
11-25-12
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DAVE BLEZOW
LOCK: Colts (Locks 3-8) -
NFL Prop Shop: Week 12's Best Prop Plays
by Sean Murphy
Our record inside the 'Prop Shop' stands at 24-20 on the season entering Week 12. Take a look at Sean's four best prop bets on Sunday:
Most passing yards
Carson Palmer vs. Andy Dalton
The Raiders have taken to airing it out on offense in recent weeks, with Carson Palmer throwing for over 300 yards in three consecutive games. That trend should continue on Sunday, as this is still a team that lacks a reliable ground game in the absence of Darren McFadden.
Oakland gave up 38 points in last week's loss to the Saints, but did hold Drew Brees to just 219 passing yards. I expect to see the Raiders 'D' play it safe for much of this one, dropping back in coverage and not allowing Andy Dalton to bomb away to A.J. Green. It's their only chance of staying close in this contest.
Take: Palmer
Jake Locker vs. Chad Henne
Chad Henne absolutely lit up a quality Texans defense last week, so the knee-jerk reaction is to back him in this matchup on Sunday. I don't think it's the correct decision, though, as the veteran QB has been bounced around the league for a reason.
The Titans are coming off their bye week, meaning oft-injured sophomore QB Jake Locker has had some extra time to get re-acclimated with his receiving corps. Note that Locker does have a 378-yard passing day to his credit this season, and should shine against a banged-up Jaguars secondary.
Take: Locker
Most rushing yards
C.J. Spiller vs. Vick Ballard
Fred Jackson is expected to return from injury on Sunday, but that doesn't mean C.J. Spiller will be eliminated from the Bills game plan. I expect Spiller to shine in this favorable matchup against the Colts. Gaining 6.6 yards per rush on the season, there's no question,Spiller is the Bills biggest home run threat out of the backfield right now.
Vick Ballard has been getting the bulk of the carries in the Colts RB platoon, but I won't be surprised if veteran Donald Brown earns a few extra looks against a physical Bills front line on Sunday.
Take: Spiller
Most pass receptions
Sidney Rice vs. Brian Hartline
I really like the way Seahawks QB Russell Wilson has evolved in his rookie season. He's looking down the field a lot more often recently, and Sidney Rice has benefited from Wilson's growth with 12 catches in the last three games. With the Dolphins secondary struggling, we can expect Rice to find plenty of operating room on Sunday.
It's been feast-or-famine for Brian Hartline this season. Off back-to-back eight-catch games, he hauled in only four last Thursday in Buffalo. That was the fourth time in the last six games he's been held to four catches or less.
Take: RiceComment
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NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 12
Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 12's action.
Oakland at Cincinnati (-9.5, 49.5)
The Bengals have outscored their last two opponents by a combined 40 points while posting back-to-back victories. That’s bad news for the Oakland Raiders, who have allowed an average of 45.0 points in dropping three straight games. Raiders RB Darren McFadden (ankle) is running at practice and is questionable. Backup RB Mike Goodson (ankle) is further away from returning. Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.
Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1, 34)
The Pittsburgh Steelers' QB carousel will take another turn on Sunday when veteran Charlie Batch makes the start versus the host Cleveland Browns. The 37-year-old Batch will look to improve upon the performance of fellow veteran Byron Leftwich, who scored a rushing touchdown - and promptly broke a rib - in a 13-10 loss to Baltimore last Sunday. Batch will need to be on alert against a tenacious Browns defense, which recorded a season-high seven sacks of Tony Romo last week. Pittsburgh has won four in a row and 21 of 23 versus Cleveland.
Buffalo at Indianapolis (-3, 50.5)
Buffalo is one of five AFC teams entering the weekend at 4-6, two games behind the wild card leaders and clinging to some hope that it can make up the ground over the last six weeks. The Bills expect to have RB Fred Jackson back from a concussion on Sunday but may still start C.J. Spiller, who piled up 130 yards from scrimmage in a 19-14 win over the Dolphins last week. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts had their winning streak come to an end in embarrassing fashion at New England last Sunday. Luck had some rookie stumbles against New England, throwing three interceptions - two of which were returned for touchdowns. The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.
Tennessee at Jacksonville (3.5, 44.5)
Chad Henne nearly led the Jaguars to the season’s biggest upset last week when Jacksonville fell at Houston. More than a two-touchdown underdog, the Jags led the powerhouse Texans by 14 with 12 minutes to play but they fell apart down the stretch dropping a 43-37 decision. The Titans had a week off after dismantling Miami 37-3 in their most complete performance of the season. Tennessee has quietly won three of its last five games despite ranking 31st in scoring defense (31.1). Jacksonville has failed to cover in its last five home games.
Denver at Kansas City (10, 44)
Denver will need to rely more on Peyton Manning as RB Willis McGahee landed on injured reserve after suffering a torn MCL in his right knee during last week's 30-23 triumph over San Diego. The Broncos, who own a three-game lead over the Chargers in the division, haven't lost since dropping a 31-21 decision at New England on Oct. 7. Kansas City has averaged 12 points per game during its seven-game losing skid and has scored more than 20 only twice this season. Former Bronco Brady Quinn is likely to get the start at QB over Matt Cassel. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
Minnesota at Chicago (-6.5)
Jay Cutler (concussion) is hoping to return Sunday when Chicago hosts the Minnesota Vikings in a pivotal NFC North matchup. The Vikings have their own injury issues, with WR Percy Harvin a question mark as he struggles with an ankle injury. Minnesota is coming off a Week 11 bye after handling the Detroit Lions 34-24 a week earlier behind 171 rushing yards from Adrian Peterson. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay (1, 50)
The Falcons avoided a second straight loss last Sunday as they overcame an early 13-0 deficit and five interceptions by Matt Ryan to record a 23-19 triumph over Arizona. The Falcons have struggled against the run, ranking 30th in the league with an average of 5.0 yards allowed per carry. Tampa Bay also made a comeback last weekend, rallying from a 21-10 deficit for a 27-21 road victory over Carolina in overtime. Bucs RB Doug Martin has totaled 592 yards of offense and has amassed five touchdowns over the past four games. Tampa Bay has played over the total in its last seven games overall.
Seattle at Miami (2.5, 37.5)
The Dolphins are swimming in the wrong direction. Rookie QB Ryan Tannehill has been erratic, throwing five interceptions in the last two games. Reggie Bush has rushed for just 41 yards in that same span, but will face his former Southern California coach in Pete Carroll on Sunday. Seattle’s opportunistic defense is yielding just 196.2 passing yards per contest, good enough for third-best in the league. The Seahawks will be well rested coming off their bye week and are looking for a third straight win. Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last six overall.
Baltimore at San Diego (-1, 47)
Ravens defensive star Ed Reed was initially suspended for one game following his third helmet-to-helmet hit on a defenseless player, but the eight-time Pro Bowl safety won his appeal and will instead be fined $50,000 and be eligible to play Sunday. The Chargers have dropped five of their last six games. Quarterback Philip Rivers has tossed a league-high 14 interceptions and hasn’t received much support from the running game this season. Running back Ryan Mathews averaged just 3.1 yards on 15 carries in last week’s loss to Denver. The Chargers have played over the total in six of their last seven overall.
San Francisco at New Orleans (PICK, 48.5)
Colin Kaepernick is expected to be under center Sunday when the 49ers look to extend their winning streak to five games against visiting New Orleans. Drew Brees leads a Saints team that has reeled off three straight victories and is 5-1 since opening the year with four straight losses. But he'll be in tough against a San Francisco defense allowing the second-fewest passing yards in the league. Saints RB Darren Sproles (hand) has been participating in practice and is expected to return after missing the last three weeks of action. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last seven overall.
St. Louis at Arizona (-1, 37)
The Cardinals will be looking to snap a six-game slide when they host the St. Louis Rams. The Rams were done in by three turnovers in a 27-13 loss to the Jets last week and have given the ball away eight times while going winless in their last five. Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt has yet to name a starter at QB for this week but will likely stick with Ryan Lindley after yanking John Skelton in the second quarter against the Falcons last week. These teams have played under the total eight times in their last nine meetings.
Green Bay at New York Giants (-2.5, 50.5)
After a bit of a slow start, Aaron Rodgers has heated up as the Packers have won five straight and six of seven. He leads the NFL with a 107.3 QB rating and has 27 touchdown passes against six interceptions. The Packers haven't been able to mount much of a run game, but they're more likely to attack the Giants through the air, as New York ranks 25th against the pass and surrendered 415 passing yards against Dallas in Week 8. Green Bay's defense will be shorthanded with CB Charles Woodson out with a broken collarbone and LB Clay Matthews (hamstring) listed as questionable. The Giants are coming off a bye week and have lost two straight and may be without RB Ahmad Bradshaw (foot). These teams have played over the total in their last five meetings.
Carolina at Philadelphia (1, 41)
The Philadelphia Eagles will look to snap their six-game losing skid when they welcome the Carolina Panthers on Monday night. With the outcome of last Sunday's game against the Redskins no longer in doubt, LeSean McCoy carried the ball in the waning moments and suffered a concussion that could sideline him versus the Panthers. McCoy and QB Michael Vick have yet to practice this week and will likely watch rookies Bryce Brown and Nick Foles continue in their place. Carolina squandered an 11-point lead with five minutes remaining in regulation en route to a 27-21 overtime loss to NFC South rival Tampa Bay last Sunday. The Eagles have failed to cover in their last five games overall.Comment
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NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 12
by Jason Logan
Each week, we break down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 12:
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-6.5, 39.5)
Vikings’ sheltered road woes vs. Windy City weather
Forget about if Jay Cutler is ready to go or not – the one thing that should concern Vikings backers is the fact that this game is outside and on the road. Minnesota hasn’t been able to get the job done away from home this season, going 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS.
Minnesota has faced the elements only twice this year, losing outside at Washington and Seattle. The forecast for Soldier Field isn’t calling for sub-zero temperatures (low 40s) but the wind will be howling and the natural grass footing won’t be as fast as the Metrodome’s rug.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1, 50)
Falcons’ rush defense vs. Buccaneers’ RB Doug Martin
Things are starting to unravel for the Falcons, who nearly got handed their second defeat of the season against Arizona last week. Atlanta’s biggest weakness is its inability to slow down the run, ranking 26th versus the rush (130.5 yards against per game).
The Cardinals rumbled for 137 yards on 26 carries (over five yards per carry) and now the Falcons face Tampa Bay’s battering ram, Doug Martin. Martin is third in the NFL in rushing with 1,000 yards and has found paydirt eight times this season. Over the past four games, he’s totaled 592 yards and five touchdowns.
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (Pick, 48.5)
Niners’ QB Colin Kaepernick vs. Saints’ weakness to dual-threat QBs
New Orleans is a much different team than the one that lost to Washington and Carolina right out of the gate this season. However, the Saints did struggle with dual-threat pivots Robert Griffin III and Cam Newton in those games, allowing the QBs to pick up some big gains when plays broke down. New Orleans even let Michael Vick do some damage with his legs in a win over the Eagles in Week 9.
San Francisco has the hottest dual-threat QB in the league right now in Kaepernick. Since Alex Smith went down with a concussion, the second-year man out of Nevada has thrown for 360 yards and two TDs while displaying his crazy legs in the crunch. Even with Smith on the mend, the 49ers are siding with Kaepernick against the Saints Sunday.
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (+1, 41)
Panthers’ play for Rivera vs. Eagles’ tank for Reid
One look at the spread for this one tells you just how much faith oddsmakers have in the Eagles. It’s about as much faith as Philadelphia has in head coach Andy Reid right now. Reid’s seat is an inferno and a loss to Carolina on Monday Night Football would burn that mother to the ground. The local media is all over the Walrus for playing his starters last week when the game was long out of reach, leading to LeSean McCoy’s concussion in the fourth quarter. Don’t expect Andy’s guys to play for him in any quarter Monday.
Despite their 2-8 record, the Panthers have been a tough out for opponents this season. Carolina has come close to some big upsets, getting outscored by just under six points per game, and has suffered six losses by six or fewer points this season. Rivera is expected to stick out the rest of the season and will rally his troops for a big national TV stage.Comment
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Info plays
7* kansas city chiefs +11.5Comment
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Hilton Contest Picks by the Leaders
MALU MAN - W37 L17 T1 LW 5-0
Week 12 Picks: HOU JAX MIN ATL GB
THERE WILL BE BLOOD - W37 L17 T1 LW 4-1
Week 12 Picks: PIT TEN ATL STL NYG
KURLY - W36 L17 T2 LW 3-2
Week 12 Picks: HOU NE TEN ATL NYG
MAKIN DOUGH: W36 L17 T2 LW 5-0
Week 12 Picks: ATL MIA SD ARI NYG
AL SR: W36 L18 T1 LW 5-0
Week 12 Picks: DET KC SD NYG CAR
MIKE BOYD #1: W36 L18 T1 LW 4-1
Week 12 Picks: HOU NE ATL SEA STL
JAY STONES: W36 L18 T1 LW 4-1
Week 12 Picks: OAK TEN MIN SD NYG
CARDIFF GIANT: W36 L18 T1 LW 3-2
Week 12 Picks: CLE BUF TEN MIA STL
PARTNERS: W36 L19 T0 LW 4-1
Week 12 Picks: TEN TB BAL NO NYG
BITTERBATTER & JELL: W36 L19 T0 LW 4-1
Week 12 Picks: IND JAX MIA SD NYG
HEISENBERG: W36 L19 T0 LW 4-1
Week 12 Picks: DET WAS MIN ATL CARComment
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Hilton Contest Picks
Gb 222
no 197
atl 173
sea 168
tb 164
ten 163
sd 154
ind 152
buf 137
hou 131
bal 130
stl 125
pit 115
was 112
mia 111
nyg 109
min 105
car 103
kc 102
ne 100
sf 96
den 95
oak 92
cle 88
cin 81
jax 74
det 71
dal 64
chi 62
nyj 49
ari 46
phi 44
record last week
4-1Comment
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DCI Pro Football
The Daniel Curry Index
Week 12 Predictions
Week
Straight Up: 2-1 (.667)
ATS: 1-2 (.333)
ATS Vary Units: 2-8 (.200)
Over/Under: 2-1 (.667)
Over/Under Vary Units: 10-1 (.909)
Season
Straight Up: 96-58 (.623)
ATS: 70-89 (.440)
ATS Vary Units: 309-502 (.381)
Over/Under: 86-73 (.541)
Over/Under Vary Units: 343-257 (.572)
Sunday, November 25, 2012
CHICAGO 25, Minnesota 19
CINCINNATI 33, Oakland 21
Pittsburgh 20, CLEVELAND 13
INDIANAPOLIS 29, Buffalo 24
Denver 32, KANSAS CITY 12
Seattle 21, MIAMI 14
TAMPA BAY 28, Atlanta 27
Tennessee 28, JACKSONVILLE 22
Baltimore 28, SAN DIEGO 19
ARIZONA 21, St. Louis 14
San Francisco vs. NEW ORLEANS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Green Bay 28, N.Y. GIANTS 26Comment
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NFL Predictions
Kevin
2 UNIT = San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints - SAINTS +1 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)
The San Francisco 49ers will head into New Orleans with a 7-2-1 record (3-1 on the road) and a new quarterback under center. With QB Alex Smith out the 49ers turned to young back up Colin Kaepernick who beat the Bears 32-7 on Monday night. Kaepernick is most likely to start on Sunday despite Smith being clearing to play after concussion testing. This will be the 49er's biggest test on the road since their Week 1 win in Green Bay. Other road wins came against the Jets and Cardinals, while they lost by 11 points to Minnesota as 6.5 point favorites. The New Orleans Saints are 5-5 on the year (3-2 at home) and are still looking to make the playoffs after winning 5 of their last 6 games and 3 straight. New Orleans has impressed me scoring 28+ points in their 5 wins, with their lone loss coming @Denver. New Orleans has one of the top rated offenses, while the 49ers have one of the leagues best defenses. I give the edge here to Drew Brees and the Saints offense in the Superdome. The Saints are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 home games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 vs a team with a winning record, and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The 49ers beat New Orleans last year in the playoffs by 4 points, but Drew Brees is 5-0 lifetime in the regular season against the 49ers. With this meeting indoors in New Orleans I like the Saints to continue to roll with a big win over one of the NFC's best.
2 UNIT = Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs - BRONCOS -9.5 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units)
The line is listed at -10 in most places, but I've bought it to -9.5 at a good price (-120).
This is going to be a big mismatch in Kansas City this week and I think the final score will show that. The Broncos are 7-3 on the year (3-2 on the road) and have won 5 straight games and 6 of their last 7. Denver has scored 30+ points in each of their last 5 games and in all 7 games they've won this year. With the Chiefs giving up 28.4 papg I think it is very likely that this Peyton Manning led offense will put up at least 28 points. Kansas City is 1-9 on the year and 0-5 at home. They've lost 7 straight games and they've scored 16 or fewer points in 6 straight games. Denver's defense, led by Von Miller, is ranked 5th in the NFL and are allowing 21.2 papg. Given that KC has struggled to score points against some lower ranked defenses (Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati) I think they will have another unproductive afternoon. Note that the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 overall, 5-2 in their last 7 divisional games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a losing record. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 divisional games. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in KC. The Broncos lost to Kansas City last year, so I expect them not to take this game for granted. All signs point to a beat down in Kansas City and I really like Denver at with a single digit line at 9.5. If you can't get Denver -9.5 at -120 or better anymore take them -10.
2 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants - OVER 49.5 (-108)
(Note: I'm risking 2.16 units to win 2.00 units)
This may be the best game on the schedule as the 7-3 Green Bay Packers head into New York to take on the 6-4 defending Super Bowl Champions Giants. This will be a rematch of last year's playoff game where the Giants went into Green Bay as 8 point underdogs and beat Green Bay by 17 points. The final score of that one was 37-20. Their other two meetings over the past 3 years had final scores of 38-35 and 45-17, and the OVER is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings. The Packers have won 5 straight games and have scored 24+ points in each of those, and scoring 30 points in 3 of the 5. The Giants had a much needed bye week after dropping two straight to AFC opponents. Before that the Giants had won 4 straight scoring 26+ points in each of the 4 games. Both the Packers and Giants are averaging just over 26 points per game this year, while the Giants are giving up 21.6 papg and the Packers are giving up 20.7 papg. The OVER is 5-1 in the Packers last 6 games vs a team with a winning record, 11-4 in their last 15 vs NFC opponents, and 15-6 in their last 21 games overall. Neither team's defense has been impressive this year, and the Packers will be without their star defensive player Clay Matthews. We know how good both QBs are and I expect that to be on display Sunday night in a high scoring shootout type game. Take the OVER.
2 UNIT 6-Point Teaser = DOLPHINS +9 and BENGALS -1.5 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2.00 units)
--Notes: I bet this at Bookmaker.eu (you click on the dropdown menu that says "straight" and select teaser). At 5dimes.eu teasers can be found along the left hand side and because of how 5dimes has this shaded you will need to most likely click 7 point teaser "ties win" and not "ties reduce". If you don't understand just email me with any questions.
Although we aren't crossing over the key number of 3 on the Dolphins with this teaser, I feel that this is still a +EV wager with the Dolphins listed at +3 (-115) right now. I wouldn't be surprised to see this at +2.5 come game time, and given that we have a low total set in this game at 37.5 I think there is a very good chance the Dolphins cover their leg of the teaser. The Seahawks are 6-4 on the year, but just 1-4 on the road. Road losses have come against Detroit, San Francisco, St Louis, and Arizona, while their lone road win is against Carolina. The Dolphins are 4-6 on the year and 2-2 at home, although I think they are a bit better of a team than their record indicates. They've lost three straight games, but had chances to win two of those, and two of their other losses came in overtime by a FG. They've only loss by 8+ points twice this season. Take note that the Seahawks are just 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 road games, and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass. The Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Seattle is a different team on the road, while the Dolphins aren't getting enough respect in this one. Take the Dolphins in the 1st leg of the teaser. In the second leg of the teaser we will cross over 7 and 3 as we tease the Bengals from -7.5 to -1.5. The 5-5 Bengals are fighting for a Wild Card spot in the AFC right now, and host the 3-7 Raiders who have failed to meet expectations this season. Oakland is just 1-4 on the road this year and have lost three straight games by double digits. The Bengals have won two straight, including a big 31-13 victory over the Giants at home two weekend's ago and a 28-6 victory in KC last weekend. The Bengals are averaging 4 more ppg than the Raiders, and are giving up over 8 less papg. Note that the Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs AFC opponents, while the Bengals are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win. I wouldn't be surprised if the Bengals cover the spread against Oakland, but I think the best play is to put them in a teaser like we've done.Comment
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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
11/25/12 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 590-190 (.756)
ATS: 227-256 (.470)
ATS Vary Units: 903-1135 (.443)
Over/Under: 76-55 (.580)
Over/Under Vary Units: 115-84 (.578)
DIRECTV Classic
at Anaheim Convention Center Arena, Anaheim, CA
Drexel 67, Rice 59
Xavier 73, Drake 67
Saint Mary's 68, Georgia Tech 57
Championship
California 71, Pacific 59
Hoops for Hope Classic
Round Robin at Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 70, Rider 69
Final Round at Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Smu 61, Missouri State 57
South Carolina 64, Ualr 63
Nation of Coaches Classic
Round Robin at Wilmington, NC
UNC WILMINGTON 67, Hampton 58
Old Spice Classic
at HP Fieldhouse, Lake Buena Vista, FL
Vanderbilt 66, Utep 54
Clemson 68, Marist 53
West Virginia 67, Oklahoma 63
Championship
Gonzaga 77, Davidson 68
Spartan Showcase
Round Robin at East Lansing, MI
MICHIGAN STATE 80, UL Lafayette 50
Non-Conference
ARKANSAS STATE 68, Lamar 67
AUBURN 65, Rhode Island 58
BOSTON COLLEGE 76, Bryant 58
COLORADO 74, Air Force 55
CONNECTICUT 71, Stony Brook 55
Houston 72, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 64
ILLINOIS 74, Gardner-Webb 55
INDIANA 81, Ball State 52
INDIANA STATE 74, High Point 62
LA SALLE 73, Villanova 71
Lehigh 78, SACRED HEART 68
Long Beach State 66, FRESNO STATE 64
MERCER 68, Furman 52
NEW MEXICO 83, Portland 54
OKLAHOMA STATE 83, Portland State 64
OREGON STATE 89, Montana State 65
Rutgers 77, UNC GREENSBORO 71
San Diego State 63, USC 54
SETON HALL 71, Saint Peter's 50
Siena 63, MAINE 60
SYRACUSE 86, Colgate 52
TEMPLE 79, Delaware 67
TROY 72, Alabama State 56
UCLA 72, Cal Poly 54Comment
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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
11/25/12 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 120-63 (.656)
ATS: 82-102 (.446)
ATS Vary Units: 299-308 (.493)
Over/Under: 99-87 (.532)
Over/Under Vary Units: 209-166 (.557)
San Antonio 103, TORONTO 93
NEW YORK 102, Detroit 89
BROOKLYN 99, Portland 96
PHILADELPHIA 99, Phoenix 93
Boston 90, ORLANDO 88
DENVER 103, New Orleans 93Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 943-697 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !
Free play (47-23 College run, NFL Year 44-23) Sun Seahawks -3Comment
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Today's CFL Picks
Calgary at Toronto
The Stampeders look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 road games. Calgary is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-1 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 25
Time Posted: 7:00 p.m. EST (11/22)Game 291-292: Calgary at Toronto (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 119.616; Toronto 113.001
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Calgary by 1 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-1 1/2); UnderComment
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CFL
Write-Up
Week 22
100th Grey Cup, Toronto
Calgary (14-6) @ Toronto (11-9)-- Calgary/Toronto both posted road upsets in conference finals last week, meet in 100th Grey Cup in Rogers Centre, making it an Argonaut home game. Toronto won both series meetings this year, 39-36 (+3.5) here way back in Week 2, then 22-14 (+4.5) in Alberta six weeks later, which was low point of Stampeders’ season. Since then, Calgary won 11 of 13 games; they’ve covered seven of last nine on road, though they’re 0-4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Argos were 7-9 at one point but won last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg; four of their last five games went over total, as did eight of last nine Calgary games. Stamps scored 36.2 ppg during their current six-game win streak; overall, 20 of their last 28 road tilts went over.Comment
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