1-2-13

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/02/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 307-142 (.684)
ATS: 226-228 (.498)
ATS Vary Units: 706-637 (.526)
Over/Under: 240-214 (.529)
Over/Under Vary Units: 403-333 (.548)

TORONTO 99, Portland 96
Chicago 90, ORLANDO 88
CLEVELAND 102, Sacramento 101
INDIANA 99, Washington 84
Memphis vs. BOSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MIAMI 106, Dallas 93
San Antonio 104, MILWAUKEE 98
HOUSTON 105, New Orleans 94
OKLAHOMA CITY 108, Brooklyn 91
UTAH 104, Minnesota 98
PHOENIX 98, Philadelphia 95
L.A. Clippers 101, GOLDEN STATE 99

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Oklahoma State (-17) Tuesday.

Wednesday it’s Florida. The surplus is 50 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 958 - 713 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner WED: Tulsa - 3 1/2

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Football Crusher
Louisville + Florida OVER 46
(System Record: 45-5, won last game)
Overall Record: 45-53-4

Basketball Crusher
Los Angeles Clippers + Golden State Warriors OVER 200.5
(System Record: 33-3, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 33-26-0


Soccer Crusher
Newcastle United + Everton UNDER 3
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 336-14, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 336-293-39

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Florida favored big over Louisville in Sugar Bowl
by Brian Graham

Sugar Bowl - New Orleans, LA
Kickoff: Wednesday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Florida -14, Total: 45.5

Florida looks to end the season with a dozen wins when it takes on heavy underdog Louisville in the Sugar Bowl on Wednesday night.

Louisville is 4-7 in bowls since 1998 and is only 3-6 ATS in the past nine contests this year, dropping two of the past three games outright. Florida is 6-1 in its past seven bowls, including two BCS Championships, but is just 1-4 ATS in its past five games in 2012. The Cardinals are led by QB Teddy Bridgewater, who ranks eighth in the nation in passing efficiency (8.9 YPA, 25 TD, 7 INT). However, the Gators allow a mere 12.9 PPG (3rd in FBS) and 283 total YPG (5th in nation). They also know how to run the football, gashing a strong Florida State defense for 244 yards on 47 carries (5.2 YPC) in the regular season finale.

Bridgewater hopes to be much sharper than he was in his last postseason game in the 2011 Meineke Car Care Bowl when he completed just 24-of-43 passes (55.8%) for 274 yards, 2 TD and 3 INT in 31-24 loss to NC State. He did come up big in the regular-season finale though, playing through a broken wrist and sore ankle and completing 20-of-28 passes (71.4%) for 263 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT in a 20-17 win at Rutgers to clinch the BCS bid as a Big East co-champion. It was his sixth straight game with at least 2 TD passes, throwing for a total of 16 TD and 4 INT during this stretch. Sophomore WR DeVante Parker has caught a touchdown pass in five straight games, as all nine of his scores on the year have occurred in the past eight games. He is certainly a big-play receiver with 18.7 yards per reception. With Senorise Perry (705 rush yds, 11 TD) suffering a season-ending knee injury, the Cardinals have relied on Jeremy Wright (740 rush yds, 9 TD) to carry the load. But Wright has been awful in the past three games, gaining 89 yards on 48 carries (1.9 YPC). One thing Louisville does very well is protecting the football, as the Cardinals have committed just 12 turnovers in 12 games, sporting a +9 TO margin. The Louisville defense is better than most, allowing just 345 total YPG (25th in FBS) and 23.8 PPG (36th in nation). However, the return game is brutal, as the Cardinals rank 5th-worst in the nation in kick returns (17.8 average) and 15th-worst in punt returns (4.2 average).

Gators QB Jeff Driskel has been slowed by an ankle injury, but he is expected to start on Wednesday. Driskel hasn't reached 200 passing yards in a game since September, but he has thrown a mere three interceptions in 216 pass attempts this season. Another player slowed by injury for this game is senior RB Mike Gillislee (1,104 rush yds, 10 TD), who hurt his ribs during his 140-yard, 2-TD outburst at Florida State on Nov. 24. He will start on Wednesday in hopes that he can repeat his 2010 Sugar Bowl success (five carries, 78 yards) in his final collegiate game. TE Jordan Reed leads Florida in both receptions (44) and receiving yards (552), but he hasn’t topped 85 yards this season and has scored touchdowns in just two different games. The Gators defense has been impressive in all facets, ranking 6th in FBS in defending the run (97 YPG) and 13th in pass defense (186 YPG). No FBS school is more efficient in defending the pass than Florida, which has 19 interceptions while allowing just five passing touchdowns on the season. These picks have helped the defense pile up 29 takeaways and produce a +17 turnover margin for the season.

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Davidson vs. Duke

The Wildcats look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against ACC teams. Davidson is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+13). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 725-726: Eastern Michigan at Kentucky (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 46.914; Kentucky 77.812 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 31; 122 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 26; 126 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-26); Under

Game 727-728: Kent State at Cleveland State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.079; Cleveland State 54.913 Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 1 Vegas Line: Kent State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+2)

Game 729-730: Nebraska at Ohio State (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 54.036; Ohio State 79.324 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25 1/2; 123 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 20 1/2; 126 Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-20 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Providence at Louisville (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Providence 60.812; Louisville 77.386 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Louisville by 18 Dunkel Pick: Providence (+18)

Game 733-734: Rutgers at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 59.591; Syracuse 76.889 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Syracuse by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-15 1/2)

Game 735-736: Towson at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Towson 48.182; NC-Wilmington 52.659 Dunkel Line: NC-Wilmington by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 2 Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (-2)

Game 737-738: Drexel at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 56.474; Georgia State 58.665 Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 2 Vegas Line: Georgia State by 1 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-1)

Game 739-740: James Madison at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 53.454; Old Dominion 57.598 Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 4 Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-2 1/2)

Game 741-742: Massachusetts at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 58.374; Miami (OH) 51.852 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-4 1/2)

Game 743-744: Xavier at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 60.746; Wake Forest 59.297 Dunkel Line: Xavier by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Xavier by 3 Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+3)

Game 745-746: Air Force at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 55.835; Richmond 58.662 Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3 Vegas Line: Richmond by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4 1/2)

Game 747-748: Pennsylvania at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 47.087; Butler 71.890 Dunkel Line: Butler by 25 Vegas Line: Butler by 21 Dunkel Pick: Butler (-21)

Game 749-750: Loyola-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 53.484; Valparaiso 63.228 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 9 Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-9)

Game 751-752: Creighton at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 72.095; Illinois State 68.146 Dunkel Line: Creighton by 4 Vegas Line: Creighton by 2 Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-2)

Game 753-754: Buffalo at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 54.013; Tulsa 58.580 Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Tulsa by 4 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-4)

Game 755-756: Wichita State at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 68.866; Drake 59.702 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 9 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-6 1/2)

Game 757-758: Indiana State at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 57.674; Northern Iowa 65.470 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 8 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-6 1/2)

Game 759-760: Bradley at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 64.911; Southern Illinois 51.963 Dunkel Line: Bradley by 13 Vegas Line: Bradley by 2 Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-2)

Game 761-762: Missouri State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 46.505; Evansville 59.375 Dunkel Line: Evansville by 13 Vegas Line: Evansville by 15 Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+15)

Game 763-764: Wyoming at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 63.857; SMU 60.316 Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Wyoming by 5 Dunkel Pick: SMU (+5)

Game 765-766: Boise State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 62.288; TX-Arlington 60.999 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Boise State by 6 Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+6)

Game 767-768: Florida State at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 63.427; Auburn 57.303 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 6; 129 Vegas Line: Florida State by 4; 135 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-4); Under

Game 769-770: William & Mary at Vanderbilt (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 52.510; Vanderbilt 61.937 Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-6 1/2)

Game 771-772: South Florida at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 57.139; Central Florida 65.340 Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 8; 120 Vegas Line: Central Florida by 7; 123 Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-7); Under

Game 773-774: Youngstown State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.791; Illinois-Chicago 62.431 Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-3 1/2)

Game 775-776: St. John's at Villanova (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 56.604; Villanova 63.986 Dunkel Line: Villanova by 7 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Villanova by 5; 137 Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-5); Under

Game 777-778: Illinois at Purdue (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 65.895; Purdue 65.765 Dunkel Line: Even; 142 Vegas Line: Illinois by 2 1/2; 137 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+2 1/2); Over

Game 779-780: Seton Hall at DePaul (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 58.336; DePaul 62.561 Dunkel Line: DePaul by 4 Vegas Line: DePaul by 1 Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-1)

Game 781-782: LaSalle at Miami (FL) (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 63.242; Miami (FL) 65.482 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 2 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+5 1/2)

Game 783-784: UTEP at Colorado State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 58.915; Colorado State 71.834 Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 13; 122 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 11 1/2; 126 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-11 1/2); Under

Game 785-786: San Francisco at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 54.603; Santa Clara 63.973 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 9 1/2; 143 Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2; 147 Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-8 1/2); Under

Game 787-788: Utah at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 55.223; Arizona State 63.878 Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-6 1/2)

Game 789-790: Chattanooga at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 47.311; Georgia Tech 66.388 Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 19 Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 18 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-18)

Game 791-792: Duke vs. Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 75.973; Davidson 64.882 Dunkel Line: Duke by 11; 155 Vegas Line: Duke by 13; 149 Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+13); Over

Game 793-794: Georgia Southern at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 47.734; UAB 62.898 Dunkel Line: UAB by 15 Vegas Line: UAB by 13 Dunkel Pick: UAB (-13)

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ACE ACE/ALLEN EASTMAN

CBB
770 Vanderbilt -6.5
780 Depaul pk

NBA
Miami-10.5
Utah -1.5

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB BRADLEY at S ILLINOIS

Play Against - Home teams as an underdog or pick (S ILLINOIS) attempting 14 or less 3 point shots/game on the season, on Wednesday games.
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

CBB TOWSON ST at UNC-WILMINGTON

Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UNC-WILMINGTON) poor free throw shooting team - making <=63% of their free throws, on Wednesday games.
117-65 since 1997. ( 64.3% 47.3 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

CBB FLORIDA ST at AUBURN

Play Under - Road teams against the total good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), in a game involving two average ball handling team. (14.5-17.5 TO's)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Louisville(CFB)
Davidson
Villanova

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

In College Hoops take Georgia Southern +14 over UAB.

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Phil Steele

Here are my picks, in order of confidence points 1 to 35, for this season's bowls.

31 points: Florida over Louisville
Allstate Sugar Bowl (Jan. 2; New Orleans)

Florida hasn't moved the ball with anything other than painful deliberation very often this year, but Mike Gillisleeand the Gators will find some room against an underachieving Louisville defense that's currently so banged up it's having trouble practicing effectively. Cardinals triggerman Teddy Bridgewater may be the best player on the field, but the Florida defense has few weaknesses and the SEC entrant enjoys a monstrous special teams edge as well.
Florida 31, Louisville 14

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Handicapping Kings

PERRY

ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE

EVERTON FC / NEWCASTLE UTD OVER 2.5 -130 (3PM)

PJ

ATP - AIRCEL CHENNAI OPEN

1/2 6:30AM Robin Haase vs Aljaz Bedene
[201] Robin Haase -140

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5Lines

Total Line
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - San Antonio Spurs OVER 203.5
Cost: -110

Run Line
(Won last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - San Antonio Spurs-5.5
Cost: -110

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA SAN ANTONIO at MILWAUKEE

Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots.
65-30 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.0 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

NBA DALLAS at MIAMI

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (DALLAS) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days.
108-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.2% 45.8 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )

NBA MEMPHIS at BOSTON

Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
101-53 since 1997. ( 65.6% 42.7 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Philadelphia at Phoenix

The Suns look to take advantage of a Philadelphia team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing with 0 days of rest. Phoenix is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Sacramento at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.061; Cleveland 116.069 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 204 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Washington at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 108.521; Indiana 123.242 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 14 1/2; 177 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Portland at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 116.894; Toronto 122.735 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 188 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Chicago at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 112.853; Orlando 115.448 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 2 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Dallas at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 111.217; Miami 123.426 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 10 1/2; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-10 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Memphis at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.995; Boston 115.723 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Dunkel Pick:

Game 713-714: San Antonio at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 129.040; Milwaukee 121.790 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5); Under

Game 715-716: Brooklyn at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 111.146; Oklahoma City 132.218 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 21; 203 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 717-718: New Orleans at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.693; Houston 126.643 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 203 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Philadelphia at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.561; Phoenix 120.288 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 194 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: Minnesota at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.550; Utah 120.416 Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 204 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 723-724: LA Clippers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.529; Golden State 125.404 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 205 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 200 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2); Over