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Game: Arizona State at Colorado (Thursday 10/11 9:00 PM Eastern) Pick: Colorado +22 (-110)
Colorado has hit rock bottom. Since joining the Pac-12, they own a 3-9 mark. If not for a big upset win at Washington State, this team was staring at a winless season. Arizona State has looked good thus far, suffering just one setback in an out-of-conference tilt at Missouri. I am not going to argue for the merits of Colorado here. They stink. But, the Sun Devils might be thinking that they are on easy street here in Colorado vs. a less than average Buffaloes team. That becomes a stronger likelihood with Oregon on deck. In fact, I think ASU may already be preparing for Oregon. The oddity is that game will also take place on Thursday, so the Sun Devils will not benefit from extra rest here. The objective will be to get the win and get out - utilize minimal energy, rest starters, and stay healthy. The team benefitting from extra rest here is Colorado who comes in after a bye week. They have had two full weeks to prepare - a situation that has been good to them as they are 5-0 ATS in their last five off a bye. Arizona State has not travelled well at just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games. They are also just 2-12 ATS in their last twelve when taking to the road off a road win. The Sun Devilscould get caught here by a rested team on the road. Play on Colorado with the generous points.
NCAA tonight. We are now 16-10 (+14.10 Units) overall, in the midst of a 9-5 run. Got nipped by Clemson last week otherwise we would have had a great NCAAF day.
Troy +1.5 (to Win 2 Units) - Troy is a small home dog which is a great spot for them. They are 12th overall in passing yards per game in Division 1 play. Mississippi State had tons of trouble with them as they nearly snagged an upset. West Kentucky has looked good all season, but Troy will give them problems tonight.
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