11-4-12

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Greenridge Sports

25* - Denver Broncos -3.5
Analysis: The Denver Broncos are surging under future Hall Of Fame QB Peyton Manning. Since his performance in Atlanta, Manning has 15 TD's to just 1 interception. Denver's defense is also showing some signs that they can be the force they were late in the year last year and have been excellent in recent weeks. Cincinnati on the other hand has been going the opposite direction. After a promising start to the year it appears that the Bengals are returning to their usual, lowly form. Head Coach Marvin Lewis may very well be nearing the end of his time in Cincinnati. Look for Denver to continue surging as the Broncos should cruise to an easy win over the Bengals!

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Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc


Week 9

Hot Games To Bet On = Baltimore -3.5 and Arizona +10

Baltimore -3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

N.Y. Giants - 3 - 5% Of Bankroll

Miami - 1 - 5% Of Bankroll

Philadelphia +3 - 5% Of Bankroll

Chicago -3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Arizona +10 - 5% Of Bankroll

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Broncos at Bengals: What Bettors Need to Know

Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals (4, 48)

It took him some time to shake off the rust of a year-long layoff, but Peyton Manning is officially back. The NFL’s only four-time MVP has the AFC West-leading Denver Broncos rolling and he’ll try to keep it going on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals, who return from their bye week looking to end a three-game skid. Despite banging his thumb on a helmet early, Manning was 22-of-30 for 305 yards and three touchdowns in a dominating 34-14 victory over the New Orleans.

Manning has passed for over 300 yards in a franchise-record five straight games. He’s also the first player to record four straight games of 300-plus yards and three touchdowns with a completion percentage over 70 percent. The Bengals have had a week to devise ways to slow down Manning, who went 7-0 with 17 touchdowns and three interceptions against Cincinnati with the Colts. Denver has won three straight and 12 of the last 14 meetings. Willis McGahee ran for 101 yards and a score in last season’s 24-22 victory in Denver.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Broncos -4, O/U 48.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the north at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (4-3): Manning has quieted some of his early-season critics by throwing for 12 touchdowns and just one interception over the last four games. He orchestrated an offense that amassed 300 yards passing and 200 yards rushing for the first time in six years against New Orleans. The team got a brief scare when Manning smacked his thumb on a defender’s helmet in the second quarter (he didn't miss a play). Willis McGahee had 122 of the Broncos’ season-best 225 rushing yards and the 31-year-old is proving he still has plenty in the tank (he’s 10th in the league with 554 yards). Denver’s defense, ranked 14th in scoring (21.7) after holding New Orleans in check, will be without CB Tracy Porter. Porter, who has missed the last two games while dealing with side effects from seizures, has resumed practicing but didn't travel with the team to Cincinnati.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (3-4): While Manning’s resurgence has sparked the Broncos, the Bengals have hit a lull after a hot start due to the struggles of second-year quarterback Andy Dalton. “The Red Rifle” has thrown six interceptions during the losing streak and was held to 105 yards in a 24-17 loss to Pittsburgh prior to the bye week – his lowest total since his pro debut. The Bengals rely heavily on Dalton and second-year wideout A.J. Green, who has scored in six straight games and is tied for the league lead in touchdowns (7), because the rushing attack has been non-existent. Cincinnati is 23rd in rushing (96.6) with BenJarvus Green-Ellis averaging a mere 3.4 yards per carry.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in Broncos’ last six road games.
* Bengals are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Denver has outscored opponents 69-14 over the last six quarters, starting with the magical Monday night comeback against San Diego on Oct. 15.

2. Cincinnati, ranked 16th against the pass (233.1), has allowed just one 300-yard game this season when Cleveland's Brandon Weeden threw for 322 yards in Week 2.

3. Normally reserved Bengals coach Marvin Lewis challenged Dalton to be more of a leader, saying he needed him to “grab this football team by the back of its neck and (say) 'Let's go. Let's move forward.' "

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Steelers at Giants: What Bettors Need to Know

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants (-3.5, 48)

Two playoff contenders clash Sunday afternoon when the resurgent Pittsburgh Steelers travel to New York to face the defending Super Bowl champion Giants. The Giants are in complete control of the NFC East after holding on to beat Dallas despite blowing a 23-point lead last week, but they have to make up some ground on undefeated Atlanta to work their way into position for the NFC's top seed.

The Steelers have won two straight by getting back to playing smash-mouth football. They've averaged 148.5 rushing yards the past two weeks and allowed just 220 total yards per game during that span. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger might mix things up and try to exploit a Giants defense that allowed 415 passing yards to Dallas last week. New York has won four of the past six meetings, including a 21-14 victory in the most recent clash in 2008.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Giants -3.5, O/U 48.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out of the north at 8 mph.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (4-3): The rise of Pittsburgh's run game has come on the shoulders of Jonathan Dwyer, who started the season as the third-string back but has taken over the featured role with injuries to Rashard Mendenhall (Achilles) and Isaac Redman (ankle). Ironically, Dwyer (quad) has been limited in practice this week and is listed as doubtful - as is Mendenhall - but Redman is on track to play.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (6-2): New York's offense has been balanced and effective with Eli Manning leading the passing game and Ahmad Bradshaw and Andre Brown heading the ground game. The defense has given up big chunks of yardage but has done a solid job of keeping opponents out of the end zone thanks to 24 turnovers.

TRENDS:

* Steelers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Giants are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-1 in Steelers’ last five road games.
* Under is 6-0 in Giants’ last six games following an ATS win.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Steelers have allowed only one team to top 100 yards rushing (Oakland, 119) and have not allowed an opponent to pass for 300 yards.

2. The Giants are 10-0 when Bradshaw tops 100 rushing yards. He has averaged 102 yards in his past four games against AFC teams.

3. Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin is in position to earn his 60th career victory.

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, November 4th - FREE Member Play

TOP (3 UNITS)
COWBOYS +4 (-120) at falcons (SNF)

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Trace Adams


TRIPLE YOUR WAGER
3000♦
GAME OF MY LIFE


Dallas Cowboys +4 (-120) Bought the 1/2 Point

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HSW Early Phones
8 Baltimore

Today's 10 star late phones was Michigan St-loser
Today's 9 stare early phones was Oklahoma-winner

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JOE NELSON
20-2 CURRENT NFL RUN (91%)
07 OCT 4-0
11 OCT 1-0
14 OCT 3-0
15 OCT 1-0
18 OCT 1-0
21 OCT 3-1
22 OCT 1-0
25 OCT 1-0
28 OCT 3-1
29 OCT 1-0
01 NOV 1-0
04 NOV
Matchup: Arizona at Green Bay
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Arizona at Green Bay Under (44.5 -110)
Line Source: Wynn
Posted on: November 2, 2012 @ 3:48:19 PM EDT
The ‘under’ has hit in seven of eight Arizona Cardinals games this season and yet this week’s game figures to have the third highest total in a Cardinals game this season. The reason is the opponent, the Green Bay Packers, a team some feel has caught some life with three straight wins and now five straight games with at least 24 points scored. In those five games the Packers have faced defenses that rank in terms of points allowed 20th, 22nd, 27th, and 30th, with the lone outlier being the breakout game against Houston, a game that came in a very difficult spot for the Texans. Few are noticing that the Green Bay defense has also been a catalyst for the turnaround, allowing just 21.3 points per game on the season, 12th best in the NFL and just 342 yards per game. The Green Bay offense ranks 21st in yardage this season despite scoring 26 points per game and the Packers have been out-gained in three of the last five games. Arizona’s 4-0 start has been erased with four straight losses and the Cardinals have scored just 36 points combined in the last four games. Everyone wants to blame QB play but the offensive line has allowed 33 sacks in the last five games. The Cardinals have the second worst rushing offense in the NFL while the Packers are 26th, but it is not for lack of trying, as Arizona rushes 23 times per game and Green Bay rushes 24 times per game. These teams last met in the playoffs after the 2009 season with 96 points being scored but a lot has changed between these teams since that game. While Arizona is on a four-game losing streak the defense is still excellent as Monday’s 24-3 loss was the most points Arizona had allowed all season long. In regulation Arizona has allowed just 17 points per game this season and both teams are heading into a bye week, a situation that has been unfavorable for teams this season. Arizona is allowing just 193 yards per game through the air this season, the 4th best mark in the NFL and this is a Packers offensive line that has had some protection issues at times this season. This is the lowest total in a Packers game all season despite the ‘over’ hitting four of the last five weeks and with good reason. This will be one of the best defenses that Green Bay has faced all season long and the Packers have pedestrian offensive numbers at home this season, posting just 326 yards per game despite the expectation that this is still one of the best offenses in the league. Aaron Rodgers is great but he has no running game and his top two receivers are injured. There won’t be many big plays for the Packers in this game and they’ll likely be caught in a grind similar to last week’s game with Jacksonville.


Matchup: Minnesota at Seattle
Time: 4:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Minnesota (+4.5 -110)
Line Source: Wynn
Posted on: November 2, 2012 @ 3:48:19 PM EDT
With Minnesota’s surprisingly hot start the Vikings have been an underdog just twice all season, winning both times, at home against San Francisco and at Detroit. The Vikings have had extra-time to regroup after an ugly loss last Thursday to a surging Tampa Bay Buccaneers squad that is starting to put it together on offense. That was by far the worst defensive game for a Minnesota defense that has been very good this season, The Vikings did allow 38 against Washington but much of that scoring war turnover created as Minnesota out-gained Washington in that loss. Minnesota ranks 11th in the NFL in terms of yards and points allowed this season and this is an above average defense going against a rookie quarterback. Seattle is 3-0 at home this season but they easily could have lost in games with Green Bay and New England and the 27-7 win against Dallas was created with turnovers with a big blocked punt setting the tone early. This will be the first time all season Seattle has been a home favorite and the Seahawks were just 1-1 in that role last season. The underdog has covered in seven of eight Seattle games this season as all but one game has been decided by seven or fewer points and the yardage differential in Seahawks games has been 120 or less every single week. Seattle has been out-gained in each of the last three games and while under Pete Carroll the Seahawks are 12-7 S/U in home games they are just 3-4 ATS as a favorite in any location, losing S/U in four of those games. At 5-3 and coming off a bad loss the Vikings will be greatly motivated for this game especially knowing that the next four games are all tough division opponents. Minnesota’s offense has taken some criticism with a couple of marginal games from Christian Ponder but Minnesota has out-gained Seattle by 37 yards per game this season including better rushing numbers, averaging 4.7 yards per rush, the 4th best mark in the NFL. Minnesota’s defense can be vulnerable in the air, especially now with Chris Cook injured but Seattle has the second fewest passing yards in the entire NFL and any way you break it down Ponder has out-played Russell Wilson. Seattle is also likely playing without three contributing receivers in this game with Ben Obomanu hitting IR, Braylon Edwards out with a knee issue, and Doug Baldwin battling an ankle issue. This is a clear value play with the flawed assumption of Seattle’s invincibility at home, the Seahawks seem to be in a close game every single week and Minnesota will be right there.

Guaranteed Play

Matchup: Dallas at Atlanta
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Dallas (+4.5 -110)
Line Source: Wynn
Posted on: November 2, 2012 @ 3:48:19 PM EDT

Atlanta may be 7-0 and the Falcons have a clear path to a high seed in the NFC but this is a team that would be underdogs against several teams. The schedule has lined up well for the Falcons with only two wins against teams that now have a winning record (two 4-3 AFC teams) and the Falcons have been able to squeak out several narrow wins, winning four games by seven or fewer points. Dallas has been the opposite of the Falcons, a team that puts up great numbers but is just 3-4 on the season. Turnovers and penalties have been the biggest issues for Dallas but the Cowboys have not been out-gained by more than 20 yards in any game. Dallas has also out-passed every opponent this season, featuring a more prolific passing offense than the Falcons. The Dallas defense is over 60 yards per game better than the Falcons and the Cowboys have played a schedule that most rate as the toughest in the NFL. Atlanta’s schedule rates 31st by most major measures. Neither team runs the ball effectively so this game will come down the pass defense and Dallas has been the far better unit, allowing just 187 yards per game in the air. Dallas is 2-1 as an underdog this season with the lone loss coming last week, a game they easily could have won as they out-gained the Giants by 141 yards and had six turnovers. Atlanta’s defense ranks 20th in the league in yards allowed per game compared with 4th for Dallas and the Falcons have a big division game in New Orleans next on the schedule. Matt Ryan owns a great home record but the Falcons have been less impressive ATS as a home favorite and this is a team that has failed in most notable big games in recent years. Atlanta’s three home wins have come by a grand total of nine points combined and they will lay more than a field goal against the best team they have faced all season with the lights shining on Sunday night.

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DCI Pro Football

The Daniel Curry Index

Week 9 Predictions


Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS Vary Units: 6-0 (1.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-1 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 66-47 (.584)
ATS: 50-66 (.431)
ATS Vary Units: 227-403 (.360)
Over/Under: 61-54 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 250-202 (.553)

Thursday, November 1, 2012
SAN DIEGO 26, Kansas City 14

Sunday, November 4, 2012
Denver 31, CINCINNATI 19
Baltimore 20, CLEVELAND 17
GREEN BAY 27, Arizona 13
Chicago 26, TENNESSEE 17
Miami 21, INDIANAPOLIS 16
WASHINGTON 28, Carolina 23
Detroit 28, JACKSONVILLE 18
HOUSTON 36, Buffalo 20
OAKLAND 30, Tampa Bay 24
SEATTLE 24, Minnesota 15
N.Y. GIANTS 26, Pittsburgh 17
ATLANTA 30, Dallas 16

Monday, November 5, 2012
NEW ORLEANS 30, Philadelphia 23

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DCI Pro Basketball

The Daniel Curry Index

11/04/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 19-13 (.594)
ATS: 16-18 (.471)
ATS Vary Units: 63-68 (.481)
Over/Under: 20-15 (.571)
Over/Under Vary Units: 43-28 (.606)

NEW YORK 93, Philadelphia 90
TORONTO 101, Minnesota 95
ORLANDO 99, Phoenix 97
OKLAHOMA CITY 102, Atlanta 92
L.A. LAKERS 100, Detroit 92

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Today's NFL Picks

Pittsburgh at NY Giants

The Giants look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. New York is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 4 Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (10/31)

Game 415-416: Denver at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 138.631; Cincinnati 129.723 Dunkel Line: Denver by 9; 51 Vegas Line: Denver by 3 1/2; 47 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Arizona at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 128.916; Green Bay 137.878 Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 9; 49 Vegas Line: Green Bay by 11; 44 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+11); Over

Game 419-420: Miami at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 130.178; Indianapolis 131.441 Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 1 1/2; 39 Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 43 Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+2 1/2); Under

Game 421-422: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.684; Cleveland 129.428 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6 1/2; 38 Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 42 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Under

Game 423-424: Buffalo at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 125.396; Houston 137.930 Dunkel Line: Houston by 12 1/2; 52 Vegas Line: Houston by 10; 47 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-10); Over

Game 425-426: Carolina at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 130.186; Washington 131.606 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 44 Vegas Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 47 Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3 1/2); Under

Game 427-428: Detroit at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 128.145; Jacksonville 127.085 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 47 Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 43 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3 1/2); Over

Game 429-430: Chicago at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 132.832; Tennessee 131.474 Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1 1/2; 38 Vegas Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 43 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); Under

Game 431-432: Minnesota at Seattle (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.755; Seattle 134.770 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3; 42 Vegas Line: Seattle by 5; 39 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+5); Over

Game 433-434: Tampa Bay at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 135.223; Oakland 128.261 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 7; 49 Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 46 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2); Over

Game 435-436: Pittsburgh at NY Giants (4:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 134.073; NY Giants 143.582 Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 9 1/2; 42 Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 47 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-3); Under

Game 437-438: Dallas at Atlanta (8:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 131.415; Atlanta 139.787 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 45 Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4; 47 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

Minnesota at Toronto

The Raptors look to build on their 8-1-1 ATS record in their last 10 games against Western Conference teams. Toronto is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 4 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Philadelphia at New York (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 122.478; New York 119.808 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 187 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+4); Over

Game 703-704: Minnesota at Toronto (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 108.669; Toronto 118.268 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3); Under

Game 705-706: Phoenix at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.336; Orlando 117.221 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2); Over

Game 707-708: Atlanta at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.767; Oklahoma City 130.315 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 193 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Detroit at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.666; LA Lakers 123.608 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 13; 186 Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 191 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-8); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 932-690 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free play Sun: DET Lions -3

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Kelso's


Sunday, November 04, 2012

NFL Game Of Week

50 Units


Bears (-3½) over Titans

1:00 PM -- LP Field
NFL Game Of The Week 50 Units Chicago Bears (6-1) -3 ½ over TENNESSEE TITANS (3-5) Prediction: Bears by 12-13 Starting Time: 1:05 TV: FOX Comments: The Chicago Bears look every bit a Super Bowl team and have every edge in this game except the home field. They have a defense that can stop running back Chris Johnson in his tracks and my figures say they will do just that, putting Tennessee’s chances in the hands of quarterback Matt Hasselbeck. For the record, Chicago’s defense gives up just 77.9 rushing yards per game. Chicago is 2-1 on the road this season, losing at Green Bay, 23-10, in the second game of the season and then beating Dallas, 34-18, and Jacksonville, 41-3. There is no reason to think they will not dominate the up-and-down Titans today.
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.

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NELLY'S GREEN SHEET (NEWSLETTER)

RATING 5 CHICAGO (-31⁄2) over Tennessee
RATING 4 MINNESOTA (+5) over Seattle
RATING 3 TAMPA BAY (+11⁄2) over Oakland
RATING 2 MIAMI (-21⁄2) over Indianapolis
RATING 1 CINCINNATI (+3) over Denver

NFL: ‘OVER’ Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins
The Panthers moved the ball with ease against a very good Bears defense but turnovers continue to cost this team. Washington’s high scoring offense was shut down against Pittsburgh last week but the Redskins should have more opportunities this week. The storm this week could hurt preparation for both defenses and last season these teams combined for 53 points in Charlotte.

BONUS TOTAL: ‘UNDER’ Buffalo at Houston