs +1 (5 UNITS)
Saints +9 (5 UNITS)
Bengals -1 (4 UNITS)
Eagles -1 (4 UNITS)
Raiders +7 (3 UNITS)
Patriots -3.5 (3 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Jacobs Sunday, September 30, 2012

5 k dime

jaguars +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

SBP NFL Original Picks

1 PM EST
215. Tennessee Titans* (best available +13*)

4:05 PM EST
222. Denver Broncos -7*

Rest of Games:
208. Detroit Lions -4

210. Atlanta Falcons -7