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Study Group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCB Betting Notes
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Wednesday’s ranked college basketball games:
(15) North Carolina State Wolfpack at Maryland Terrapins (-2)
Ten consecutive victories, the latest over previously unbeaten and top-ranked Duke, have North Carolina State soaring as the Wolfpack travel to Maryland. The Terrapins have scored an average of 54.8 points in losses to the Hurricanes and Florida State, after putting up 94 in their conference opener against Virginia Tech. Maryland leads the ACC in field-goal defense, holding opponents to 35.3 percent shooting and rank last in the conference in turnover margin (-3.94). The Wolfpack are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Richmond Spiders at (13) Butler Bulldogs (-9)
Butler received a huge scare in Saturday's win at Dayton when leading scorer Rotnei Clarke was hurt in a harrowing fall. Clarke escaped serious injury and was diagnosed with a sprained neck, but the Bulldogs will be without him for at least the next two games. Richmond is also dealing with an injury to a key player. Forward Derrick Williams (ankle), the team’s second-leading scorer and No. 2 rebounder, will miss his fourth straight game. The Spiders are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
(17) Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions (+11)
After losing at Minnesota in the Big Ten opener, the Spartans have needed big second halves to pull away from Purdue, Iowa and Nebraska -- all considered to be middle-tier to bottom-half teams in the conference. The starting backcourt of Keith Appling, Gary Harris and Denzel Valentine combined to shoot just 3-for-22 in Sunday's 66-56 win at home against Nebraska. Penn State has lost four straight, averaging just 49.5 points per game in the process. The Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last seven Wednesday games.
Georgia Bulldogs at (16) Missouri Tigers (-15)
Missouri will be without leading scorer Laurence Bowers, who sprained the MCL in his right knee last week. The inability of the Bulldogs to establish a second consistent scoring threat besides Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a big reason Georgia ranks 318th nationally in scoring (59.5 points). The Bulldogs are facing their second ranked team in eight days; Georgia lost by 33 points at Florida on Jan. 9 and is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.
(18) Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs (+10)
Scoring could be a grind for both teams when Kansas State travels to TCU for a Big 12 game. The Horned Frogs are 341st out of 345 Division I teams in scoring (55.2), taking another tumble after a 51-40 loss Saturday against Baylor. They're eighth in scoring defense (55.3), however. Kansas State has only one player averaging double figures in scoring; senior guard Rodney McGruder (14.9). He’s been especially hot lately, averaging 19.3 points over the last six games. The Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss and K-State is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
(21) New Mexico Lobos at Boise State Broncos (-2.5)
Off to its best start since 1987-88, Boise State looks to knock off its second ranked opponent in as many weeks when the Broncos host New Mexico. The Broncos won their seventh straight game last Wednesday against previously unbeaten Wyoming despite missing four suspended players. Three of them have been reinstated in time to face New Mexico. Leading scorer Derrick Marks and reserves Mikey Thompson and Darrious Hamilton have been reinstated after serving one-game suspensions for violating team rules, but reserve center Kenny Buckner’s suspension has been extended through Jan. 23. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
(23) UNLV Runnin' Rebels at (14) San Diego State Aztecs (-4.5)
San Diego State will try to start 3-0 in the Mountain West Conference for a third consecutive season when the Aztecs host UNLV. Both teams feature elite scorers/rebounders. Anthony Bennett, a 6-8 freshman forward for UNLV, averages 19.6 points and 9.3 rebounds. Jamaal Franklin, a 6-5 junior guard, averages 17.8 and 10.3 for San Diego State. The Runnin' Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. -
Exposing The Top 25: Where The Polls Went Wrong
Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-2 SU, 11-4 ATS)
The Golden Gophers took an 11-game winning streak into Indiana when they faced the Hoosiers Saturday, and while the streak came to an end, they did give Indiana a run for its money. The Gophers have been a good bet all year. In fact, their record ATS is the best of any team in the Top 25.
They have played five ranked teams this season and have won three of those five games. Their only two losses came against Duke and Indiana, and both those teams have been ranked in the top spot in the country at some point during the season. Minnesota will be in danger of losing a third consecutive game as its host No. 3 Michigan Thursday.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Wichita State Shockers (15-2, 8-6 ATS)
The Shockers have an impressive record at 15-2 to start the season. But when you look at their opponents so far, it soon becomes apparent that they haven't really played anybody. They have taken advantage of an easy schedule, without playing a ranked opponent. They lost their last game at home to the Evansville Purple Aces by a score of 71-67.
They will take on Illinois State Wednesday, before playing No. 12 Creighton this weekend. It will mark the first time that either team has faced a Top 25 opponent. It's safe to assume that the loser of this meeting will be dropped from the rankings next week.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Oregon Ducks (14-2, 8-6 ATS)
The Ducks recently ended the Arizona Wildcats’ unbeaten run to start the season, winning 70-66 at home. The victory marked their second win over a Top-25 opponent this year, as they beat UNLV by a score of 83-79 in Las Vegas back in November. The Ducks are still unbeaten at home, with a record of 12-0 this season, and winners of 18 in a row dating back to last season.
They head out on the road Thursday to take on Pac-12 rivals USC and then they face an even tougher task versus UCLA in California over the weekend. While the game against UCLA is Oregon’s only meeting with a Top-25 team for the remainder of the season, it isn't as though their schedule is going to be easy. The Ducks will play home-and-home sets against Colorado, Utah, Cal and the Washington Huskies.Comment
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See Spot. See Spot Bet: This Week's Best Spot Bet Opportunities
Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.
Letdown Spot
The Philadelphia Flyers rekindle their state rivalry on opening night of the condensed NHL schedule, hosting the Pittsburgh Penguins Saturday. Philadelphia embarrassed Pittsburgh in the playoffs last year and will be chomping at the bit to get another shot at the Pens.
Following that home opener, the Flyers go east to play the Buffalo Sabres Sunday – not quite the hate-fueled rivalry they share with Pittsburgh. Expect an opening-night hangover and some rusty skates from Philly while the Sabres’ hockey-starved crowd will be jacked up for their first game of the year.
Lookahead Spot
The Big Ten is the cream of the college hoops crop. The conference has six teams in the Top 25 including Michigan State, which has a showdown versus No. 11 Ohio State Saturday. But before Sparty hosts OSU, Michigan State visits Penn State Wednesday.
The Spartans have a checkered past with the Nittany Lions, with the two programs trading wins and losses in the last eight meetings. Penn State has gone 4-3-1 ATS in those games and are 3-1-1 ATS in its last five home games versus MSU.
Schedule Spot
The Houston Rockets better have plenty of fuel in the tank. With an upcoming road trip – and a stretch of four games in five nights – Houston could be sucking fumes come the weekend. The Rockets host the Los Angeles Clippers Tuesday before hitting the bricks on a four-game away swing.
The trip starts in Dallas Wednesday, then to Indiana Friday, at Minnesota Saturday and finishes in Charlotte on Monday Jan. 21. Houston has been terrific at home but is 7-11 SU and 8-9-1 ATS away from the Toyota Center. The Rockets, the NBA’s top scoring team, are averaging 101.7 points on the road compared to 108.9 at home.Comment
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Trouble Brewing With Heat Cooling Off on the Road
The Miami Heat are still in control of the Southeast Division, but all is not well in South Beach right now and bettors should take notice.
Dwyane Wade found himself on the pine in the fourth quarter of Monday’s loss to Utah and Chris Bosh only saw 40 seconds of action in the last 16 minutes of the game. Coach Erik Spoelstra decided to play LeBron James with four bench players late in an attempt to inspire a comeback.
“I don’t know. I just stay ready,” Wade told reporters after the game. “Coach makes the calls. I’m just a player.” And Bosh recently went on the record saying the Heat weren’t doing enough to ride players with “hot hands.”
Miami has failed to cover in three of its last four games and eight of its last 10. When taking a look at the Heat’s road ATS numbers, the picture becomes even more grim. Miami is just 6-11 ATS away from South Beach and is in the midst of a West Coast swing that has the squad visiting six cities in nine days. The Heat have two stops remaining on the trip, including a highly anticipated matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers Thursday. It will be the second game of a back-to-back for Miami, which visits Golden State Wednesday.
The Lakers applied the brakes on a six-game slide at Cleveland and will try to build some momentum Tuesday night when they host Milwaukee. You can bet Los Angeles will look at the upcoming matchup with Miami as a potential game that could turn its season around.Comment
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POINTWISE
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 16 SCORE
(7:00) Dayton 77 - LASALLE 76
(7:00) Temple 73 - GEORGE WASHINGTON 69
(7:00) MARYLAND 84 - North Carolina State 70 (ESPN2)
(7:00) BUTLER 87 - Richmond 64
(7:00) VILLANOVA 72 - Pittsburgh 67 (ESPNU)
(7:00) GEORGETOWN 60 - Providence 53
(7:00) Miami-Florida 71 - BOSTON COLLEGE 55
(7:00) Michigan State 68 - PENN STATE 58 (BIG10)
(7:00) Memphis 76 - RICE 59
(7:00) EAST CAROLINA 74 - Houston 71
(7:00) William & Mary 63 - GEORGIA STATE 58
(7:00) UNC-WILMINGTON 60 - Old Dominion 59
(7:00) NORTHEASTERN 62 - Hofstra 52
(7:00) DELAWARE 67 - Towson 61
(7:00) AKRON 79 - Ball State 55
(7:00) WESTERN MICHIGAN 72 - Toledo 66
(7:00) Bowling Green 60 - MIAMI-OHIO 57
(7:00) BUFFALO 64 - Kent State 63
(7:00) INDIANA STATE 67 - Missouri State 60
(7:00) OHIO U 78 - Northern Illinois 59
(7:30) CHARLOTTE 73 - Fordham 62
(8:00) ST BONAVENTURE 69 - Xavier 63 (CBSC)
(8:00) OKLAHOMA 74 - Texas Tech 58
(8:00) SMU 71 - Southern Mississippi 64
(8:00) WICHITA STATE 66 - Illinois State 65
(8:00) DRAKE 67 - Evansville 59
(8:00) BOISE STATE 63 - New Mexico 57
(8:00) LSU 65 - South Carolina 58
(8:00) MISSOURI 77 - Georgia 61
(8:00) ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 62 - Loyola-Chicago 55
(8:00) ARKANSAS 63 - Auburn 50
(8:00) Utep 64 - TULSA 63
(9:00) Alabama 66 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 62
(9:00) COLORADO STATE 81 - Air Force 58
(9:00) IOWA STATE 75- West Virginia 66 (ESPN2)
(9:00) Kansas State 72 - TCU 67 (ESPNU)
(9:00) Purdue 70 - NEBRASKA 69 (BIG10)
(9:00) MARQUETTE 73 - Seton Hall 71
(9:30) Utah 66 - WASHINGTON STATE 65
(10:00) Wyoming 76 - FRESNO STATE 68
(10:00) SAN DIEGO STATE 69 - Unlv 61 (CBSC)
(10:00) SAN DIEGO 67 - Loyola-Marymount 66
(11:00) BYU 86 - Saint Marys 78 (ESPNU)
(11:30) Colorado 79 - WASHINGTON 70
BEST BETS: ILLINOIS STATE, BOISE STATE, COLORADO STATE, UTAH,
SETON HALL, SAN DIEGO STATE, BYU, COLORADO.
NBA BASKETBALL
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 16 SCORE
(7:05) ORLANDO MAGIC 102 - Indiana Pacers 93
(7:05) Chicago Bulls 95 - TORONTO RAPTORS 88
(7:35) ATLANTA HAWKS 98 - Brooklyn Nets 92
(8:05) BOSTON 107 - New Orleans 105 (ESPN)
(8:05) OKLAHOMA CITY 98 - Denver Nuggets 95
(8:35) DALLAS MAVERICKS 118 - Houston Rockets 100
(8:35) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 102 - Memphis Grizzlies 99
(10:05) PORTLAND BLAZERS 108 - Cleveland Cavs 98
(10:05) Washington Wizards 102 - SACRAMENTO 101
(10:35) GOLDEN ST WARRIORS 101 - Miami 95 (ESPN)
BEST BETS: ORLANDO, DALLAS (1), WASHINGTON (3)Comment
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WINNING POINTS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Wednesday, January 16
LaSalle* over Dayton by 5
Temple over George Washington* by 6
**PREFERRED
Maryland* over North Carolina State by 10
Not covering in a road win at Boston College was the foreshadowing for losing this
one outright for NC State, because Maryland is a better defensive team that Boston
College.
MARYLAND, 78-68.
Butler* over Richmond by 11
**PREFERRED
Pittsburgh over Villanova* by 11
They were going to play the overtime game as long as it took for Villanova to beat St.
John’s in the Wildcats’ Big East home opener. But now that that’s over with, this one
probably can’t end soon enough for the Wildcats, who have neither the better offense
nor the better defense than the Panthers. What’s left?
PITTSBURGH, 76-65.
Georgetown* over Providence by 15
Miami-FL over Boston College* by 8
Michigan State over Penn State* by 9
Memphis over Rice* by 18
East Carolina* over Houston by 4
Georgia State* over William & Mary by 9
Old Dominion over NC-Wilmington* by 2
Northeastern* over Hofstra by 18
No surprise if Hofstra lands in the 40s after 40 minutes.
NORTHEASTERN, 65-47.
Delaware* over Towson by 5
Akron* over Ball State by 28
Ball State was worried about a size mismatch when they hosted Indiana State, for
Pete’s sake. On the road against Akron? Forget about it!
AKRON, 72-44.
Western Michigan* over Toledo by 6
Miami-OH* over Bowling Green by 2
Buffalo* over Kent State by 3
Indiana State* over Missouri State by 15
Ohio* over Northern Illinois by 21
Charlotte* over Fordham by 15
St. Bonaventure* over Xavier by 2
Oklahoma* over Texas Tech by 16
SMU* over Southern Miss by 1
No size issues for the SMUs, so we’re still looking favorably upon them.
SMU, 69-68.
Wichita State* over Illinois State by 4
Drake* over Evansville by 3
New Mexico over Boise State* by 2
LSU* over South Carolina by 9
Missouri* over Georgia by 28
Oh, my. This cannot possibly go well for Georgia and their sub-par so-far guards, can
it?
MISSOURI, 79-51.
Illinois-Chicago* over Loyola-Chicago by 1
Arkansas* over Auburn by 9
UTEP over Tulsa* by 1
Alabama over Mississippi State* by 5
Colorado State* over Air Force by 15
Iowa State* over West Virginia by 9
Kansas State over TCU* by 15
Purdue over Nebraska* by 2
Marquette* over Seton Hall by 8
Washington State* over Utah by 9
Fresno State* over Wyoming by 1
UNLV over San Diego State* by 1
San Diego* over Loyola Marymount by 5
BYU* over St. Mary’s by 8
Washington* over Colorado by 1
NBA BASKETBALL
Wednesday, January 16
Indiana over *Orlando by 4
Orlando was just 4-10 in its last 14 home games and is playing for the first time after
four consecutive road contests. Indiana, however, is in action for the fourth time in
five days and second in two nights.
INDIANA 92-88.
*Toronto over Chicago by 1
Chicago had covered eight of its first 14 road matchups, but lacks the Raptors’ point
guard depth with Derrick Rose out.
TORONTO 97-96.
*Atlanta over Brooklyn by 5
Atlanta’s bench play has regressed, Josh Smith hasn’t been 100 percent and the Hawks
were 5-13-1 ATS during their last 19 games through Jan. 10. The Nets, though, were
2-5 ATS with no rest.
ATLANTA 101-96.
*Boston over New Orleans by 8
Look for a bit of a Boston surge as its schedule has eased and underrated defensive
whiz Avery Bradley is back.
BOSTON 100-92.
*Oklahoma City over Denver by 7
The Thunder return home from a three-game West Coast trip. But after this matchup,
the Thunder go back on the highway for six more games. Oklahoma City had covered
12 of its first 20 home contests.
OKLAHOMA CITY 112-105.
*Dallas over Houston by 1
Houston is on a back-to-back having hosted the Clippers last night. Dallas, though,
has already suffered 10 losses by 19 or more points and Dirk Nowitzki was shooting a
career-low from the floor since returning from knee surgery.
DALLAS 107-106.
**PREFERRED
*San Antonio over Memphis by 15
The Spurs had covered a remarkable 72 percent of the time during their last 57 home
games through Jan. 8. San Antonio is well-rested, too, having last played on Sunday.
Tim Duncan can still dominate. Memphis was 2-6-1 ATS versus Western Conference
foes through Jan. 5.
SAN ANTONIO 102-87.
*Portland over Cleveland by 9
The Trail Blazers edged Cleveland, 118-117 on Dec. 1 for their fourth straight victory in the series. Things should be easier for the Trail Blazers this time around as the
Cavaliers are playing in their fourth road game in six days.
PORTLAND 104-95.
*Sacramento over Washington by 1
Wizards coach Randy Wittman already has tried a dozen different starting lineups.
Now his team is getting healthy. The Wizards were 9-5-1 ATS during their first 15
road contests.
SACRAMENTO 96-95
**PREFERRED
*Golden State over Miami by 6
Golden State was 7-2 ATS the past nine times it has been a ‘dog through Jan. 8 and
was 21-6-1 ATS when taking on an opponent with a winning record.
GOLDEN STATE 107-101.Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with Clemson (-8 1/2) Tuesday.
Wednesday it’s Akron. The surplus is 330 sirignanos.Comment
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Hawks Faves Wednesday Despite Recent Offensive Struggles
The Atlanta Hawks are suffering from a serious power outage.
Monday night’s historically ugly 97-58 loss to the Chicago Bulls is not the way Hawks wanted to be perceived ahead of former franchise player Joe Johnson’s return to Atlanta Wednesday.
Johnson carried the load offensively for the Hawks, averaging nearly 21 points per game over the last seven seasons, but he was dealt to the Brooklyn Nets this past summer. The loss of Johnson has left a gaping hole in Atlanta’s offensive attack, a weakness that has been exposed recently.
Losers of seven of their last nine games, the Hawks (21-16 SU) are plummeting down the Eastern Conference standings. Atlanta has dropped six of its last seven overall (1-6 ATS) and is averaging a paltry 85 points per game during the skid - more than 10 points lower than its season average (95.4). The lack of buckets has also resulted in a 2-5 O/U record during that span.
Josh Smith is the team’s leading scorer with a mediocre 16.5 points per game, more than two points lower than his 18.8 average last season with Johnson in the lineup.
The Hawks picked up Louis Williams in the summer to add some punch off the bench and he hasn’t disappointed, averaging over 14 points. But the guard has only started in nine games and lacks the game-changing ability that Johnson brought to the table during his tenure in Atlanta.
Anthony Morrow, who was acquired in the Johnson deal, has been sidelined with a hip injury since Dec. 28, further adding to the team’s offensive drought.
Despite their recent woes, the Hawks are listed as early 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 190. Prior to action Tuesday, Atlanta is tied with Charlotte as the worst bet in the NBA at 14-22-1 ATS.Comment
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NBA
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won 14 of last 18 games (8-1 AF).
-- Bulls won five of last seven games (4-2 AF).
-- Nets won nine of ten games since coaching change (6-6 AU).
-- Boston won last six games (7-8-1 HF). Hornets won five of last six games (12-6 AU).
-- Oklahoma City won six of its last seven games (12-8-1 HF). Nuggets won their last six games (2-5-1 last eight AU).
-- Mavericks won last three games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Spurs won 10 of last 13 games (10-6-1 HF).
-- Wizards won last three games (8-6-1 AU).
Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost 11 of last 12 games, covered five of seven (4-6 HU).
-- Raptors lost four of last six games (5-3 HU).
-- Atlanta lost six of its last seven games (4-10-1 HF).
-- Rockets lost last four games (6-8-1 AU).
-- Grizzlies lost last two games, by 26-21 points (4-3 AU).
-- Cavaliers lost eight of last ten games (14-12 AU). Portland lost last three games, all by six or less points (4-6-1 HF).
-- Kings lost four of their last five games (5-1 last six HF).
-- Golden State lost three of last four games (10-7 vs spread at home). Miami lost five of last seven road games (6-11 vs spread on road).
Totals
-- Eight of last nine Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Toronto home games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Brooklyn games went over the total; six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Denver games went over the total; six of last seven Thunder games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Five of last seven Portland home games stayed under total.
-- Last six Sacramento games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Golden State games went over total.
Back-to-backs
-- Toronto is 6-3 vs spread it if played night before, 3-0 at home.
-- Pacers are 6-5 vs spread if they played night before, 3-4 on road.
-- Brooklyn is 1-5 vs spread on road if it played the night before.
-- Hornets are 3-6 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Denver is 4-0 vs spread on road if it played at home nite before.
-- Houston is 3-6 vs spread if it played night before, 2-3 on road.
-- Portland is 4-5 vs spread it if played night before, 1-0 at home.Comment
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CBB
-- Dayton won four in row, nine of last 11 games vs LaSalle, going 4-2 in last six games played here; Flyers lost four of last six games, losing first two A-16 games, by 12-6 points to VCU/Butler, best two teams in the league. LaSalle is 2-3 vs top 100 teams, also lost to Central Connecticut at home. A-16 home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-1 vs spread.
-- Temple won last five games vs George Washington, winning last two here by 10-16 points; Owls are 8-1 vs teams outside top 100, with only loss to Canisius- they're 3-2 on road, losing at Kansas/Xavier in last two away games. GW turns ball over 24% of time; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 100, losing by 17-3-3-15 points. A-16 home dogs are 3-3; favorites of 5 or less points are 8-3, 3-2 on foreign soil.
-- NC State beat Duke Saturday, has trap game here at Maryland team they've lost to nine of last 10 meetings; Wolfpack's 79-74 win LY ended its 9-game series losing skid. Underdogs are 7-3 vs spread in ACC games with spread of 5 or less points. Terps lost last two games, scoring 54.5 ppg-- playing #338 schedule caught up with them. State lost last four visits here, by 20-14-24-7 points.
-- Butler's leading scorer Clarke (head/neck) is out here; he is Bulldogs' only good 3-point shooter, will be missed. Butler won last ten games, is playing Gonzaga on national TV Saturday, but they better not overlook Spiders here. A-16 home favorites are 7-3 vs spread. Richmond lost four of last six games, is 0-4 vs teams in the top 100, losing by 15-25-28-12 points.
-- Pitt won last four games vs Villanova, by 5-3-10-9 points; Panthers are 1-3 in league after 12-1 start to season- they're 1-1 in true road tilts, losing by 5 at Rutgers, winning big at Georgetown. Wildcats lot by 11 at Syracuse last game, ending 7-game win streak; they're 1-3 vs teams in top 80, losing by 3-15-11 points. Villanova gets to foul line more often than any team in country. Big East home underdogs are 4-5 vs spread.
-- Miami is Final Four sleeper if they get Johnson (finger) back at 100%; Hurricanes won last four games vs Boston College, by 1-9-21-22 points. 'canes won last five road games, winning at Ga Tech/UNC. BC is 1-2 in ACC, losing by 5-3 points to NC State/Wake; youthful Eagles (#341 in experience) are 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10-16-16-4 points. ACC home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread.
-- St Bonaventure beat Xavier by 11 in A-16 tourney final last spring, a win that snapped X's long series win streak, but Bonnies lost last five games overall, losing by 7 at home to VCU last game; Musketeers won last four visits here, by 16-26-20-14 points. Xavier scored 53 ppg in its last two road games, losses at Tennessee/Wake Forest. A-16 home teams are 8-3 vs spread if number is 5 or less points.
-- San Diego State won six of last seven games with UNLV, winning last four played here, by 2-6-10-11 points; last five series games were won by 6 or less points. Aztecs won 12 of last 13 games overall, winning last couple by 3-7(ot). UNLV lost last two road games (UNC/New Mexico) as lack of quality PG hurts their offense in tight spots. MWC single digit home favorites are 3-2 against the spread.
-- 8-7 West Virginia is #307 in country in eFG% (43.7%); they're having trouble closing out games because they struggle to score- they're 1-2 on road, losing by 34 at Gonzaga, 4 at Duquesne, winning at Texas. Big X home favorites are 2-6 vs spread. Iowa State won five of last six games; they're #24 team in experience, are 9-0 at home, but just 2-4 vs teams in top 100. West Virginia is hanging in top 100 at #99.
-- Marquette won nine of last ten games vs Seton Hall, winning five in a row here, by 13-5-12-9-7 points. Eagles won last five games, with last three either by point or in OT. Pirates lost last three games by 19-12-15 points; they're lacking at PG, turning ball over 23% of time, but they are 3-2 SU on road, losing by 5 at LSU, 19 at Notre Dame. Big East home favorites are 5-12 vs spread, 5-4 if laying 7+ points.
-- Boise State had four players suspended for its last game at Wyoming, but made 11-19 behind arc and won by hoop; looks like Boise will get its PG Marks back here. Broncos lost twice LY to New Mexico, by 16-15 points, in Boise's first year in MWC. Single digit home favorites are 3-2 vs spread in MWC play. Lobos are 3-2 in last five games after starting season 12-0- they're 3-1 on road, with only loss at Saint Louis.
-- St Mary's beat BYU twice LY, by 16-14 points in Cougars' first year in WCC; Gaels are 9-2 in last 11 games, but lost two of three on road in that stretch (@ No Iowa by 7, Gonzaga by 5). WCC home favorites are 3-7 vs spread. BYU scored 82.5 ppg in 4-0 WCC start, with three of its four wins by 18+ points, but they're 2-4 vs teams in top 100, with only wins over #73 Weber State by 10, #94 Santa Clara by 18.
-- Colorado waxed Washington 87-69 in Boulder LY, in first meeting as Pac-12 rivals; Buffaloes are 1-3 in league this year, losing road games in Arizona by 9-9 points. Coach Boyle went public with criticism of his players after UCLA loss; we'll see how that works. Underdogs are 11-0 in Pac-12 games if spread is 5 or less points. Washington starts out 3-0 in league, with three road wins, but they've lost at home to Albany and Nevada (#195/172)- this is their fifth top 10 game in a row.Comment
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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
01/16/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 1962-614 (.762)
ATS: 809-853 (.487)
ATS Vary Units: 2723-2921 (.482)
Over/Under: 214-218 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 259-289 (.473)
America East Conference
Albany 62, NEW HAMPSHIRE 56
Hartford 68, UMBC 59
VERMONT 70, Binghamton 46
Atlantic 10 Conference
BUTLER 75, Richmond 58
CHARLOTTE 77, Fordham 61
LA SALLE 74, Dayton 69
Temple 67, GEORGE WASHINGTON 60
Xavier 68, ST. BONAVENTURE 66
Atlantic Coast Conference
Miami (Fla.) 70, BOSTON COLLEGE 59
NC State 76, MARYLAND 73
Big 12 Conference
IOWA STATE 78, West Virginia 68
Kansas State 64, TCU 53
OKLAHOMA 75, Texas Tech 55
Big East Conference
GEORGETOWN 66, Providence 55
MARQUETTE 75, Seton Hall 60
VILLANOVA 67, Pittsburgh 64
Big South Conference
GARDNER-WEBB 67, Coastal Carolina 62
HIGH POINT 73, Liberty 65
RADFORD 83, Longwood 69
UNC Asheville vs. CHARLESTON SOUTHERN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
VMI 83, Campbell 80
WINTHROP 65, Presbyterian 56
Big Ten Conference
Michigan State 67, PENN STATE 53
Purdue 60, NEBRASKA 57
Colonial Athletic Association
DELAWARE 74, Towson 62
GEORGIA STATE 68, William & Mary 62
NORTHEASTERN 72, Hofstra 59
UNC WILMINGTON 67, Old Dominion 63
Conference USA
EAST CAROLINA 79, Houston 73
Memphis 74, RICE 55
Southern Miss 63, SMU 57
Utep 62, TULSA 60
Horizon League
UIC 57, Loyola (Chicago) 54
Mid-American Conference
AKRON 74, Ball State 55
Kent State 68, BUFFALO 66
MIAMI (OHIO) 63, Bowling Green 59
OHIO 73, Northern Illinois 52
WESTERN MICHIGAN 68, Toledo 64
Missouri Valley Conference
Evansville 75, DRAKE 71
INDIANA STATE 68, Missouri State 54
WICHITA STATE 77, Illinois State 64
Mountain West Conference
COLORADO STATE 75, Air Force 61
New Mexico 65, BOISE STATE 64
SAN DIEGO STATE 72, Unlv 66
Wyoming 60, FRESNO STATE 53
Pacific-10 Conference
WASHINGTON 73, Colorado 65
WASHINGTON STATE 61, Utah 52
Patriot League
Bucknell 73, COLGATE 56
Holy Cross 59, NAVY 55
Lafayette 74, ARMY 71
Lehigh 73, AMERICAN 58
Southeastern Conference
Alabama 62, MISSISSIPPI STATE 59
ARKANSAS 74, Auburn 66
LSU 72, South Carolina 64
MISSOURI 75, Georgia 57
Southern Conference
Wofford 70, UNC GREENSBORO 66
West Coast Conference
BYU 81, Saint Mary's 74Comment
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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
01/16/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 369-178 (.675)
ATS: 274-284 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 805-757 (.515)
Over/Under: 289-269 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 458-409 (.528)
Chicago 92, TORONTO 90
Indiana 93, ORLANDO 90
ATLANTA 96, Brooklyn 92
BOSTON 94, New Orleans 86
OKLAHOMA CITY 110, Denver 101
DALLAS 107, Houston 104
SAN ANTONIO 101, Memphis 93
SACRAMENTO 103, Washington 98
PORTLAND 104, Cleveland 94
Miami 102, GOLDEN STATE 101Comment
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Gold Medal Club Selections 16/01/2013
CBB:
#721 Dayton +5
#772 Drake +1.5
25 *# 773 New Mexico +2.5Comment
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Chicago Sports Connection
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Won our Orlando OVER play on Monday...so will go with another here....(by the way...Orlando plays again today, but its VS Indaina....so it will be The Tortoise VS The Hare....we're staying away from that game even though Orlando games have gone OVER the total in 11 straight).
Passed yesterday.
Wednesday's Top Play.....
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Jan 16 08:05 PM STRAIGHT BET[707] TOTAL o183-110 (NO HORNETS vrs BOS CELTICS)
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N.ORLEANS
***Last 7 road games have totaled 183+
***have scored 111-87-99-92-98-97-94...in last 7 road games
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BOSTON
***have scored 100+ in 3 of their last 4 as they have been getting their stuff back together.Comment
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