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The Baltimore Crew has a 25 Dime play on Chicago at home against Seattle. The Bears are currently either -3 or -3 1/2 in Vegas and/or offshore depending on where you check as my site goes live as of 8:10 AM Eastern. Absolutely purchase the insurance on the Bears if your line from whatever source is anywhere between -3 and -4 1/2 points in this contest.
5 Unit Play. #39/#349 Take Indianapolis Colts +5 over Detroit Lions
(Sunday, 12/2, 1 pm, CBS) Top NFL Play of the Weekend
Indianapolis
The Colts just continue to get the job done, especially against bad teams, and getting points is too good to pass up on Sunday. Indianapolis has won 5 of their last 6 games, and QB Luck is putting up solid passing numbers and should have no problem picking apart the Lions secondary. The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 December games.
Detroit
The Lions keep finding ways to lose games, and all of these losses have caught up to them. They will throw in the towel for their December games. Expect major changes for next season, as their coach has proven time and time again that he is incompetent, as is evidenced by the fact he threw a challenge flag that negated a review last week against Houston. Detroit is a one-dimensional team that cannot run the football at all, and, thus, the Colts will focus on the passing attack. Detroit is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on field turf.
Final Comment
The Lions cannot get out of their own way, and they only have 4 wins on the season. Only one of their four wins was a blowout, and that came against Jacksonville, one of the worst teams in the league. Indianapolis continues to be undervalued by the linesmakers, and we will ride them on Sunday for yet another top play victory in the NFL.
-- Clemson lost last two years to in-state rival South Carolina by total of seven (4-3) points; young Tigers (11 frosh/sophs) got pounded at home by Purdue last game- they won only road game by 17 at Furman. South Carolina got whacked at St John's last game, but they got PG Ellington back from football team. Gamecocks haven't beaten anyone ranked higher than #171-- Clemson is #55.
-- Saint Louis team will be mourning following passing of its coach last night; Billikens are disappointing 3-3- foes have made 51% of their 3's so far- they've played #54 schedule. Valparaiso is 5-1, winning at Kent St. in OT, losing by hoop at Nebraska. Atlantic 16 home faves are 10-17 vs spread. Horizon League road underdogs are 12-6.
-- Cal Bears are 6-0, winning Anaheim tourney and also winning by 11 at Denver, but best team they've beaten is #83 Ga Tech. Bears have NBA guard in Crabbe. Wisconsin is struggling without PG Gasser- they're 4-3, losing last game at home to Virginia after losing to Creighton in Vegas, on neutral floor. Pac-12 single digit road underdogs are 8-6 vs spread.
-- Big week for Middle Tennessee, winning Sun Belt opener, after school announced they were moving "up" to C-USA. Blue Raiders are 5-1, with road wins at UCF/ULL- only loss was to Florida. Akron lost opener in OT to Oklahoma State; they're 2-2 vs D-I teams- both losses were OT games. MAC single digit home favorites are 4-8 vs spread.
-- Maryland won last five games since 72-69 loss to Kentucky in its first game; Terps won by 20 at Northwetern last game, for best win this year. Not often George Mason gets a shot at one of local bigboys; they're 5-2 vs #40 schedule, beating Virginia by, losing to New Mexico by point on neutral floor. ACC single digit favorites are 14-8 against the spread.
-- Wichita State is 7-0, with six wins by 12+ points; only loss by less was by hoop at VCU, its best win/only true road game so far. Shockers use subs for 40% of minutes, so altitude shouldn't hurt. Air Force lost by 15 at Colorado, only team they played ranked higher than #277. MVC non-conference road favorites are 6-1 against the spread.
-- Denver is playing 4th straight top 100 team, losing last three by 11-7-11 points; Pioneers are 0-2 on road, losing by 7-11 points- they scored 15-17 points in first half of those games. Stanford lost three of last five games, but losses were all to top 50 teams. Cardinal are shooting 27% from arc so far. Pac-12 home faves of less than 15 points are 15-3.
-- Cal-Fullerton is 0-3 on the road, losing by 13 at Stanford, 3 at Nevada, 4 at Eastern Washington, game they were favored to win. Washington is 3-3 and still hasn't played road game, though last four opponents are all in top 70. Huskies are making 42% from arc but aren't forcing many turnovers. Big West road underdogs are 20-11 vs spread this season.
-- Manhattan is turning ball over on 35% of possessions, worst rate in country; they're 2-3, beating teams ranked #306/250- their losses are all vs top 100 teams, so #170 George Washington falls in between. Jaspers scored 65-67 points in wins, less than 60 in losses. GW is 3-3, winning last game by point over JMU. MAAC favorites are 8-2-1 vs spread.
-- Niagara is 2-3, 0-2 on road, losing at Oregon State by 19, Iona by 11; Purple Eagles play high-scoring games-- average total in their six games is 161.2. Central Michigan is 2-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 17 to Bradley in only home game; Chippewas are 0-3 when allowing more than 55 points. MAC non-conference home underdogs are 2-6 vs spread.
-- Boise State is 5-1 after 83-70 win at #11 Creighton last game; Broncs' only loss was by 4 at Michigan State, so they're pretty good, ranking #30 in country in eFG%. Seattle is turning ball over 27% of time; they're 1-2 vs D-I teams, beating Montana State by 15 in its only home game. WAC underdogs are 16-14 vs spread, 3-4 at home.
billionaire raiders
perfect play seattle
free play colts
MILLIONAIRES>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Miami
The Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots face off in Miami in a NFL AFC East showdown. The Miami Dolphins are an improved team and are in second place in the AFC East. The Dolphins have been competitive by keeping games close and giving them a chance to win though it has also led to some heartbreaking losses. The Dolphins defense is allowing 20.5 points per game, 96.7 rushing yards, and 261.7 passing yards with eight interceptions and 29 sacks. While the jury is still out on QB Ryan Tannehill, there are those that think he's the answer. But as a rookie, things can go well and then all to hell. This is a rivalry game for the Dolphins and expect a full house for a fan base which doesn’t always show up in force. Miami is 10-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record and 5-2 against the spread against the AFC East. Miami may have a losing record but almost all of their games have been close, within a field goal, and look for this one to be as well so getting better than a touchdown seems to be a solid play.
NO LIMIT.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> St Louis
The San Francisco 49ers visit the St. Louis Rams for an NFC Western Division matchup and re-match of their tied game three weeks ago. Last week, Sam Bradford threw just 17 passes connecting for 205 yards and two touchdowns and handed the ball off to Stephen Jackson who finished with 139 yards rushing. That is a great game plan for the offense and the defense is pretty good on their own. Coach Jeff Fisher may be one of the best coaches in the NFL and will keep this game competitive. St. Louis is 4-1 against the spread versus San Francisco over the last 3 seasons. Kicker Greg Zuerlein can add to the scoreboard as he has enough leg to kick it from mid-field. The San Francisco 49ers continue to roll with rookie Colin Kaepernick behind center. The difference is that teams now have game film and can really break down all his moves. Two weeks ago, I saw little and now I've seen him roll out to his right time and time again. Defenses will start to break him down. Pinnacle>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>> Tennessee
AFC Game of the Year
The first place Houston Texans look to hold their ground in the AFC South against the Tennessee Titans. The Houston Texans came away with their fifth straight victory last week, but it didn’t come easy. The game may well be remembered for a Texans score that was, then wasn’t then was again. The Texans are not dominating of late. Last week the Titans played much better than the final score indicated. The Titans just couldn’t finish off drives, making four field goals and missing one before scoring their only touchdown in the forth quarter. Jacksonville had only one drive of more than eight plays compared to four by the Titans but managed to get the job done. Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston. It takes a mismatch to lay nearly a touchdown on the road for the Texans. Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee. Tennessee has finally settled in on a healthy Jake Locker and he is a steady improvement and should manage this game well tomorrow. And winning six games in a row is rather difficult especially with game 5 and 6 on the road.
INNER CIRCLE>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> San Diego
The Chargers look to stop the bleeding as they welcome the Bengals to Qualcomm Stadium. Last week against Baltimore, things were looking good for the Chargers who were leading 10-0 at the half and into the 4th quarter. If there was one play that sums up the Chargers season it was the 4th and 29 conversion from Ray Rice to extend the drive and put the Ravens in field goal range to tie the game that was it. The Ravens of course hit the field goal to extend the game and came away victorious. The Chargers will need to keep AJ Green and the high flying Bengals offense in check if they hope to continue their late season history going for them. Cincinnati has been an up and down team this season as their preseason expectations were sky high after a surprise playoff berth a season ago but even the most optimistic of fans can consider this season so far a bit of an underachievement. Norv's teams have won 18 of 21 games in December and when you least expect it in the NFL, the team playing ugly is the way to go.
#339 - NFL - 10 units on Seattle +3.5 -120
#343 - NFL - 20 units on San Francisco & St. Louis Over 40.5
#350 - NFL - 10 units on Detroit -6
#358 - NFL - 10 units on Denver -7 -120
#365 - NFL - 10 units on Philadelphia & Dallas Over 43
#368 - NFL - 10 units on Washington +3
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