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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358497

    #31
    CBB

    -- 8-2 Dayton won its last four games, with a win at #42 Alabama; they are 5-1 at home, losing to Weber State, 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10 to Colorado on neutral floor. Illinois State is 1-1 in true road games, losing by 3 at Louiville, winning in OT at Drexel. Redbirds make 58% of shots inside arc, #1 in country. MVC single digit road dogs are 13-8.
    -- Xavier won four of last five inner-city rivalry games with Cincinnati; LY's game ended in big brawl, prompting move of this game to neutral downtown arena. Bearcats are 10-0, winning games vs top 100 clubs by 8-11-2 points- teams shoot 36% inside arc against them. Xavier hasn't played in 10 days; they're 7-2, with losses by a combined five points.
    -- Louisville is -25 over Florida International; will Pitino run score up on his kid, who coaches FIU? Cardinals are off solid win at Memphis, when they were down 16 but won by 9- they're forcing turnovers on 31.9% of foes' possessions, #1 in country. FIU is 3-4, with #108 SF Austin best team they've played- they're turning ball over 21% of time. Uh-oh.
    -- 5-3 UMass plays at #6 pace in country; they're 2-1 at home, losing to Miami, winning close games with Harvard/Elon; Minutemen are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with all three losses by 13+ points. Ohio lost three of its last four games after 6-0 start, losing at home to Winthrop in last game; Bobcats are 0-2 on road, losing by 8 at Robert Morris, 26 at Memphis.

    -- Montana won eight of last nine games with Northern Arizona, 3-1 in last four played here, with wins by 25-20-19 points, but Griz is 2-4 vs D-I teams this year, losing last three-- star G Cherry is just coming back from foot injury, played 13 minutes last game. Northern Arizona won its Big Sky opener by 7; they're 4-5 (best win vs #245 Cal-Davis).
    -- 6-3 Arkansas State is 3-0 at home vs D-I teams, with win over #83 St Bonaventure; Red Wolves lost by 13 at Murray State LY. ASU turns opponents over 25% of time, but if they don't, opponents are have an eFG% of 51.6%, which is poor. 8-1 Murray State is 2-0 on road, with wins at Lipscomb/Evansville; Racers shoot 40.5% behind the arc.
    -- 4-5 West Virginia struggles to score; its 42.4 eFG% is #318 out of 347 D-I teams; WVU is #284 in experience playing #30 schedule, so they've overscheduled, but did win both home games, beating VMI by 25, VT by 1. 4-7 Oakland is awful defensive team; foes are shooting 61.1% on 2-point shots. Summit League double digit road underdogs are 9-15.
    -- First game in 11 days for Sacramento State team that split its last four games with Montana State, losing three of last four played here; Hornets are 3-3 vs D-I teams, with last two wins by three points each. Montana State lost last five games vs D-I teams; opponents are making 59.6% of 2-point shots- they lost Big Sky opener by 7 at Northern Arizona.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358497

      #32
      NBA

      -- Jazz won five of last seven games (1-7-1 as AU). Indiana won three of last four games (5-3 as HF).
      -- Orlando won four of its last five games (2-2 as HF).
      -- Knicks won nine of last eleven games (7-3 as HF).
      -- Thunder won its last eleven games (5-2 as AF). Atlanta won six of its last eight games (2-1 as HU).
      -- Rockets won three of last four games (5-2 last 7 as HF).
      -- Suns won last three games, allowing 84.7 ppg (2-6 as HF).
      -- Milwaukee won five of last six games (5-2 as AU). Grizzlies won last two games, allowing 71-86 points (7-3-1 as HF).
      -- Warriors won 10 of last 12 games (2-1-1 as AF).
      -- Clippers won their last ten games (7-4 as HF).

      Cold Teams
      -- Raptors lost six of last eight games (2-1 as HF). Detroit lost its last five games (5-8 as AU).
      -- Wizards lost six of their last seven games (5-4-1 as AU).
      -- Brooklyn lost seven of its last nine games (4-3 as AU).
      -- Cleveland lost eight of last nine games (6-3 as AU of 7+ points). Celtics lost last three games, by 11-15-12 points (4-5-1 as HF).
      -- 76ers lost last four games, by 7-10-13-7 points (3-4 as AU).
      -- Bobcats lost their last 12 games, covered two of last seven (2-4 as AU of 7+ points).
      -- New Orleans lost its last eight games (8-3 as AU).
      -- Kings lost last five games, all by 10+ points (2-4 as HU).

      Totals
      -- Last four Utah games stayed under the total.
      -- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
      -- Five of last seven Orlando games stayed under total.
      -- 14 of last 18 Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
      -- Six of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
      -- Four of last five Thunder road games went over the total.
      -- Last four Houston games stayed under the total.
      -- Last four Phoenix games stayed under the total.
      -- Five of last six Milwaukee road games stayed under total.
      -- Five of last seven Sacramento home games went over total.
      -- Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.

      Back-to-backs
      -- Utah is 2-4 vs spread if it played night before. Indiana is 3-3.
      -- Raptors are 5-2 vs spread (2-0 at home) if they played nite before.
      -- Washington is 3-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
      -- Brooklyn is 1-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.
      -- Boston is 2-3-2 vs spread if it played night before. Cavaliers are 3-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
      -- Hawks are 4-0 vs spread if they played the night before.
      -- 76ers are 2-4 vs spread if they played the night before.
      -- Bobcats are 3-2 vs spread if they played the night before.
      -- Milwaukee is 0-4 vs spread if it played the night before.
      -- Warriors are 4-1-1 vs spread if they played night before.
      -- Hornets are 4-2 vs spread if they played night before.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358497

        #33
        CHRIS JORDAN

        800* Oregon -4.5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358497

          #34
          Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball



          We are 19-12 (62%) since moving to a higher volume but lower unit value selections in the NBA. We basically used the spreadsheet models along with motivation of teams factored in and it has panned out. We are on a down rut right now in college ball. It needs to change. I believe using the same models for the NBA with games that show us significance, plus, having contests with motivation might be the way to go. If we have success doing this, because it takes me a great deal of time to go through every game, I likely will not be doing write-ups in college ball on days with large cards. I will of course continue do write-ups for the other sports as normal as I enjoy writing explanations for selections.

          6-Unit Play. #730. Take Cincinnati -8 over Xavier (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

          3-Unit Play. #754. Take St. Mary's -12.5 over Pacific (Wednesday @ 10pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #733. Take Ohio -1 over UMass (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #743. Take Texas Arlington +14.5 over Oklahoma State (Wednesday @ 8pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #748. Take New Mexico State +4.5 over New Mexico (Wednesday @ 9pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #751. Take Northern Illinois +4 over Seattle (Wednesday @ 10pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #761. Take Canisius +10.5 over Temple (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #764. Take St. Bonaventure -20.5 over The Citadel (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #771. Take Morehead State -4 over South Dakota (Wednesday @ 8pm est).

          2-Unit Play. #780. Take Arkansas State +1 over Murray State (Wednesday @ 8:30pm est).


          I usually enjoy writing a lot. But, there are a lot of games here. I'll try to get to the point. Cincinnati has been great this year. They have beaten top 50 and top 40 schools such as Iowa State and Oregon by margins of 11 and 8 and those were on neutral footing. They face a Xavier team who they lost to last year and revenge is a big factor here especially in a rivalry such as this. Plus, although Xavier did win on the road against Purdue who is a top 75 team, they are led by a freshman and sophomore who will find it difficult against a senior laden Cincinnati team who are led by at least 6 individuals who who are either significant or important contributors. Given the depth of Cincinnati and the fact they are rated 6th in the nation in defense whereas Xavier relies heavily on their 3 point field goals, I like Cincinnati to do well here. Their undefeated season does not mean much if they do not beat Xavier here and I think they get up for this game in a big way. If you take a close look at St. Mary's schedule, you'll notice they played against Pacific earlier this year on the road and lost by 10 points. This is a big revenge game for them and given that they are the top effective field goal percentage in the nation as well as 2nd in 3 point shooting facing a top 300 defense, I like St. Mary's to do well here with revenge. Here is a quick analysis of the rest of the plays. I have Texas Arlington as a top 130 team and they lost to Oklahoma by just 4 points and Texas by 16. I believe it will be tough for Oklahoma State to get up for this game and their average margin of victory against top 130 teams is around 9-10 points and I like Texas Arlington with the experience of having played against difficult foes already. New Mexico State and New Mexico just hooked up recently and New Mexico got the better of this team at home. Now that the jitters are gone, I like the decent public fade here with New Mexico State catching the points in what they hope to deliver to New Mexico their first loss of the year. Northern Illinois is 40 spots better in the power rankings in my book having played tough competition and they are grabbing points here. Plus, solid public fade. St. Bonaventure loves to rout teams ranked around the top 300 at home by margins of 30+ and as they face the Citadel who is nearly dead last in most statistical categories, don't be surprised if this gets ugly quickly. This team just beat Cleveland State who is a top 200 team by 34 and now they face a team outside the top 300. Canisius is a team that has two big road wins against Fairfield and Marist already this year and beat a top 100 St. Bonaventure team. This is a solid team grabbing double-digits against a Temple team that beat a similar Wagner and Delaware team by 5 and 8 points. I have this at 7 points so are rolling with this selection here. Morehead State has played the likes of Kentucky, North Dakota State, Wright State and Murray State and has not been phased. As they face a South Dakota team who they lost to by 1 point last year, this is a great deal of revenge for this team. This team just beat a top 130 Indiana State team at home by 8 and now they go on the road to face a top 300 team. I like the edge here. Finally, Murray State is the 70% road public favorite here and the line is rock solid at +1. The key here is revenge but this game reminds me a lot of the Illinois-Chicago game yesterday in which Illinois-Chicago was the team that was 50 spots better but on the road things are different. As Murray State comes off a big win against Western Kentucky and Arkansas State having shown they can beat a top 80 team at home once already, I like the home dog here to make the upset.




          Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball




          We are 19-12 (62%) in December. Its been a positive stretch. We've done it with less unit values and more volume. Looking forward to continue it.

          3-Unit Play. #711. Take Oklahoma City -6 over Atlanta Hawks (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est).

          3-Unit Play. #716. Take Phoenix -9 over Charlotte (Wednesday @ 9pm est).

          3-Unit Play. #718. Take Memphis -9 over Milwaukee (Wednesday @ 9:30pm est).

          3-Unit Play. #722. Take LA Clippers -13.5 over New Orleans Hornets (Wednesday @ 10:35pm est).

          The Thunder have revenge from an earlier season loss to the Hawks at home. They were probably overlooking the Hawks a bit at that time and frankly, they were not playing well at that time as that was still part of the transition with Kevin Martin. But, 20-4 and look to avenge the 9 point loss at home to Atlanta. The Hawks come off an overtime win against Washington yesterday and I'm not sure how energetic they will be to face a Oklahoma City team that will be ready to go for this contest. OKC just played the Spurs with revenge at home and that was a success winning by 14 and they look to do it again here. Charlotte had a great effort against the Lakers as it is always exciting to get up for one of the most storied franchises in sports history. Plus, you face Kobe. But after losing that game by a point, this team will likely find it difficult to get up for the Suns. The Suns are playing good basketball right now beating the Grizzlies at home, Utah and Sacramento. There is a reason why I believe this line is so high and that is in part due to the Vegas expecting the Bobcats to have a bit of a let down. Even though the Bobcats have revenge, I like Phoenix here. Memphis likes to play and cover against Eastern Conference foes. Milwaukee comes off game where they honestly should not have beaten Indiana as they ended up winning late and Memphis has covered against this team twice. Milwaukee is the same team that lost to the Spurs by 11 on the road and New Orleans by 21 on the road. I like Memphis to possibly win this game by about 15 or so this evening. Finally, the Clippers lost to New Orleans last year and the bad blood between these two teams exist. With New Orleans covering last night against Golden State (a game we were on), I like the Clippers who are rested and waiting for this game to get some revenge from that contest as they are not overlooking this game. I think the Clippers could win this contest by a wide margin this evening.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358497

            #35
            Int Picks
            1* Murray St, Under Xavier, Over Pistons, Under Hawks
            Freeplay - North Carolina
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358497

              #36
              Jack Jones
              15* Citadel +20.5
              15* Loyola +8.5
              15* Cavs under 192
              15* Hornets *13.5
              20* Nets under 194.5
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358497

                #37
                Vegas Sports Informer

                **4 straight winning days, 26-11 +$4060 last 37 plays**

                NBA BASKETBALL PLAY

                4 Unit Play. Take #721 Over 189 ½ New Orleans at LA Clippers (10:35 p.m., Wednesday, December 19)

                Totally shocked to see this total drop 2-points as I thought this total will rise 2-points! The Clippers are shooting for the 11th straight win and when you win that means your offense is usually scoring at will. The Clippers are averaging 104.6ppg in this 10-game winning streak and tonight the Clippers get this game at home were they are also averaging 104.6ppg. Look for the Clippers to make this game a high pace game and if you are the Hornets you better have your 'A' game tonight because this game could be a blowout and usually blowouts have big scoring. New Orleans are 8-2 O/U in their last 10 road games and the Clippers are 5-1 O/u in their last 6 home games. The last 7 meetings in LA between these 2-teams 6 of them have gone over the total. Tonight all of these trends continue and we continue to cash NBA tickets.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358497

                  #38
                  Robert Ferringo

                  New Mexico (-4) (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)

                  Cincinnati (-8) (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  Canisius (+10.5) (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  Ohio (-1) (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  North Carolina (-4.5) (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  South Dakota State (+9.5)(8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  UT-Martin (-3) (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  Murray State (-1) (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  Northern Illinois (+4.5) (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)

                  Oregon (-4.5) (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)
                  St. Mary's (-13) (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 19)

                  SPS

                  Murray State-1
                  Canisius +10.5
                  Illinois St. +4.5

                  VSI

                  Oregon -4.5
                  Murray St. -1
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358497

                    #39
                    ATS Insider Picks:
                    3 Texas
                    3 New Mexico
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358497

                      #40
                      Basketball Crusher
                      Xavier +8 over Cincinnatti
                      (System Record: 28-2, lost last game)
                      Overall Record: 28-21-0
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358497

                        #41
                        Dr Ed Meyer
                        Grizzles -9
                        Double dime
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358497

                          #42
                          Ray Falco

                          NCAAB

                          Over Duke
                          South Dakota St

                          split last nite with over Kansas (W) and Cavs (L)...gl...anyone have Kelso? Won another big play in hoops with NC St last nite..speaking of that, who was it that said yesterday that Kelso's play was a 7:00 start? Nc State-Stanford was a 9:00 start..saying it wasnt for sale anymore..not cool...
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358497

                            #43
                            wepickthewinner
                            warriors-3 oklah.st-14
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                            • Carters
                              Junior Member
                              • Dec 2012
                              • 2

                              #44
                              Hey guys .first time on site looks great so far ..do u guys get ats lock club daily...

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                              • DaKid
                                Senior Member
                                • Oct 2012
                                • 4690

                                #45
                                Originally posted by Carters
                                Hey guys .first time on site looks great so far ..do u guys get ats lock club daily...
                                pretty much everyday they get them bud
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