12-17-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Titans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS

Montana St +7.5

Bradley -9.5

[DaKid]

Trace Adams


Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner #3 of 4


NY Jets +1.5

[DaKid]

Teddy Covers 12/17
10* Valparaiso
10* Knicks over
10* Jets

[DaKid]

Bankroll sports

todays card

10* jets +1.5 nfl
5* unlv -7.5 cbb
4* vandy -9.5 cbb
4* jets/titans over 42 nfl
2* s.a. Spurs +4.5 nba
1* clippers/pistons over 193 nba

[DaKid]

MURRAY HILL’S 15* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
New York Jets at Tennessee – We have found TWO TERRIFIC SUPER SYSTEMS that support a play on the New York Jets. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game. This system has cashed 69.1% (47-21) of the time over the last 10 seasons. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) a terrible defensive team (>=370 YPG) against an average defensive team (295 to 335 YPG). This system has cashed 66.2% (51-26) of the time since 1983. Consider the team trends. New York Jets are 13-7 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3, 5-1 ATS against AFC South division opponents and 5-0 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. Tennessee is 3-11 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game, 2-9 ATS as a favorite and 12-22 ATS against conference opponents. Take the New York Jets plus the points

[DaKid]

Ryan;s MNF 25* Top Rated Titan; 19-6 ATS run


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
25* graded play on the the New York Jets as they take on the Tennessee Titans set to start at 8:30 PM ET on Monday Night Football. The simulator shows a high probability that the Jets will win this game and keep their faint playoff hopes alive. Let’s not overestimate the fact that their backs are against the playoff contending walls and that the team from top to bottom know it has been another disappointing season. Still, I believe they will play with a sense of urgency and since they are away from the NY media, will be able to perform at an optimal level. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-21 record for 69% winners since 2002. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in last game. 48% of the plays made based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a reinforcing and very simple system that has produced a winning mark of 27-8 for 77% winners since 2006. Play on any team using the money line off a road win when playing on Monday night. Titans are just 3-11 ATS after gaining six or more yards per play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The sim shows that the Jets defense will shut down the anemic Titan offense and hold them to fewer than 21 points. The Titans are just 1-9 ATS when they score between 14 and 21 points in a game spanning the past three seasons. The Titans are essentially a one dimensional team with running back CJ and theri p;lay has been as inconsistent as his this season. The Titans will give CJ a heavy dose of touches tonight behind a decent OL. Although the Jets have struggled in run defense this season, ranking 26th allowing 136.4 YPG, they do have the personnel to contain CJ. Opponents that have contained CJ and the Titans rushing attack and have certain not to get sealed in on the edges and the Jets do this well. The Jest can also bring the second line up closer to the LOS anticipating wham plays and counter traps. In passing downs, the Jets are best served not to bring pressure and collapse the pocket into Locker. He is dangerous when flushed out, but somewhat ordinary when he is contained. The Jets will also have one of their safeties play a bit deeper over the middle as Locker has a tendency to over throw passes, which end up sailing on him. I like the Jets tonight to roll.


Prediction: New York Jets

[DaKid]

Fargo's 10* NFL STAR ATTRACTION (EPIC 18-5-1 RUN)


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
We won with the Jets last Sunday against Jacksonville and we will back them again here. The two-game winning streak has put them back in the hunt for the playoffs and with a very favorable schedule to close out, they are in excellent shape but will obviously still need some help along the way. The public is still fading this team which is just fine as it gives us good value with the number in what is a must win spot. Normally, cases like that lead to inflated numbers but that is not the case here. Tennessee lost its third straight game last week at Indianapolis and it has dropped five of its last six games to fall out of the playoff picture. The Titans will no doubt try and bring their A game here with this game being on national television but the problem is they don't have much of an A game. They have struggled on both sides of the ball but turnovers remain the biggest factor in their struggles as their 26 giveaways are tied for third most in the AFC. The Jets are no stranger to turnovers either but Tennessee has just 16 takeaways with is fifth fewest in the conference. New York has a chance to get the offense going once again as the titans are ranked 27th in the NFL in total defense and 31st in points allowed. I expected a bigger game from Mark Sanchez last week but we didn't get it but now he faces a unit ranked 26th in passing yards allowed and 24th in passing ypa allowed. The return of Braylon Edwards could be a huge boost as he is expected to play right away. New York still possesses a stout defense as it is ranked eighth overall and while the rushing defense has been a weakness, the Titans have not been able to do much of late. Running back Chris Johnson looked like he was finally out of his slump but he has been held to 175 yards on 53 carries (3.3 ypc) while failing to reach the end zone during the Titans' three-game slide. New York's defense has been excellent the past two weeks against the NFL's two worst offenses. The Jets fall into a great league-wide situation here as we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 370 or more total ypg going up against teams allowing between 295 and 335 total ypg. This situation is 51-26 ATS (66.2 percent) since 1983. Additionally, Tennessee is 2-9 ATS as a favorite over the last two seasons and is 5-23-1 ATS in its last 29 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in its previous game. The Jets playoff hopes stay alive. 10* (331) New York Jets


Prediction: New York Jets


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Team Del Genio MNF Winner (62-37-3 NFL Run!)


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
Play on Tennessee at 8:35 ET. We don't buy the Jets as playoff contenders, which they are in name only thanks a not very deep AFC. They enter this game at 6-7 thanks to lackluster wins over the likes of Arizona (7-6) and Jacksonville (17-10) the L2 wks. It speaks volumes that they are not favored. The only team w/ a winning record that the Jets have beaten this year is the Colts, whose point differential would seem to indicate they are overrated to begin with. Think about this for a second? The Jets in the playoffs? Talk about a time when the often-overreaching Roger Goodell should intervene! The Jets shouldn't be allowed to make the playoffs. Therefore, with the nation watching, let's take them to lose tonight to a Tennessee team that's basically playing its "Super Bowl." At 4-9, it's been a bad year for the Titans. But are they really any worse than New York? We don't think so. While Tennessee's defense is pretty bad, so is the Jets, who ranks third to last against the run. In other words, Titans RB Chris Johnson should bounce back from a three-game slump. The only time a 4-9 team on a three-game losing streak can be counted on to play hard is when they are getting a home game in primetime. Tennessee did win its only night game so far, beating the Steelers on a Thursday night. We had the Titans there as well, cashing outright as six-point dogs. Tennessee gets better QB play from Jake Locker than the Jets get from Mark Sanchez. Titans HC Munchak may NEED to win here to save his job as owner Bud Adams has been quite critical of his performance this season. Look for the Titans to ruin the Jets season. 8* Tennessee


Prediction: Tennessee Titans

[DaKid]

Rickenbach MNF *GAME OF THE YEAR* 24-5 (83%) YTD!


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL *10* (TOP Play) NY Jets over Tennessee @ 8:40 ET - The NY Jets travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans on Monday night. The NY Jets actually still have a shot at making the playoffs so tonight is a MUST win for them. The Jets are 6-7 SU overall this year while Tennessee comes in with a 4-9 SU record on the season. Tennessee is giving up 377.3 yards per game overall this year. Tennessee is allowing 29.7 points per game overall this year and 32 points per game at home this season. The Jets are 3-0 SU this year against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-2 ATS last 7 games against the AFC. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS last 5 games against the AFC. Tennessee is 2-6 ATS last 8 games at home. Tennessee is 3-7 ATS last 10 games after a SU loss. The NY Jets are 6-0 ATS last 6 meetings overall in this series. Jets find a way to win this one tonight. Play NY Jets as a *10* TOP Play selection Monday.


Prediction: New York Jets

[DaKid]

Marc's Monday Night Magic NFL Killer Key Play!


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
Play On: NY Jets (Game 331) Note: Despite the fact that the Jets are frauds posing as playoff contenders, they hit the Music City with just too many good numbers too ignore. For starters, they are 8-1 ATS on the road off a previous road game versus losing opposition and 6-1 ATS away against the AFC South. They are also 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in this series since 1999, including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in Nashville. And though the Titans have been ready for some football (3-0 SU and ATS last three Mondays) and are playing hard (4-0 'In The Stats' last four) for second-year head coach Mike Munchak, one problem is they are going nowhere while the Jets are trying to steal a Wild Card spot (it would be criminal if they got in) in this year's playoff race. The other concern for the Titans is a nasty 0-8 ATS mark off a SU loss versus a sub. 500 foe off a SU and ATS win from Game Thirteen out. We recommend a 3-unit play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.


Prediction: New York Jets

[DaKid]

IRON HORSE 10* MNF MILLIONAIRE'S ROW ***TOTAL***


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
The Jets were on a 2-6 losing streak before winning back-to-back games the last 2 weeks, but don't put too much stock in those wins, as they were against teams combining for a 6-20 SU record this season, with both teams in the bottom 5 for NFL wins. While the Jets offense has appeared to struggle all season behind QB Sanchez, they've been productive, scoring 27 points or more in 7 of their first 11 games. While the Jets have won their last 2 games, they struggled offensively, escaping with a 7-6 win over Arizona (4-9) and a 17-10 victory at Jacksonville (2-11), but these Jets are 4-0 Over/Under after scoring 17 points or less in back-to-back games during the last 3 seasons behind QB Sanchez. Even better, these Jets are now 8-1 Over/Under when playing their 2nd of back-to-back road games, including 2-0 Over/Under this season (9/23 @ Miami, 23-20 "Over," 11-11 @ St. Louis, 27-13 "Over"). The Jets reputation for playing stingy defense and owning a stagnant offense has forced Oddsmakers to keep the Total on Monday Night Football at a very fair number. We're backing the "Over," as we expect Jets QB Sanchez to wake up in front of a national television audience against a Titans squad that's allowing 30 points per game this season.
10* Play on OVER (NY Jets/Titans)


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL

[DaKid]

SCOTT SPREITZER'S MNF OV/UN DOMINATOR! *85% ATS!


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
I'm playing the Over between the Jets and Titans on Monday night. New York still owns an outside shot at making the playoffs...even though their chances are quite small. But I expect them to do whatever they have to in order to win this game, which means they will likely have to open things up on offense. They're facing the "right" defense to do it against...the Titans are one of the worst in the league against the pass, defending the run, and in points allowed, giving up 29.7 ppg. The Jets are on an 11-2 Over run against defenses that allow a 64% or higher completion rate and Tennessee's pass defense fits the bill. The Jets' defense is not playing well against the run, ranked 28th in the league. Tonight, they'll have to face Titans' RB Chris Johnson (probable - ankle) who's capable of picking up big chunks of yardage in a hurry. The Titans also plan to open up the offense as they look to get Kenny Britt (probable) involved early and often. Jets' road games are 19-7 to the Over the last 26 times, while the Titans are on a 21-10-2 Over run at home against teams with a losing record. I'm playing the Over between the Jets & Titans on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL

[DaKid]

BIG AL's 73% COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE MONTH!


IPFW at Notre Dame Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
At 7 pm, our selection is on the IPFW Mastodons plus the points over Notre Dame, as IPFW falls into 22-1, 115-39 and 44-13 ATS systems of mine based on their last two games, road losses at Valpo and Drake. The Mastodons fell 63-52 and 74-64 in those two games, but covered the spread in each. Overall, IPFW has covered three straight. Notre Dame does come into this game off 7 straight wins, but the Irish have been poor over the years as big favorites. Indeed, since 2001, Notre Dame is just 21-38 ATS as home favorites of -11 or more points, including 9-24 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss. IPFW's defense is allowing just 61.3 ppg this year, and hasn't lost by more than 13 points in any of its 11 games. Take the Mastodons plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: IPFW

[DaKid]

BIG AL's DOUBLE 100% PERFECT NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL!


Detroit U at Syracuse Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Detroit. The Titans come into this game off four straight home wins, including an 80-73 comeback victory over Akron on Saturday. But now Detroit has to take to the road, and the road has not been kind to it this season. Indeed, at home Detroit is a perfect 6-0, including nice wins over Drake, Toledo and the aforementioned victory vs. Akron two days ago. But away from home, it's a completely different story, as Detroit is 0-4, with losses to St. Johns, Miami, Bowling Green and Pitt. And the Titans are 1-3 ATS in those four losses, with the only cover by a mere half-point. I look for that trend to continue tonight, as the Carrier Dome is a tough venue for visiting teams. Detroit falls into a negative 38-95 ATS system of mine which fades certain road teams off home wins. Additionally, this season, underdogs of 19+ points are an awful 0-9 ATS off a SU/ATS win. Syracuse is a perfect 6-0 ATS this season vs. Non-Conference opposition, and it will blow out Detroit. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: Syracuse


Bet Type: SPREAD