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5 Miami
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4 New Eng
Hoops
4 Villanova
4 San Diego St
5 Miami
4 Giants
4 New Eng
Hoops
4 Villanova
4 San Diego St
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HARRY BONDI
Sunday, Nov. 11th
NFL
OVER 47 POINTS
Oakland at Baltimore 1 p.m.
Our FREE PICK selections have gone 45-27 (62%) since September 1st.
The Raiders have become an "over" team, going up and over the last three weeks. The team allows more than 28 points per game on defense while on offense it throws the ball 41.4 times per game, second-most in the AFC. As we wrote in a recent Handicapper's Notebook, the Ravens defense is one of the most overrated units in the league and the new hurry-up offense the team has installed has put even more pressure on this aging unit that is allowing 389 yards per game. Baltimore games have averaged 52.2 points this year and with the pass-heavy Oakland offense coming to town we expect another 50-plus point output.Comment
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Jack Jones
NBA Nov 11 '12
6:05pMiami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies
Take: Miami Heat -2-105
in 6h 15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -2
The Miami Heat are showing great value as only a 2-point favorite at Memphis. The Grizzlies are way overvalued due to their 4-1 start against one of the easiest schedules you will ever see. They meet their match tonight in the defending NBA champs.
Lebron James and Dwayne Wade both are banged up a bit coming into this one, which is probably the biggest reason why the Heat are a small favorite here. But the oddsmakers are putting too much stock into it. "It's a little sore right now," James said after his last game. "I knew I would get through it. It would take a lot for me not to go back out there with my teammates."
The Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Miami is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games. Take the Heat Sunday.Comment
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Kelso
100 Units
49ers (-12½) over Rams
4:25 PM -- Candlestick Park
Prediction: 49ers by 21-24
Comments: These teams have one thing in common—they are coming off bye weeks. After that San Francisco has the edge in all 42 elements I use to handicap NFL games and on that basis alone should dominate this one from start to finish. The 49ers have by far the better offense and both quarterback Alex Smith and running back Frank Gore are at the absolute top of their games. Gore has just become the 49ers all-time leading rusher and Smith comes into this game of a winning performance against the Arizona Cardinals in a game in which he completed 18-of-19 passes for 232 yards and three touchdowns and with an efficiency rating of 157.1. St. Louis began this season with limited talent, played well for four games and then ran out of gas. The only thing that will keep the score closer in this game that it should be is the fact San Francisco plays a ball-control, field- position offense that keeps them from scoring a ton of points. Still, the 48ers should win this one in a blowout.
50 Units
Lions (-3) over Vikings
1:00 PM -- Mall of America Field at HHH Metrodome
Prediction: Detroit by 10-13
Comments: This is a matchup of teams headed in opposite directions. Detroit opened the season an unexpected 1-3 (0-4 against the number) but has since turned things around, going 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATs in its last four games and seems primed to play its best game of the season. The Vikings opened the season 4-1 and has gone 1-3 in its last four, primarily because of subpar play by quarterback Christian Ponder. While Minnesota won the first meeting of these traditional rivals, 20-13, in the fourth week of the season, Detroit grades out with almost all the edges in this one. It certainly works against Minnesota it will be without super-star wide receiver Percy Harvin who was injured in last week’s 30-20 loss to Seattle.
50 Units
Texans (+1½) over Bears
8:20 PM -- Soldier Field
Prediction: Texans by 6-7
Comments: This Sunday night affair has all the makings of a great football game. For openers both teams suffered their only loss of the season to Green Bay, with the Packers beating Chicago 23-10 in Green Bay and knocking off the Texans, 42-24, in Houston. Both have solid offenses and lockdown defenses, with the latter probably playing the biggest role in this game. Houston gives up just 286.1 yards and 17.1 points per game and has not allowed a rushing touchdown in 11 games dating back to last season. Chicago surrenders just 318.1 yards and15.0 points per game and leads the NFL in takeaways with 28 and has returned seven interceptions for touchdowns. In the end, the winning edge belongs to Houston simply because it has better offensive skill players than does Chicago and overall is the more talented.
15 Units
Ny Giants (-4) over Bengals
1:00 PM -- Paul Brown Stadium
Prediction: Giants by 9-10
Comments: The New York Giants are the decidedly better team in this game and will be playing in major bounce-back mode having lost last week at home to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 24-20. The pattern is clear. The Giants lost to the Dallas Cowboys, 24-17, in the opening game of the season and next week beat Tampa Bay. In the fourth game of the season the Giants lost, 19-17, at Philadelphia and came back the next week and beat Cleveland. Giants quarterback Eli Manning also is in bounce-back mode, coming off two subpar games. I look for Manning to have an outstanding game today and for the Giants to bounce-back strongly against an underachieving Bengals team that opened 3-1 but that has gone 0-4 SU and ATS in its last four games.
10 Units
Ravens (-7½) over Raiders
1:00 PM -- M&T Bank Stadium
Prediction: Ravens by 13-14
Comments: As if Baltimore did not have enough edges in this game, they got two more when it was announced Oakland will be without its two top running backs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson. Both suffered severe high ankle sprains in last week’s loss to Tampa Bay and have not practiced this week. The Raiders will also be without defensive tackle Richard Seymour (knee, hamstring). Also working against Oakland today is the dreaded west coast to east coast factor. They have made the trip twice this season and lost both games—35-13 at Miami and 23-20 at Atlanta. The Ravens are playing their best football right now and they have a habit of beating up on teams that are sub.500 teams, standing 27-5 straight up in games with losing records since John Harbaugh took over as head coach.
10 Units
Ny Jets/Seahawks UNDER 38½ Points
4:05 PM -- CenturyLink Field
Points Prediction: 35 or less points will be scored
Comments: It is no secret Seattle comes into every game ready to play ball-control, field-position offense and basically leaving winning in the hands of its defense—a thought supported by the fact the Seahawks have averaged just 18.9 points per game while giving up 17.1. Against this background, we may have the “perfect storm” working for Seattle. The Jets have lost four of their last five games and in those contests quarterback Mark Sanchez has thrown five touchdowns passes and five interceptions and recorded a miserable 69.7 pass efficiency rating. With Seattle focusing on defense and with the Jets playing poorly on offense, all the ingredients are there for a big-time under.Comment
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