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BIG AL's 100% 5* COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
Michigan at South Carolina Jan 1 2013 1:00PM
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over South Carolina, as U-M falls into 13-0, 34-10, 179-120, 22-8, 21-4, 57-33 and 23-2 ATS Bowl systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 13-0 angle. It hasn't lost since 1980 What we want to do is play on any .600 (or better) team not favored by more than 6 points, provided it didn't win its last regular season game, and is not playing on the road in its bowl game, if it's matched up against a foe off an upset win as a 6-point (or greater) underdog. With South Carolina in off an upset win over Clemson (as a 6.5-point dog), and Michigan in off a loss to Ohio State, we'll play on the Maize and Blue on New Year's Day. Take the points with Michigan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Prediction: Michigan
BIG AL's 65.2% ATS NEW YEAR'S DAY FOOTBALL SMASH!
Purdue at Oklahoma St. Jan 1 2013 12:00PM
At 12 Noon, on New Year' Day, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Oklahoma State. This pointspread represents the largest line of any Bowl game this season, and the largest line of any Bowl game in over 10 seasons. The last time we saw a pointspread this big in the Bowls was Dec. 27, 2002 when Kansas State and Arizona State squared off in the Holiday Bowl, and the underdog Sun Devils covered in a 7-point loss. Indeed, one has to go back all the way to Jan. 1, 1995 to find an underdog of this magnitude which didn't cover its bowl game (Oregon vs. Penn State), and even there, it failed by just a single point (Oregon lost 38-20 as a 17-point dog). Let's grab the points with Purdue here, as double digit underdogs are always good bets in the Post-Season (60% ATS over the past 33 years), including 65.2% since 1981 if they're not off back to back SU/ATS Wins (which Purdue isn't). Take the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
4-STAR DETROIT over Sacramento - Detroit might not be the kind of team used expect to be able to trusted as a favorite. However they are 5-1 ATS in their past six as a favorite this season and have won seven straight games outright as a favorite. Traveling across country on New Year's Day is not a spot you want Sacramento in.
Detroit has won two straight including 96-94 over Milwaukee last game. They had led big in that game before holding on. The Pistons are 6-0 ATS (9.0 ppg) since January 17, 2005 at home off a win of four points or fewer in which they held a 15+ lead.
They committed just 13 fouls in the loss. The Pistons are 8-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since March 16, 2008 after a home win in which they were whistled for fewer than 15 personal fouls.
Of the 39 baskets Detroit made in that game, just 16 were assisted. The Pistons are 11-0 ATS (6.6 ppg) since December 01, 2000 at home in the regular season with at least one day of rest after a win in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted.
Sacramento is off a 118-96 win over Boston. They scored 22.5 points more than expected in that game. The Kings are 0-12-1 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since April 23, 2005 as a road dog after a win in which their DPS was between 15 and 30 points. Mo< These teams played in the first week of the season, with Sacramento winning 105-103. Detroit was led by Greg Monroe in the loss with 21 points. The Pistons are 4-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since March 26, 2011 as a favorite after losing the previous matchup in which Greg Monroe was the Pistons' high scorer.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREIDCTION: DETROIT 100, Sacramento 88
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