12-22-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny Stevens
20 Atlanta Falcons
10 Boise St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd 12/22
5* (NBA) Atlanta Hawks -3

4* (NBA) Utah Jazz +9.5
4* (CBB) NC Greensboro pick

3* (CBB) UL Lafayette -3
3* (NCAAF) Boise St -5.5
3* (NBA) Washington Wizards Pick
3* (NFL) Detroit Lions +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

100 Units
Louisville (-21½) over Western Ky
8:30 PM -- Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
College Blowout Game Of Week
Louisville (10-1) -21 ½ over Western Kentucky (8-4)
Prediction: Louisville by 30-35
Played on neutral floor at Bridgestone Arena (19,395) in Nashville, Tennessee
Starting Time: 8:35
TV: ESPNU
Comments: Under normal circumstances Louisville would have the potential to deliver a blowout punch to Western Kentucky and it is now catching the Hilltoppers trying to survive as they work their way through a long list of injuries to key players, including two starters. We know for certain Jamal Cook, Western Kentucky’s senior guard and its second-leading scorer (14.5 points per game), is out with stress fracture, that guard T.J. Price, the team’s leading scorer (16.9 points per game), has missed the last three games with a severe ankle injury and will be a game-time decision. Also missing today will be key reserve, guard Kevin Kaspar, out with a hamstring injury. This has left the point guard position in the hands of junior college transfer Brandon Harris who handled the chores quite well against Murray State and then fell apart against the defense of VCU and Western lost, 76-44. If Western thought the VCU defense was tough, they have not seen anything yet. The 4th-ranked Cardinals are best known for their high-octane offense (78.1 points per game) but it has been lost to most they also play lock-down defense, giving up just 55.5 points per game. And just in case you are concerned Louisville might take it easy, forget about it. The Cardinals, which have lost only to top-ranked Duke, on a neutral floor, 76-71, show no mercy to anyone—a fact illustrated by blowout wins over the weak teams on their schedule, including that in three of their last four games they have crushed Florida International by 24 points, 79-55, Missouri-Kansas City by 42 points, 99-47, and Charleston by 48 points, 80-32. The last thing opponents get from Louisville is sympathy. It simply is not in its genes. All the ingredients are present for a major blowout and there is every reason to believe Louisville will get it.

25 Units
UNLV (-14) over Canisius
10:00 PM -- Thomas & Mack Center
UNLV (10-1) -14 over Canisius (8-2)
Prediction: UNLV by 20-21
Played at Thomas & Mack Center (9,522) in Las Vegas Starting Time: 10:05 No TV Comments: When these teams played last year, UNLV absolutely dominated, winning 95-70, and there is little reason to expect a different result this time around. UNLV is absolutely loaded with blue-chip talent and has a front line, headed by sensational freshman Anthony Bennett (19.4 points, 8.6 rebounds per game), that is as good as it gets and that can dominate Canisius. The Runnin’ Rebels will be by far the quickest, most talented and athletic team the Golden Griffins have faced this season and UNLV will come out firing, noting Canisius comes into this off a 72-62 win at Temple. I look for complete domination in this one.

15 Units
San Diego St (-10½) over San Francisco
6:00 PM -- Stan Sheriff Center
San Diego State (9-1) -10 ½ over San Francisco (5-4)
Prediction: San Diego State by 17-18
Played on neutral floor as part of the Diamond Head Classic at Stan Sheriff Center (10,300) in Honolulu, Hawaii Starting Time: 6:35 TV: ESPNU Comments; San Diego State has quietly become a major player in the world of college basketball and my figures say the Aztecs are a top-10 team, despite the fact they are not even ranked in the Top 25. They returned four of five starters from last year’s 26-8 NCAA team and will be going for their 10th straight win after opening the season with a 62-49 loss to 3rd-ranked Syracuse (10-0) in a game played on the deck of an aircraft carrier. San Francisco got off to a fast start but is the middle of a major slump where in three straight losses they have hit 38% or less of their field. Pre-season Mountain West Conference player of the year, 6-5 junior guard Jamaal Franklin (18.6 points, 9.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 15 steals), will be back in the starting lineup today after sitting out a game with a sore back. San Francisco has not played a team this talented, athletic or quick in a long time and I do expect the Dons to be overwhelmed by this group of sky-walkers who left for Honolulu determined to win this tournament.

15 Units
Florida (-9½) over Kansas State
8:00 PM -- Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO
Florida (8-1) -9 ½ over Kansas State (8-2)
Prediction: Florida by 13-14
Played on a neutral floor at the Sprint Center (19,000) in Kansas City, Missouri Starting Time: 8:05 TV: ESPN2 Comments: Eighth-ranked Florida is 2 points short of having a perfect 9-0 record, with its only loss a one-point decision at 4th-ranked Arizona (9-0), something that speaks to the quality of this Gators team. Florida bounced right back off that loss and crushed Southeastern Louisiana by 39 points, 82-43, and it is of note before the loss in Tucson the Gators had won their first seven games by an average of 25.3 points with signature wins at Florida State, 72-47, and over Marquette, 82-49, and Wisconsin, 74-56, in Gainesville. Kansas State is having an excellent season and its two losses have come 2nd-ranked Michigan, 71-57, and at 14th-ranked Gonzaga, 68-52. But, with that said, Florida has all the blue-chip talent and that should produce another big win for the Gators.

10 Units
Washington (+5½) over Boise State
3:30 PM --
Maaco Las Vegas Bowl
Played at Sam Boyd Stadium (36,800), Artificial Turf, Las Vegas
Washington (7-5) +5 ½ over Boise State (10-2)
Prediction: Washington by 3-4
Weather: Partly cloudy, game-time temperatures in low 50s-to-low 40s, wind out of the south-southwest at 11 miles per hour.
Starting Time: 3:35
TV: ESPN
Comments: I have seen Boise State play four times this season and Washington five times and have to go with the underdog Huskies to get the money straight up. First of all, this is not a typical Boise State kick-your-butt with a mile-a-second offense and a lockdown defense. The Broncos have played a weak schedule and split their four games with the best teams they met, losing at Michigan State, 17-13, and at home to San Diego State, 21-19, while beating Fresno State, 20-10, and BYU, 7-6, at home. Washington is a team that was up and down all season and was a contradiction from start to finish, beating Rose Bowl-bound Stanford, 17-13,as a 6 ½ point underdog in the fourth game of the season and then in its final game losing to a bad Washington State team, 31-28, as a 14-point favorite. In most respects this is a dead-even matchup in which both teams have a 50% chance of winning and that makes taking the points the thing to do. This is Boise State’s third straight year to appear in this game and in its last two it beat Arizona State, 56-24, and Utah, 26-3.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Southeast at 1-10 m.p.h. (Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, NV) Game-time temperature: Around 50.
New Orleans Bowl

10 Units
East Carolina/Ul Lafayette OVER 67½ Points
12:00 PM --
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Played at Mercedes Benz Superdome (76,468), Artificial Turf, in New Orleans
East Carolina (8-4)-LA-Lafayette (8-4) Over 67 ½ Points
Prediction: 78 or more points will be scored
Starting Time: 12:05
TV: ESPN
Comments: LA-Lafayette and East Carolina matchup well and for the most part appear to have an equal chance of winning this game and that means the best bet is the total for a very obvious reason. Neither team puts much emphasis on defense and that is reflected in all the figures. LA-Lafayette averages 443.6 yards and 34.8 points per game and has a defense that gives up 427.8 yards and 27.8 points per outing. East Carolina averages 408.6 yards and 31.2 points per game while its defense surrenders 418.7 yards and 30.7 points. In its final game of the season, East Carolina, beat Marshall, 65-59, while in its last two games LA-Lafayette scored a total of 87 points while giving up 51. If ever a game had “shoot-out” written all over it, it is this one.
Game is being played inside a dome. (Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA)

10 Units
Lions (+4½) over Falcons
8:30 PM -- Ford Field
DETROIT LIONS (4-10) +4.5 over Atlanta Falcons (12-2)
Prediction: Lions by 3-4
Starting Time: 8:35
TV: ESPN
Comments: Atlanta can lock up the home field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win but despite that incentive is meeting a desperate team that finds many players trying to save their jobs. That too makes the Lions incentive-driven. In picking them to win this game, it would be easy to say they are much better than their record but I am not so sure that is true of a team thought at the beginning of the season to be a Super Bowl contender. So, why Detroit today? First of all these teams are in major polar-opposite bounce modes—the Falcons in a negative position off a 34-0 win over the New York Giants last week, the Lions in a positive position off a dreadful 38-10 loss at Arizona to a team that had lost nine straight. Teams that play as well as did Atlanta last week historically play below their expected performance profile in their next game while just the opposite is true of a team that played as badly as did Detroit last week. It is also worthy of note that in its last three home games, all losses, came by an average of 3 points—to Indianapolis, 35-33, to Houston, 34-31, and to Green Bay, 24-20. The bottom line: Detroit is in the right spot to get it done today.
Game is being played inside a dome.

10 Units
Falcons/Lions UNDER 51 Points
8:30 PM -- Ford Field
DETROIT LIONS-Atlanta Falcons Under 51 points
Prediction: 45 or less points will be scored
Comments: Atlanta sent a strong signal in its 34-0 win over the New York Giants of how it intends to close out this season, running the football more and passing it less. Against the Giants, the Falcons ran the ball 35 times while passing it 28 times and I look for more of the same today, creating a situation that will be more ball control than a high-octane game. That alone should hold down the score and we know for sure Detroit is no offensive giant. As a matter of record, Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has just 17 touchdown passes this season while throwing 44 last year.
Game is being played inside a dome.

5 Units
Side/Total Parlay
Lions (+4½) over Falcons
Falcons/Lions UNDER 51 Points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KB Hoops

College Hoops
7 units Missouri -1.5 **POD**
5 units Illinois-Chicago -4
4 units USC/Georgia OVer 113

NBA
5 units Atlanta Hawks -3.5

College Bowls 5-1 +18.6 units
5 units Boise State -4.5

NFL
4 units Detroit Lions +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS
13-3 RUN (81%)
15 DEC 5-0
16 DEC 1-0
17 DEC 2-0
18 DEC 1-1
19 DEC 2-1
20 DEC 1-0
21 DEC 1-1
22 DEC
549 GEORGE MASON +4
575 TEXAS CHRISTIAN -2
556 UC RIVERSIDE +9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN 600*

Boise St -5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny Stevens plays
20 NCST
10 Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report for Saturday(early report)
Football
100 Lafayette
100 UNDER Boise
Basketball
50 USC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky's Winners Circle

DECEMBER 22
FREE PLAY (152-78-1)

OREGON STATE -7 over San Diego

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports CBB (13-0 run)

4 Unit Play. #522 Take Georgia -2.5 over USC (1:30 pm FSN)

Both of these BCS Conference teams are bad; however, the Trojans hate their coach along with every other person in the industry and it is only a matter of time before he is given the boot. Kevin O'Neil is an agitator and has not shown an inability to change especially when his team has certain strengths. The Dawgs have played a pretty difficult schedule thus far and they are ready for some home cooking and expect them to take out their frustrations on USC. USC is 6-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games overall. Georgia is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games played on Saturday.

6 Unit Play. #539 Take Arizona State -1 over Texas Tech (2 pm FSN SW)

Top College Play of the Weekend. I must admit that I am shocked that Coach Herb Sendek turned this program around thus far in 2012/2013 as he entered the season squared on the hot seat. But he hired a couple of NBA guys as assistant coaches and the team is off to an impressive 9-2 start although their schedule has not been that challenging. This will be their first true road game of the season; however, United Spirit Arena will likely be half empty and will not provide much of a home court edge for the home team. The Red Raiders have been in disarray with an interim coach and not much talent on the roster. They are 5-3 on the season but have yet to leave Lubbock and do not shoot it well at all from the field, especially the 3-point line (27%). They have lost three of their last 4 games with their only win during this span coming against Northern Kentucky (whoever that is). Granted, they did lose by just 4 points to Alabama this week, but that is misleading since they never led in that game and trailed by as much as twenty points. ASU has turned the corner and will only get better as the season goes and will pull away late to win this game with ease. Texas Tech is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games.

4 Unit Play. #571 Take Florida -10 over Kansas State (8 pm ESPN 2)

I was going to be all over this line had it come in around three, but the line makers put it higher than that but I still do not believe that it is enough points since Florida is a much better team than Kansas State. One must remember that this game is in Kansas City and not Manhattan, KS and thus much of the home court advantage is negated. Florida is loaded at every position on the court and to make no bones about it, we had no business winning that game last Saturday with Arizona. I expect the Gators to jump out early on KSU and cruise to a much needed non-conference victory outside the state of Florida. The two good teams that the Wildcats this season (Michigan & Gonzaga) they got blown out. Florida is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. KSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. If this game is close, the Gators likely lose it straight-up (since they choke ala Arizona, Louisville (2012), or Butler (2011), but I just do not see this game being under double digits.

4 Unit Play. #596 Take Portland +12.5 over Colorado State (10:30 pm)

This is a neutral site game and I truly believe that CSU is not good enough to be laying this much wood against anybody away from Fort Collins. The Rams have a new coach and they are off to a nice start at 8-2, but they do have a bad loss against UIC. These two teams have played the same two teams in their last two games (North Florida and UCSB) going a combined 4-0 in those game and thus I expect that the talent is equal and this will be a competitive game for 40 minutes. Portland has better talent than their 6-6 record would indicate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

executive

Sat, Dec. 22

12:00

BOWL

200%

E.Carolina +6'

over UL Lafayette


3:30

BOWL

200%

Boise St -4'

over Washington


8:30

NFL

200%

Detroit +4

over Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Budin 50 Dimes

Syracuse -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carolina Sports
5 ULL over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at New Orleans

The Pacers look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 home games. Indiana is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 22 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Chicago at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.539; Atlanta 118.243 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 183 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.346; Washington 117.243 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5; 181 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1; 185 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1); Under

Game 505-506: Utah at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.415; Miami 124.390 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 205 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+9 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Memphis at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.617; Houston 125.107 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1; 197 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-1); Under

Game 509-510: Indiana at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.936; New Orleans 113.192 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 182 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 178 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Cleveland at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 109.694; Milwaukee 120.514 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 11; 183 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Charlotte at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.121; Denver 124.810 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 16 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 15 1/2; 208 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Phoenix at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.770; Portland 120.705 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3; 208 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: LA Lakers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 117.372; Golden State 123.493 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 209 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
Millionaire - CFB East Carolina
Pinnacle - CFB Washington
No Limit - NFL Lions