1-12-13

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Lockline Sports

Denver -9.5
Green Bay +3

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Betting Line Moves NCAAB 1/12
556. la salle -7
521. minnesota university +8
682. UC Davis -3 1/2
713. SE Missouri State +7
690. north dakota -3
607. Middle Tennessee State -14 1/2
677. san diego +1 1/2
523. Delaware -1 1/2
582. Dartmouth +11 1/2

519. Villanova + 14 1/2
557. UCLA +3 1/2

566. Wisconsin -5 1/2
665. Marshall +9
658. north texas -1 1/2
532. NC State +2

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kelso

bball 100 unit
100 Arizona

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wayne root
san francisco 49ers Pinnacle goy
baltimore ravens millionaire
dayton Pinnacle cbb

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Northcoast
4.5* (GOY)- Broncos -8/8.5
3* packers +3
Top opinions- seahawks +3, Pats over 48.5
Reg opinions- Pats -9.5, undie Broncos 45, over falcons 46, undie packers 45

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Strike Point Sports NCAAB 1/12
#525 Take Marquette (+10) over Pittsburgh (12 p.m., Saturday, January 12)

#536 Take South Carolina (-3) over Auburn (1:45 p.m., Saturday, January 12)

#567 Take Virginia Tech (+9.5) over Georgia Tech (2:30 p.m., Saturday, January 12)

#569 Take Houston (+12.5) over Southern Miss (3 p.m., Saturday, January 12)

#592 James Madison (-3) over Drexel (4 p.m., Saturday, January 12)

[Mr. IWS]

Thanks again for all the hard work in this section goirish, I know we really appreciate it!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe NCAAB 1/12
#677 San Diego -1.5 over Pepperdine (10:00pm est):

#572 Oklahoma -1.5 over Oklahoma State (3:00pm est):

#655 Drake +11.5 over Illinois State (8:00pm est):

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Robert Ferringo Full Card CBB




3-Unit Play. Take #532 N.C. State (+3) over Duke (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

It is nearly impossible to bet against the Blue Devils. However, this is a massive statement game for N.C. State. Even at 100 percent I think that the Wolfpack would be able to knock off Duke. N.C. State is extremely talented, they execute well, and they are very motivated to prove their stature in the ACC. And without Ryan Kelly, Duke is definitely vulnerable. The Blue Devils lost two of their last three games to close last season after Kelly injured his foot, including that humiliating first round loss to Lehigh in the NCAA Tournament. I think that N.C. State smells blood - and I think they find a way to get this winner. Take the points and hope that the ACC officials don't hand this game to the Blue Devils, as they are want to do.

1-Unit Play. Take #523 Delaware (-2) over Georgia State (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #525 Marquette (+10) over Pittsburgh (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #528 Towson (Pk) over Northeastern (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #532 N.C. State (+8) over Duke (Noon) AND Take #561 Ohio (-2) over Western Michigan (2 p.m.)


7-Unit Play. Take #569 Houston (+12.5) over Southern Miss (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

Note: This is our Conference USA Game of the Year.

I really think that the books boxed themselves in a corner here. And, frankly, I think they are just guessing on this spread. I really do. The sportsbooks like to use some rather complicated mathematical formulas to figure out college basketball spreads. But I think I have cracked the formula, which is why I am generally able to predict about 90-95 percent of college basketball lines within a half-point either way. And I knew the books were going to have to go here with this game and I knew that it was going to be a potential mistake.

This line here suggests that Souther Miss is just three times as good as Houston here. By comparison, a team like Notre Dame - a Top 15 team - was only favored by 15 over George Washington. Or today, UNLV, a Top 25 team, is favored by just 15.5 over Air Force. That is the type of gap the books are talking about here between Houston and Southern Miss.

No way.

These two teams are so difficult to ready because the two of them have played two of the worst nonconference schedules in the country. Houston has, literally, played the worst schedule in the country - No. 347. They are 12-2, but they have played NO ONE. And they haven't been super impressive doing it. But sometimes it is good to give a young team some early season layups. They build confidence and they get their system set. And right now Houston is playing with the hubris of a team that doesn't know what it can't do yet.

Southern Miss is a team in a complete rebuild. They have a new coach, a new system, and a ton of new players. This team is without four of its top five and five of its top seven players from last year's group. And last year's group LOST to Houston. So now they are going to lay the wood? I don't necessarily think so.

Southern Miss has played eight games against teams ranked in the Top 225. They are 4-4, and the four wins came over Western Kentucky by 3 (in OT), Georgia by 2 (in OT), UC-Irvine by 4 and Denver (who is pathetic on the road) by 11. Southern Miss has lost their last four games against Top 220 teams. Houston has literally done nothing to make me think that they can be a good team. They haven't played anyone and they haven't beaten anyone. But they have been blowing out the bottom feeders they have faced. They did win road games over San Jose State and TCU - who aren't any good, but they aren't Florida A&M either. And on Wednesday Houston beat a decent SMU team by 11.

The bottom line is, like I said, there is simply no way of knowing if either of these teams is any good. This line should be about 6.5, not 12.5. And not only are we getting a ton of points, but we have the best player on the court (Joseph Young), the much taller team (So. Miss is No. 341 in the country in terms of effective height), and the better 3-point shooting team. So we're getting 12 points, the best player, the bigger team and the more efficient shooting team. Yes - that's a bet I will make.

3-Unit Play. Take #592 James Madison (-3) over Drexel (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

The Dragons have officially come off the rails. This had already been one of the most disappointing mid-major teams in all of college basketball this year, and a team that we have bet against consistently (including with our 7-Unit Nonconference Game of the Year winner last week). Now the injuries have come and things are getting ugly. Leading scorer and do-it-all guard Damion Lee is out for this game and he leaves a big hole. What's worse, space-eating forward Daryl McCoy is doubtful as well. So that is now two starters gone from an already underachieving team that is going on the road off a tough overtime loss. Things have fallen apart. James Madison isn't a great team, by any stretch. And I have a long, sordid history betting on this group of Dukes. But they have some guys that can play. They appear healthy. And they are capable of taking down this wounded Dragon. These guys desperately miss Andrey Semenov. But they still have a solid veteran trio of Goins, Moore and A.J. Davis. This play is all about going against Drexel and we'll go to the well one more time.

3-Unit Play. Take #624 Arkansas (-10) over Vanderbilt (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

This one is a play against Vanderbilt, who is terrible, and a play on Arkansas at home. Vanderbilt is not a good team. They are young and inexperienced and there isn't exactly a lot of talent on the team that jumps out at me. They were getting their asses kicked on Thursday against shaky Kentucky, losing by 16 points with just 13 minutes to play. The Wildcats went cold, Vandy took (and blew) a late lead, and all of this sets up for a massive letdown spot for the Commodores against a Razorbacks team that needs to get something going. Arkansas won by eight here last year against Vandy. This is probably a better Razorbacks team and they are playing a much, MUCH worse Vanderbilt squad. It's not even close. Add in the massive letdown spot - and the fact that Vandy hasn't left the state in a month - and I think that this one sets up very poorly for the Commodores. Arkansas has been known to go bonkers in its own gym. I think they can do just that here and I think they can get the job done here for us.


2-Unit Play. Take #541 Connecticut (+9) over Notre Dame (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

2-Unit Play. Take #673 Air Force (+15.5) over UNLV (10 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #633 San Francisco (+14) over St. Mary's (11 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #561 Ohio (-7) over Western Michigan (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #539 Kansas State (-1) over West Virginia (1:45 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #567 Virginia Tech (+10) over Georgia Tech (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #573 Tulane (+1.5) over SMU (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #598 Kentucky (-14) over Texas A&M (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #601 George Washington (+5) over Xavier (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #587 South Florida (+19) over Louisville (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #695 Davidson (-16.5) over Furman (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #621 USC (+4) over Utah (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #641 St. Joseph's (-7.5) over Duquesne (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

2-Unit Play. Take #684 Stanford (-7) over Washington (11 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #684 Stanford (-2) over Washington (11 p.m.) AND Take #601 George Washington (+10) over Xavier (4 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #561 Ohio (-2) over Western Michigan (2 p.m.) AND Take #624 Arkansas (-5) over Vanderbilt (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #569 Houston (+17.5) over Southern Miss (3 p.m.) AND Take #641 St. Joseph's (-2.5) over Duquesne (7 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. #513. Take Memphis -2 over Dallas (Saturday @ 9pm est).

Its no surprise that these two teams aren't the biggest fans of each other and they hook up here. It would be nice to think that Dallas steps up here home with revenge but Dallas is just struggling on so many different fronts right now. With Dallas coming off a win against Sacramento on the road in overtime, with some possible tired legs and the simple fact this team has lost 8 out of its last 10 games and has not won back to back games since December 8th/10th (Houston/Sacramento), is a decent reason to take Memphis here. Memphis has now won 4 straight including beating a very good San Antonio team at home in overtime and really showed some prowess on the road recently beating Golden State despite Golden State having revenge (as Dallas similarly having revenge today), beating Sacramento by 32 and Phoenix by 11 on the road. Look for Memphis to simply be the the deeper team here as players in general despite Cuban and its like a tour where everyone is taking their shots at Cuban and the Mavericks for all those years of taking it to the league during their 50+ win seasons. The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and the Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

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SBP Early NCAAB Picks - 1/12
2:00 PM

550. UNC Wilmington +7 (mostly +6.5s but buy the half)



Rest of Games:

530. Clemson -1

532. NC State +2.5

537. Mississippi State +7.5

541. UCONN +8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tds Pucks Dunks
Service Plays

Service Plays Jan. 12 2013
Tds NFL Playoffs #111 Green Bay Packers +3 or more (2 Play)

NBA Dunks 510 Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 or more (2 Play)

College Dunks #504 Georgia St. +1.5 or more (2 Play)
College Dunks #550 NC Willmington +7 or more (2 Play)
College Dunks #534 Ball St. +4 or more (2 Play)
College Dunks #565 Illinois +6.5 or more (2 Play)
College Dunks #604 Cleveland St. +9.5 or more (2 Play)

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executive foot
300 % denver -9 and san fran -3

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executive hoops

CBB

600% Stanford -6 over Washington


CBB

300% W.Virginia +2 over Kansas St


CBB

300% Georgia -7 over Miss State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thanks again for all the hard work in this section goirish, I know we really appreciate it!

my pleasure IWS.