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#1: Take Buffalo Bills at +5 spread against Miami Dolphins risking 2 units. (1:00 pm)
This line opened at +4 and has since moved up to +5 in many places such as 5dimes.
If you get this line at +4 or +4.5, they're also fine.
#2: Take NY Giants at -1 spread against Baltimore Ravens risking 2 units. (4:25 pm)
This line can be found at -1.5 as well as pk which is what it opened up as. Any of those are fine.
College Football
No plays today.
NBA
#1: Take Phoenix Suns at +6.5 spread against LA Clippers risking 2 units. (8:05 pm)
What this game boils down to is simply a statistical advantage, nothing more than that. I would be lying if I sat here and told you that the Suns were a better team than the Clippers this season. That could not be any further from the truth. Everyone knows how good the Clippers are and everyone pretty much knows how bad Phoenix has struggled this season with the loss of Steve Nash to the team. The Clippers have won 12 games in a row. They have tied the Thunder for the longest winning streak of the season. But just like the Thunder the other night, the Clippers are at a statistical disadvantage tonight.
3-Unit Play. #806. Take Over 187.5 Utah Jazz vs. Orlando Magic (Sunday @ 6:05pm est).
The Magic do not have Glen Davis in this game but that should be fine for the over. I've always believed when a star player is out a team steps up. For example, the report came out that Davis was out after I had released my selection on the Magic the other night at Toronto but they still covered. I wasn't too worried as teams typically do come together when a star is out and the Magic ended up losing by 3 on the 3.5 number. Similar to that, you have a Magic team returning home from a tough loss to Toronto on the road (who is playing well ever since Bargnani called his team out). Combine that with the Jazz nearing the end of their road trip and looking forward to going back home, I wouldn't be surprised to see Orlando win this game and its a decent public fade. But, the Jazz come off a tough loss to the Heat scoring less than 90 points which makes me wary as they ended up losing that game by double-digits. I like the over with the sense that the Jazz have a better offensive output than the sub 90 in their last game and also the Magic as they return home from a loss and have one game underneath their belt without Davis. The line has moved towards the Magic in this game as they have revenge from an earlier season loss to the Jazz. I'd rather take the Over as I think this game the benchmark of this game is the Minnesota contest when the final score was 102-93 (a game in which we took the Magic to win outright) and don't be surprised if this game likely goes over. The first time these two teams met the game went well under in Utah and I believe this game will have a quicker pace to it. The Over is 11-5 for the Jazz on 0 days rest and I like the Jazz to have a better offensive output than their last game and the Magic to hold their own with revenge as well.
Leans: Kings -1 because Cousins is suspended in this game and I think they rally, I laid off only because Portland is playing well now. Also, lean on the Magic with revenge, but thought the Over was the safer play.
Root
Millionaire - Cardinals
Billionaire - Vikings
No Limit - Eagles
Inner Circle - Bills Pinnacle - Ravens
Perfect Play - Steelers
Total of the Year - Under Seahawks
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