12-19-12

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North Carolina at Texas: What bettors need to know

North Carolina Tar Heels at Texas Longhorns (+4.5, 140)

Texas has already played in the Maui Invitational and lost to Georgetown and UCLA, and the schedule gets tougher this week with games against North Carolina and Michigan State.

The week begins with a visit from the 19th-ranked Tar Heels, who have won three straight since losing to Indiana by 24 on Nov. 27. North Carolina survived a scare against East Carolina on Saturday before winning 93-87, while Texas is coming off a 12-point win over Texas State. The Longhorns have struggled while waiting for sophomore point guard Myck Kabongo to be cleared by the NCAA, which is investigating his relationship with a professional agent. Texas has won four of the last five contests against the Tar Heels and holds a 4-3 series lead in the series.

TV: 9 p.m., ET, ESPN2

ABOUT NO. 19 NORTH CAROLINA (8-2, 5-3 ATS): Coach Roy Williams was not pleased after the Tar Heels allowed East Carolina to score 61 second-half points on Saturday. Look for the Tar Heels to be a little more aggressive in the paint after they grabbed just 10 offensive rebounds – and none by a post player – against the Pirates. Senior guard Dexter Strickland, who has 26 assists in his last three games, recorded his first career double-double with 11 points and 10 assists against East Carolina. Sophomore forward James Michael McAdoo leads the Tar Heels in points (15.4) and rebounds (8.3), while Desmond Hubert, Brice Johnson and Joel James continue to share time at center.

ABOUT TEXAS (6-4, 3-5 ATS): The Longhorns are hoping Kabongo’s eventual return will jump-start their offense, which ranks 267th in the country while averaging 63.3 points. While the offense sputters, the defense has kept the Longhorns competitive. They lead the Big 12 in field goal percentage defense (33.2) while allowing 58.2 points per game. Offensively, guard Sheldon McClellan averages a team-high 15.3 points, and forward Jonathan Holmes leads the team with eight rebounds per game. Freshman guard Javan Felix has bounced back from a shaky start to average 16.5 points in his last two games. Felix ranks second in the Big 12 in assists (5.8).

TRENDS:

* Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Longhorns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.
* Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels' last five overall.
* Over is 9-3 in Longhorns last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast.

TIP-INS:

1. The Longhorns have won 14 straight non-conference home games and are 86-3 in nonconference home games since the start of the 2002-03 season.

2. North Carolina has attempted 20 or more three-point field goals in six of its first 10 games.

3. Texas is 212-22 under coach Rick Barnes when holding opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with VCU (-16) Tuesday.

Wednesday it’s Cincinnati. The deficit is 1328 sirignanos.

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/19/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1184-355 (.769)
ATS: 461-488 (.486)
ATS Vary Units: 1701-1921 (.470)
Over/Under: 139-120 (.537)
Over/Under Vary Units: 187-188 (.499)

Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic
at campus sites
BRADLEY 71, Mississippi Valley State 59
COLORADO STATE 77, CSU Bakersfield 58
PORTLAND 70, North Florida 68

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
Detroit 76, ALCORN STATE 61
TEMPLE 82, Canisius 65

Tulane Classic
Opening Round at New Orleans, LA
Pepperdine 67, Alabama State 55
TULANE 71, Texas-Pan American 56

Big Sky Conference
Montana 76, NORTHERN ARIZONA 65
SACRAMENTO STATE 80, Montana State 72

Non-Conference
Alabama 71, TEXAS TECH 57
BELMONT 79, South Dakota State 69
BUCKNELL 74, Marist 54
CHARLOTTE 76, Radford 55
Cincinnati 72, Xavier 63
Clemson 69, COASTAL CAROLINA 58
CREIGHTON 82, Tulsa 59
DAYTON 74, Illinois State 72
DRAKE 74, North Carolina Central 59
DUKE 87, Cornell 53
DUQUESNE 72, Western Michigan 68
Eastern Kentucky 68, NORTH CAROLINA A&T 66
FLORIDA 79, Southeastern Louisiana 42
GONZAGA 91, Campbell 58
INDIANA 87, Mount St. Mary's 55
IOWA 90, South Carolina State 58
Iowa State 82, KANSAS CITY 66
Long Island 79, SAINT PETER'S 70
LOUISVILLE 85, Fairleigh Dickinson 52
Marquette 74, GREEN BAY 61
MARSHALL 65, Savannah State 58
MASSACHUSETTS 73, Ohio 72
Morehead State 74, SOUTH DAKOTA 68
Murray State 74, ARKANSAS STATE 64
New Mexico 69, NEW MEXICO STATE 64
North Carolina 76, TEXAS 71
NOTRE DAME 83, Kennesaw State 45
OKLAHOMA STATE 74, UT Arlington 62
Ole Miss 77, LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 69
Oregon 70, UTEP 61
OREGON STATE 81, Howard 55
PITTSBURGH 80, Delaware State 49
RICE 75, Chicago State 59
SAINT LOUIS 72, Eastern Illinois 43
SAINT MARY'S 81, Pacific 63
Samford 70, UT MARTIN 68
SEATTLE 74, Northern Illinois 64
SETON HALL 91, Longwood 61
SOUTH CAROLINA 78, Appalachian State 67
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI 86, New Orleans 68
ST. BONAVENTURE 82, The Citadel 56
TOWSON 68, Coppin State 65
UNC WILMINGTON 77, UNC Greensboro 69
UNLV 72, Northern Iowa 62
UTAH VALLEY 73, Troy 69
VIRGINIA 72, Morgan State 49
WEST VIRGINIA 81, Oakland 70
WRIGHT STATE 61, Miami (Ohio) 54

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/19/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 238-114 (.676)
ATS: 178-180 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 597-529 (.530)
Over/Under: 190-169 (.529)
Over/Under Vary Units: 340-283 (.546)

TORONTO 97, Detroit 92
NEW YORK 103, Brooklyn 92
ORLANDO 97, Washington 88
INDIANA 98, Utah 95
BOSTON 101, Cleveland 87
Oklahoma City 100, ATLANTA 98
HOUSTON 101, Philadelphia 95
PHOENIX 107, Charlotte 93
MEMPHIS 99, Milwaukee 89
Golden State 106, SACRAMENTO 102
L.A. CLIPPERS 101, New Orleans 86

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 953 - 708 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free WED 3-1 run WED: Montana -4

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Oregon -5

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Soccer Crusher
Leeds United + Chelsea OVER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 329-14, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 329-291-39

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Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at Atlanta

The Thunder look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 home games. Oklahoma City is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 19 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Utah at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.346; Indiana 118.035 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Detroit at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.719; Toronto 118.992 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 184 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 187 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 111.160; Orlando 123.147 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 12; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 188 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Brooklyn at New York (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.469; New York 127.157 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 195 Dunkel Pick: New York (-7 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Cleveland at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.335; Boston 119.615 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Oklahoma City at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.138; Atlanta 117.408 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 199 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6); Under

Game 713-714: Philadelphia at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.753; Houston 123.701 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Charlotte at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.550; Phoenix 116.795 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 198 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9); Over

Game 717-718: Milwaukee at Memphis (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.946; Memphis 126.081 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 181 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 184 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-9); Under

Game 719-720: Golden State at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 117.114; Sacramento 115.561 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 206 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 2 1/2; 200 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+2 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: New Orleans at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.043; LA Clippers 129.100 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 188 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 192 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-13 1/2); Under

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NCAA Basketball Picks

North Carolina at Texas

The Longhorns look to take advantage of a North Carolina team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against teams with a winning SU record. Texas is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 19 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 723-724: Cornell at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 47.262; Duke 82.262 Dunkel Line: Duke by 35; 140 Vegas Line: Duke by 30; 143 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-30); Under

Game 725-726: Western Michigan at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 51.451; Duquesne 52.894 Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 1 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Duquesne by 4 1/2; 136 Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+4 1/2); Over

Game 727-728: Illinois State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 62.426; Dayton 68.499 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 6 Vegas Line: Dayton by 4 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-4)

Game 729-730: Xavier vs. Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 62.673; Cincinnati 73.229 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 10 1/2; 130 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7 1/2; 134 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-7 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Florida International at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 53.225; Louisville 77.011 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 24 Vegas Line: Louisville by 27 Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+27)

Game 733-734: Ohio at Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 58.804; Massachusetts 56.666 Dunkel Line: Ohio by 2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Ohio

Game 735-736: Miami (OH) at Wright State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.958; Wright State 54.936 Dunkel Line: Wright State by 6 Vegas Line: Wright State by 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7)

Game 737-738: Oregon at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 71.447; UTEP 59.659 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 12; 126 Vegas Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 128 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-4 1/2); Under

Game 739-740: Alabama at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 63.342; Texas Tech 55.243 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8 Vegas Line: Alabama by 9 Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+9)

Game 741-742: Marquette at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.471; WI-Green Bay 56.423 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 11 Vegas Line: Marquette by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-8 1/2)

Game 743-744: TX-Arlington at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.167; Oklahoma State 70.991 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 16 Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 14 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-14)

Game 745-746: Tulsa at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 52.939; Creighton 72.060 Dunkel Line: Creighton by 19 Vegas Line: Creighton by 21 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+21)

Game 747-748: New Mexico at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 68.019; New Mexico State 63.679 Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-2 1/2)

Game 749-750: North Carolina at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 69.166; Texas 66.107 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+5 1/2)

Game 751-752: Northern Illinois at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 44.212; Seattle 45.803 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Seattle by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+4 1/2)

Game 753-754: Pacific at St. Mary's (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 55.605; St. Mary's 69.028 Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-11 1/2)

Game 755-756: Northern Iowa at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 60.186; UNLV 66.329 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 6 Vegas Line: UNLV by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+9 1/2)

Game 757-758: Mississippi at Loyola Marymount (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 69.615; Loyola Marymount 57.898 Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2; 140 Vegas Line: Mississippi by 7; 142 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-7); Under

Game 759-760: Appalachian State at South Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 46.482; South Carolina 59.255 Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 13; 142 Vegas Line: South Carolina by 9; 147 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-9); Under

Game 761-762: Canisius at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 54.642; Temple 60.605 Dunkel Line: Temple by 6 Vegas Line: Temple by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+9 1/2)

Game 763-764: The Citadel at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 38.158; St. Bonaventure 64.937 Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 27 Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-20 1/2)

Game 765-766: NC-Greensboro at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 47.125; NC-Wilmington 48.260 Dunkel Line: NC-Wilmington by 1 Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 3 Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+3)

Game 767-768: South Dakota State at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 57.290; Belmont 69.859 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: Belmont by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-8 1/2)

Game 769-770: Eastern Illinois at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 43.097; St. Louis 61.848 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 18 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 21 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+21 1/2)

Game 771-772: Morehead State at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 53.755; South Dakota 46.134 Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-3 1/2)

Game 773-774: Samford at Tennessee-Martin (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Samford 40.628; Tennessee-Martin 40.558 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Tennessee-Martin by 2 Dunkel Pick: Samford (+2)

Game 775-776: Iowa State at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 63.994; UMKC 49.988 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 14 Vegas Line: Iowa State by 16 Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+16)

Game 777-778: Montana at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana 55.846; Northern Arizona 49.032 Dunkel Line: Montana by 7; 133 Vegas Line: Montana by 2 1/2; 137 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montana (-2 1/2); Under

Game 779-780: Murray State at Arkansas State (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 63.634; Arkansas State 56.970 Dunkel Line: Murray State by 7 Vegas Line: Murray State by 3 Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-3)

Game 781-782: Oakland at West Virginia (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.666; West Virginia 61.321 Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: West Virginia by 11 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+11)

Game 783-784: Montana State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 42.151; Sacramento State 50.131 Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 8 Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 7 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-7)

Game 791-792: Mt. St. Mary's at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 46.704; Indiana 80.736 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 34; 143 Vegas Line: Indiana by 32; 146 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-32); Under

Game 793-794: South Carolina State at Iowa (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 39.433; Iowa 65.152 Dunkel Line: Iowa by 25 1/2; 152 Vegas Line: Iowa by 27; 146 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (+27); Over

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB CORNELL at DUKE

Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (DUKE) after 8 or more consecutive wins, undefeated on the season.
92-47 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.2% 40.3 units )
9-5 this year. ( 64.3% 3.5 units )

CBB APPALACHIAN ST at S CAROLINA

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (APPALACHIAN ST) off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season.
38-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 42.7% 41.3 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -2.0 units )

CBB PACIFIC at ST MARYS-CA

Play On - Underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (PACIFIC) excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA DETROIT at TORONTO

Play Over - Any team revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points.
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at ATLANTA

Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) good 3 point shooting team - making >=36% of their attempts, in December games.
135-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.4% 59.0 units )
22-7 this year. ( 75.9% 2.5 units )

NBA UTAH at INDIANA

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Wednesday ... In College Hoops take Samford +3.5 over Tennessee Martin

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Cappers Access

Xavier
N. Carolina
Grizzlies

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Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

7:05PM Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors
[704] Toronto Raptors -2.5 -117

8:00PM Oregon vs UTEP
[737] Oregon -4.5 -110

JIMMY

7:35PM Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics
[709] Cleveland Cavaliers +8 -110

8:00PM Samford vs Tennessee Martin
[774] Tennessee Martin -1.5 -110

8:00PM UT Arlington vs Oklahoma State
[744] Oklahoma State -14.5 -110

MARC

7:05PM Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers
[701] UNDER 187 -110

11:00PM Mississippi vs Loyola Marymount
[757] OVER 142.5 -110