1-13-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

50 DIME
Playoff Winner
Winner #3 in a Row

Texans/Patriots Over Total

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Hornets won last four games, allowing 88.8 ppg (11-5 AU).
-- Raptors won seven of last ten games (6-3 HF).
-- Brooklyn won last five games, last three by 20 points each (3-1 HF since coaching change). Pacers won last four games, scoring 80.3 ppg (1-4 last five HF).
-- Golden State won five of last seven games (8-3-2 as AU). Nuggets won their last four games (10-5 HF, 1-3 last four).
-- Portland won six of last eight games (5-1 HU). Thunder won seven of last nine games (9-4 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost five of last seven games (1-7 last eight HF).
-- Milwaukee lost five of last seven games (8-4 AU).
-- Spurs lost three of last five games (9-6-1 HF). Minnesota lost six of its last nine games (2-5 last seven AU).
-- Lakers lost last six games (3-8 last 11 HF). Cleveland lost six of its last eight games (13-9 AU).

Totals
-- 11 of last 16 New Orleans road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Six of Spurs' last eight games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Lakers' last five home games.

Back-to-backs
-- Pacers are 6-4 vs spread if they played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Seton Hall won its last seven games vs Providence, winning last two here by 12-10 points; Pirates turn ball over 22.8% of time, they're 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11-19-15 points. Friars (play only seven guys) lost last five games; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 3-1-15 points. Big East home teams are 0-9 vs spread if number is 5 or less points; home favorites of 5 or less are 0-7.
-- Michigan State waxed Nebraska twice in Cornhuskers' first year in the Big Dozen, 68-55/62-34; Spartans won tough game Thursday at Iowa- they're 10-0 at home, beating Purdue by 23 in only conference home tilt. Cornhuskers scored 44 ppg in losing first three league games, by 26-6-15 points. Big Dozen double digit favorites are 7-2 vs spread, 4-2 at home. Problem for State is they turn ball over 22.1% of time.
-- UMass had 7-game win streak snapped in its A-16 opener at St Louis; Minutemen won five of last seven games vs Fordham, but they're 2-3 in last five visits here- four of last five series games were decided by four or less points. Rams are 1-9 vs teams in top 200, with only win by 3 over #81 Princeton. Fordham has won its last three home games. A-16 home underdogs are 3-2 against spread.
-- Michigan is last unbeaten team left in country; Ohio State won seven of last eight games with Wolverines, beating them in last three Big Dozen tourneys. Michigan lost last eight visits here, by 26-10-13-10-18-11-9-15 points. Buckeyes are 2-3 vs top 100 teams (best win vs Washington, #73). Michigan is 3-0 in league, winning by 28-28-15 points; they're 2-0 in true road games, winning at Bradley (8), Northwestern (28).

-- Wichita State won 13 of last 16 games with Evansville, but lost three of last four visits here, with only win by 6 LY; Shockers already won at Drake (12), Bradley (6)- their only loss was at Tennessee. Purple Aces won last three games; their only Valley loss is by 17 at Creighton- they force turnovers 22.5% of time. MVC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 3-1 against the spread.
-- Northwestern won last five games vs Iowa by 17-19-3-19-4 points; Hawkeyes lost last four visits here, by 6-17-3-19. Wildcats are 4-6 last ten games after 6-0 start; eight of its ten wins are vs teams ranked #195 or lower. Iowa lost first three Big Dozen games by 4-28-3 points, but it is possible they started with three best teams in league. Home teams are 4-5 n Big Dozen games with single digit spread.
-- Home teams won 10 of last 11 Maryland-Miami games; Terrapins are 0-6 in last six visits here, losing by 2-14-15-2-14-4 points. 13-2 Terps have played 4th-easiest schedule in country so far- they're 2-2 against top 100 teams, with best win over #73 Stony Brook. 11-3 Miami faced #8 schedule so far; they allowed 55.7 ppg in winning last three games. ACC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread.
-- Purdue won 11 of last 13 games vs Penn State, winning last six here, by 4-14-14-20-1-24 points. Boilers lost last two games by 23-10 points; they shoot 28% behind arc, are 1-2 on road, with only win at Clemson. Big Dozen double digit favorites are 7-2 vs spread, 4-2 at home. Penn St. lost first three league games by 9-23-16 points- its loss in Madison by 9 was their only true road game this season.
-- ASU has a quality PG, now they're winning; Sun Devils gave up 78-82 points in its only two losses (Creighton/DePaul). Oregon won its last two games with Arizona State after losing six in row to ASU before that. Sun Devils won three of last four visits here. Pac-12 home favorites are 4-12 against spread. Ducks allowed 66 points in each of its first couple Pac-12 games, beating Beavers/Arizona. Can they handle prosperity?

-- Manhattan (-1) shot 36% in 62-58 loss at Marist last month, just its third loss in last ten series games; Jaspers are 3-2 in last five visits here. Jaspers lost eight of last ten games, with only wins over teams ranked #287/#265. #256 Marist lost last six games, with five of those six teams ranked in top 160. Red Foxes allowed 84.5 ppg last four games. MAAC home favorites of 8 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
-- Home side won four of last five Rider-Loyola games; Broncs won last two played here by total of five points. Loyola (-7.5) won first meeting 71-65 at home Jan 4. Rider is 2-8 vs teams in top 200; they're turning ball over 23.5% of time. MAAC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 1-3 vs spread. Loyola beat Fairfield in OT Friday, its third win in a row; they're shooting just 27.4% behind arc.
-- Iona won eight of last 11 games vs Canisius, winning last five played here, by 7-11-19-9-19 points. Griffins got upset in Albany by Siena on Friday; Canisius' third loss in last four games. Gaels won last four games after 6-6 start, scoring 80.8 ppg; they're 2-0 at home in MAAC, winning by 11-8. MAAC home favorites of 8 or less points are 3-6 vs spread. Canisius turned ball over 23.4%+ of time in each of last four games; in first 12 games, they only did that three times.
-- Niagara outscored Fairfield 27-6 from line in 71-67 (-2.5) win Jan 5th at home, its first series win in last seven tries. Eagles lost last three trips to Fairfield by 6-22-8 points. First home game in four weeks for Stags, who lost last two games by 5-4 points; only three of Fairfield's first 17 games were at home. Niagara allowed 75+ points in seven of eight losses; they're 7-1 when allowing less than 75 points.
-- St Peter's was 5-26 LY but beat Siena twice; they've won last four in series, winning last two played here by 10-5 points. Saints snapped its 11-game skid with upset of Canisius Friday; they shoot 42.2% inside arc, turn ball over 23% of time. Peacocks lost last three games, scoring 56.3 ppg; they're 3-3 on road, losing by 8-15-16 points. MAAC home teams are 3-6 vs spread if spread is less than five points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

100 Dime
Playoff Game of the Year
Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Seahawks (12-5) @ Falcons (13-3)—Lot of pressure on the home team here. Mike Smith has done great job with Atlanta, but he hasn’t won playoff game; now would be good time for that, vs red-hot Seattle team that won its last six games, coming back from down 14-0 last week in Washington. Falcons were 5-3 in second half of season after 8-0 first half; they’re 4-4 as home favorites this year, with only SU loss in meaningless season finale vs Tampa Bay. Seattle is 3-5 in true road games (beat Bills in Toronto); they’re 6-1 vs spread as an underdog this year, 3-1 on road. Falcons won last three series games, scoring 44-34-30 points; Seahawks haven’t been to Georgia Dome since 44-41 loss in ’07 season finale. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 13-10 vs spread, 8-9 at home; NFC West underdogs are 16-7, 12-5 on road. Five of last seven Seattle games went over total; six of last seven Falcon games stayed under. #1 seed in NFC lost this game four of last five years, covered only once in last six years.

Texans (13-4) @ Patriots (12-4)—11-1 Houston rolled into Foxboro six weeks ago and left 11-2 after getting waxed 42-14 in Week 14 Monday nighter, when Pats scored six TDs on 12 drives (all on drives of 68+ yards), converted 6-12 on 3rd down, averaged 7.8 ypa. Loss started Texans on 1-3 tailspin that cost them bye last week and home field in this game; Houston lost last two road games (Pats/Colts) after winning first six; they’re 1-1 as underdogs this year. NE won six of last seven home games; they’re 4-4 as home favorites, winning at home by 10-3-6-35-28-28 points. Home team won three of four series games, with Houston losing 40-7 (’06)/42-14 in only two visits here. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 11-11 vs spread, 7-7 at home; AFC South underdogs are 13-15, 6-10 on road. Six of last seven Patriot home games went over total; five of last six Houston games stayed under. #2 seed in AFC is 3-3 in this game last six years (2-4 vs spread).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service
5* ATLANTA -2½
3* HOUSTON +9½
3* NEW YORK -7½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Bagman

4000 units Texans +9½ over Patriots
I didn't think the Texans would get passed the Bengals defense. They pulled off the victory because of an incredible defensive performance. The Patriots defense isn't the Bengals defense and after the way the Pats embarrassed them in December, I think they have something to prove. I'll take the big number again here.

2000 units Seahawks +2½ over Falcons
As I stated above, I want to see a Packers Seahawks re-match. The main reason being is I predicted it when they put 50 on Buffalo after they put 58 on the Cardinals. This game will not be easy. The Falcons matchup really well against the Hawks. Will Matty Ice ever win a playoff game?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report
4* Atlanta -2½ over Seattle (NFL) Range: -1 to -4½
3* Houston/New England OVER 48½ (NFL) Range: 47 to 51
3* Seton Hall -4½ over Providence (NCAAB) Range: -3 to -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Hilton- Gameday

5 Atlanta -2'
1 Houston +9'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA
20* NFL Atlanta -3
20* NFL Houston +10
20* NCAAB Ohio St -1½
10* NFL Atlanta UNDER 46½
10* NFL Houston UNDER 49½
10* NBA New York -6½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas SI

SUNDAY PICKS(CHICAGO)
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Seahawks +3
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Patriots -9.5
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Seahawks over 45.5
EXECUTIVE: 10* NFL Patriots under 48.5
EXECUTIVE: 10* NBA Hornets +6.5
DIRECTORS: 10* CBB Miami Florida -6

SUNDAY PICKS(CAMPONE)
CADILLAC: 20* NFL Patriots -9.5
CADILLAC: 20* NFL Seahawks over 45.5
20* NFL Patriots under 48.5
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* NFL Seahawks +3
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* NBA Thunder under 199
SHARP EDGE: 10* CBB Providence +5.5

SUNDAY PICKS(CALLAHAN)
20* NFL Seahawks +3 (GOY)
20* NFL Patriots under 48.5
20* NFL Seahawks over 45.5
15* NFL Patriots -9.5
15* NBA Lakers -7.5
10* CBB Purdue under 125

SUNDAY PICKS(SOUTH BEACH)
ZEBRA CLUB: 20* NFL Patriots -9.5
BIG ACTION: NFL Seahawks over 45.5
BIG ACTION: NFL Patriots under 48.5
BIG ACTION: NFL Seahawks +3
HILTON: CBB Fordham +4.5

SUNDAY PICKS(HOLLYWOOD)
INSIDE ACTION: 20* NFL Falcons -3
BLUE RIBBON: NFL Patriots over 48.5
BLUE RIBBON: NFL Falcons over 45.5
WISEGUY EDGE: NFL Patriots -9.5
WISEGUY EDGE: CBB Arizona St +9

SUNDAY PICKS(MICHIGAN)
BIG HOUSE: 20* NFL Seahawks +3
BIG HOUSE: 20* NFL Texans +9.5
LOCKERROOM: 20* NFL Seahawks over 45.5
PRESSBOX: 15* NFL Texans under 48.5
PRESSBOX: 5* NBA Thunder -4.5

SUNDAY PICKS(NEW YORK)
INNER CIRCLE: 20* NFL Patriots -9.5
SYNDICATE: NFL Seahawks over 45.5
SYNDICATE: NFL Patriots over 48.5
SYNDICATE: NFL Seahawks +3
DATA: CBB Iona -7.5

SUNDAY PICKS(PIOLI)
HIGH ROLLER: 20* NFL Falcons -3
HIGH ROLLER: 20* NFL Texans +9.5
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* NFL Falcons under 45.5
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* NFL Texans over 48.5
LINE VALUE: 5* NBA Timberwolves under 199

SUNDAY PICKS(VIP ACTION)
VIP CLUB: 20* NFL Falcons -3
ROXY'S: NFL Patriots over 48.5
ROXY'S: NFL Falcons over 45.5
ROXY's: NFL Patriots -9.5
RIVERBOAT: NBA Raptors -2.5

SUNDAY PICKS(20* CONSENSUS)
20* NFL Patriots -9.5
20* NFL Seahawks over 45.5
20* NFL Seahawks +3 BONUS PLAYS
10* NFL Patriots under 48.5
10* NBA Raptors -2.5

SUNDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)
20* NFL Patriots -9.5 and 10* NFL UNDER 48.5
20* NFL Seahawks +3 and 10* NFL OVER 45.5
20* NBA Warriors +6 and 10* NBA UNDER 209
20* NBA Hornets +6.5 and 10* NBA OVER 192
20* CBB Michigan St -18.5 and 10* CBB OVER 120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Valley Sports
[810] Denver(-6 or better)Over Golden St --3 Stars
[811] Oklahoma City(-5 or better)Over Portland --2 Stars
[804] Milwaukee/Toronto(Over 192 or better)--3 Stars

NCAA BASKETBALL PICKS
[816] Seton Hall(-5 or better)Over Providence --3 Stars
[827] Maryland(+6 or better)Over Miami-Fla --2 Stars
[831] Arizona St(+9 or better)Over Oregon --2 Stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:

1000* NFL Patriots -9.5

500* NBA Over 180 Nets/Pacers

100* NFL Over 46 Falcons/Seahawks

100* CBB Over 125 Penn State/Purdue

50* CBB Michigan +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Key Trends Report

Game Date: Sun. Jan 13, 2013

Trends From Fri. Nov 2, 1990 To Sun. Jan 13, 2013


at New York Knicks by 7.0 New Orleans Hornets O/U 193.0 Recommend

New York Knicks are 126-103-6 ATS After 3 Losses (All Lines) New York Knicks
New York Knicks are 31-17-2 ATS After 3 Losses (6 -> 7.5) New York Knicks
New York Knicks are 42-29-2 O/U vs. New Orleans (All Lines) Over
New Orleans Hornets are 437-493-15 O/U As Dog (All Lines) Under
New Orleans Hornets are 355-314-20 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines) New Orleans Hornets
New Orleans Hornets are 378-426-16 O/U After 1 As Fav (All Lines) Under
New Orleans Hornets are 59-91-2 ATS After 1 As Fav (6 -> 7.5) New York Knicks
New Orleans Hornets are 42-29-2 O/U vs. New York (All Lines) Over


at Toronto Raptors by 2.0 Milwaukee Bucks O/U 192.0 Recommend

Toronto Raptors are 207-241-10 O/U As Favorite (All Lines) Under
Toronto Raptors are 74-104-1 O/U As Home (2 -> 3.5) Under
Toronto Raptors are 164-195-8 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines) Under
Toronto Raptors are 49-35-0 ATS As Home Favorite (2 -> 3.5) Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors are 104-135-4 ATS After 2 Wins (All Lines) Milwaukee Bucks
Toronto Raptors are 4-0-1 O/U After 5 Home (2 -> 3.5) Over
Toronto Raptors are 4-11-0 ATS vs. Milwaukee (2 -> 3.5) Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks are 931-852-23 O/U All Games (All Lines) Over
Milwaukee Bucks are 520-459-14 O/U As Dog (All Lines) Over
Milwaukee Bucks are 419-469-17 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines) Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks are 474-413-10 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines) Over
Milwaukee Bucks are 402-357-8 O/U After 2 As Fav (All Lines) Over
Milwaukee Bucks are 11-4-0 ATS vs. Toronto (2 -> 3.5) Milwaukee Bucks


at Brooklyn Nets by NL Indiana Pacers O/U NL Recommend

Brooklyn Nets are 54-34-1 O/U vs. Indiana (All Lines) Over
Indiana Pacers are 208-178-15 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines) Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers are 54-34-1 O/U vs. Brooklyn (All Lines) Over


at San Antonio Spurs by 12.0 Minnesota Timberwolves O/U 198.5 Recommend

San Antonio Spurs are 1049-927-40 ATS All Games (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs are 921-1013-32 O/U All Games (All Lines) Under
San Antonio Spurs are 797-688-32 ATS As Favorite (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs are 698-774-18 O/U As Favorite (All Lines) Under
San Antonio Spurs are 529-454-22 ATS As Home (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs are 451-515-17 O/U As Home (All Lines) Under
San Antonio Spurs are 497-428-21 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs are 427-491-13 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines) Under
San Antonio Spurs are 480-408-15 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs are 523-458-17 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs are 1-6-0 ATS vs. Minnesota (12 -> 13.5) Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves are 851-940-34 ATS All Games (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
Minnesota Timberwolves are 18-10-2 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (12 -> 13.5) Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves are 400-458-14 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines) San Antonio Spurs
Minnesota Timberwolves are 34-20-2 ATS After 1 As Dog (12 -> 13.5) Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves are 6-1-0 ATS vs. San Antonio (12 -> 13.5) Minnesota Timberwolves


at Denver Nuggets by 6.0 Golden State Warriors O/U 209.0 Recommend

Denver Nuggets are 25-40-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (6 -> 7.5) Under
Denver Nuggets are 228-197-10 ATS After 2 Home (All Lines) Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets are 36-51-1 O/U After 2 Home (6 -> 7.5) Under
Denver Nuggets are 30-51-0 O/U After 2 As Fav (6 -> 7.5) Under
Golden State Warriors are 921-833-25 O/U All Games (All Lines) Over
Golden State Warriors are 479-403-14 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines) Over


Oklahoma City Thunder by 5.0 at Portland Trailblazers O/U 199.0 Recommend

Oklahoma City Thunder are 995-900-40 ATS All Games (All Lines) Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder are 584-533-25 ATS As Favorite (All Lines) Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder are 504-440-19 ATS As Away (All Lines) Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder are 191-159-7 ATS As Away Favorite (All Lines) Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder are 511-418-19 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines) Oklahoma City Thunder
Portland Trailblazers are 876-943-43 O/U All Games (All Lines) Under
Portland Trailblazers are 159-191-8 O/U All Games (4 -> 5.5) Under
Portland Trailblazers are 427-479-24 O/U As Home (All Lines) Under
Portland Trailblazers are 92-69-3 ATS As Home Dog (All Lines) Portland Trailblazers
Portland Trailblazers are 56-88-4 O/U After 1 Losses (4 -> 5.5) Under
Portland Trailblazers are 379-454-19 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines) Under
Portland Trailblazers are 68-100-6 ATS After 1 Overs (4 -> 5.5) Oklahoma City Thunder
Portland Trailblazers are 73-94-2 O/U After 1 Overs (4 -> 5.5) Under


at Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers by 8.0 Cleveland Cavaliers O/U 211.0 Recommend

Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 659-715-24 ATS As Favorite (All Lines) Cleveland Cavaliers
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 708-645-18 O/U As Favorite (All Lines) Over
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 419-469-18 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines) Cleveland Cavaliers
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 3-0-0 O/U After 6 Losses (8 -> 9.5) Over
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 14-29-0 ATS vs. Cleveland (All Lines) Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers are 90-117-5 ATS After 3 As Dog (All Lines) Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers
Cleveland Cavaliers are 29-14-0 ATS vs. Los Angeles (Lk) (All Lines) Cleveland Cavaliers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS
No scheduled release for Sunday.