1-12-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 10* PERFECT STORM (15-5 s/NFL 2011)-Saturday
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the GB Packers at 8:00 ET.


I played the Packers last weekend at home vs the Vikings in a quick turnaround from their Week 17 loss in Minnesota. I loved the Rodgers vs Ponder edge and got an even bigger break when Ponder never made it to the post due to a triceps injury. Joe Webb was the emergency starter, becoming just the 4th QB to make a postseason start after not making a single start in the regular season (first since Buffalo's Frank Reich did so in 1993). Webb was the first to make a postseason start having not attempted a single pass in the regular season. As all know, Webb had a “tough night” in Lambeau last Saturday, completing 11-of-30 for 180 yards with one TD and one INT (QB rating of 54.9). Green Bay’s lone defensive ‘hiccup’ in the game came late, when leading 24-3, Webb threw a 50-yard TD pass with about 3 1/2 minutes left. As for Rodgers, he connected with an NFL playoff-record 10 receivers as he threw for 274 yards in his first playoff victory at home (23-of-33 with a TD and no INTs / 104.9 rating). Just how good is Rodgers? He was last year’s MVP as the Packers went 15-1 (a year removed from a Super Bowl title), completing 68.3% for 4,643 yards with 45 TDs and just six INTs, giving him an NFL single-season QB rating record of 122.5. He came back this year to complete 67.2% for 4,295 yards with 39 TDs (eight INTs) for a 108.0 rating (led the league for a second straight season). Rodgers is a northern California native (Chico) who is returning to face the team he grew up rooting for as a kid and the one that bypassed him in the 2005 draft. On top of that, the Packers well-remember the 49ers winning in Week 1 of the 2012 season 30-22 at Green Bay. The Packers opened 13-0 last year but then fell at KC. Green Bay won is final two games but the team came out flat in the postseason in the Division Round, losing at home convincingly to the Giants (eventual Super Bowl champs). However, the feeling here is that the Packers are peaking at the right time this season, recovering from a 2-3 start which included that infamous MNF ending with replacement officials at Seattle plus a 30-27 loss at Indy, in which the Packers let a 21-3 halftime lead slip away. Rodgers ‘saved’ the season the following week in a SNF game at Houston, tossing six TD passes in a 42-24 win over the Texans and the 49ers enter this game having won 10 of 12 games (including last weekend), posting a 9-3 ATS record. The 49ers edged the Packers for the No. 2 seed and that means this game will played in Candlestick. I’ll argue that hardly matters, as most remember Green Bay winning three straight road games before beating the Steelers to win the Super Bowl title in 2010. Jim Harbaugh turned the 49ers around in 2011, taking over a team which had gone 6-10 in 2010 and hadn’t made the postseason since 2002. The 49ers ended the regular season with a 13–3 record, earning the second overall seed in the NFC Playoffs. In the Divisional Playoffs the 49ers defeated the New Orleans Saints 36–32, reaching the NFC Championship for the first time since 1997, and faced the New York Giants, losing 20–17 in overtime. Alex Smith had five wasted NFL seasons prior to Harbaugh’s arrival but he completed 61.3% last year for 3,144 yards with 17 TDs and just five INTs (90.7 QB rating). He’s a “game-manger” at his best and this season, lost his job after suffering a concussion in a Week 10’s 24-24 tie vs the Rams. Colin Kaepernick started the the 49ers’ Week 11 MNF game against the Bears and led San Francisco to a 32-7 win. Harbaugh had a a tough choice to make and he decided to stick with Kaepernick, even when Smith was cleared to play. I’m NOT sure what the right decision was but how many times has a starting QB, 19-5-1 over his last 25 regular season starts plus having gone 18-of-19 for 232 yards with three TDs and no INTs in his last full game, lost his job to an injury (concussion)? If the 49ers lose here, especially if Kaerpernick plays poorly, Harbaugh will be HUGELY second-guessed. Green Bay has been bolstered by the return of star linebacker Clay Matthews, who has played the last four games after missing four with a hamstring injury, plus former Defensive Player of the Year Charles Woodson returned last weekend after the cornerback was out since Oct 21 with a collarbone injury. As for the San Francisco defense, DE Justin Smith has been dealing with a triceps injury and missed the final two games of the regular season, which has hampered the effectiveness of LB Aldon Smith, a solid candidate for Defensive Player of the Year candidate. Justin Smith was wearing an elbow brace and has been practicing this week and should play (listed as probable for Saturday). The 49ers need to get a “A-effort” from their defense, not what we saw in Week 15 up in New England (34 points, 32 FDs and 520 yards allowed) or in Week 16 in Seattle (42 points allowed). Both kickers struggled in the regular season (49ers’ David Akers was 29 of 42 and the Packers’ Mason Crosby 21 of 33) but it’s the Niners who could have a new kicker Saturday, after signing Billy Cundiff last week (Akers has missed seven of his last 18 FG attempts). A QB switch and now a possible last-second PK switch with Cundiff, who famously missed a potential game-tying 32-yard attempt in last year's AFC title game for Baltimore against New England (are you kidding me?). I'm taking the points but expect the Packers to be playing in next Sunday’s NFC championship game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Sports Connection
********************************

CHARLOTTE +12 @ Indiana

Indiana starts a road trip TOMORROW in Brooklyn....and INDY doesn't win many games by double digits.

I read the recap and comments from the Charlotte game yesterday .They lost to Toronto by 21.
Seems CHAR has been getting off to slow starts with bad 1Q's...and plan on addressing the issue tomorrow.
They've turned things around a lil lately and I see em keeping it under the 12 point line...mostly because I believe INDY will try to conserve enegy for tomorrows tilt Vs the Nets.
.................................................. ...
UNDER 189 Phoenix @ Chicago

The numbers work for me.
These Suns aren't your father's Suns (what ?).
Look at their recent offensive numbers.
The Bulls played on road yesterday in a higher paced game.
They'll slow things down tonight.
Looking for a 90-85 type game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Green Bay Packers +3 over SF 49ers
(System Record: 46-6, lost last 5 games)
Overall Record: 46-58-4

Basketball Crusher
Delaware -2 over GA State
(System Record: 40-3, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 40-29-0



Soccer Crusher
Sunderland + West Ham United UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 340-14, lost last game)
Overall Record: 340-297-40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Clippers won 20 of last 22 games (9-2 last 11 HF).
-- Pacers won 12 of last 15 games (8-3 last 11 HF).
-- Hawks lost four of last five games (5-4 AF).
-- Detroit won seven of last nine games (3-7 HF). Jazz won four of last six games (4-11-1 AU).
-- Bulls won four of last five games (3-13 HF).
-- Memphis won five of last six games (6-2-1 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost last 10 games, covered four of last five (11-3-1 AU).
-- Bobcats lost 21 of last 23 games (6-11 AU).
-- Wizards lost 13 of last 15 games (6-2-2 last ten HU).
-- Rockets lost last two games, by 9-12 points, after winning 10 of 12 games before that (1-2 AF). 76ers lost last five games, scoring less than 90 points in all five (3-2 HU).
-- Suns lost five in row, 11 of last 12 games (6-9 AU).
-- Dallas lost eight of last ten games (1-4 HU).
-- Kings lost last three games, by 20-32-5 points (5-6 HU). Miami lost three of last four games (0-5 last five AF).

Totals
-- Five of last six Orlando road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington home games.
-- Six of last nine Detroit home games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Philly home games went over total.
-- Last four Chicago home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Memphis road games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine Sacramento home games went over total.

Back-to-backs
-- Hawks are 7-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Charlotte is 2-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Rockets are 3-6 vs spread (2-3 on road) if they played nite before.
-- Utah is 2-5 vs spread on road if it played night before. Detroit is 4-4, 1-2 at home.
-- Suns are 2-6 vs spread if they played night before; Chicago is 4-3 if it played night before, 2-1 at home.
-- Memphis is 4-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Georgetown won three in row, nine of last 12 games with St John's, but lost two of last three visits here; Hoyas lost last game at home by 28 to Pitt, their worst home loss since '71, after losing 49-48 in game before that, so they're struggling. St John's lost three of its last four games, with last three all decided by 2 or less points, or in OT. Big East home teams are 0-7 vs spread this month when spread is 5 or less points.
-- Minnesota won its last 11 games since losing to Duke, its only loss-- they've won games at Florida State/USC/Illinois. Gophers won six of last nine games with Indiana; with road squad winning both games LY- they split their last four visits here, with both losses by 3 points. Indiana is 4-1 vs top 100 teams; they've won last five games, winning at Iowa by 4 in only game that wasn't against team outside top 190. Big Dozen home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.
-- Northeastern won its last four games with Towson State, winning by 25-9 points in last two visits here; Huskies are 3-0 in CAA, with wins by 10-4-5 points, after 5-7 start to season. Tigers are much-improved, going from 1-31 LY to 8-8, 3-0 in CAA- they also won at Oregon State. CAA home favorites are 5-7 vs spread; home team are 2-5 vs spread if number is 4 or less points.
-- First true road game for Duke squad that won three in row, 10 of last 11 games vs NC State, winning four of last five visits here, winning by 12-23-1-14 points, but Kelly (foot) is out, which hurts. Wolfpack won last nine games; best team they've beaten is #49 Stanford- they lost to Oklahoma State/Michigan, two top 20 teams. Duke has four top 20 wins, but last one was Nov 24- their last eight wins are by 13+ points. Dogs are 5-2 vs spread in ACC game when spread is 7 or less points.

-- Butler won its A-16 debut by 6 at St Joe's, solid win; Bulldogs won four of five vs top 70 teams, with loss by 17 to Illinois on Maui. A-16 home teams are 5-1 vs spread if number is 5 or less points. Dayton lost three of last five games; they're 7-2 at home, with both losses by point. Flyers are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 5 at Alabama.
-- Florida State is 3-2 in last five games vs North Carolina, waxing UNC 90-57 here LY; Tar Heels are already 0-2 in ACC, scoring 52-59 points in pair of 9-point losses. FSU turns ball over 22.3% of time, but they've won six of last seven games; Seminoles are 5-2 vs top 100 teams, taking first two ACC games by 5-3 points. UNC is surprising 1-5 vs top 100 teams. ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 1-4 vs spread.
-- UCLA beat Colorado 77-60 in LA LY, in teams' only meeting as rivals in Pac-12; Bruins won last eight games, winning by 4 at Utah in its first true road game- their last loss was Dec 1 to San Diego State in Anaheim. Colorado is 7-0 at home; they beat USC by 6 in Pac-12 home opener, after losing twice in Arizona last week. Underdogs are 8-0 vs spread in Pac-12 games if number is 6 or less points.
-- Wisconsin won three in row, 10 of last 14 games vs Illinois, winning four of last five here, with wins by 10-13-10-14 points. Badgers won last five games, but #142 Green Bay was best team of those five. Illini is 2-3 in last five games, 1-2 in league, losing by 7 at Purdue, its first loss in three road games (won at Gonzaga/Hawai'i). Big Dozen home favorites are 4-3 vs spread. Wisconsin is 0-4 vs teams ranked in top 70.
-- Home side won last seven OSU-Oklahoma games; Cowboys lost last eight visits to Norman, by 10-1-7-3-4-5-3-13 points. Sooners allowed 54.4 ppg in last five games, winning four, but they've also lost at home to SF Austin. 11-3 State lost two of last three games (Gonzaga/K-State); their last top 100 win was Nov 18 vs NC State. Road teams covered seven of first eight Big X games this month.

-- VCU won its last ten games after 3-3 start; they lead country, forcing turnovers 31.1% of time. Rams are 3-0 in true road games, but none of those teams are ranked in top 240. St Bonaventure lost last four games, all by 19+ points, allowing 87.5 ppg- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 5-19-19-21 points. A-16 home teams are 6-3 vs spread, home underdogs are 2-0.
-- Temple won last six games vs Saint Louis, with five of six wins by 6 or less points; Owls just lost road games at Kansas/Xavier- they're 6-1 at home, with strange loss to Canisius. Billikens won last nine games after 3-3 start, and haven't lost since coach Majerus passed away-- they lost by 5 at Washington in only true road game Nov 28. A-16 home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.
-- San Diego State won 11 of last 12 games vs Colorado State, winning last eight played here, by 7-8-5-24-9-13-18-8 points; Aztecs are 1-2 vs top 50 teams, losing to Syracuse on a ship, then by point to Arizona on Diamond Head. Rams are #5 experienced team in country; they're 2-2 on road, with losses at UIC/Colorado, both by nine points. Home team covered three of first four MVC games.
-- Washington won eight of last nine games with Stanford, winning two of last three visits here, with only loss by hoop two years ago; Huskies are playing 4th straight road game after opening league play with wins at Wazzu/Cal (lost by 8 at UConn). Stanford is 3-5 vs top 100 teams, 1-2 in league play; five of their six losses are to top 40 teams. Pac-12 home favorites are 3-9 vs spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Ravens (11-6) @ Broncos (13-3)—Denver hasn’t lost since Week 5 in Foxboro, winning last 11 games, including 34-17 (-3) in Baltimore four weeks ago, when they held Ravens to 56 rushing yards, 1-12 on 3rd down and scored a defensive TD. Broncos held last four opponents to 17 or less points; they’ve won last six home games, all by 7+ points. Peyton Manning is just 9-10 in his playoff career, but he’s won his last eight starts vs Baltimore. Ravens’ win last week was their second in last six games, during which time they fired their OC; they lost last two road games—five of their eight road games were decided by 3 or less points (Ravens 4-4 SU, 1-3 as road dog). Home teams won eight of ten series games; Ravens lost three of four here. Teams met once before in playoffs; Baltimore won 21-3 at home during their Super Bowl run 12 years ago. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-6 vs spread, 5-4 at home. AFC North underdogs are 8-10, 4-7 on road. Last three Raven games stayed under total; over is 5-3 in Denver’s home games this year. #1 seed in AFC has actually lost this game four of last seven years, and is 2-7 vs spread in this game last nine years.

Packers (12-5) @ 49ers (11-4-1)—Green Bay had won last eight series games before Niners (+6) beat them 30-22 at Lambeau in season opener, outrushing Pack 186-45. GB dropped back to pass 47 times, ran ball only 14 times, would expect that to change here, with Packers having won 10 of last 12 games, including four of last six on road (1-1 as underdog this year). Pack won last three visits here, but this is Rodgers’ first start here, in area where he went to college (Cal). GB’s last loss here was in ’98 playoff game. QB mismatch favors Pack, with Kaepernick making first playoff start. 49ers scored 13-3-13-13 points in their four losses this year; Pack held four of last six opponents to 14 or less. Niners are 6-1-1 at home this year, 4-4 as home favorites. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 10-7 vs spread, 6-5 at home; NFC North underdogs are 4-6, 3-5 on foreign soil. Six of last eight Green Bay games stayed under total; seven of last eight 49er games went over. #2 seed in NFC won this game five of last six years, but is 4-5 vs spread in last nine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Indiana

The Hoosiers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against Minnesota. Indiana is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 12 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 517-518: Georgetown at St. John's (11:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 62.414; St. John's 63.313 Dunkel Line: St. John's by 1; 125 Vegas Line: Georgetown by 2; 120 Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+2); Over

Game 519-520: Villanova at Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 59.986; Syracuse 78.059 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 18 Vegas Line: Syracuse by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-15 1/2)

Game 521-522: Minnesota at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 72.857; Indiana 82.032 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 9; 140 Vegas Line: Indiana by 7 1/2; 143 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Delaware at Georgia State (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 54.517; Georgia State 54.849 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Delaware by 3 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+3)

Game 525-526: Marquette at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 63.007; Pittsburgh 74.900 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12; 123 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 126 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: Northeastern at Towson (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 56.050; Towson 57.987 Dunkel Line: Towson by 2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Towson

Game 529-530: Virginia at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 63.806; Clemson 64.343 Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1 Vegas Line: Virginia by 1 Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+1)

Game 531-532: Duke at NC State (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 78.425; NC State 72.970 Dunkel Line: Duke by 5 1/2; 145 Vegas Line: Duke by 3 1/2; 149 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-3 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: Tennessee at Alabama (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 62.178; Alabama 62.801 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1; 122 Vegas Line: Alabama by 5 1/2; 120 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5 1/2); Over

Game 535-536: Auburn at South Carolina (1:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 55.303; South Carolina 59.657 Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-3)

Game 537-538: Mississippi State at Georgia (1:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 48.571; Georgia 61.822 Dunkel Line: Georgia by 13 Vegas Line: Georgia by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-7 1/2)

Game 539-540: Kansas State at West Virginia (1:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 67.288; West Virginia 64.538 Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 3 Vegas Line: Kansas State by 1 Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-1)

Game 541-542: Connecticut at Notre Dame (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 65.112; Notre Dame 72.043 Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 7 Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 9 Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+9)

Game 543-544: Texas at Iowa State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas 61.378; Iowa State 68.293 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 7; 139 Vegas Line: Iowa State by 8 1/2; 133 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+8 1/2); Over

Game 545-546: Charlotte at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 60.521; Rhode Island 57.363 Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 3 Vegas Line: Charlotte by 2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2)

Game 547-548: Butler at Dayton (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.687; Dayton 67.244 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 2 1/2; 138 Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 134 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+1); Over

Game 549-550: George Mason at NC-Wilmington (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 55.083; NC-Wilmington 50.976 Dunkel Line: George Mason by 4 Vegas Line: George Mason by 7 Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+7)

Game 551-552: North Carolina at Florida State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 66.259; Florida State 67.580 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1 1/2; 157 Vegas Line: Florida State by 4; 152 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+4); Over

Game 553-554: Kent State at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 53.482; Ball State 46.759 Dunkel Line: Kent State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Kent State by 4 Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-4)

Game 555-556: Richmond at LaSalle (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 60.637; LaSalle 64.329 Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: LaSalle by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+7 1/2)

Game 557-558: UCLA at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 66.869; Colorado 69.282 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+3 1/2)

Game 559-560: Bradley at Northern Iowa (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 56.862; Northern Iowa 60.604 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 6 Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+6)

Game 561-562: Ohio at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 62.028; Western Michigan 56.739 Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Ohio by 7 Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+7)

Game 563-564: Valparaiso at WI-Milwaukee (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.389; WI-Milwaukee 44.267 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 13 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-10 1/2)

Game 565-566: Illinois at Wisconsin (2:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 64.305; Wisconsin 72.925 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 124 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 5 1/2; 128 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-5 1/2); Under

Game 567-568: Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 52.721; Georgia Tech 64.866 Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 12 Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-9 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/12/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1824-564 (.764)
ATS: 750-775 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 2569-2725 (.485)
Over/Under: 201-200 (.501)
Over/Under Vary Units: 248-278 (.471)

America East Conference
ALBANY 71, Maine 62
BOSTON U. 71, Binghamton 48
STONY BROOK 62, Hartford 51
VERMONT 73, Umbc 51

Atlantic 10 Conference
Butler 68, DAYTON 66
LA SALLE 75, Richmond 67
Charlotte 66, RHODE ISLAND 64
Saint Joseph's 77, DUQUESNE 69
TEMPLE 63, Saint Louis 61
Vcu 77, ST. BONAVENTURE 66
XAVIER 64, George Washington 55

Atlantic Coast Conference
Virginia 54, CLEMSON 51
Duke 78, NC STATE 73
FLORIDA STATE 77, North Carolina 72
GEORGIA TECH 69, Virginia Tech 62
WAKE FOREST 71, Boston College 64

Atlantic Sun Conference
Florida Gulf Coast 71, EAST TENNESSEE STATE 64
Mercer 71, JACKSONVILLE 62
NORTH FLORIDA 79, Kennesaw State 59
USC UPSTATE 81, Stetson 69

Big 12 Conference
BAYLOR 79, Tcu 55
IOWA STATE 75, Texas 68
Kansas 83, TEXAS TECH 58
OKLAHOMA 64, Oklahoma State 63
Kansas State 65, WEST VIRGINIA 63

Big East Conference
Cincinnati 66, RUTGERS 63
Georgetown 63, ST. JOHN'S 60
LOUISVILLE 69, South Florida 49
PITTSBURGH 66, Marquette 60
NOTRE DAME 73, Connecticut 64
SYRACUSE 76, Villanova 62

Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 77, Sacramento State 71
Montana 75, NORTHERN COLORADO 65
NORTH DAKOTA 70, Montana State 69
PORTLAND STATE 80, Northern Arizona 66
SOUTHERN UTAH 69, Idaho State 58

Big South Conference
Charleston Southern 89, LONGWOOD 73
Coastal Carolina 70, LIBERTY 66
Gardner-Webb 66, HIGH POINT 65
Campbell 74, PRESBYTERIAN 69
UNC ASHEVILLE 81, Radford 65
VMI 78, Winthrop 70

Big Ten Conference
INDIANA 74, Minnesota 70
WISCONSIN 67, Illinois 58

Big West Conference
PACIFIC 68, Cal Poly 61
CAL STATE FULLERTON 82, UC Riverside 63
LONG BEACH STATE 80, Hawai'i 72
UC IRVINE 80, Cal State Northridge 71
UC Santa Barbara vs. UC DAVIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Colonial Athletic Association
JAMES MADISON 64, Drexel 63
George Mason 69, UNC WILMINGTON 59
Delaware 66, GEORGIA STATE 63
William & Mary vs. HOFSTRA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Northeastern 66, TOWSON 65

Conference USA
UTEP 70, Marshall 60
Memphis 75, UAB 66
Tulane 56, SMU 55
SOUTHERN MISS 78, Houston 67
TULSA 69, Rice 56
Ucf 70, EAST CAROLINA 68

Great West Conference
NEW JERSEY TECH 71, Chicago State 65
UTAH VALLEY 78, Houston Baptist 65

Horizon League
Detroit 74, CLEVELAND STATE 68
GREEN BAY 64, Uic 57
Valparaiso 67, WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE 58

Ivy League
Harvard 70, DARTMOUTH 50
PRINCETON 70, Penn 52

Mid-American Conference
Akron 71, NORTHERN ILLINOIS 56
BOWLING GREEN 60, Eastern Michigan 52
BUFFALO 71, Miami (Ohio) 63
Kent State 66, BALL STATE 65
Ohio 71, WESTERN MICHIGAN 65
TOLEDO 70, Central Michigan 65

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 72, North Carolina A&T 69
HOWARD 57, Hampton 55
MORGAN STATE 79, South Carolina State 63
Norfolk State 72, UMES 62
North Carolina Central 74, FLORIDA A&M 65
Savannah State 63, COPPIN STATE 56

Missouri Valley Conference
ILLINOIS STATE 80, Drake 68
Indiana State 71, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 59
NORTHERN IOWA 65, Bradley 58

Mountain West Conference
Wyoming 64, NEVADA 63
NEW MEXICO 70, Fresno State 52
SAN DIEGO STATE 68, Colorado State 64
UNLV 77, Air Force 62

Northeast Conference
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 77, Bryant 76
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 74, Saint Francis (Pa.) 64
LONG ISLAND 81, Mount St. Mary's 72
QUINNIPIAC 78, Sacred Heart 70
Robert Morris 74, MONMOUTH 66
WAGNER 72, St. Francis (N.Y.) 61

Ohio Valley Conference
BELMONT 91, UT Martin 54
Jacksonville State 62, EASTERN ILLINOIS 55
EASTERN KENTUCKY 73, Morehead State 64
Murray State 81, AUSTIN PEAY 69
TENNESSEE STATE 76, Southeast Missouri 63
Tennessee Tech 68, SIUE 67

Pacific-10 Conference
CALIFORNIA 64, Washington State 60
COLORADO 71, Ucla 69
Arizona 78, OREGON STATE 68
STANFORD 70, Washington 68
UTAH 57, Usc 53

Patriot League
COLGATE 65, American 59
BUCKNELL 79, Army 55
LAFAYETTE 71, Navy 59
LEHIGH 76, Holy Cross 60

Southeastern Conference
ALABAMA 61, Tennessee 58
Florida 73, LSU 60
GEORGIA 63, Mississippi State 55
KENTUCKY 74, Texas A&M 52
OLE MISS 79, Missouri 77
SOUTH CAROLINA 67, Auburn 64
ARKANSAS 68, Vanderbilt 67

Southern Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 72, Elon 70
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 72, Chattanooga 60
Davidson 75, FURMAN 57
Samford 68, THE CITADEL 64
WESTERN CAROLINA 84, UNC Greensboro 71
WOFFORD 61, Georgia Southern 52

Southland Conference
LAMAR 67, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 63
McNEESE STATE 65, Sam Houston State 63
Northwestern State 88, CENTRAL ARKANSAS 78
ORAL ROBERTS 62, Stephen F. Austin 61
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 70, Nicholls State 64

Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 66, Alabama State 63
ALCORN STATE 64, Mississippi Valley State 57
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 72, Grambling State 54
SOUTHERN 63, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 52
TEXAS SOUTHERN 72, Jackson State 58

Summit League
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 78, Oakland 66
SOUTH DAKOTA 78, Kansas City 67
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 78, Fort Wayne 62
Western Illinois 73, OMAHA 57

Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State 74, UL LAFAYETTE 70
Middle Tennessee 71, ULM 55
NORTH TEXAS 71, South Alabama 70
UALR 70, Fairleigh Dickinson 66
WESTERN KENTUCKY 71, Florida Atlantic 61

West Coast Conference
Byu 81, SANTA CLARA 75
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 73, Portland 63
SAINT MARY'S 83, San Francisco 68
San Diego 63, PEPPERDINE 62

Western Athletic Conference
Denver 70, SEATTLE 62
Louisiana Tech 77, UT SAN ANTONIO 65
IDAHO 70, New Mexico State 69
UT Arlington 73, TEXAS STATE 66

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/12/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 352-170 (.674)
ATS: 261-270 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 779-725 (.518)
Over/Under: 275-255 (.519)
Over/Under Vary Units: 444-392 (.531)

L.A. CLIPPERS 104, Orlando 88
Atlanta 96, WASHINGTON 91
INDIANA 102, Charlotte 84
Houston 100, PHILADELPHIA 98
Utah vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHICAGO 100, Phoenix 89
Memphis 97, DALLAS 94
Miami 105, SACRAMENTO 98

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Creighton (-13 1/2) Friday.

Saturday it’s the Broncos. The surplus is 235 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 963 - 718 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner SAT louisville -19

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

SMU -1

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From Platinum Plays. Purchased on 1/12/2013 7:16:06 AM EST 500K Playoff Parlay
the Denver Broncos -9 over
the Baltimore Ravens
the Baltimore/Denver Game UNDER
the Total Of 46 Points
Best Bets


the Minnesota Golden Gophers +8 over
the Indiana Hoosiers
the Xavier Muskateers -5½ over
the George Washington Colonials
the Illinois Fighting Illini +6 over
the Wisconsin Badgers
500K Playoff Lock the San Francisco 49ers -3 over
the Green Bay Packers

Best Bets

the Green Bay/San Francisco Game UNDER
the Total Of 45 Points
the Toledo Rockets -7½ over
the Central Michigan Chippewas
the Central Florida Golden Knights +1 over
the East Carolina Pirates

the St Joseph Hawks -7 over
the Duquesne Dukes
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the West Virginia Mountaineers -1 Over
the Kansas St Wildcats
the Chicago Bulls -7½ over
the Phoenix Suns

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SCOTT SPREITZER'S DIV ROUND TOTAL SMACKDOWN! *4-0!
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Jan 12 2013 8:00PM

I'm playing the Under between the Packers & 49ers on Saturday. Green Bay is going to have to run the football, at least a little bit, to keep the SFO defense honest, and of course, that helps to shorten the game. And with the 49ers style of defense (very little zone) I expect Aaron Rodgers job of getting the football to his receivers to not come so easily. The 49ers are the NFL's 3rd stingiest defense in total yards allowed. They're 4th against both the run and the pass, and allowed the league's 2nd fewest points, 17.1 ppg. The 49ers are starting QB Colin Kaepernick and he'll be facing a now healthy and still underrated Packer stop unit. Green Bay is 9th in the league against the pass and have been saddled with a misleading run defense. The Packers are 20th, allowing over 106 yards rushing per game. But take away Adrian Peterson's 409 yards rushing in two regular season games against the Pack and that number drops to just over 92 yards per game in their other 14 contests, which would vault them into the NFL's top-5. The Niners are also a little short-handed on offense, having lost WR Mario Manningham. The Packers are on a 6-2 Under run overall, and a 6-1 Under run against NFC opponents. Meanwhile, the 49ers are 17-6 to the Under (multi seasons) at home against teams that average at least 5.65 yards per play after the season's midway point. Their defense is usually up to the task and due to the strong offensive opponent, the total is slightly inflated. Let's take advantage with a play on the Under between the Packers & 49ers on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Prediction: under
Bet Type: TOTAL





SCOTT SPREITZER'S CONF DIV ROUND G.O.Y.! *4-0 LWK!
Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos Jan 12 2013 4:30PM

I'm laying the points with the Denver Broncos on Saturday. I had Baltimore minus the points over Indianapolis in the wildcard round, but I'm jumping off the Ravens in this one. My play last week was as much against the Colts' offensive line and against the play of rookie Andrew Luck as it was a play ON the Ravens. As poorly as the Colts had been on offense (out-gained 408-273 previous three games) they went up and down the field against the Ravens, just failed to get the ball in the endzone, settling for three field goals. Indy actually kept possession of the football for over 37 minutes, gaining 25 first downs and 419 total yards. I expect the already weary-looking Raven defense (regular season) to feel the affect of being on the field for 87 plays (56 for Baltimore's offense) in this week's game in Denver, where they'll face a Peyton Manning no huddle attack. It sure doesn't help that the Ravens will face an offense that ranks 4th in total yards per game and 5th through the air. Add in a still underrated Denver defense that's 2nd in total yards allowed, 3rd against both the pass and the run, and 4th in points allowed per game and Baltimore is in too tough of a spot. The Ravens are on a 0-6-1 ATS slide after allowing at least 250 yards passing (allowed 288 last week) and they're 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine off a SU loss. The Broncos head into this one on a 4-0 ATS run and I expect that number to reach five straight. Denver beat Baltimore 34-17 in mid-December and I believe they'll win by a wide margin again. I'm laying the points with the Broncos on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Prediction: Denver Broncos
Bet Type: SPREAD

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Frank Patron


20,000 Unit Move


Baltimore Ravens +10 over Denver