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RAS TOTALS
TULANE Over 50
WASHINGTON Over 61
West Virg Under 74
TULANE Over 50
WASHINGTON Over 61
West Virg Under 74
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Exposing the Top 25: Where the Polls Went Wrong
by Chris Elliott
Each week throughout the college football season, Chris Elliott will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team: LSU Tigers (6-1 SU, 2-5 ATS)
I first thought the Tigers might be overrated when they barely survived a 12-10 victory at Auburn (1-5). They are 1-1 on the road with the Auburn victory and a 14-6 loss at Florida. Last week, they had a big fourth-quarter comeback against No. 9 South Carolina by a score of 23-21 at home.
Louisiana State travels to the Lone Star State to take on No. 20 Texas A&M Saturday. The Aggies have outscored their opponents 145-44 at Kyle Field this season. Look for the Tigers to have their hands full in this matchup.
Most Underrated Top 25 Team: Michigan Wolverines (4-2, 3-3 ATS)
The Wolverines are coming off back-to-back wins at Purdue and versus Illinois by a combined score of 89-13. Their two defeats were a 41-14 loss to No. 1 Alabama and a tough 13-6 road loss at No. 5 Notre Dame. The team is averaging 16.3 points more per game than their opponents in its six games this season.
Michigan will be at home in a tough conference matchup versus rival Michigan State Saturday. The Wolverines are 10-6 in their last 16 versus the Spartans, however, they have lost the last four meetings. Look for the Wolverines to get back in the win column, with the defense shutting down the MSU offense in a decisive home victory.
Unranked team that should be ranked: Wisconsin Badgers (5-2, 3-4 ATS)
Early in the season, I had the Badgers as my overrated team when they were in the middle of the Top 25 and not playing great ball. At 5-2, they are on the outside looking in, playing their best football of the season and coming off back-to-back victories by a combined score of 69-28 vs. Illinois and at Purdue. Wisconsin’s two losses were at No. 8 Oregon State, 10-7, and at then No. 22 Nebraska, 30-27.
The Badgers are at home against an improved Golden Gophers squad that is 4-2 overall but 0-2 in the Big Ten. The Badgers are 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS versus Minnesota in Wisconsin and I expect another big win Saturday.Comment
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Football Lines That Make You Go Hmmm...
by Jason Logan
NCAAF
Cincinnati Bearcats at Toledo Rockets (+7, 64.5)
Regardless of the overall strength of the conference, the Big East has three teams ranked in the Top 25 this week, one of them being the No. 18 Bearcats who make the drive north to Toledo as touchdown favorites Saturday.
Cincinnati’s unblemished 5-0 SU record is packed with as much sweet cake and frosting as a Twinkie, picking up “W’s” against Pitt, FCS Delaware State, Virginia Tech, Miami (Ohio) and FCS Fordham. Those three FBS foes have a combined 9-11 SU mark so far this year.
The Rockets are quietly climbing the power ratings and could be undefeated themselves if not for an overtime loss to Arizona in Week 1. Toledo has flexed its offensive muscle in recent weeks, scoring a total of 102 points in its last two outings.
This Toledo program is no pushover and has thrived versus big-name BCS opponents, putting the fear of God into the likes of Ohio State, Arizona and Michigan in past years.
Penn State Nittany Lions at Iowa Hawkeyes (-3, 42.5)
The Jerry Sandusky sentencing is stealing headlines in State College, keeping much of the focus away from a very good PSU football team.
The Nittany Lions, discarded after a pressure-filled 0-2 start, have risen from the ashes to win four in a row. Not only has Penn State been victorious in those games but it’s also riding a 5-0 ATS streak into Saturday’s tilt in Iowa City.
The Hawkeyes upset an overrated Michigan State squad in overtime last Saturday and have collected four wins against much weaker opposition. However, books are giving the field goal to the Nittany Lions, who had a bye week to prepare for Iowa, which will undoubtedly be suffering from a bit of a hangover.Comment
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JOE WIZ
Saturday.... In College Football take Western Michigan +3.5Comment
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Arlon
2 NC St @ Maryland Play Maryland.
1 BYU @ Notre Dame Play BYU.
2 LSU @ Texas A&M Play LSU.
1 Marshall @ So Miss Play Marshall.
2 Nebraska @ Northwestern Play Nebraska.
2 Purdue @ Ohio St Play Ohio St.
2 Michigan St @ Michigan Play Michigan St.Comment
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Northcoast Big Dogs
(They recommend 1 unit on side and 1 unit on money line)
Akron 16.5 540
Toledo 7 245
Boston College 14 465
New Mx State 30.5 4,520
U. Tennessee 22 1,000
Michigan State 10.5 330
Auburn 7 240
USF 7 240
Tulane 15 475
Middle Tenn St. 20 850
Idaho 32 4,530Comment
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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA - Saturday, October 20th - FREE PLAY
TOP (3 UNITS)
NORTHWESTERN +7 (-120) vs nebraska (12:30pm)Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with Syracuse (-4) Friday.
Saturday it’s Nebraska. The deficit is 830 sirignanos.Comment
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