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Tony George - Over Toledo
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ANDRE GOMES
NBA - 701 Orlando Magic @ 702 Chicago Bulls
Projected Line: 190 points
Chicago is coming from a home loss against New Orleans, where they competed hard by grabbing 15 offensive rebounds, while the Hornets grabbed just 9! The Bulls also had 11 steals, had fewer turnovers than the Hornets with a season low of 12 turnovers, they scored more points in the paint, second chance points and fast break points. However, they had a huge problem that they can't have if they want to win games: after shooting 63.8% FG against Cleveland, the Bulls shot just 32% FG in the game against New Orleans, while shooting just 26% FG in the 2nd half! Rip Hamilton shot 2-10 FG, Kirk Hinrich 1-8 FG, Luol Deng 6-15 FG, Carlos Boozer 1-8 FG and Joakim Noah 4-12 FG! That's a combined of 14-53 (26%) FG!
Tonight, I expect a bounce back from the Bulls offense, as Orlando offers them a much more favorable matchup. The Bulls will have a huge edge down low, as Orlando has been playing a lot of small ball. With their good ball movement and size down low, I expect Chicago to score a lot of easy points today. There's also the fact that Chicago is running more this season than they were last season, as coach Thibodeau realized that the team without Derrick Rose needs to create more easy shots to score and with this, the pace in the first three games of the Bulls this season were always above 90, while they had just two runs of +3 games with a pace higher than 90 last season! Thanks to this quicker pace, Chicago is also score a lot of fast break points, having scored 14, 15 and 21 points in their first three games of the season.
Orlando is 2-0 right now and after I watched them playing great basketball against Denver on their season debut, I couldn't resist taking them against Phoenix in the following game and in fact, they dropped 40 points on the Suns in the third quarter, despite playing without Hedo Turkoglu and Jameer Nelson, something that for a roster with little talent should be dramatic. They indeed struggled during the first half, where their defense had no answer for Luis Scola, who dominated the paint on offense, something that should also happen today with Carlos Boozer. However, the second half was a completely different story. Big Baby was much more efficient from both ends of the floor, E'Twaun Moore and Arron Afflalo were great from the three-point range. Orlando keeps playing on a fast tempo, with a small ball, great ball movement and a very good ball sharing. They had a good matchup against Phoenix, but the truth is that they are indeed showing an excellent offensive dynamic on this early season.
This should be a fast paced game, where Orlando will obviously have more problems on offense than they had against the Suns. However, they are playing with great confidence, so I believe they should at least get some offensive production, even though they will be facing one of the best defenses on the league tonight. Chicago is also trying to set up a decent pace to their games and with Orlando sharing the same philosophy, I expect this game to become a fast paced game, with both teams having some decent games on offense. The current line of just 187 points would be a sharp line last season, with Chicago playing without Derrick Rose and Orlando still playing on half court with Dwight Howard on the frontcourt, but this season, on different circumstances, I expect this game to be nothing similar to the previous seasons' games between these two teams. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 187 @ -110 / 1.91
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JEFF SCOTT SPORTS
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
DENVER -10.5 over Detroit: Gotta love the Nuggets in this one. They are 0-3 on the year, but all three games were on the road and they will be at home for this one, where they always play good. The Nuggets also play good ball vs the Central division going 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs them, plus they are 29-10 ATS in their last 39 games vs the Eastern Conference. Detroit is also 0-3 on the year and they are off a game vs an 0-3 Lakers team and they were hammered in that game, losing by 29 points. The Pistons are a young team and will struggle on the road this year, especially vs teams that are much better than them and the Nuggets are just that. Look for Denver to take their frustrations out on Detroit tonight and win this one by at least 17 points.
Orlando/ Chicago Under 187.5: Both teams are missing or have key starters hobbling and that means that both teams will look for more of a defensive stand to win this game. The Bulls are allowing just 87.3 ppg and should slow down this Orlando team that will be missing Turkolu and possibly Jameer Nelson for this one. Orlando has averaged 108.5 ppg so far, but their first two game were vs bad defensive uptempo teams. The Bulls are not like that and they do slow the tempo at home. Chicago has averaged 96.7 ppg, but just 87.5 ppg in their two home games and the Magic have been playing great defense this year, allowing just 91.5 ppg on 40.6% shooting this year. This game will be aslow down game with both defenses stepping up big to keep this game under the total.
2 UNIT PLAY
Orlando +9 over CHICAGO
1 UNIT PLAY
OKLAHOMA CITY -8.5 over TorontoComment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Ball State +6½ -102 over TOLEDO
Toledo has moved into the top-25 for the first time since 2001 and that’s an angle we usually like to fade. The reason being is that there’s instant recognition once you get on that list and with it comes a premium. We saw a similar situation with Cincinnati three weeks ago when the Bearcats made the top 25 and ironically played these Rockets and lost outright.
The Rockets feature a high-powered attack behind triplets Terrance Owens, Bernard Reedy and David Fluellen. Their signature win this season was that game against Cincinnati but in that contest they were outgained 478-355. The rest of their schedule has seen them play poor teams and bottom feeders so their high rankings in passing yards, rushing yards and total points scored is skewed. They’re a decent MAC team but so is Ball State.
The Cardinals are just 3-2 in the conference and 6-3 overall, ergo the generous points. Unlike Toledo though, they’ve played some of the best teams in the conference, not to mention out of conference games against South Florida and #12 Clemson. Ball State has also played MAC foes Kent State and Northern Illinois, who are a combined 11-0. We've played a lot of MAC teams this year and will gladly step in again with Pete Lembo's rising MAC power Ball State Cardinals here. This looks like one of the best spots of the year for the Cardinals. The offense leads the MAC at 475 yards and a whopping 29 first downs per game and the team is playing with confidence after three consecutive wins and a chance to knock Toledo from the National rankings. Upset alert is on.
Our Pick Ball State +6½ -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Toronto +8½ -105 over OKLAHOMA CITY
The Thunder are off to a slow 1-2 start. After splitting their first two games, OKC lost at home to Atlanta on Sunday. Now there’s some chemistry issues that are beginning to surface in wake of the James Harden trade to the Rockets. On Sunday, Thabo Sefolosha and Russell Westbrook had to be separated from exchanging words as they walked to the bench. It was a show of anger that surprisingly was also seen from the same two as they walked off the court at halftime Friday night. In other moments Kevin Durant has barked at Serge Ibaka, and Kendrick Perkins and Ibaka have pointed fingers. There is tension and a little awkwardness in the dressing room that should not be overlooked.
The Raptors are 1-2 overall but could easily be 3-0 after near misses against Indiana and Brooklyn. Instead of hanging their heads, the Raps came out on Sunday and put a beat-down on a very good Timberwolves club. Unlike the Thunder, Toronto is a cohesive unit that showed strong signs of improvement a year ago and it’s carried over to this season. At some point the value on the Raptors will dry up but as of now it has not and that provides us with another opportunity.
Our Pick Toronto +8½ -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)Comment
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Brian Edwards's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Guaranteed Pick
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Ball State at Toledo
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Tue)
Play: Toledo (-6.5 -105)
Line Source: BetGrande
Posted on: November 6, 2012 @ 2:17:45 PM EST
Sine losing in overtime at Arizona in Week 1, Toledo has won eight consecutive games. The Rockets have won all four home games, winning by double-digit margins in three of those with the exception being a 29-23 victory over Cincinnati. Toledo is led by QB Terrance Owens (13/5 TD-INT ratio) and RB David Fluellen, who has rushed for 1,177 yards and 11 touchdowns while averaging 6.0 yards per carry. I like the Rockets laying less than a TD at home tonight.Comment
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Mike Wynn
100,000* MAC Superlock!!
100,000* MAC Superlock
Ball St +6½ Over Toledo
Toledo Team Has Now Cracked The Top 25 In The Polls After Winning 8 Straight Games But This Ball St Squad At 6-3 Has Played A Much Tougher Schedule To This Point Of The Season And I Think Their Game Here Tonight At The Glass Bowl. Toledo Also Has A Show Down With Northern Illinois That'll Probably Determine The Winner Of Their Division And Who Plays For The MAC Championship. I Look For A Fun High Scoring Game That Stays Tight Tonight.
Best Bets
Ball St/Toledo Over 67½ Points
Oklahoma City -9 Over TorontoComment
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Mike Wynn
100,000* MAC Superlock!!
100,000* MAC Superlock
Ball St +6½ Over Toledo
Toledo Team Has Now Cracked The Top 25 In The Polls After Winning 8 Straight Games But This Ball St Squad At 6-3 Has Played A Much Tougher Schedule To This Point Of The Season And I Think Their Game Here Tonight At The Glass Bowl. Toledo Also Has A Show Down With Northern Illinois That'll Probably Determine The Winner Of Their Division And Who Plays For The MAC Championship. I Look For A Fun High Scoring Game That Stays Tight Tonight.
Best Bets
Ball St/Toledo Over 67½ Points
Oklahoma City -9 Over TorontoComment
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