12-25-12

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Vegas Runner

3* GOW over bulls/rockets
2* bulls -4.5

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

3-Unit Play. #511. Take San Francisco -11.5 over East Tennessee State (Tuesday @ 2pm est).

3-Unit Play. #514. Take Hawaii +8.5 over Ole Miss (Tuesday @ 4:30pm est).

San Francisco is looking to avoid coming up empty handed on this to Hawaii as this tournament has not treated them well. San Fran is coached by Rex Walters who is an up and coming coach that had his team going in the right direction early on with a 5-1 record including beating a top 100 St. John's team at home by 15 points. Ever since then, as this team has moved away from home, they have struggled losing by 8 to Pacific, 8 to Nevada, still being hungover as they faced Holy Cross at home from those two losses and losing by 10. Things didn't get better as they faced San Diego State and lost by 22 and most recently to Ole Miss by 7. This is a team that is looking to burst out with a big win at least for their morale and this is when East Tennessee State comes knocking. State comes off a tough loss to Hawaii by 23 points and this is a team that only averages 57.7 points per game. If San Fran can get their outside shot going which is what their known for as they are familiar with this setting having played a few games here by now, they should score in the 75 range here. San Fran is still a top 40 three point shooting team and a top 50 turnover percentage team and I wouldn't be surprised if Rex gets after his guys for a blowout here. Hawaii is the home team here. They have played well in this tournament coming off beating East Tennessee State by 23 points. If this team can play UNLV on the road and lose by 14 points and lose to Illinois at home by 1 point in overtime, I can take them at getting 8.5 points against an overrated Ole Miss team in my opinion. Adam Kennedy's team is a good team but they are an unproven commodity away from home losing to Indiana State by 2 points for example and recently beating San Fran by 7 points. For as good as Ole Miss they are outside the top 250 in free throw shooting and outside the top 200 in 3 point shooting and in essentially an away game here, look for Ole Miss to show some jitters in what could be a tight game all the way through. Hawaii was down 22-21 against Miami in the first half before the Hurricanes blew them away for 51 points in the second half. I believe Hawaii learned a lot from that contest and Ole Miss went to the line 30 times in the San Francisco game which I don't see that happening in this game and Ole Miss also shot 9 for 19 from behind the arc which is 47.4% which is above their season mark of 31.2% and 65.3% from the line (they shot 24/30 form the line). I don't see Ole Miss getting as many calls in this game and it will be difficult for them to duplicate that kind of shooting performance like they did against San Francisco.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. #508. Take Chicago Bulls -4.5 over Houston Rockets (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).

3-Unit Play. #510. Take Under 202 Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers (Tuesday @ 10:35pm est).

The Chicago Bulls have been waiting to get out on the court after their horrendous game against Atlanta. It was a game that Atlanta had revenge plus the Bulls were coming off an emotional win at New York which made for a let down spot and Atlanta took advantage of it routing them from start to finish. The Bulls return back home and they have been a good bounce-back team all year as they are one of the best coached teams in the league. Despite Rose's injury this team still has 15 wins already on the year and sits at 15-11. And, Houston beat the Bulls 93-89 earlier this year and the Bulls are one of the better teams in the league at getting revenge typically. The Rockets also come off a monster win against the Grizzlies scoring more than 120 points in that win and they are likely in for a let down playing one of the best defensive teams on the road who held Houston to 93 points in Houston. As good as the Rockets are this year, they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road and the Bulls are 5-2 ATS coming off an ATS loss. This is the last game on the board and everyone will be on the Over. It reminds me of the Irvine game against USC a while back in college ball when everyone was on USC. Sometimes you just want to take the biggest public fade on the board on the last game of the night just because. These two teams are very familiar with each other. When people see the Clippers they are reminded of a team with a potent offense but fail to realize this is a very solid defensive team especially at home. This team has made a commitment to make a run at the Championship now and sit at 21-6 this year just crushing teams including their last win against Phoenix 103-77. In fact, the last 4 straight Clipper games and last 7 of 8 have quietly gone under. Combine that with the rebounding and length of the Nuggets this year there will be relatively limited possessions as well. The defensive intensity usually goes up in a nationally televised game as well which bodes well for the Under. This is why on nationally televised game people love to take the over and it usually goes under. The Under is 15-6-1 when they come off a straight up win of more than 10 points (the Nuggets have a tendency to have a let down after a big win) and the Under is interestingly 6-0 when the Clippers come off a straight up win of 10 points or more as well.

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Scott Spreitzer

Rockets / Bulls Under

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Big Al has 3* on OKC today; and on Thursday 5* on Bowling Green and 3* on Duke and 3* UCLA

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Sports Betting Professor Original NBA - 12/25 early pick

Original NBA Play
504. Los Angeles Lakers -4

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Marco D'angelo NBA
den +7 ** nba

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Mike Hook
Lakers -3.5
Triple Dime