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Jeff Benton
40 Dime
New England
40 Dime
New England
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Chuck O'Brien
75 Dime
Tampa BayComment
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Matt Rivers
300K
Green BayComment
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Steve Budin
50 Dime
NO / DALL OverComment
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Craig Davis
JAGS/SEA 75 Dime TeaserComment
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King Creole TOY
Wash/Philly Over 45.5 gameComment
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KELSO
100 Units
NFL Blowout Game Of Week
Patriots (-14½) over Jaguars
1:00 PM -- EverBank Field
Prediction: Patriots by 24-27
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: CBS Comments: There is no average ever in playing the New England Patriots but to get them coming off a loss is an open invitation to getting one’s butt kicked, and that is just the situation the punchless Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves in today. The Patriots had their seven-game winning streak snapped last week at home when they lost to the San Francisco 49ers, 41-34, despite a furious rally that just fell short. They could not find a better opponent against which to bounce back than Jacksonville, a team that averages just 284.6 yards and 15.6 points per game. The bottom line is right there in those figures. There Is no way the Jaguars are going to keep up with a New England offense that averages 432.4 yards and 36.1 points per game. This one has “blowout” written all over it.
50 Units
NFL Game Of Week
Bengals (+3½) over Steelers
1:00 PM -- Heinz Field
Prediction: Bengals by 6-7
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: CBS Comments: This is a matchup of teams headed in opposite directions. Cincinnati is 5-1 in its last six games while Pittsburgh is 1-4 in its last five. The one thing they do have in common is the fact both need to win their last two games to insure a spot in the playoffs. When Cincinnati and Pittsburgh met the first time this season, the Bengals opened up a 14-3 lead before losing, 24-17, but the latter is a much better team right now with the emergence of running back Ben-Jarvis Green-Ellis has gone over 100 yards rushing in the team’s last four wins. And then there is the issue of trouble in paradise. Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger finally boiled over last week and said many negative things about the team’s new offense under first-year offensive coordinator Todd Haley. He later said he didn’t mean those things but he did. I pointed out two weeks ago it was quite obvious Roethlisberger had lost all confidence in his offensive line and the team’s running game and for the first time in his career was looking over his shoulder and playing scared. That situation does not bode well for Pittsburgh when playing a very physical Bengals team
15 Units
Seahawks (-1) over 49ers
8:20 PM -- CenturyLink Field
Prediction: Seahawks by 7
Starting Time: 8:20 TV: NBC Comments: There are many handicapping elements in play here but three outweigh all the rest. First of all nobody is playing better right now that the Seahawks who in their last two games won 50-7 at Buffalo and at home 58-0 over Arizona. It does not get better than that on offense and signals Seattle has become the complete team, one with a high-octane offense to go with a lockdown defense that gives up just 277.5 yards and 11.5 points per game at home. Then there is the issue of San Francisco being in a negative bounce mode, coming off last week’s giant upset win at New England, 41-34. The figures suggest the 49ers will have to play that well again to beat Seattle and teams in negative bounce form can seldom do that. When these teams played the first time this season, on October 18, in San Francisco, the 49ers were 7 ½ point favorites and won, 13-6.Seattle is a much better team now and rookie quarterback Russell Wilson is at the top of his game, and has thrown 11 touchdowns with but one interception in his last six games. Seattle is 6-0 at home and will be the best team one the field today.
10 Units
Titans (+12½) over Packers
1:00 PM -- Lambeau Field
Prediction: Packers by 7-9
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: CBS Comments: There is little doubt in my mind Green Bay will win this game but the cover is very much in doubt. First of all, the Packers are in the playoffs but are still playing for a first round bye and home field advantage and in the second game of the post-season. To do that they almost have to win in this spot today and next week at Minnesota. In my handicapping world this opens up this game, which will be played in bitter cold and with a foot of snow on the ground, to the back-door cover. I look for Green Bay to put the game away and then let up the rest of the way in order to have some extra gas in the tank when they meet the Vikings.
10 Units
Rams (+3) over Buccaneers
1:00 PM -- Raymond James Stadium
Prediction: Rams by -7
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: FOX Comments: As unlikely as it might sound the St. Louis Rams are still alive for a spot In the playoffs and will most certainly bring their “A” game in this one. The Rams had no answers for Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson and lost to the Vikings, 36-22, but today face a far less formidable opponent. Tampa Bay peaked early this season, getting off to a 6-4 start, but has since lost four straight. The St. Louis duo of quarterback Sam Bradford and running back Steven Jackson are primed to play their best games of the season today and that should get it done. It also is a major boost for St. Louis that Bucs quarterback Josh Freeman has come unglued and has completed less than 50% of his passes in his last three games—a figure that will alone get a team buried in the NFL.Comment
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5Lines
Total Line for 12/23/2012
(Won last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : o186.5
Cost: -110
Run Line for 12/23/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Utah Jazz : -2
Cost: -110Comment
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Jimmy Boyd 12/23
5* (NBA) Brooklyn Nets -5.5
5* (NFL) Cincinnati Bengals +3.5
4* (CBB) Northern Iowa +2.5
4* (NFL) Seattle Seahawks +1.5
3* (NFL) Kansas City Chiefs +7Comment
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Sixth Sense
Over DallasComment
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Magnum Marc 12/23
Colts -5.5
Packers -10.5
Pats -14
Steelers -3
Saints +1
Saints over 52
Bears -6.5
Browns +13
Giants -1Comment
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Jack Jones
15* Nets-5.5, Dallas -2.5, Texans -7.5, Bears -5, Seattle +1
25* Pitt -3Comment
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Mark Franco
49ers / Seahawks Over 38.5Comment
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4 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs - COLTS -6.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 4.36 units to win 4.00 units) The Colts enter this week's game 9-5 and a win will get them into the post season with a Wild Card spot. Indianapolis is 3-4 on the road this year and are coming off a road loss in Houston, but they had won 3 straight games prior to that loss and 7 of 8. The Kansas City Chiefs are 2-12 on the season and just 1-6 at home this year. They've lost two straight games since a 27-21 victory over Carolina, scoring just 7 points in a 30-7 loss @ Cleveland and then being shut out in a 15-0 loss in Oakland. The Chiefs have lost 10 of their last 11 games overall. Indy ranks 9th overall in the NFL on offense and are averaging 22.1 ppg, while the Chiefs rank 25th and are scoring a league worst 13.9 ppg. Kansas City has put up single digits in 5 of their last 10 games, and have scored over the 16 points just once in those 10 games. Defensively the Chiefs rank 18th and are giving up 26.2 papg, and the Colts are ranked 21st giving up 25.6 papg. Take note that the Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 following a loss. The Chiefs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs AFC opponents. Indianapolis has only won 2 games by 7+ points this year, but I think there is a good chance they make it their 3rd this week facing the leagues worst scoring team. The Colts need a win to secure a playoff spot and they don't want to go into Week 17 needing a victory. Look for the Colts to come out big and take care of business against a bad Chiefs team.
*4 UNIT = Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles - REDSKINS -4.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 4.36 units to win 4.00 units)
The line has moved up to -6 in most places since Redskins QB Robert Griffin III is now probably for Sunday's game. The Redskins are 8-6 on the season and can get into the playoffs by winning out in Week 16 and 17. They are 4-3 on the road and have won 5 straight games entering Sunday's meeting with the Eagles. Wins have come against Cleveland, Baltimore, New York Giants, Dallas, and Philadelphia. The win over Philly came in Washington in November winning 31-6 as 3.5 point favorites. Philadelphia had won their two meetings last season, but this is a different Eagles team. Philadelphia is just 4-10 on the year and 2-5 at home. They are also just 3-10-1 ATS this season. Although they have 4 wins, they started the season 3-1 and have since gone 1-9. Their latest was a 34-13 loss last Thursday vs Cincinnati at home. Also note that their 4 wins have come by a combined 6 points, and this Eagles team could be 0-14 right now. Washington ranks 4th in the NFL on offense and are averaging 27.2 ppg, while the Eagles rank 15th but are averaging just 18.1 ppg (putting them ahead of just 3 teams). It looks like rookie RG3 will be starting Sunday and he has had an amazing rookie season completing 66.4% of his passes for 18 TDs and just 4 INTs for a 104.2 QB Rating. He has also added 748 yards on the ground with 6 rushing TDs. The Eagles will go with Nick Foles as their QB who is completing 59.4% of his passes with 5 TDs and 4 INTs for a 77.6 QB Rating. Note that while Philadelphia ranks 16th in defense compared to the Redskins who are 29th, the Eagles are giving up 26.8 papg while Washington is giving up 25 papg. Also note that the Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double digit loss at home. Also take note that Washington has done well in Philadelphia covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Philly. Philadelphia will have troubles stopping Washington's offense and I can't see the Eagles keeping this tight as they have shown no motivation lately. Take the Redskins for a 4 unit play.
2 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins - DOLPHINS -4 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 2.08 units to win 2.00 units)
The Bills will travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins after an embarrassing 50-17 loss in Toronto vs the Seahawks. The loss dropped the Bills to 5-9 on the season and they are just 2-5 on the road. They've lost two straight (Seattle and St Louis) and 6 of their last 8 games overall. One of those two wins was a 19-14 victory at home over Miami, but Buffalo hasn't looked good scoring 20+ points just once in their last 5 games. The Dolphins started off the season well and looked like they might be surprising everyone battling for a playoff spot late, but they've dropped 5 of 7 to fall to 6-8 on the year. The Dolphins are a solid 4-3 at home this year though. They are coming off a 24-3 victory over Jacksonville as 7.5 point favorites. Neither the Dolphins or Bills have had much success offensively this season with the Bills ranking 20th and the Dolphins 27th, but Miami has been much better defensively than the Bills. Miami ranks 17th in the league and are giving up just 19.9 papg while the Bills are ranked 24th and giving up a high 28.7 papg. The Bills won their first meeting this season, but the Dolphins won both last year including a 35-8 final score in Miami. Note that the Bills are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 December games. The Dolphins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs AFC opponents, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs divisional opponents, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 December games. When these two teams meet the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings Neither team has been impressive as of late, but the Dolphins are coming off a convincing home win and their defense should be able to help them win and cover vs the Bills at home.
2 UNIT = Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers - BENGALS +4 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)
This divisional game between the Bengals and Steelers will feel like a playoff game as both teams are battling for the playoffs. The Steelers need to win out in order to grab a Wild Card spot, as they would hold the head-to-head edge over Cincinnati as they beat them 24-17 earlier this season in Cincinnati. The Bengals enter the game 8-6 overall but a very solid 5-2 on the road. They have won 5 of their last 6 games including an impressive performance in a 34-13 road victory in Philadelphia on Thursday night. Their lone loss during that stretch was a 20-19 loss vs Dallas where they lead for most of the game but gave it up late. The Steelers are 7-7 on the year and 4-2 at home. Pittsburgh has lost 4 of their last 5 games with losses to Baltimore, Cleveland, San Diego, and an overtime loss to Dallas last weekend. They are just 5-8-1 ATS this season and 2-7 ATS in games they've been favored. The Bengals are averaging almost 4 more ppg than the Steelers, and although the Steelers defense is #1 overall the Bengals are actually giving up just 0.1 papg than Pittsburgh. Note that Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a win. The Steelers are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs AFC opponents, and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Being basically a must win for both teams I think we will see a tight game, and I will take the Bengals and the points.
2 UNIT = San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks - SEAHAWKS +1 (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)
This is a big divisional game and possibly an eventual playoff match up as the 49ers enter this game 10-3-1 while the Seahawks are 9-5. San Francisco is 5-2 on the road, and are coming off a huge 41-34 win vs the Patriots in New England on Sunday night. The 49ers lead big and almost gave up a huge lead, but ended up holding off Brady and the Pats. The 49ers have won 4 of their last 5 games being led now by QB Colin Kaepernick who has been solid with a 7:2 TD:INT ratio and a 101.4 QB Rating. The Seahawks are a perfect 6-0 at home this year and are also playing great football lately, winning 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. Their last two victories have been by a combined score of 108-17, and they've put up 21+ points in 7 straight games. Rookie QB Russell Wilson is leading the charge with 21 TDs, 9 INTs, and a 95.5 QB Rating, while adding 402 yards on the ground and 3 TDs. These two teams are very comparable on both offense and defense, both ranking in the mid to upper rankings on offense and being #2 and #3 on defense. They are both allowing 15.6 papg putting them a tie for first in the league in that category. The 49ers won 13-6 in their first meeting earlier this year in San Francisco, but things will be much different in Seattle as the Seahawks have one of the best (if not the best) home field advantage in the NFL. The Seahawks are an amazing 40-19-2 ATS in their last 61 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs divisional opponents. This will be the first real big test for 49ers QB Kaepernick and although I'm sure he will do OK, I think the Seahawks stay unbeaten at home this year with a big divisional victory. I'll take the Seahawks +1.
Let's get it this week, Kevin
NFLBettingPicksComment
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Inside Sports Report
5* Wa/Phil overComment
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