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Vegas Sports Informers
Alabama/Mizzu over 43.5. 6 units
Alabama/Mizzu over 43.5. 6 units
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Brian Edwards's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Saturday Picks
Premium Plays
Matchup: Syracuse at Rutgers
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Rutgers (-7 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 10, 2012 @ 7:30:34 PM EDT
I made Rutgers a 14-point favorite in this spot. The Scarlet Knights are unbeaten in five games, winning by nine points or more each time. They are getting excellent quarterback play out of Gary Nova, who has 10 touchdown passes compared to only two interceptions. Nova has a big-time running back in Jawan Jamison, who has rushed for 601 yards. Rutgers is ranked second in the nation in rushing defense and fifth in the country in scoring defense, allowing only 10.8 points per game. Can't believe this number is single digits. The Scarlet Knights win by a double-digit margin.
Matchup: Fresno State at Boise State
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Boise State (-7 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 10, 2012 @ 12:41:26 AM EDT
Boise St. has absolutely dominated Fresno St. in recent years, winning six in a row by an average score of 50-16. Boise QB Joe Southwick is getting more comfortable with each game in his first year as a starter. He has outstanding playmakers in RB D.J. Harper and WR Matt Miler. Most importantly, the Broncos are at home and they have one of the nation's premier coaches. They've covered the spread at a 10-1-1 clip in 12 homes games as single-digit favorites dating back to 1997. I like Boise St. on the smurf turf.
Member Plays
Matchup: West Virginia at Texas Tech
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: West Virginia (-3.5 -110)
Line Source: BetGrande
Posted on: October 8, 2012 @ 11:28:52 PM EDT
I made West Virginia an 11-point favorite in this game, so I'm confident that we have great line value with a play on the Mountaineers. Geno Smith is producing video-game numbers with 24 touchdowns passes without throwing an interception. The Red Raiders got smoked by a 41-20 count at home to Oklahoma last week. I like West Va. to cruise to a double-digit win.
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Texas A&M at Louisiana Tech
Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Louisiana Tech (+8 -110)
Line Source: Bookmaker
Posted on: October 8, 2012 @ 11:19:52 AM EDT
I made Texas A&M a three-point favorite in this spot, so I believe we're getting excellent line value with a play on the home underdog (although the game is not in Ruston, it's down the road in Shreveport). La. Tech is third in the nation in scoring, averaging 53.2 points per game. Two great QBs will be on display, including La. Tech's Colby Cameron, who has 13 TD passes without an interception. Remember, the Aggies will have two defensive starters suspended dating back from Week 1. (Kevin Sumlin had their one-game suspensions stick for the La. Tech game after the opener was postponded because he wanted those players for the SEC opener vs. Florida.)Comment
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Christian Alexander's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Saturday Picks
Premium Plays
Matchup: Texas at Oklahoma
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Over (58.0 -110)
Line Source: BetGrande
Posted on: October 12, 2012 @ 12:02:05 AM EDT
We have been on the Texas over the last two weeks against Oklahoma St and West Virginia and won both games without breaking a sweat. We are riding them once again this week. Coming into the year the 2012 Texas team was supposed to be average on offense and carried by their top tier defense. That hasn’t been the case; in fact it’s been the exact opposite. Texas DC Manny Diaz system doesn’t seem to be working in the Big 12 and Texas QB David Ash and the offense has had to bail them out time after time the last month. I don’t see this game going any different. OU should have no trouble running all over a Texas D-Line that allowed 207 yards rushing last week to a second string RB that had never broken the 100 yard mark in his career. In response Ash and company will have to keep up as usual. I look for this game to be played in the 30’s by both teams and cash in on a 3rd straight over in a Texas game.
Matchup: Auburn at Mississippi
Time: 12:20 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Auburn (+6 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: October 12, 2012 @ 12:02:05 AM EDT
Auburn is 10-2 straight up and 8-4 ATS in the past twelve meetings in this series, outscoring Ole Miss 125-74 during a three-game win streak both ATS and SU. Clint Moseley is expected to start Saturday after replacing an abysmal Kiehl Frazier in last week’s 24-7 home loss to Arkansas. Moseley threw 4 TD passes in a 41-23 home win over the Rebels last season and should bring a much needed spark back to a Tigers team that has under achieved so far this year. While Hugh Freeze has definitely brought a new attitude with him to Oxford he hasn’t quite turned things around in some areas as Ole Miss lost its 16th straight SEC game (5-11 ATS) last week when they handed A&M a game they had all but won. This line has been inflated due to last week’s no show against Arkansas and I look for Moseley and Auburn to keep this game close and have a chance to win late.
Matchup: Oklahoma St at Kansas
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Kansas (+28 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: October 12, 2012 @ 12:02:06 AM EDT
This line is drastically inflated due to Kansas’ blowout loss to Kansas State last week. Oklahoma St, while good offensively is not nearly as talented overall as Kansas St. Kansas RB James Sims has returned from his suspension and rushed for 206 in his last two games and I look for Kansas to utilize him often against a suspect Oklahoma State rushing defense and try to run down clock and keep the Cowboy offense off the field. Kansas should put enough points on a Cowboy defense that ranks 94th in scoring defense to keep this under the large line.
Matchup: West Virginia at Texas Tech
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: West Virginia (-3.5 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: October 11, 2012 @ 3:01:40 PM EDT
Everyone once in a while a game comes along that defies logic and in the 2012 NCAA football season, this is that game. Everything about this situation says to take Texas Tech. Trap game…look ahead game…line too low, you name it, this game has it. When I saw this line open and WVU was only laying 4 points I thought it would have been bet up to at least 8 by now. It wasn’t, in fact it has gone down in a lot of places, not much, but enough that it still makes no sense to me…which is exactly why I am taking WVU. Texas Tech has played one good team this entire season and that was last week, at home, against OU and lost by three touchdowns. The bottom line in this game is that West Virginia is a much better football team than Tech and this will once again come down to who can score more times when they have the ball and the answer is West Virginia. I look for Tech to hang around for a half, maybe even longer but when it’s all said and done West Virginia covers this extremely low line with relative ease.
Matchup: Utah State at San Jose St
Time: 4:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Under (50.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 12, 2012 @ 12:02:06 AM EDT
When you think of the WAC you think of high scoring offenses, however these two teams are very solid defensively this year with Utah St allowing a mere 12.8 points per game and San Jose State only 17.4. San Jose St offensively has been able to move the ball in the air, however their running game is all but nonexistent and Utah State should be able to contain the one demission Spartans. Utah State has also struggled offensively this year since the departure of Robert Turbin and Michael Smith to the NFL. I look for a close lower scoring game between these two teams.
Matchup: Southern Miss at Central Florida
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Southern Miss (+17.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 12, 2012 @ 12:02:06 AM EDT
Southern Miss owned the worst offense in country heading into last week’s game against Boise St before putting up 424 yards on a good Boise St defense. The score was misleading however based on 5 Turnovers as SM outgained Boise 424 to 310. While Southern Miss is certainly not as talented this year as year’s past they are not quite as bad as their record indicated either. Central Florida should have no trouble winning this game but three scores is too many points to give up in a conference game to a team that they have had trouble beating SU over the years.Comment
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