1-14-13

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Nover

2* uconn
2* heat

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

Pass on the Monday card and will be back with another winner on Tuesday.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. Take #701 Over 192 Orlando at Washington (7:05p.m., Monday January 14)

So the Wizards have won 2-straight games and with John Wall back in the Wizards lineup their offense looks to be a lot better. Tonight I'm hoping the Wizards offense plays like they did against the Thunder on January 7 as the Wizards scored 101 points. The Orlando Magic on the other hand has been an 'Over' machine as their last 10 games have all gone over the total. Glen Davis is questionable tonight but if doesn't play it still doesn't hurt hte Magic offense because they still share the ball well and his absence hasn't hurt their offense. The Magic last 3 road games their offense has been clicking but their defense has been horrible giving up an average of 111.3ppg and tonight I see both the Magic offense scoring and their defense giving the Wizards some easy fast break points.

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The Brian Laverty

2* Western Carolina
2* Furman/Wofford Under

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Las Vagas syndicate.

NBA. Olando BIG.

NCCAB. Connecticut Small.


Jimmy Spat.

NBA. LAC over 181.

NCCAB. Kanas -10

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Billy Coleman 4* Boston/Charlotte Under 189

Young Gun Sports 3* Sacramento -5.5

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ATS Consultants

LAC 3*

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David Banks

Monday, January 14th, 2013
Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls

Do not look for many fireworks on NBA TV on Monday night when the Chicago Bulls (20-15, 13-22 ATS), who have oddly struggled at home this year, host the slumping Atlanta Hawks (21-15, 14-21-1 ATS) at the United Center in Chicago, IL at 8:05 ET. The Bulls have one of the best road records in the NBA at 10-5, but they are inexplicably 10-10 at the United Center. The Hawks have lost five of their last six games mainly due to suddenly bad shooting.

Regardless of where the Bulls have played this season, offense has not been a strong suit for them while waiting for Derrick Rose to make his seasonal debut, which may come in as little as two weeks. Until then however, Chicago is ranked 26th in the NBA in scoring at 93.5 points per game and 19th in field goal percentage at 44.0 percent. Now, most teams shoot the ball better at home than they do on the road, but not the Bulls, as they average only 91.7 points on a putrid 42.7 percent shooting in their own building. Chicago allowed Charlotte to snap an 18-game losing streak at the United Center earlier this month, and then on Saturday the Bulls allowed the Denver Nuggets to snap a 12-game road losing streak in an ugly 97-81 loss while shooting a miserable 36.4 percent. Thankfully, the Bulls have continued to play fine defense through there shooting difficulties, ranking third in the NBA in points allowed at 92.3 per game. That average drops to a stifling 90.8 points at home, so it should come as no surprise that the 'under' is a lucrative 14-6, 70.0 percent in all Chicago home games this season with those contests averaging a combined 182.5 points.

Now, the Hawks rank smack on the middle of the pack in the NBA in scoring this year, reporting home 15th at 96.5 points per game, but Atlanta has abruptly lost its shooting touch while losing five of its last six contests. The Hawks have distressingly scored 84 points or less in four of those five losses, with the most recent being a 93-83 loss on Saturday to the team with the worst record in the NBA, the Washington Wizards. In fact, the Hawks also scored 83 points in a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers last week, a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in the league in field goal percentage allowed at 47.1 percent! If Atlanta cannot get out of the 80s vs. a couple of the worst teams in the league, how are the Hawks supposed to score against a stiff Chicago defense? The Haws do grade out well on the defensive end though ranking sixth in points against at 95.5 points per encounter, so this could turn into an excruciating game to watch on both sides.

The 'under' is 6-1 on the last seven head-to-head meetings including 4-0 in the last four meetings in Chicago. The 'under' is also 20-8 in the last 28 Chicago home games.

Pick: UNDER 185.5

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Nevada Sports Experts

NBA:
3 Units NBA Play of the Day Phoenix Suns + 5

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SB Professor Original NBA Picks 1/14
7:30 PM
703. Charlotte Bobcats +11 (service play).

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GOODFELLA
2* Memphis

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sbb

4.5-STAR CHICAGO -4 over Atlanta - This is the kind of matchup where home court makes all the difference. Before home Christmas, Atlanta defended their home court handily and now it's time for Chicago to return the favor. Look for them to hand business here.
This comes particularly after getting smoked at home Saturday night, 97-81 by Phoenix. They shot just 36% from the field in the loss. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS (7.4 ppg) since December 11, 2009 at home with at least one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

Part of the reason for having such a low percentage was getting 11 shots blocked. The Bulls are 12-0 ATS (12.5 ppg) since November 09, 2000 at home after a home loss in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.

Luol Deng struggled and went just 5-fo16 for 13 points. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since December 21, 2010 at home after a loss at home in which Luol Deng was not the Bulls' high scorer.

Joakim Noah wasn't any better going 4-of-13 for 10 points The Bulls are 7-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since February 18, 2009 after a loss at home in which Joakim Noah shot worse than 33% from the field.

That left Carlos Boozer as their high scorer despite scoring just 15 points himself. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS (4.0 ppg) since February 20, 2012 at home after a loss in which Carlos Boozer was the Bulls' high scorer.

Atlanta struggled Saturday night in a 93-83 loss in Washington. They shot just 38.5% from the field. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since February 02, 2010 on the road with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

However of the 30 baskets they did score, 23 were assisted. The Hawks are 0-8 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since December 23, 2006 as a road dog after a double digit loss in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points higher than their season-to-date average.

As we mentioned, Atlanta won the first meeting between these teams, 92-75, at home. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS (5.2 ppg) since April 11, 2010 as a favorite when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss.

Luol Deng led Chicago in that loss with just 11 points. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since March 16, 2010 after losing the previous matchup in which Luol Deng was the Bulls' high scorer.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: CHICAGO 91, Atlanta 80

4-STAR MEMPHIS -2 over La Clippers - The Clippers big run made people think they are better than they actually are. A lot of a run like that is fueled by emotion and it takes a while to recover from that. They have turned back into a good but not great team and it should show up here.

Their last game really showed it as they lost at home to Orlando, 104-101. They attempted just six free throws in that game. Teams which attempted 6 or fewer free throws last game are 36-64 ATS.

They also lost despite committing just nine turnovers in that game after having 21 in a win over Dallas prior. The Clippers are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since January 03, 2004 after a game at home in which they committed at least ten fewer turnovers than in the game before.

Memphis also committed just seven turnovers yet lost to Dallas Saturday, 104-83. The Grizzlies are 9-0 ATS (12.8 ppg) since December 22, 1996 at home with at least one day of rest after a double digit road loss in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average.

When these teams played on opening night, LA won 101-92. Memphis shot just 38% in that game. The Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS (6.9 ppg) since January 21, 2011 at home when seeking revenge for a road loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

Still, they led by four points after the third quarter. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (5.3 ppg) since November 08, 2010 at home when seeking revenge for a loss as a dog in which they led at the end of the third quarter.

Mike Conley went just 2-of-10 for seven points in that loss. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (7.8 ppg) since January 15, 2011 at home as a favorite after losing the previous matchup in which Mike Conley scored fewer than 10 points.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MEMPHIS 103, La Clippers 94

4-STAR Miami -2.5 over UTAH - Facing Sacramento is a perfect team to work out your offensive kinks against and Miami sure saw that Saturday night. Look for them to be out of their funk and ready to turn on the jets here.

Prior to that big win over Sacramento they had lost two straight games. Away favorites coming off a win to break a 2+ game losing streak are 284-209-9 ATS.

In that 128-99 win, Miami scored 23.5 points more than expected. The Heat are 6-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since January 01, 2006 with at most one day of rest after a double digit road win in which their DPS was at least plus 15 points.

Miami got their shooting going in that game going 17-of-37 on threes. Teams which attempted at least 34 three pointers last game and shot more than 38% are 67-54-2 ATS. Also, the Heat are 6-0 ATS (3.5 ppg) since April 12, 2002 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a game in which they attempted at least 10 more three pointers than their season-to-date average.

Mario Chalmers was the main sharpshooter, going 10-of-13 from long distance, scoring 34 points. The Heat are 6-0 ATS (6.2 ppg) since January 07, 2012 after Mario Chalmers increased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games.

Sacramento went a solid 9-of-18 on threes as well in that game. The Heat are 6-0 ATS (7.6 ppg) since March 22, 2009 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

Miami was able to rest up in the big win with Dwyane Wade playing 25 minutes. The Heat are 6-0 ATS (14.1 ppg) since February 19, 2010 on the road after a win on the road in which Dwyane Wade played fewer than 30 minutes.

Lebron played 29 and went 7-of-10 from the field. The Heat are 5-0 ATS (4.0 ppg) since April 19, 2012 after a win in which Lebron James shot better than 66% from the field.

Utah won Saturday night, 90-87 in Detroit. They shot 50% from the field in the win. The Jazz are 0-8 ATS (-7.0 ppg) since February 13, 2012 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Miami 103, UTAH 90

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Charlie Sports

500* Over Celtics, Under Suns, Over Kansas

30* Uconn

20* Suns

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James Jones

Monday January 14, 2013

* NCAA BASKETBALL *

2 Units: Elon +2 7:00 PM EST

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Chris Jordan: 600 Western Carolina

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KB Hoops

College
7 units Elon +2
5 units Jackson State +6.5

NBA
7 units Chicago Bulls -4 **POD**
5 units Orlando Magic UNder 193
5 units Phoenix Suns +5.5