1-7-13

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Bankroll Sports

10* Notre Dame Fighting Irish +9½ (CFB)
5* Alabama @ Notre Dame Under 40½ (CFB)
4* Dallas Mavericks +4½ (NBA)
4* Cincinnati Bearcats -4 (CBB)
3* San Antonio Spurs -7½ (NBA)
2* Cavaliers @ Bulls Over 186 (NBA)

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Northcoast

Top opinion ND +10

Reg opinion under 40

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Charlie Sports
500*'s
Alabama -9
Alabama Over 40
Chicago Bulls Over 186

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Paul Leiner

100* Wizards / Thunder Over 193

50* Cincinnati -4

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Steven Nover

Notre Dame +10.0

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ATS LOCK CLUB

3 ND and Under
3 Georgia St. -5

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CHRIS JORDAN 200*

Cleveland St +3

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Intpicks
3* Notre Dame
1* Under Notre Dame, Over Thunder, Trailblazers, Hofstra
Freeplay - Penn State

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From The EDGE BOWL GUIDE
STATFOX FORECASTER
BCS TITLE GAME
ALABAMA (269) VS NOTRE DAME (270)
Latest Line: Tide -10; Total: 40.5
Alabama seeks its third national championship in four years when it faces the lone unbeaten team in the country in Notre Dame. These are the top-two scoring defenses in FBS with the Irish allowing 10.3 PPG and the Tide giving up 10.7 PPG. Alabama leads the country in total defense (246 YPG), while Notre Dame ranks sixth (287 YPG). Neither team has been a great wager, with the Crimson Tide going 1-4 ATS in its past five games and the Irish at 3-4 ATS in its past seven contests. But both were strong bets in non-home games, with Alabama posting a 4-2 ATS mark and Notre Dame at 5-1 ATS.
STATFOX FORECASTER: Alabama 23, Notre Dame 16

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Wunderdog Sports

Game: San Antonio at New Orleans (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Antonio -8 (-110)

Over the years the San Antonio Spurs have been a great team, but more importantly and unlike many elite teams, they seldom take a night off. It is one reason why they are 253-212-7 ATS as a road favorite. That improves in the most vulnerable spot, when they take to the road against a losing team. While most teams mail those games in, the Spurs step it up and take advantage of the situation. San Antonio is 162-117-4 ATS as road chalk vs. a losing team, including 13-2-1 ATS lately in their last 16. The Hornets are a bad team that is playing bad, with just three wins in their last 17 games and are a woeful 1-10 ATS following an ATS win in their last 11 tries. Not the typical place for the Spurs to get tripped up. Play on San Antonio.

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sbb

4-STAR San Antonio over NEW ORLEANS - When clicking the way they are now, going on the road is not a huge issue for the Spurs. And you don't worry about laying these kind of points with them too much as they generally win by comfortable margins, with their last 12 victories all by at least five points. Lay the points here.
Wins have been rare for New Orleans this season but they got one in Dallas Saturday. The Hornets are 0-5 ATS (-10.3 ppg) since November 07, 2012 at home after a win.

It didn't come easy though as they had to go to overtime to get the W. The Hornets are 0-7 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since April 13, 2007 at home off an overtime win.

It was one of their cleaner games of the season with 10 turnovers while attempting 86 field goals. The Hornets are 0-9 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since November 19, 2010 at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.

Only 13 of their points in that game came at the foul line. The Hornets are 0-12 ATS (-8.0 ppg) since April 08, 2009 at home with a total over 182 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

San Antonio is coming off a nice 109-86 win over Philadelphia. They scored the 109 points despite getting only two from Kawhi Leonard on 1-of-4 shooting. The Spurs are 11-0 ATS (9.5 ppg) since January 25, 2012 after a win in which Kawhi Leonard shot worse than 33% from the field.

When these teams played two weeks ago, it was a different role player, Danny Green, who had a quiet game with nine points in the starting role. The Spurs are 12-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since January 21, 2012 after winning the previous matchup at home in which Daniel Green scored fewer than 10 points.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: San Antonio 107, NEW ORLEANS 89

4-STAR Orlando over PORTLAND - Portland is coming off two straight road wins as a big dog of at least seven points in each. However, now the expectations have completely flipped on them becoming the big favorites here. They've only been favored by this much once all season and there is reason for that.

In both of those wins, Portland covered as a big underdog by double digits. The Trailblazers are 0-10-1 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since December 02, 2008 when they covered by double digits two games straight.

The last of those games, a 102-97 win in Minnesota, saw Portland get crazy hot on three pointers going 16-of-24 from beyond the arc. The Trailblazers are 0-10-1 ATS (-12.2 ppg) since December 03, 2008 as a favorite after a win in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

Orlando embarks on a four-game road trip here after playing their last four games at home. The Magic are 11-0 ATS (14.8 ppg) since November 27, 2006 as a dog when playing the first game of at least a three game road trip, if they are not on a 4+ game winning streak.

They lost their last game to the strong Knicks squad, 114-106. However, Orlando had held a big lead in that game. The Magic are 9-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since April 13, 2005 as a dog with at most one day of rest off a home loss in which they led by 10+ points.

They were up eight points entering the fourth quarter before being outscored by 16. The Magic are 6-0 ATS (7.6 ppg) since April 06, 2004 as a road dog off a home loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter.

JJ Redick struggled in that game going just 3-of-10 from the field with nine points in 28 minutes. The Magic are 5-0-1 ATS (8.2 ppg) since January 30, 2012 on the road after a loss in which Jj Redick scored fewer than 10 points.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: PORTLAND 97, Orlando 96

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Sean Higgs

BCS Championship

Play Title 10* Alabama
Play Selected Point Spread: -9.5/-110

Taking ALABAMA here to go B2B as National Champions. Alright. Let's start real fast with ND here. They basically have a rookie QB. The kid started 11 games and was pulled for awful play in a win vs Michigan. Point is, he hasn't been great this year. 11 TDs 5 INTs. He was pulled vs the Wolverines in a 13-6 win. Bama crushed that team Week 1 41-14. Now, I am not one of those guys that say, well Team A beat Team B who lost to Team C, that Beat Team A so Team B is better. What? Forget ND. Great story this year. Get the Irish back on the football map. But let's be honest. This is going to be a mauling. Nick Saben is not going back to the NFL. People say he had a crap career, but he did go 15-17 with the likes of Cleo Lemon, Joey Harrington and an injured Dante Culpepper at QB. Do you think he rushing off to the NFL for Brandon Weeden and Thaddeus Lewis? He has a dynasty here. Going for his 3rd NC in 4 years. He rolled Texas in this spot, got revenge over LSU in dominating fashion last year, and he will have these kids ready to make history here Monday night. AJ McCarron, 26TDs 3INTs on the year, completing 67% of his passes. These guys don't turn the ball over. They have a pair of 1000 yard backs to rush behind a mountain OL. Even with a bunch of defensive players from last year in the NFL, this team is still a top ranked defensive unit. Again. Look at the teams played. ND survived a scare against Pitt. Pitt just got bowl-rolled by Mississippi. ND hammered the Sooners. Sooners get taken behind the wood-shed by SEC A&M who held on to beat Bama on the road. Michigan. Loser to SEC South Carolina. This reminds me of a few other BCS Games. Florida crushing Ohio State 41-14 in the NC Game. Georgia 41-10 over Hawai'i in the Sugar and Southern Cal 49-17 over Illinois in the Rose. How about Florida 51-24 over Cincy in the Sugar. I can bring up other examples. Point being, ND had a super year. They got lucky breaks that you need to go undefeated. But they do not have the players to compete on this level here. Like those Bowl Teams I just listed who lost. They were good teams who had great years. Then they faced a big step-up in competition. Game Over, Blow-Out fashion. They have been out of the spotlight for some long years now. Bama is a machine turning out NFL players. There is not a chance in hell this coach lets history slip out of his grasp. ND does not have the depth to last 4 bruising quarters. I am a dog guy. If you have followed me all year, you know that we are 53% in CFB and 60% in the NFL playing on DOGS close to 90% of the time. The 9.5 or 10 look great. But don't be fooled people. Don't be fooled. This Bama bunch is for real. ROLL TIDE to BACK 2 BACK N.C's and 3 in 4 years. 10* ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

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ATS Insider Pick
3 ND under 40.5
3 Indiana (-16)

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

We are taking a Pass on the College Basketball card today.

After back to back winning days (4-3 Saturday and 1-0 on Sunday with Arizona State +2 outright) I don't want to force a play here. We will have many opportunities for selections later in the week as there are some good matchups that favor us. We have work to do but I am confident we will make the climb as we have until early April.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. #701. Take Oklahoma City -10.5 over Washington (Monday @ 7pm est).

3-Unit Play. #707. Take Cleveland +8.5 over Chicago (Monday @ 8:05pm est).

3-Unit Play. #712. Take Sacramento +4 over Memphis (Monday @ 10:05pm est).

OKC always seems to remember the teams they lose to every year. Last year against Washington they fell on the road 102-105 around this time of year as they visit Washington it seems in early January of every calendar basketball year. I like them to have that revenge mindset here and if you thought the Heat found motivation to beat the Wizards 71-99, this team just comes off beating a Toronto team that was rolling until OKC as they defeated them by 12 points and I can see OKC doing the same here if not better against a Wizards team that struggles to find their offense against good defensive teams as they ranked 30th in the league in scoring and 30th in rebounds per game as they likely get beat fairly badly in the paint today. Cleveland remembers the tight loss to Chicago earlier this year losing 85-95 and these are the spots where I called "dead spots" in the schedule. I like Cleveland here as Chicago comes off a big win against Miami and it is tough to get the motivation to play against a sub .500 team like Cleveland here. Kyrie Irving is a legitimate star and he's showing it each time out on the floor including the Rookie vs. Sophomore game where he just dominated a while back. This team lost by 3 points to Brooklyn on the road and beat Milwaukee Outright on the road as 8 point underdogs (similar line as today) and given that the Bulls are 3-7 ATS over their last 10 I can see Cleveland playing a bit more inspired for this game and hanging tough on the road here. This is a good spot for Sacramento. They come off a eastern conference road trip that saw them play well and the coming of Cousins is apparent now for the Kings. With Isiah Thomas playing well and taking a leadership role for the team (he is the namesake of the Pistons' Isiah Thomas as his father lost a bet and had to name his son Isiah). The Kings return home from that road trip and with Memphis coming off a win against Phoenix and traveling to Sacramento, I like the Kings to get up for this game and win this one outright. This team defeated the Knicks and Celtics outright at home and they can get up for bigger games such as this one. The Kings have 13 wins on the year and that but if you look closely you will see they are 10-7 at home as they do have a decent home court crowd. This team has also won 4 of their last 6 and if you look closely you will notice that they have not lost back to back games since December 16th/17th. This team is starting to mature and I like them here off the loss against Brooklyn.

Leans (Providing more content): Boston (healthier now with Bradley back in the lineup and they showed that with their recent win at Atlanta), New Orleans as the Spurs might be looking ahead to the Lakers in their next game + New Orleans has revenge from losing by a few points the last time they met earlier this year, Dallas as Dirk called out his team a bit and Dallas comes off a tough loss and has revenge from an ugly loss to Utah earlier this year and Orlando as Portland might be looking ahead to the Heat who come rolling in their next game.

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The Line Changers
Notre Dame +10
ND/Ala UNDER 40
Hoops
Notre Dame +4
Penn State +16
Blazers -6.5