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NFL | Dec 10
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Houston Texans
+4-110 > 7h.
The Texans are a perfect 6-0 on the road this season and show a 4-1-1 record ATS. While I don't necessarily think Houston will pull out the SU win, I do like them to stay within a FG. The Texans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games while the Patriots are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Also, the Texans are 9-1-1 ATS against a team with a winning record and 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
We went 7-4 overall last week. Would like another similar week.
3-Unit Play. #708. Take Over 210 San Antonio vs. Houston (Monday @ 8:05pm est).
3-Unit Play. #702. Take Over 186 Detroit vs. Philadelphia (Monday @ 7:05pm est).
3-Unit Play. #704. Take Over 203 Golden State vs. Charlotte (Monday @ 7:05pm est).
San Antonio comes off a massive victory against Charlotte dropping more than 130 points in the Michael Jordan owned franchise. This team has one of the best offensive efficiencies in the game currently and is is top 10 in the league 3 point field goal percentage to boot. Combine that with Houston continuing to play their high paced offense with Jeremy Lin and James Harden leading the way, the pace is more than likely blistering here. San Antonio likes to get out and run and as do the Rockets who now have their head coach back on the sideline. The Rockets are like Phoenix Suns of old when Nash was at the helm except this time its Lin at the point. Look for both these teams to run today as the fact that Houston has revenge and comes off a tough loss to Dallas aids the over as well. Detroit is only backed by 32% of the public here and I suspect they will be an active underdog. Detroit gets up to play Philly including covering and beating them the last two times they played. Sure, Philly has revenge from an earlier season loss to them but I don't expect them to put up 76 points like they did against Detroit last time. That game was sandwiched in to a much better opponent the following game so they were probably looking ahead. Detroit has now scored 97 or better in their last 3 games and the last three have also gone over. Stuckey being a 6th man essentially while Singler becoming the starter has done wonders for this team's scoring and winning. Detroit is 5-5 over their last 10 which is good for a team that is 7-15 overall. The last time this game went well Under and I don't suspect that happening this time as I believe both offenses will open up. Plus, with Philadelphia only scoring 79 in their last game against Boston, their offense will likely open up much more against a Detroit team that is in the bottom third of the league in defense. And, finally with Charlotte coming off getting buried against San Antonio at home you would have to think they come out motivated against another Western Conference team in Golden State. Golden State held off Washington in their last game but honestly they did not play that well coming off a huge win against Brooklyn. Golden State has broke a 100 in each of their last 3 road games on this Eastern road trip and Charlotte has a way of increasing their offense when they see western conference opponents such as 112 against Portland and 102 against San Antonio.
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December 10, 2012 - 7:30 PM NBA Atlanta vs. Miami 3-Game Ultimate Pinnacle @ Under 195.5 -107 Detail
December 10, 2012 - 8:30 PM NFL Houston vs. New England *HURRY* Burns' *10 DEC. AFC BEST OF THE BEST! ~ LIMITED TIME OFFER! Legends @ 4 -125 Houston Detail
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Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
We could witness the start of a new regime on Monday Night Football when the traditional powerhouses, the New England Patriots (9-3, 7-5 ATS) host the new giants of the AFC, the Houston Texans (11-1, 8-4 ATS) at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA at 8:35 ET on ESPN. Although the Texans are 11-1, they have not caught the fascination of the entire country yet because they have had some close calls vs. some mediocre competition. That could change if they can pull off a win here vs. Tom Brady & Co. on the road. The Patriots come in riding a six-game winning streak of their own, matching the winning streak of the Texans since their only loss to the Green Bay Packers at home.
Thus Houston is a perfect 6-0 on the road going 4-2 ATS in those games, and they have both one of the best running games and best defenses in the NFL. That could be another reason why the Texans have not captured the public fancy as they do not get involved in many high-scoring shootouts like the Patriots do. Instead, all Houston does is win by ranking sixth in the NFL in rushing offense at 141.4 yards per game and an identical sixth in total defense at 322.9 yards, as well as fourth in scoring defense allowing just 18.4 points per contest. Houston is very physical on the line on both sides of the ball, as the offensive line has opened up some gaping holes for Arian Foster to run through and the defense lines heads a front seven that has 37 sacks through 12 games. Winning the battles on both lines of scrimmage can help make the Texans the undisputed new kings of the AFC Monday night.
Now Tom Brady is still Tom Brady, and New England will obviously always merit respect as long as he is under center. But he does not like getting hit much, and you may recall that the few teams that have beaten the Patriots in recent years were all teams that play physical defense and that get to the quarterback out of a base defense without needing to blitz, as Brady can beat any blitzing defense. Well, the Texans fit that mold. Moreover, the New England offensive line has had a few breakdowns this season as it is not as good or as deep as in recent seasons. One way to slow down the Houston pass rush is by running the ball effectively, and Stevan Ridley is an upgrade at running back over other New England feature backs in recent years. The problem of course is that Houston leads the AFC and ranks second in the NFL in rushing defense allowing a scant 88.2 yards per game on the ground.
The Texans are coming off of a 24-10 win at Tennessee, and they are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. They are also 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 conference games overall as their lines are still not padded as much as other elite teams. The Patriots are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
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