10-28-12

[poopoo333]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY
(KINGS RANSOM 2 UNIT PLAY)- NYJ -1 -120 MIAMI (1PM)
INDIANAPOLIS/TENNESSEE UNDER 47 -103 (1PM)

MARC
(LIGHTS OUT- 2 UNIT PLAY) SD/CLEVELAND OVER 44 -102 (1PM)
WASHINGTON/PITTSBURGH OVER 47.5 -110 (1PM)
NYG/DALLAS OVER 47.5 -108 (415PM)

GOODFELLAS
(CIGAR PLAY 2 UNIT PLAY) PHILADELPHIA -1 -133 ATLANTA (1PM)
OAKLAND/KC UNDER 42.5 -105 (4PM)

[poopoo333]

Soulhat Sports

Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 -1.18
NFL
12:00 PM CT
4 units

[poopoo333]

Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc

Picks For Sunday October 28th, 2012

Week 8

Hot Games To Bet On - Miami +1 and Denver -6

Jacksonville Jaguars+16 - 5% Of Bankroll

San Diego Chargers-2.5 -5% Of Bankroll

New England Patriots-7 -5% Of Bankroll

Carolina Panthers+9 - 5% Of Bankroll

Pittsburgh Steelers-4.5 -5% Of Bankroll

N.Y. Giants -1 - 5% Of Bankroll

Miami Dolphins+1 -5% Of Bankroll

Indianapolis Colts+3.5 -5% Of Bankroll

Denver Broncos-6 - 5% Of Bankroll

Total Winning % Before Week 8 = +66.5%

GRAND TOTAL For Week 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 = +66.5%

[poopoo333]

Ms.Charleen
15-5


Jets -2
Philly -2
49ers monday - 6 1/2

[poopoo333]

Dave Blezow

1-11 last week
locks 1-6 this week NO

42-58

Cowboys
Miami
Pats
Titans
Pack
Browns
Philly
Det
Bears
Pitt
Raiders
Saints

49ers

[poopoo333]

Hondo

Jets
Falcons
Lions

7-14 on these plays

[poopoo333]

Lee Sterling -On His Radio Show

Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Redskins

[poopoo333]

NFL Mid-Week Line Moves: Brits remember Pats' dominance

Check out a few of the number fluctuations as we head toward the mid-point of the NFL season, with the help of Aron Black of bet365 and Vegas handicapper extraordinaire Teddy Covers.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers

Consensus open: Packers -16
Move: None

We’re right back where we started from, for the most part. A few outliers had the line pretty thin at opening (12.5 at BetOnline.ag), but now everyone is pretty much on board at 15.5 or 16.

“It’s not unusual to see books shave a few points off on lines 14 or above,” notes Teddy, who himself figured the line for 18.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

Consensus open: Cowboys -1.5
Move: Giants -2

At bet365, heavy New York money has flipped the numbers.

“Dallas,” says Black, “is being swerved bi time. Amazing how things have changed for these teams since Week 1 (Cowboys got 3.5 and won outright.)”

New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos

Consensus open: Broncos -5.5
Move: Broncos -6

“Denver has taken in some money,” says Teddy, “but nothing massive. Wouldn’t be shocked to see a move toward New Orleans as we get closer to kickoff.”

New England Patriots vs. St. Louis Rams (London)

Consensus open: Patriots -6.5
Move: Patriots -7

Black reports heavy interest among British bettors in this game. The Patriots made the trip over the ocean a few years ago and crushed Tampa Bay, so bettors on the island may remember that and the number was driven up that important extra half-point.

[poopoo333]

PREDICTION MACHINE

235 1:00 PM WAS @ PIT +5 - -0.5 - 60.2% PP

230 1:00 PM @DET SEA -2.5 - 6.0 - 58.9% PP

221 1:00 PM IND @ TEN +3.5 - 0.7 - 58.6% PP

242 8:20 PM @DEN NO -6 - 9.1 - 58.3%

237 4:05 PM OAK @ KC +2 - 1.7 - 58.0%

224 1:00 PM @GB JAC -13 - 15.4 - 57.8%

228 1:00 PM @PHI ATL -2.5 - 5.6 - 57.8%

226 1:00 PM SD @ CLE44 - 38.8 Under - 59.0%

234 1:00 PM CAR @ CHI43 - 38.4 Under - 58.1%

238 4:05 PM OAK @ KC41.5 - 46.0 Over - 57.5%

Monday Night
244 8:30 PM @ARI SF +7 - -4.4 - 57.9% PP

[poopoo333]

Teddy Covers

Big Ticket NFL Shocker!
Washington Redskins

Teddy's Power Play: Sunday Afternoon NFL Smackdown
Philadelphia Eagles

Teddy's Saints - Broncos Sunday Night TV Moneymaker!
New Orleans Saints

[poopoo333]

SB Professor Reloaded NFL Picks

236. Pittsburgh Steelers* (best available -4*)

Rest of Games:
221. Tennessee Titans* (best available -3)

[poopoo333]

DCI NFL

Week 8 Predictions

ATS: 0-1 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-7 (.000)
Over/Under: 1-0 (1.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 7-0 (1.000)

Season
Straight Up: 57-44 (.564)
ATS: 43-59 (.422)
ATS Vary Units: 201-369 (.353)
Over/Under: 58-44 (.569)
Over/Under Vary Units: 244-176 (.581)

Thursday, October 25, 2012
MINNESOTA 31, Tampa Bay 19

Sunday, October 28, 2012
CHICAGO 30, Carolina 12
San Diego 25, CLEVELAND 19
Seattle vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
GREEN BAY 34, Jacksonville 14
TENNESSEE 28, Indianapolis 20
New England 27, ST. LOUIS 17
N.Y. JETS 23, Miami 18
Atlanta 22, PHILADELPHIA 21
PITTSBURGH 26, Washington 19
Oakland vs. KANSAS CITY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. Giants 28, DALLAS 17
DENVER 35, New Orleans 31

Monday, October 29, 2012
San Francisco 20, ARIZONA 12

[poopoo333]

WUNDERDOG
NFL 24-15 Last 39 picks +$1350
Game: New Orleans at Denver (Sunday 10/28 8:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: New Orleans Saints +6 (-110)

The bad news for the New Orleans Saints is the fact that their defense has allowed 24 or more points in eight straight games going back to last year. The good news is that they have scored 24 or more points in 11 straight games and in 15 of their last 16. The Saints are now in playoffs mode (must win) after starting the season a dreadful 0-4. The defense is inexcusably bad, but like Green Bay last year who couldn't defend, they have an offense behind Drew Brees that is elite enough to win games. That offense has helped the Saints go 16 straight games without suffering a loss by more than 8 points. They have not been involved in any game over a season's worth of games where they were more than one possession on the short end. So getting points with this team that can score on anyone provides value. Peyton Manning was supposed to be the savior in Denver. While he has executed very well at times, the Broncos are still 3-3. What is bothersome is the fact that the Broncos, like New Orleans, can't seem to defend. All three of the Broncos' losses have come to teams that score 28.5 points per game or more, and the Saints are racking-up 29.3 ppg. The Broncos are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 30+ in their previous game. Manning is no exemption as he is 0-2 ATS here in Denver in that situation. The Saints are now 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when following an ATS win. John Fox coached teams have always struggled as a home favorite. His teams are just 8-20 ATS as home chalk of 3.5 to 7 points. This is too many points. Take the Saints.

[poopoo333]

Canadian Bacon: CFL's Week 18 Betting Preview

With only two games remaining on the regular season schedule, the drive to the postseason continues for CFL teams in Week 18.

Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (-4.5, 52.5)

The Montreal Alouettes have already locked up top spot in the Eastern Division after their 34-28 victory over Saskatchewan last week and will host the division finals game on Nov. 18. The Als may go into cruise control in the final two weeks but that doesn’t mean they will rest their veteran QB Anthony Calvillo. “I don’t want to have the players looking at me saying ‘Oh, he is taking a day off because he is 40 years old,’” Calvillo said Thursday.

The Eskimos hold a tie-breaker over Saskatchewan and have to win at least one of their last two games on the schedule in order to secure a cross-over spot in the playoffs. Edmonton also has a chance to sneak into the postseason if Hamilton and Winnipeg both split their final two games. Montreal won the only prior meeting this season back on Aug. 17 by a score of 38-25, as Calvillo threw for 327 yards and four TDs. The Als have taken five in a row from Edmonton, which failed to cover the spread in all five of those losses.

[poopoo333]

Andy Iskoe Opinions posted Gaming Today

SUNDAY

Rams +7 vs. Pats (47): London is the site for the NFL’s annual trek across the pond. The Patriots lead NFL in total offense and points scored, but the defense, though not as statistically weak as last season, remains a concern. The Rams are clearly getting better under HC Jeff Fisher with a much improved defense. As such the offense does not take many chances. We could well see a sloppily played game, especially if weather becomes a factor. UNDER.

Colts +3½ at Titans (46½): The Titans may have Jake Locker back at QB although veteran Matt Hasselbeck has filled in nicely. Indy rookie QB Andrew Luck continues to learn the ropes and quickly is becoming the team leader. It’s always dangerous laying points with weak teams, especially one that ranks last in points allowed. The Titans are allowing 34 per game. COLTS.

Jaguars +12½ at Packers (NT): Key injuries to Jacksonville RB Maurice Jones-Drew and QB Blaine Gabbert. Packers return home following a three game road trip that saw them win the last two as the offense regained its rhythm. The Packers need to make up ground in the very contentious NFC North and the 1-5 Jaguars are not a team capable of slowing down the Green Bay offense or trading points. PACKERS.

Chargers -3 at Browns (44½): The Chargers are off of their Bye and had the extra time to stew about blowing that 24-0 halftime lead at home to Denver the prior Monday night. The team, and the organization, was embarrassed by that effort. Cleveland is still a team seeking an identity with an already limited offense still plagued by injuries. CHARGERS.

Falcons +2 at Eagles (46½): The Eagles are off of their Bye during which their defensive coordinator was axed. But defense is not the problem! The Falcons are a much better team at home than they are on the road. This game is critical to Philly’s fortunes the rest of the way. A loss here and they can all but write off their playoff chances. EAGLES.

Seahawks + 3 at Lions (43): Seattle is the much better defensive team. Although they’ve historically struggled on the road, Seattle did win at Carolina and was competitive in their other 3 road games, all of which were at their division foes. SEAHAWKS.

Dolphins +2½ at Jets (40½): Miami is rested following a Bye and seek to avenge an earlier home overtime loss to the Jets. Interestingly, the Jets are favored at home by the same amount by which they were in Miami a month earlier. In the interim, the Jets have played by far the much tougher opposition. JETS.

Panthers +7½ at Bears (44½): The Bears are the much better defensive team, especially against the run. They led the league in fewest points allowed but, most impressively, have forced more than 3 turnovers per game. BEARS.

Redskins + 5 at Steelers (47½): The Steelers had their best rushing game of the season in Sunday’s win at Cincy. Pittsburgh has become more of a pass oriented team this season which augers well against a porous Washington defense. The Redskins are averaging over 400 ypg on offense which suggests this game could become a shootout. OVER.

Raiders +1½ at Chiefs (42½): The Chiefs are off a Bye and likely to have backup QB Brady Quinn start. Despite their shortcomings, KC does have an outstanding ground game and are statistically the better team. Their problem has been turnovers, an issue addressed during the Bye week. At the price, the Chiefs provide value laying less than a field goal. CHIEFS.

Giants (PK at Dallas (47½): History has shown it’s dangerous to go against the Giants on the road in an important game. At the same time this is a favorable spot for Dallas as this is a single home game sandwiched between a pair of back to back road games. All three games these teams have played at the new Cowboys Stadium have produced at least 64 total points. OVER.

Saints +6 at Broncos (54½): The Saints still have major issues on defense and that plays into the strength of Denver’s offense directed by Peyton Manning. Denver’s problems have stemmed from a largely impotent offense in the first half of games, only to be explosive in the fourth quarter. This is a favorable spot for the Broncos who played back to back road games prior to the Bye and have back to back road games on deck. BRONCOS