12-17-12

[DaKid]

Ryan’s CBB 25* TOP RATED Titan; 76% L 21


Montana State at Northern Arizona Dec 17 2012 8:35PM
25* graded play on Montana State as they take on Northern Arizona set to start at 8:35 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that MS will lose this game by six or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. I like playing this opportunity as a combination bet using a 20* amount on the line and a 5* using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 57-25 mark for 70% winners since 2006. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games and is a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a losing record. The sim also shows high probabilities that MS will attempt between 19 and 24 free throws; that NA will attempt between 54 and 62 shots, will have between 9 and 13 offensive boards, and will commit between 14 and 18 turnovers. In past games, MS is 11-3 ATS when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; NA is just 3-12 ATS when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last two seasons; 3-11 ATS when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. NA is on a horrid 5-19 ATS run after playing a game as a dog over the last 2 seasons. This is a matchup of two teams that don’t play defense well. Yet, MS has a big time advantage on the offensive end. MS ranks 85th in the nation averaging 72 PPG while the NA defense ranks 310th allowing 76.8 PPG. MS ranks 328th allowing 78.8 PPG, but NA ranks just 142nd averaging 67 PPG. Moreover, MS has a huge edge in offensive rebounding and this will generate a huge edge in second chance scoring opportunities. Take Montana State.


Prediction: Montana State

[DaKid]

Team Del Genio 10* BLOWOUT of the Wk -11-5 L4 Days


Cornell at Vanderbilt Dec 17 2012 9:00PM
Play on Vanderbilt at 9:00 ET. Considering the ugly start for the Commies thus far, this is a game they need to win & win big. We think they will. They have won three of four since that disastrous 50-33 loss to Marist on a neutral floor. Cornell too has won three of its last four games, but an Ivy League team that shoots this poorly doesn't figure to do very well taking their act into a SEC gym. I think the Big Red is also likely to be a bit rusty as this is their first game in more than two weeks. They have not played since a 70-63 win over Colgate on December 1st. If their first two "true" road games are any indication, this will be a long night for Cornell. They managed just 40 at Wisconsin and 53 at Arizona State, losing both games by double digits. Cornell shot 26% and 35% in those two games. Vandy has obviously struggled to score at times this season, but has been surprisingly solid defensively, allowing just 57.7 PPG on the year. They have a pair of game under their belt since the last time Cornell played, including an impressive upset at Xavier as 11.5-point road dogs. Last game, they outshot outmanned Alabama A&M 51% to 32%. They are 36-19 ATS off a home win by 20+ points. But perhaps the real key to this game for Vanderbilt is the return of Dai-Jon Parker, who was projected to be the starting shooting guard before the season when he was suspended. Vanderbilt is our 10* BLOWOUT of the Week.


Prediction: Vanderbilt

[DaKid]

Larry's 10* Underdog of the Month (6 in a row?)


UNLV at Texas-El Paso Dec 17 2012 8:00PM
My 10* Underdog Game of the Month is on UTEP at 8:00 ET.


UNLV (8-1) takes a six-game winning streak to EL Paso tonight in a game vs the 3-4 Miners. The 20th-ranked Rebels will move forward without the 6-8 Mike Moser (10.9-8.3) for at least a month with a dislocated elbow. However, there is some good news. Khem Birch, a 6-9 transfer from Pitt and a former McDonald's All-American, is scheduled to make his debut for the Rebels Monday night. He’ll join 6-8 freshman Bennett, who is off to a terrific start, leading UNLV in scoring (20.3 PPG) and rebounding (8.9 RPG) and senior guard Anthony Marshall (10.8-4.3-5.3). Big things are expected from Birch and Dave Rice’s team has also seen significant contributions from two other newcomers, 6-5 freshman Reinhardt (9.9-3.1 APG) and 6-6 USC transfer Dejean-Jones (8.4). UTEP head coach Tim Floyd has his hands full and this year’s Miners own just two double digit scorers, the 6-7 Julian Washburn (12.0) and the 6-10 Bohannon (11.6-5.4). However, UTEP is a perfect 3-0 SU at home this season. The Miners are averaging just 56.7 PPG (haven't scored 70 all season) but they are hoping they can draw UNLV into a slow-paced game. The Rebels’ attack can be disrupted by playing zone and by forcing them into half-court mode, where their offense often becomes little more than one which turns into a flurry of hurried shots from the perimeter. UNLV had failed to cover its previous NINE away from home when it visited Cal a week ago Sunday (Dec 9) but escaped with a win and cover, 76-75. Note that UNLV was a 1 1/2-point dog in that one and was fortunate that Cal missed some key FTs, late. Here, UNLV will be laying a ‘TD’ or more and will need a much better effort to get the ATS win. Guard Konner Tucker is listed as probable for this game, which will be his first action since suffering a broken hand during preseason play. He averaged 12.0 PPG with San Houston State last season and will join PG Streeter (7.3-5.0 APG) and Ragland (6.7 PPG but 17 points in his last outing) on the perimeter. Floyd knows how to utilize various defensive tricks and junk zones that have bothered UNLV in the recent past and let me also note that not only is UTEP 3-0 at home this year but the Miners have won 14 of their last 15 December home games. Take the points!


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Texas-El Paso


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Fargo's 10* CBB BIG BITE BEATDOWN (65% LIFETIME!)


Texas State at Northwestern Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
This is a very tough spot for Texas St. The Bobcats are coming off their first true road game of the season at Texas on Saturday and came up short against the hated Longhorns. They lost by 12 points but actually trailed by just four points late in the game but were unable to make the necessary stops to try and pull off the upset. Texas St. has now lost 24 straight meeting with Texas and while that cannot constitute it as a rivalry, it knows it had a shot and threw it away. "We're actually more disappointed than we ever have been since we've come in here, because we felt there were opportunities to win this game," Bobcats head coach Doug Davalos said. "We couldn't sustain." That makes the travel to Northwestern just two days later even more difficult. The Wildcats have never been to the NCAA Tournament but this was supposed to be the year that streak finally ends. Once again though, they are faced with adversity as another major injury looks to derail Northwestern. The Wildcats lost swingman Drew Crawford for the season as he sustained a shoulder injury in their last game against Butler. He was second on the team in scoring with 13.5 ppg and was fourth in rebounding with 4.6 rpg. It is a major blow for sure but being the first game back since then, expect the rest of the team to rise up as we often see this when a big player goes down. Making the motivation even stronger is the fact that Northwestern has lost three straight games at home after starting off 4-0 so it will be out to lay a hurting on the Bobcats. Texas St. is 0-4 ATS in its last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing record. This one turns into a blowout. 10* (716) Northwestern Wildcats


Prediction: Northwestern


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Sam Martin's 20* CBB "UNDERDOG DEMOLITION" (6-1)!!


Texas State at Northwestern Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
20* Play on Texas State. Way too many points for Northwestern to be laying here against Texas State, especially considering the poor shooting performances the Wildcats have had lately. Northwestern has been held to under 40% shooting in five of their last six games overall, with four of those five bad shooting outings seeing the Wildcats shoot under 35% from the floor. In fact, while we're not calling for an outright win by the dog here tonight, NW has lost outright each of the last three times they were installed as favorites, including a 50-44 loss as an 11-point home favorite against Illinois Chicago.


That game was a bad scheduling spot for Northwestern, who just came off a bad loss against Maryland (lost by 20 as a 4.5-point favorite) and had a tough game against Baylor on deck. Tonight's game is a similar scheduling spot for the Wildcats, who are coming off a tough nine-point loss against Baylor (as a small home favorite) and have a tough matchup on deck against Stanford looming next. Texas State averages 74 points per game and their offense is more than capable of staying close to Northwestern here, who prefers to play at a much slower pace than most other teams. NW wins this game outright, but not by double-digits! 20* Play on Texas State.


Prediction: Texas State

[DaKid]

Rickenbach *MASSIVE* CBB NO DOUBT *BLOWOUT* ROUT!


UNLV at Texas-El Paso Dec 17 2012 8:00PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CBB *8* (Regular Play) UNLV over UTEP @ 8 ET - The UNLV Running Rebels travel to UTEP to take on the Miners on Monday night. UNLV is 8-1 SU overall this year while UTEP comes in with a 3-4 SU record on the season. UNLV is scoring 80.8 points per game overall this year and 78.3 points per game on the road this season. UNLV is allowing only 62.7 points per game overall this year and 59.7 points per game on the road this season. UTEP is scoring only 56.7 points per game overall this year. UTEP is 0-6 ATS this year in all games. UNLV is 6-2 ATS last 8 games against Conference USA opponents. UTEP is 1-10 ATS last 11 games overall. UTEP is 0-6 ATS last 6 non-conference games. UNLV pounds UTEP tonight. Play UNLV as a *8* Regular Play selection Monday.


Prediction: UNLV


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Fargo's 10* NBA MONDAY ENFORCER (SWEET 26-16 RUN)


Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns Dec 17 2012 9:05PM
Sacramento is coming off a home blowout loss last night against Denver as they went down by 25 points which makes it four straight losses for the Kings, all of which have come by double-digits. They have all come against teams that are currently in playoff positions or sitting right outside the top eight in each conference and the opponent tonight is not part of that group. Backing Sacramento may not seem logical at this point but this is the time to play on them as we have the value and the anti-public scenario on our side. Phoenix had dropped seven straight games prior to winning its last two games over Memphis and Utah. That is not a huge surprise however as the Suns have been a team that has either stepped up to the competition or played down to the level as they are just 1-9 ATS against teams with a losing record this season. Additionally, Phoenix is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games following a victory and the Suns haven't been favored by this many points all season and they are 0-3 ATS of favorites of four points or more. Sacramento has definitely struggled against the NBA's better teams, going just 3-13 against teams ranked in the top 16 but the Kings are a much more respectable 4-3 against the bottom 14 teams. Overall, Sacramento has played a schedule ranked seventh in the NBA so that has definitely played a part in the struggles. These teams are separated by just a game and half in the Western Conference standings which does not correlate to the spread we are given here. 10* (711) Sacramento Kings


Prediction: Sacramento Kings


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Rickenbach TOP *10* NBA *DOMINATOR* HUGE WKND WIN!


San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder Dec 17 2012 8:05PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *10* (TOP Play) Oklahoma City over San Antonio @ 8:05 ET - The San Antonio Spurs travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder on Monday night. San Antonio is 19-6 SU overall this year while Oklahoma City is 19-4 SU overall this season. Oklahoma City has a strong home court going 13-2 SU overall this year. Oklahoma City is scoring 105.7 points per game overall this year and 107.7 points per game at home this season. Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU and ATS against teams with a winning record this year. Oklahoma City is 93-59 ATS last 152 games when playing with revenge. Oklahoma City has won 10 games in a row. San Antonio is 1-7 ATS last 8 games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .600 or better. San Antonio is 0-4-1 ATS last 5 meetings overall in this series. Thunder wins big at home. Play Oklahoma City as a *10* TOP Play selection Monday.


Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Burns NBA


San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder Dec 17 2012 8:05PM
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA CITY. The Spurs eked out a 2-point win when these teams met at San Antonio last month. With tonight's rematch being played at OKC, I expect the revenge-minded Thunder to return the favor. While they haven't covered their last couple of games, the Thunder are still on a serious roll. In fact, they've won 10 straight and have vaulted to the top of the overall standings. The Thunder haven't lost yet this entire month and they're averaging 109.6 points while shooting better than 50& during their current winning streak. I feel that the Spurs, who are without Jackson and who may be without Manu Ginobili, will have some trouble keeping up. Even if he does play, Ginobili may be at less than 100%. Meanwhile, Duncan is off a game in which he scored just five points, while making just two of 13 shots. The Thunder are typically at their best when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, going 44-26 ATS (47-23 SU) the last 70 times that they were in that situation, including 5-2 SU/ATS the last seven. The Thunder are also a lucrative 12-7 ATS (13-6 SU) the last 19 times that they were listed as home favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range. They're 4-1 SU/ATS their last five home games against the Spurs, including 3-0 SU/ATS the last three. I expect them to keep on rolling for another day. *9 Personal Favorite


Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder


Bet Type: SPREAD

[DaKid]

Sam Martin's 20* NBA "VEGAS INFERNO" WINNER (18-7)


Los Angeles Clippers at Detroit Pistons Dec 17 2012 7:35PM
20* Play on LA Clippers. We backed the Clippers in their 26-point blowout win against Milwaukee on Saturday night, and we'll back them again here against another struggling offense in the Pistons. We loved the offensive matchup in that Clippers win on Saturday, as we do here as well. LA's 111-point effort was the eighth time in the last nine games they have put up triple-digits on the scoreboard, and here they face a Detroit team that has shot 42% or worse in four straight games, including a 77-point effort their last time out in an 11-point home loss against the Pacers.


We don't see how the Pistons can keep up with the Clippers here tonight, and while LA obviously has momentum on their side (have won nine straight heading into tonight), the Clippers also have an added incentive in this game going for a four-game sweep of their current road trip. Detroit's defense has also been slumping of late, allowing 100+ points in five of their last seven games overall - a stark contrast to LA's six-game streak of holding opponents to under 100 points scored. Big advantages on both ends of the court plus the added momentum and motivation favoring the road side leads the Clippers to yet another blowout win! 20* Play on LA Clippers.


Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams


Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner #3 of 4


NY Jets +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers 12/17
10* Valparaiso
10* Knicks over
10* Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll sports

todays card

10* jets +1.5 nfl
5* unlv -7.5 cbb
4* vandy -9.5 cbb
4* jets/titans over 42 nfl
2* s.a. Spurs +4.5 nba
1* clippers/pistons over 193 nba

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MURRAY HILL’S 15* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
New York Jets at Tennessee – We have found TWO TERRIFIC SUPER SYSTEMS that support a play on the New York Jets. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game. This system has cashed 69.1% (47-21) of the time over the last 10 seasons. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) a terrible defensive team (>=370 YPG) against an average defensive team (295 to 335 YPG). This system has cashed 66.2% (51-26) of the time since 1983. Consider the team trends. New York Jets are 13-7 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3, 5-1 ATS against AFC South division opponents and 5-0 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. Tennessee is 3-11 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game, 2-9 ATS as a favorite and 12-22 ATS against conference opponents. Take the New York Jets plus the points




Ryan;s MNF 25* Top Rated Titan; 19-6 ATS run


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
25* graded play on the the New York Jets as they take on the Tennessee Titans set to start at 8:30 PM ET on Monday Night Football. The simulator shows a high probability that the Jets will win this game and keep their faint playoff hopes alive. Let’s not overestimate the fact that their backs are against the playoff contending walls and that the team from top to bottom know it has been another disappointing season. Still, I believe they will play with a sense of urgency and since they are away from the NY media, will be able to perform at an optimal level. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-21 record for 69% winners since 2002. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in last game. 48% of the plays made based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a reinforcing and very simple system that has produced a winning mark of 27-8 for 77% winners since 2006. Play on any team using the money line off a road win when playing on Monday night. Titans are just 3-11 ATS after gaining six or more yards per play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The sim shows that the Jets defense will shut down the anemic Titan offense and hold them to fewer than 21 points. The Titans are just 1-9 ATS when they score between 14 and 21 points in a game spanning the past three seasons. The Titans are essentially a one dimensional team with running back CJ and theri p;lay has been as inconsistent as his this season. The Titans will give CJ a heavy dose of touches tonight behind a decent OL. Although the Jets have struggled in run defense this season, ranking 26th allowing 136.4 YPG, they do have the personnel to contain CJ. Opponents that have contained CJ and the Titans rushing attack and have certain not to get sealed in on the edges and the Jets do this well. The Jest can also bring the second line up closer to the LOS anticipating wham plays and counter traps. In passing downs, the Jets are best served not to bring pressure and collapse the pocket into Locker. He is dangerous when flushed out, but somewhat ordinary when he is contained. The Jets will also have one of their safeties play a bit deeper over the middle as Locker has a tendency to over throw passes, which end up sailing on him. I like the Jets tonight to roll.


Prediction: New York Jets


Fargo's 10* NFL STAR ATTRACTION (EPIC 18-5-1 RUN)


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
We won with the Jets last Sunday against Jacksonville and we will back them again here. The two-game winning streak has put them back in the hunt for the playoffs and with a very favorable schedule to close out, they are in excellent shape but will obviously still need some help along the way. The public is still fading this team which is just fine as it gives us good value with the number in what is a must win spot. Normally, cases like that lead to inflated numbers but that is not the case here. Tennessee lost its third straight game last week at Indianapolis and it has dropped five of its last six games to fall out of the playoff picture. The Titans will no doubt try and bring their A game here with this game being on national television but the problem is they don't have much of an A game. They have struggled on both sides of the ball but turnovers remain the biggest factor in their struggles as their 26 giveaways are tied for third most in the AFC. The Jets are no stranger to turnovers either but Tennessee has just 16 takeaways with is fifth fewest in the conference. New York has a chance to get the offense going once again as the titans are ranked 27th in the NFL in total defense and 31st in points allowed. I expected a bigger game from Mark Sanchez last week but we didn't get it but now he faces a unit ranked 26th in passing yards allowed and 24th in passing ypa allowed. The return of Braylon Edwards could be a huge boost as he is expected to play right away. New York still possesses a stout defense as it is ranked eighth overall and while the rushing defense has been a weakness, the Titans have not been able to do much of late. Running back Chris Johnson looked like he was finally out of his slump but he has been held to 175 yards on 53 carries (3.3 ypc) while failing to reach the end zone during the Titans' three-game slide. New York's defense has been excellent the past two weeks against the NFL's two worst offenses. The Jets fall into a great league-wide situation here as we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 370 or more total ypg going up against teams allowing between 295 and 335 total ypg. This situation is 51-26 ATS (66.2 percent) since 1983. Additionally, Tennessee is 2-9 ATS as a favorite over the last two seasons and is 5-23-1 ATS in its last 29 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in its previous game. The Jets playoff hopes stay alive. 10* (331) New York Jets


Prediction: New York Jets


Bet Type: SPREAD






Team Del Genio MNF Winner (62-37-3 NFL Run!)


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
Play on Tennessee at 8:35 ET. We don't buy the Jets as playoff contenders, which they are in name only thanks a not very deep AFC. They enter this game at 6-7 thanks to lackluster wins over the likes of Arizona (7-6) and Jacksonville (17-10) the L2 wks. It speaks volumes that they are not favored. The only team w/ a winning record that the Jets have beaten this year is the Colts, whose point differential would seem to indicate they are overrated to begin with. Think about this for a second? The Jets in the playoffs? Talk about a time when the often-overreaching Roger Goodell should intervene! The Jets shouldn't be allowed to make the playoffs. Therefore, with the nation watching, let's take them to lose tonight to a Tennessee team that's basically playing its "Super Bowl." At 4-9, it's been a bad year for the Titans. But are they really any worse than New York? We don't think so. While Tennessee's defense is pretty bad, so is the Jets, who ranks third to last against the run. In other words, Titans RB Chris Johnson should bounce back from a three-game slump. The only time a 4-9 team on a three-game losing streak can be counted on to play hard is when they are getting a home game in primetime. Tennessee did win its only night game so far, beating the Steelers on a Thursday night. We had the Titans there as well, cashing outright as six-point dogs. Tennessee gets better QB play from Jake Locker than the Jets get from Mark Sanchez. Titans HC Munchak may NEED to win here to save his job as owner Bud Adams has been quite critical of his performance this season. Look for the Titans to ruin the Jets season. 8* Tennessee


Prediction: Tennessee Titans








Rickenbach MNF *GAME OF THE YEAR* 24-5 (83%) YTD!


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL *10* (TOP Play) NY Jets over Tennessee @ 8:40 ET - The NY Jets travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans on Monday night. The NY Jets actually still have a shot at making the playoffs so tonight is a MUST win for them. The Jets are 6-7 SU overall this year while Tennessee comes in with a 4-9 SU record on the season. Tennessee is giving up 377.3 yards per game overall this year. Tennessee is allowing 29.7 points per game overall this year and 32 points per game at home this season. The Jets are 3-0 SU this year against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-2 ATS last 7 games against the AFC. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS last 5 games against the AFC. Tennessee is 2-6 ATS last 8 games at home. Tennessee is 3-7 ATS last 10 games after a SU loss. The NY Jets are 6-0 ATS last 6 meetings overall in this series. Jets find a way to win this one tonight. Play NY Jets as a *10* TOP Play selection Monday.


Prediction: New York Jets




Marc's Monday Night Magic NFL Killer Key Play!


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
Play On: NY Jets (Game 331) Note: Despite the fact that the Jets are frauds posing as playoff contenders, they hit the Music City with just too many good numbers too ignore. For starters, they are 8-1 ATS on the road off a previous road game versus losing opposition and 6-1 ATS away against the AFC South. They are also 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in this series since 1999, including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in Nashville. And though the Titans have been ready for some football (3-0 SU and ATS last three Mondays) and are playing hard (4-0 'In The Stats' last four) for second-year head coach Mike Munchak, one problem is they are going nowhere while the Jets are trying to steal a Wild Card spot (it would be criminal if they got in) in this year's playoff race. The other concern for the Titans is a nasty 0-8 ATS mark off a SU loss versus a sub. 500 foe off a SU and ATS win from Game Thirteen out. We recommend a 3-unit play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.


Prediction: New York Jets




IRON HORSE 10* MNF MILLIONAIRE'S ROW ***TOTAL***


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
The Jets were on a 2-6 losing streak before winning back-to-back games the last 2 weeks, but don't put too much stock in those wins, as they were against teams combining for a 6-20 SU record this season, with both teams in the bottom 5 for NFL wins. While the Jets offense has appeared to struggle all season behind QB Sanchez, they've been productive, scoring 27 points or more in 7 of their first 11 games. While the Jets have won their last 2 games, they struggled offensively, escaping with a 7-6 win over Arizona (4-9) and a 17-10 victory at Jacksonville (2-11), but these Jets are 4-0 Over/Under after scoring 17 points or less in back-to-back games during the last 3 seasons behind QB Sanchez. Even better, these Jets are now 8-1 Over/Under when playing their 2nd of back-to-back road games, including 2-0 Over/Under this season (9/23 @ Miami, 23-20 "Over," 11-11 @ St. Louis, 27-13 "Over"). The Jets reputation for playing stingy defense and owning a stagnant offense has forced Oddsmakers to keep the Total on Monday Night Football at a very fair number. We're backing the "Over," as we expect Jets QB Sanchez to wake up in front of a national television audience against a Titans squad that's allowing 30 points per game this season.
10* Play on OVER (NY Jets/Titans)


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL


SCOTT SPREITZER'S MNF OV/UN DOMINATOR! *85% ATS!


New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Dec 17 2012 8:40PM
I'm playing the Over between the Jets and Titans on Monday night. New York still owns an outside shot at making the playoffs...even though their chances are quite small. But I expect them to do whatever they have to in order to win this game, which means they will likely have to open things up on offense. They're facing the "right" defense to do it against...the Titans are one of the worst in the league against the pass, defending the run, and in points allowed, giving up 29.7 ppg. The Jets are on an 11-2 Over run against defenses that allow a 64% or higher completion rate and Tennessee's pass defense fits the bill. The Jets' defense is not playing well against the run, ranked 28th in the league. Tonight, they'll have to face Titans' RB Chris Johnson (probable - ankle) who's capable of picking up big chunks of yardage in a hurry. The Titans also plan to open up the offense as they look to get Kenny Britt (probable) involved early and often. Jets' road games are 19-7 to the Over the last 26 times, while the Titans are on a 21-10-2 Over run at home against teams with a losing record. I'm playing the Over between the Jets & Titans on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL






BIG AL's 73% COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE MONTH!


IPFW at Notre Dame Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
At 7 pm, our selection is on the IPFW Mastodons plus the points over Notre Dame, as IPFW falls into 22-1, 115-39 and 44-13 ATS systems of mine based on their last two games, road losses at Valpo and Drake. The Mastodons fell 63-52 and 74-64 in those two games, but covered the spread in each. Overall, IPFW has covered three straight. Notre Dame does come into this game off 7 straight wins, but the Irish have been poor over the years as big favorites. Indeed, since 2001, Notre Dame is just 21-38 ATS as home favorites of -11 or more points, including 9-24 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss. IPFW's defense is allowing just 61.3 ppg this year, and hasn't lost by more than 13 points in any of its 11 games. Take the Mastodons plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: IPFW


Bet Type: SPREAD




BIG AL's DOUBLE 100% PERFECT NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL!


Detroit U at Syracuse Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Detroit. The Titans come into this game off four straight home wins, including an 80-73 comeback victory over Akron on Saturday. But now Detroit has to take to the road, and the road has not been kind to it this season. Indeed, at home Detroit is a perfect 6-0, including nice wins over Drake, Toledo and the aforementioned victory vs. Akron two days ago. But away from home, it's a completely different story, as Detroit is 0-4, with losses to St. Johns, Miami, Bowling Green and Pitt. And the Titans are 1-3 ATS in those four losses, with the only cover by a mere half-point. I look for that trend to continue tonight, as the Carrier Dome is a tough venue for visiting teams. Detroit falls into a negative 38-95 ATS system of mine which fades certain road teams off home wins. Additionally, this season, underdogs of 19+ points are an awful 0-9 ATS off a SU/ATS win. Syracuse is a perfect 6-0 ATS this season vs. Non-Conference opposition, and it will blow out Detroit. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: Syracuse


Bet Type: SPREAD








Ryan’s CBB 25* TOP RATED Titan; 76% L 21


Montana State at Northern Arizona Dec 17 2012 8:35PM
25* graded play on Montana State as they take on Northern Arizona set to start at 8:35 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that MS will lose this game by six or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. I like playing this opportunity as a combination bet using a 20* amount on the line and a 5* using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 57-25 mark for 70% winners since 2006. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games and is a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a losing record. The sim also shows high probabilities that MS will attempt between 19 and 24 free throws; that NA will attempt between 54 and 62 shots, will have between 9 and 13 offensive boards, and will commit between 14 and 18 turnovers. In past games, MS is 11-3 ATS when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; NA is just 3-12 ATS when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last two seasons; 3-11 ATS when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. NA is on a horrid 5-19 ATS run after playing a game as a dog over the last 2 seasons. This is a matchup of two teams that don’t play defense well. Yet, MS has a big time advantage on the offensive end. MS ranks 85th in the nation averaging 72 PPG while the NA defense ranks 310th allowing 76.8 PPG. MS ranks 328th allowing 78.8 PPG, but NA ranks just 142nd averaging 67 PPG. Moreover, MS has a huge edge in offensive rebounding and this will generate a huge edge in second chance scoring opportunities. Take Montana State.


Prediction: Montana State








Team Del Genio 10* BLOWOUT of the Wk -11-5 L4 Days


Cornell at Vanderbilt Dec 17 2012 9:00PM
Play on Vanderbilt at 9:00 ET. Considering the ugly start for the Commies thus far, this is a game they need to win & win big. We think they will. They have won three of four since that disastrous 50-33 loss to Marist on a neutral floor. Cornell too has won three of its last four games, but an Ivy League team that shoots this poorly doesn't figure to do very well taking their act into a SEC gym. I think the Big Red is also likely to be a bit rusty as this is their first game in more than two weeks. They have not played since a 70-63 win over Colgate on December 1st. If their first two "true" road games are any indication, this will be a long night for Cornell. They managed just 40 at Wisconsin and 53 at Arizona State, losing both games by double digits. Cornell shot 26% and 35% in those two games. Vandy has obviously struggled to score at times this season, but has been surprisingly solid defensively, allowing just 57.7 PPG on the year. They have a pair of game under their belt since the last time Cornell played, including an impressive upset at Xavier as 11.5-point road dogs. Last game, they outshot outmanned Alabama A&M 51% to 32%. They are 36-19 ATS off a home win by 20+ points. But perhaps the real key to this game for Vanderbilt is the return of Dai-Jon Parker, who was projected to be the starting shooting guard before the season when he was suspended. Vanderbilt is our 10* BLOWOUT of the Week.


Prediction: Vanderbilt








Larry's 10* Underdog of the Month (6 in a row?)


UNLV at Texas-El Paso Dec 17 2012 8:00PM
My 10* Underdog Game of the Month is on UTEP at 8:00 ET.


UNLV (8-1) takes a six-game winning streak to EL Paso tonight in a game vs the 3-4 Miners. The 20th-ranked Rebels will move forward without the 6-8 Mike Moser (10.9-8.3) for at least a month with a dislocated elbow. However, there is some good news. Khem Birch, a 6-9 transfer from Pitt and a former McDonald's All-American, is scheduled to make his debut for the Rebels Monday night. He’ll join 6-8 freshman Bennett, who is off to a terrific start, leading UNLV in scoring (20.3 PPG) and rebounding (8.9 RPG) and senior guard Anthony Marshall (10.8-4.3-5.3). Big things are expected from Birch and Dave Rice’s team has also seen significant contributions from two other newcomers, 6-5 freshman Reinhardt (9.9-3.1 APG) and 6-6 USC transfer Dejean-Jones (8.4). UTEP head coach Tim Floyd has his hands full and this year’s Miners own just two double digit scorers, the 6-7 Julian Washburn (12.0) and the 6-10 Bohannon (11.6-5.4). However, UTEP is a perfect 3-0 SU at home this season. The Miners are averaging just 56.7 PPG (haven't scored 70 all season) but they are hoping they can draw UNLV into a slow-paced game. The Rebels’ attack can be disrupted by playing zone and by forcing them into half-court mode, where their offense often becomes little more than one which turns into a flurry of hurried shots from the perimeter. UNLV had failed to cover its previous NINE away from home when it visited Cal a week ago Sunday (Dec 9) but escaped with a win and cover, 76-75. Note that UNLV was a 1 1/2-point dog in that one and was fortunate that Cal missed some key FTs, late. Here, UNLV will be laying a ‘TD’ or more and will need a much better effort to get the ATS win. Guard Konner Tucker is listed as probable for this game, which will be his first action since suffering a broken hand during preseason play. He averaged 12.0 PPG with San Houston State last season and will join PG Streeter (7.3-5.0 APG) and Ragland (6.7 PPG but 17 points in his last outing) on the perimeter. Floyd knows how to utilize various defensive tricks and junk zones that have bothered UNLV in the recent past and let me also note that not only is UTEP 3-0 at home this year but the Miners have won 14 of their last 15 December home games. Take the points!


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Texas-El Paso


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* CBB BIG BITE BEATDOWN (65% LIFETIME!)


Texas State at Northwestern Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
This is a very tough spot for Texas St. The Bobcats are coming off their first true road game of the season at Texas on Saturday and came up short against the hated Longhorns. They lost by 12 points but actually trailed by just four points late in the game but were unable to make the necessary stops to try and pull off the upset. Texas St. has now lost 24 straight meeting with Texas and while that cannot constitute it as a rivalry, it knows it had a shot and threw it away. "We're actually more disappointed than we ever have been since we've come in here, because we felt there were opportunities to win this game," Bobcats head coach Doug Davalos said. "We couldn't sustain." That makes the travel to Northwestern just two days later even more difficult. The Wildcats have never been to the NCAA Tournament but this was supposed to be the year that streak finally ends. Once again though, they are faced with adversity as another major injury looks to derail Northwestern. The Wildcats lost swingman Drew Crawford for the season as he sustained a shoulder injury in their last game against Butler. He was second on the team in scoring with 13.5 ppg and was fourth in rebounding with 4.6 rpg. It is a major blow for sure but being the first game back since then, expect the rest of the team to rise up as we often see this when a big player goes down. Making the motivation even stronger is the fact that Northwestern has lost three straight games at home after starting off 4-0 so it will be out to lay a hurting on the Bobcats. Texas St. is 0-4 ATS in its last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing record. This one turns into a blowout. 10* (716) Northwestern Wildcats


Prediction: Northwestern


Bet Type: SPREAD






Sam Martin's 20* CBB "UNDERDOG DEMOLITION" (6-1)!!


Texas State at Northwestern Dec 17 2012 7:00PM
20* Play on Texas State. Way too many points for Northwestern to be laying here against Texas State, especially considering the poor shooting performances the Wildcats have had lately. Northwestern has been held to under 40% shooting in five of their last six games overall, with four of those five bad shooting outings seeing the Wildcats shoot under 35% from the floor. In fact, while we're not calling for an outright win by the dog here tonight, NW has lost outright each of the last three times they were installed as favorites, including a 50-44 loss as an 11-point home favorite against Illinois Chicago.


That game was a bad scheduling spot for Northwestern, who just came off a bad loss against Maryland (lost by 20 as a 4.5-point favorite) and had a tough game against Baylor on deck. Tonight's game is a similar scheduling spot for the Wildcats, who are coming off a tough nine-point loss against Baylor (as a small home favorite) and have a tough matchup on deck against Stanford looming next. Texas State averages 74 points per game and their offense is more than capable of staying close to Northwestern here, who prefers to play at a much slower pace than most other teams. NW wins this game outright, but not by double-digits! 20* Play on Texas State.


Prediction: Texas State




Rickenbach *MASSIVE* CBB NO DOUBT *BLOWOUT* ROUT!


UNLV at Texas-El Paso Dec 17 2012 8:00PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CBB *8* (Regular Play) UNLV over UTEP @ 8 ET - The UNLV Running Rebels travel to UTEP to take on the Miners on Monday night. UNLV is 8-1 SU overall this year while UTEP comes in with a 3-4 SU record on the season. UNLV is scoring 80.8 points per game overall this year and 78.3 points per game on the road this season. UNLV is allowing only 62.7 points per game overall this year and 59.7 points per game on the road this season. UTEP is scoring only 56.7 points per game overall this year. UTEP is 0-6 ATS this year in all games. UNLV is 6-2 ATS last 8 games against Conference USA opponents. UTEP is 1-10 ATS last 11 games overall. UTEP is 0-6 ATS last 6 non-conference games. UNLV pounds UTEP tonight. Play UNLV as a *8* Regular Play selection Monday.


Prediction: UNLV


Bet Type: SPREAD












Fargo's 10* NBA MONDAY ENFORCER (SWEET 26-16 RUN)


Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns Dec 17 2012 9:05PM
Sacramento is coming off a home blowout loss last night against Denver as they went down by 25 points which makes it four straight losses for the Kings, all of which have come by double-digits. They have all come against teams that are currently in playoff positions or sitting right outside the top eight in each conference and the opponent tonight is not part of that group. Backing Sacramento may not seem logical at this point but this is the time to play on them as we have the value and the anti-public scenario on our side. Phoenix had dropped seven straight games prior to winning its last two games over Memphis and Utah. That is not a huge surprise however as the Suns have been a team that has either stepped up to the competition or played down to the level as they are just 1-9 ATS against teams with a losing record this season. Additionally, Phoenix is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games following a victory and the Suns haven't been favored by this many points all season and they are 0-3 ATS of favorites of four points or more. Sacramento has definitely struggled against the NBA's better teams, going just 3-13 against teams ranked in the top 16 but the Kings are a much more respectable 4-3 against the bottom 14 teams. Overall, Sacramento has played a schedule ranked seventh in the NBA so that has definitely played a part in the struggles. These teams are separated by just a game and half in the Western Conference standings which does not correlate to the spread we are given here. 10* (711) Sacramento Kings


Prediction: Sacramento Kings


Bet Type: SPREAD










Rickenbach TOP *10* NBA *DOMINATOR* HUGE WKND WIN!


San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder Dec 17 2012 8:05PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *10* (TOP Play) Oklahoma City over San Antonio @ 8:05 ET - The San Antonio Spurs travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder on Monday night. San Antonio is 19-6 SU overall this year while Oklahoma City is 19-4 SU overall this season. Oklahoma City has a strong home court going 13-2 SU overall this year. Oklahoma City is scoring 105.7 points per game overall this year and 107.7 points per game at home this season. Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU and ATS against teams with a winning record this year. Oklahoma City is 93-59 ATS last 152 games when playing with revenge. Oklahoma City has won 10 games in a row. San Antonio is 1-7 ATS last 8 games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .600 or better. San Antonio is 0-4-1 ATS last 5 meetings overall in this series. Thunder wins big at home. Play Oklahoma City as a *10* TOP Play selection Monday.


Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder


Bet Type: SPREAD






Burns NBA


San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder Dec 17 2012 8:05PM
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA CITY. The Spurs eked out a 2-point win when these teams met at San Antonio last month. With tonight's rematch being played at OKC, I expect the revenge-minded Thunder to return the favor. While they haven't covered their last couple of games, the Thunder are still on a serious roll. In fact, they've won 10 straight and have vaulted to the top of the overall standings. The Thunder haven't lost yet this entire month and they're averaging 109.6 points while shooting better than 50& during their current winning streak. I feel that the Spurs, who are without Jackson and who may be without Manu Ginobili, will have some trouble keeping up. Even if he does play, Ginobili may be at less than 100%. Meanwhile, Duncan is off a game in which he scored just five points, while making just two of 13 shots. The Thunder are typically at their best when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, going 44-26 ATS (47-23 SU) the last 70 times that they were in that situation, including 5-2 SU/ATS the last seven. The Thunder are also a lucrative 12-7 ATS (13-6 SU) the last 19 times that they were listed as home favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range. They're 4-1 SU/ATS their last five home games against the Spurs, including 3-0 SU/ATS the last three. I expect them to keep on rolling for another day. *9 Personal Favorite


Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder


Bet Type: SPREAD






Sam Martin's 20* NBA "VEGAS INFERNO" WINNER (18-7)


Los Angeles Clippers at Detroit Pistons Dec 17 2012 7:35PM
20* Play on LA Clippers. We backed the Clippers in their 26-point blowout win against Milwaukee on Saturday night, and we'll back them again here against another struggling offense in the Pistons. We loved the offensive matchup in that Clippers win on Saturday, as we do here as well. LA's 111-point effort was the eighth time in the last nine games they have put up triple-digits on the scoreboard, and here they face a Detroit team that has shot 42% or worse in four straight games, including a 77-point effort their last time out in an 11-point home loss against the Pacers.


We don't see how the Pistons can keep up with the Clippers here tonight, and while LA obviously has momentum on their side (have won nine straight heading into tonight), the Clippers also have an added incentive in this game going for a four-game sweep of their current road trip. Detroit's defense has also been slumping of late, allowing 100+ points in five of their last seven games overall - a stark contrast to LA's six-game streak of holding opponents to under 100 points scored. Big advantages on both ends of the court plus the added momentum and motivation favoring the road side leads the Clippers to yet another blowout win! 20* Play on LA Clippers.


Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ferringo CBB
DET +19.5 (4pm PST)
Teaser: DET +24.5 & N. DAKOTA +7 (4pm)


N. DAKOTA +2 (6:30pm)