11-20-12

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Youngstown Connection

Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday November 20, 2012
$25.00 NCAAB Guaranteed Selection #1

#724 Gardner Webb -6.5 4PM Eastern

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Jeff Benton 30-Dime: NY Knicks (-6)
Al DeMarco 15-Dime: NY Knicks (-6)
Trace Adams 1000: North Carolina
Craig Davis 20-Dime: 2 Team 6 Point Teaser on Toledo & Under
Matt Rivers 250K: Michigan State (-15.5)
Chuck O'Brien 100-Dime: GB Wisconsin (+2)
Anthony Redd 30 Dime: Akron Zips & Toledo Rockets to go Over the Total

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Sportsbook Breakers

76ers -5

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SBP NBA Updated Picks 11/20

Hornets +6

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Joe Wiz
Wisc. Green Bay +2

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CHRIS JORDAN

300* Canisius -4.5 over Buffalo

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From Mike Wynn


MAC TV Lock
Toledo -19 Over Akron
Toledo Off The Loss To Northern Illinois Should Be Anxious To Get back In The Win Column Tuesday. Akron Has Been A Disappointment This Season And Toledo Has A Chance To Set Their Own Number In This One And I Expect It To Be High. Take Toledo To Roll Here Tonight.

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Seabass's Tuesday:
50 Akron in football
50 New Orleans in the NBA.
50 St. Josephs
50 UCLA

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***BEN BURNS ANNIHILATOR***


Akron vs. Toledo - November 20, 2012 - 7:00 PM

Pick: Your pick will be graded at sportsinteraction @ 19 -110 Akron
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: November 20, 2012 - 7:00 PM
Reason For Pick:
I'm playing on AKRON. I'll concede that Toledo has a stronger team. That's pretty obvious by the large pointspread and by the respective records of the two teams. That doesn't mean that the Rockets are a good bet here though.
I won with Toledo in its last game. The Rockets were large underdogs at Northern Illinois. I felt the line was too high and that Toledo would play the Huskies tough. They did just that, losing by seven as 10 point underdogs.
I may have been a little fortunate to cash with the Rockets in that one, as the stats show that they were outgained by a whopping 596-396 margin. Either way, the Rockets' tendency to play "close" games continued.
Many will likely expect the Rockets to be highly motivated to bounce back with a blowout win in their home finale. It would certainly help in proving that they were deserving of a bowl game. I'm sure they'd like an easy win, too. What team wouldn't?
However, off that big game vs. the Huskies and knowing that they're already "bowl eligible," I believe that its going to be hard for them to "get up" for this one.
The fact is that a bowl game isn't a guarantee for Toledo yet. The players and coaches probably believe that it is though and, given their OT loss at Arizona and overall record, as long as they win this game, I'd say they were deserving too. Looking ahead and/or thinking back to what could have been, could be a very real possibility.
On the other hand, Akron should truly want this game. This is all they've got left. Its been a miserable season and a win here would really go a long way in salvaging it. They've got a 1st year coach (Terry Bowden) who'd really like to show that progress has been made and to finish the season on a good note.
Note that the Zips have the schedule in their favor. While Toledo last played on 11/14, Akron last played on 11/10.
I successfully played against the Zips when they were blown out at Central Michigan. CMU was a single digit favorite and won by 21 points. I guess I picked my spot pretty well as that was actually the only time all season that Akron failed to cover on the road. The Zips enter this evening's game with a 4-1 ATS record away from Akron this season.
While the defense admittedly has some issues, this Akron team can score points and move the ball, regardless of venue. The Zips average 26.4 ppg and 435.8 ypg. Those numbers don't really take a dip on the road either as they're averaging 26 and 429 on the road. The Zips should be able to score against a suspect Toledo defense which allows 27.7 ppg and a very high 475.2 ypg. (That's more ypg than Akron allows.)
Prior to playing on the Rockets at NIU, I'd successfully played against them in each of their two previous games. In each case, they were favored and in each case, I cited their tendency to play close games. They would go on to lose outright at Ball State while winning by only five at Buffalo.
That makes it five straight Toledo games which were decided by seven points or less. In fact, ALL 11 Rockets games have been decided by 20 points or less this season. Ten of those were decided by 15 or less and eight were decided by 10 or less. I'm grabbing all the points I can get. *9

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BEN BURNS

November 20, 2012 - 7:00 PM NCAAF Akron vs. Toledo *1/2 OFF UNTIL MNF KICKS* Tues ANNIHILATOR! *4-0 L2 Months!* sportsinteraction @ 19 -110 Akron

November 20, 2012 - 8:00 PM NBA New York vs. New Orleans Burns' BEST BET ~ EARLY BIRD SPECIAL pinnacle @ 6 -107 New Orleans

November 20, 2012 - 10:05 PM NCAAB Green Bay vs. Idaho Burns Fan Apprec Personal Favorite ~ Small Line, BIG WIN! bookmaker @ -1.5 -110 Idaho D

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Jack Jones
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Nov 20 '12
7:00p Akron vs Toledo
Take: Akron +19½-110 in 1h
15* Akron/Toledo MAC Tuesday No-Brainer on Akron +19.5

The Toledo Rockets likely won't even show up tonight. They were eliminated from the MAC title race with a 24-31 loss at Northern Illinois last Wednesday. With nothing to play for tonight, they won't bring the kind of effort it's going to take to cover this huge number against Akron.

The Zips want to end their season on a positive note since they will not be going to a bowl game. They have played some very good teams tough this season. They lost at Tennessee 26-47 as a 32-point underdog. They also lost at Ohio 28-34 as an 18-point dog, and at Kent State 24-35 as an 18.5-point dog.

Under first-year head coach Terry Bowden, the Zips have implemented a high-octane passing attack. They rank 14th in the country in passing offense (317.1 yards/game) and should be able to move the ball at will through the air against a Toledo defense that ranks 116th against the pass (298.8 yards/game).

Akron comes in the more rested team as it last played on November 10th against UMass. Toledo comes in on just five days' rest after playing on Wednesday, November 14th against Northern Illinois. That extra rest and preparation should make a big difference in this one.

Toledo is 13-27 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992. The Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Take Akron Tuesday.

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Hoopsgooroo 11/20
101 Akron +18.5 @ 7p

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ATS LOCK
2 Akron
Hoops
4 UCLA
3 St. Louis

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intpicks

3* Lakers
2* akron under, tor/phil over, wich st, canisius
1* ballst,
free hawaii

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GOODFELLA
3* NBA GOW NETS/LAKERS OVER

2* canisius
2* nba new orleans