12-6-12

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Northcoast Thursday Marquee
Under 49

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GoodFella | NFL Total Thu, 12/06/12 - 8:25 PM
double-dime bet 101 DEN / 102 OAK Over 48.5 Bookmaker.com


"NFL GOW" (2*) on the BRONCOS/RAIDERS OVER 48.5

The Broncos offense is really rolling right now, as Manning and his WR/TE are really clicking right now. The Broncos offense has scored 30 points or more in 6 of their L/7 games coming into tonight. Of course the Broncos O-Line should get their due credit too, as this O-line is of the best in the NFL. The Oakland defense ranks 28th overall in the league, & their defense has allowed 34 points or more in 4 of thier last 5 games heading into tonight.

The Raiders pass offense does rank 8th in the NFL, and they do get stud RB McFadden back tonight, as he has been out w/injury the last few weeks. Having him will open up things for the pass game & of course he is a thread to catch the ball out of the backfield as well. I also expect the Broncos defense to NOT be as amped for this Thursday Night game, vs a Raiders team they fully expect to beat. So, we may see a not as focused/motivated Denver defense tonight. Add on the fact that we have 2 of the games best kickers tonight, and we very well see a couple 50+ yd FG's tonight, and of course if they do attempt those long FG's and miss, the other team gets excellent field position to turn around & score on the great field position. I expect to see at least 51 points in this game tonight, and I am all over the OVER tonight.

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Robert Ferringo

No plays today. Leans San Diego St. and Wisconsin Green Bay.

Indian Cowboy

CBB- UC Santa Barbara +15.5

NBA- DAL/PHX over 202.5

[DaKid]

big al

nfl oak

cbb cin

Thanks bud

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KELSO

50 Units
Broncos/Raiders UNDER 48½ Points
8:20 PM -- Overstock.com Coliseum
NFL Totals Play Of The Week
Denver Broncos (9-3)-OAKLAND RAIDERS (3-9) Under 48 ½ Points
Prediction: 42 or less points will be scored
Starting Time: 8:25
TV: NFL Network

Comments: The total on this game opened at 51 ½ points but has steadily declined to the current 48 ½ and may go even lower by game time—and for a multitude of reasons. First of all, the Broncos have already clinched a playoff spot and figure to play a bit more conservatively than usual, hoping to avoid major injuries. Then there is the issue of the lackluster Oakland offense which has averaged just 14.7 points in its last three games. In breaking this game down, the only chance the Raiders have to win this game is to run the football and in the process control the pace of the game and keep the ball out of Peyton Manning’s hands. Both scenarios will be in play tonight and will hold down the scoring. It also is of note when these teams met last September 30 in Denver, the Broncos prevailed, 37-6, sacking Raiders’ quarterback Carson Palmer three times and shutting down the Oakland running game. Same song, second verse.

10 Units
Broncos (-10) over Raiders
8:20 PM -- Overstock.com Coliseum
Denver Broncos (9-3) -10 over OAKLAND RAIDERS (3-9)
Prediction: Broncos by 16-17
Starting Time: 8:25
TV: NFL Network

Comments: For openers Denver is going for its 8th straight win while Oakland is facing its 6th straight loss. In essence that tells the story of this game—two teams headed in opposite directions, with one playing better with each game and the other becoming more futile in its efforts. The last time these teams played, September 30 in Denver, the Broncos prevailed, 37-6, and there are many reasons to expect the same result. The Raiders are at rock-bottom on offense, averaging just 14.7 points in their last three games, while giving up 30.7. The bottom line: Denver has every edge but the home field, where the Raiders are but 2-4 this season.
Clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 60.


25 Units
Xavier (-10½) over Vanderbilt
7:30 PM -- Cintas Center
XAVIER MUSKETEERS (6-1) -10.5 over Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4)
Prediction: Xavier by 19-20
Played in Cincinnati at Cintas Center (10,250)
Starting Time: 7:35
TV: ESPNU

Comments: For those who thought this would be a major rebuilding year for Xavier, it just might be time to revisit that issue. The Musketeers appear to be just as talented and strong as ever while being led by a sensational freshman, Semaj Christon who leads the team in scoring (16.0 points per game) and who comes into this game off a rather amazing performance in Xavier’s win at Purdue. In that game, he had 25 points (8-of-12 from the field, 8-of-8 free throws), four rebounds, four assists and three steals. He is a 4-star recruit, a game-breaker and the kind of player that wins championships. He is not doing it alone, as Xavier has three other players scoring in double figures. Rebuilding? Let’s just say Xavier, one of only four teams (the others are Kansas, Michigan State and North Carolina) to make it to the NCAA Sweet Sixteen in four of the last five seasons, has just reloaded with heavy ammunition. Vanderbilt is a polar opposite and is struggling badly because of it. The Commodores lost all five starters and their top reserve from last year’s 25-11 NCAA team and the five players they put on the floor to begin each game this season have a combined total of just 36 starts between them. Thus, there is a reason Vanderbilt is averaging just 58.0 points per game. Things will get better later for the Commodores but tonight they are the proverbial sitting duck for Xavier.

10 Units
San Diego St (-15½) over CalSanta Barbara
10:00 PM -- Viejas Arena
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS (6-1) -15 ½ over Cal-Santa Barbara Gauchos (3-4)
Prediction: San Diego State by 21-22
Played in San Diego at Viajas Arena (13,414)
Starting Time: 10:05
TV: Time Warner Cable Sportsnet

Comments: Nationally-ranked San Diego State goes for its seventh straight win and seems primed to get it rather easily against a Cal-Santa Barbara team that is 1-3 on the road this season and is in negative bounce form off an 83-80 overtime upset win at Santa Clara. That win was out of step with the Gauchos road record, having previously lost at Boise State, 72-56, at Illinois State, 100-72, and at LSU, 77-63. It would be too harsh to call it a mirage but I look for Cal-Santa Barbara to revert to its previous traveling form and get blown out by a San Diego team that seems primed to play its best game of the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

4-Unit Play. #715. Take UC Santa Barbara +15.5 over San Diego State (Thursday @ 10pm est).

UC Santa Barbara is only backed by 31% of the public today. The public is obviously behind San Diego State who is ranked 15th in the country. UC Santa Barbara is playing better of late as they are getting their bearings after losing two important seniors in Johnson and Nunnally. Coach Bob Williams has a young squad this year and one who is gaining confidence however. This team is now led by Sophomore Alan Williams and Freshman Taran Brown. Combine that with Boswell and Garth for veteran role playing leadership and Bryson and Beeler as two sound freshman coming off the bench. This is still a very young team and that makes me a bit nervous. But, this team just beat Santa Clara on the road in overtime as a 12.5 point underdog outright. And, UCSB shot 11-25 (44%) from 3 point land in their last game as well which goes to show that this young squad is starting to gel a bit. San Diego State beat this team in overtime last year on the road by 1 point and several of the players on the team probably remember that difficult loss. Also, if you notice Santa Clara's last win, they beat Texas Southern by 12 points at home who is a top 300 team. Texas Southern is rated as a top 275 offense and top 225 defense to which they gave up 62 points and scored 74. Now, they face a better offense in UCSB who is top 215 in offense and top 175 in defense. And, if this team can shoot remotely well as they did at Santa Clara, these young guards who are playing much better than they were earlier this year, should bode well for a decent dog and a public fade on the board. The public obviously sees this as one of the last games on the board and with that being a ranked team at home, they will continue to roll with San Diego State to a tune of around 70% but we have a decent opportunity to fall inside the number here.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

4-Unit Play. #704. Take Over 202.5 Dallas vs. Phoenix (Thursday @ 10:35pm est).

Dallas comes off a frustrating loss to the Clippers in their last game and they were simply mismatched in so many ways. They ended up losing that game 112-90 and were unable to cover the 8.5 point spread. Phoenix returns home from a long road trip where they did not play all that great but to their credit, they gave Memphis all they can handle in their last game as Memphis did end up pushing on the line. Phoenix went 1-5 SU in their last 6 games of the road trip. We would have made Phoenix a bigger play today if the Mavericks were at all competitive against the Clippers in their last game but they were not. I like Dallas to come out motivated after a poor shooting performance against L.A. and in the same token I like Phoenix to bounce-back at home after the long road trip and to play well. Phoenix just faced one of the best defensive teams in the league in Memphis and obviously they will see more open looks today facing Dallas who is not as good defensively as Memphis (Dallas is ranked 23rd defensively and Memphis is ranked 3rd btw). I like the Over here with Dallas on the bounce-back and Phoenix from the long road trip motivated for a win here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

5 Unit Play. Take #702 Miami -7 over New York (8:05 p.m., Thursday, December 6) (Game of the Week)

Payback time in South Beach! Last time these two teams met it was in MSG and the focus was on Hurricane Sandy and should this game even be played. New York won that home game against the Heat 104-84 so again payback will be painful for the Knicks. Miami is coming home after losing to the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night and the Knicks travel to South Beach after struggling to put away Charlotte on the road. Last night Carmelo Anthony injured his finger but is expected to play but he will not be 100%. Look for the Big 3 of Miami to take control of this game and I just don't see Miami losing this home game to the New York Knicks. I see Miami winning this game by double-digits and we cash our 5-Unit Game of the Week. The Heat are a perfect 8-0 at home this season and the champs are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Beach.

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Jimmy Boyd
3* (NBA) Miami Heat -7
3* (NFL) Oakland Raiders +11.5 (-120)

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Hoopsgooroo 12/6
102 Raiders +10.5 @ 8:25p

705 Rhode Island +6 @ 7p
709 Vandy +10 @ 7:30p
712 Nebraska +7 @ 8p
713 Long Beach St. +21 @ 8p

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Joey Cassano 12/6

Raiders +10.5
Raiders over 48.5
Nebraska +7

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Anthony Dinero

Broncos / Raiders Over 48

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ATS Insider:
3 Providence (-4.5) over Rhode Island, 7pmET
3 Creighton (-7) over Nebraska, 8pmET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

3 unit Miami -7.5 (NBA)

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Denver -10.5
10 unit Denver over 48.5

5 unit Creighton -7 (CBB)

Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

10 units Phoenix +3.5 (NBA)

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Tennessee Tech +2.5 (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Thursday, December 6th

2012 AFC West Division Primetime Total of the Year!!!!!
Denver/Oakland under 49 1/2

NBA Best Bets
New York/Miami over 201 1/2
Dallas/Phoenix over 199 1/2
College Best Bets
Vanderbilt/Xavier over 129 1/2
Long Beach State/Syracuse over 141 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays.
500K AFC Lock/Month
the Oakland Raiders +10 over
the Denver Broncos
Best Bets

the Miami Heat -7 over
the New York Knicks
the Dallas Mavericks +3 over
the Phoenix Suns
the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos +15 over
the San Diego St Aztecs

the Vanderbilt Commodores +11½ over
the Xavier Muskateers
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Denver/Oakland Game OVER
the Total Of 48½ Points