1-22-13

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Double Digit Covers
NCCAB. NC ST.

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Jack Jones
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Jan 22 '13
7:00p SOUTH CAROLINA vs Missouri
Take: SOUTH CAROLINA +14½-110 in 47m
15* SEC GAME OF THE NIGHT on South Carolina +14.5

With the distraction surrounding Missouri head coach Frank Haith right now, I'll gladly fade the Tigers at home as a 14.5-point favorite over the South Carolina Gamecocks tonight.

The NCAA is expected to notify Haith of allegations of "unethical conduct and failure to promote an atmosphere of compliance" stemming from his time as coach at Miami, according to a report by CBSSports.

This team isn't playing all well already, and they certainly don't need these distractions. The Tigers have lost two out of their last three in blowout fashion with a 49-64 loss at Ole Miss, and a 52-83 setback at Florida.

The distraction is bad enough, but when you couple that with Missouri's injury woes, and it almost has no chance of covering this inflated spread. Leading scorer Laurence Bowers (16.8 PPG) and 6th-leading scorer Keion Bell (8.9 PPG) are doubtful, while 5th-leading scorer Earnest Ross (9.6 PPG) is questionable.

Former Kansas State head coach Frank Martin is already turning around this South Carolina basketball program in his first year on the job. He has the Gamecocks off to a 11-6 start, which includes an 82-73 win at LSU as a 10-point underdog in their last road game. In fact, the Gamecocks are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS on the road this season.

This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (MISSOURI) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse. Take South Carolina Tuesday.


Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Jan 22 '13
8:00p Louisville vs VILLANOVA
Take: VILLANOVA +11½-110 in 1h
15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on Villanova +11.5

The Villanova Wildcats are showing solid value as a double-digit home underdog tonight. This line is an overreaction from Louisville's home loss to Syracuse Saturday as the books expect the betting public to believe that the Cardinals will bounce back.

However, I look at it differently, feeling that the Cardinals are more likely to suffer a hangover from that heartbreaking 68-70 home loss to the Orange. It will be hard for these players to get up for Villanova after playing such a high-profile game over the weekend against Syracuse.

Meanwhile, Villanova is the team that has every reason to be motivated for a victory tonight. The Wildcats are looking to put an end to a 3-game losing streak heading in. They'll have no problem getting up to face Louisville tonight.

The home team has won six of the last eight meetings in this series. The two road wins came by 1 and 8 points. Rick Pitino is 6-16 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite as the coach of Louisville. Take Villanova Tuesday.


Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Jan 22 '13
9:00p BOSTON COLLEGE vs Maryland Terrapins
Take: BOSTON COLLEGE +8½-106 in 2h
15* ACC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Boston College +8.5

The Boston College Eagles are one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. They came into this year with little expectations after a rebuilding year last season in head coach Steve Donahue's first year on the job. Donahue has the Eagles playing much more competitive basketball in 2012-13.

While Boston College is just 9-8 on the season, there's no question this team is much better than its record would indicate. It has suffered three heartbreaking ACC losses in its last four games. It fell 73-78 to NC State, 72-75 to Wake Forest and 59-60 to Miami. There's no question it will be highly motivated for a win tonight after this tough stretch of losses.

Opposite of Boston College, this Maryland team isn't nearly as good as its 14-4 record would indicate. It has a 62-65 home loss to a down Florida State team, as well as road losses to Miami (47-54) and North Carolina (52-62). This is certainly a look-ahead game for Maryland, which has Duke on deck Saturday.

Also, the Eagles will come in the more prepared and fresher team having last played on January 16th in a 59-60 home loss to Miami. This will be just their 2nd game in 7 days, while the Terrapins will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days. They last played on Saturday in a 52-62 loss at North Carolina.

Boston College is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Maryland is 0-6 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The Eagles are 6-0 ATS after playing a home game this season. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. These five trends combine for a perfect 27-0 system backing the Eagles. Bet Boston College Tuesday.


-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Jan 22 '13
7:05p Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Take: Boston Celtics -4-105 in 52m
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -4

The Boston Celtics are highly motivated for a victory tonight as they travel to face the Cleveland Cavaliers. Boston will be looking to put an end to a 3-game losing streak, which included an ugly 88-103 loss at Detroit on Sunday. The Celtics have one of the best head coaches in the league in Doc Rivers, and he'll get his team to respond tonight.

"We are playing awful and I am clearly not doing my job for this team - and I am serious," Rivers said. "I am not trying to take a bullet for the team and I told them that. I said we have to find something where all 12 guys play the same way."

"I gotta either find the right combination or the right guys, or we're going to get some guys out of here," he said following Sunday's loss to Detroit. "That's the bottom line. This group right now, they're not playing right. It's in them to play right. But right now they haven't been either because I'm not getting to them, or they're not getting to each other."

The Celtics have an excellent chance of getting back on track against the lowly Cavaliers, who are just 10-32 on the season. They have played their worst basketball at home this season, going just 4-12 SU & 4-12 ATS. Their season is basically lost already, especially with the news that Anderson Varejao will be out for the rest of the season.

This play falls into a system that is 27-4 (87.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 2 days rest. Bet the Celtics Tuesday.

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Kelso 50 Mich St.

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Nevada Sports Experts

NBA
4 Unit BB Cleveland +4.5
4 Unit BB LA Clippers +2

NCAAB
3 Units Nebraska +5

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Scott Spreitzer | NBA SidesTue, 01/22/13 - 7:05 PM
triple-dime bet501 BOS -4.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 502 CLE
Analysis:
I'm laying the points with Boston on Tuesday night. The Cleveland Cavaliers are back home after a five-game, nine-night road trip. The problem for Cleveland is the opponent. To say Doc Rivers was extremely ticked-off with his team after their most recent loss would be putting it mildly. After losing 103-88 to Detroit on Sunday, Rivers had this to say about his squad: "I gotta either find the right combination or the right guys, or we're going to get some guys out of here." This spot reminds me quite a bit of the situation Atlanta was in last Wednesday when they took out their frustrations on Brooklyn in a 109-95 win (we had the Hawks). Here's a chance for Boston to get away from home, regroup, and pound a short-handed team that's lacking serious NBA talent even when healthy. After three straight losses, the Celtics are getting "just what the doctor ordered," and I believe they'll come through by a wide margin. The Cavaliers are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 home games and they're on a 1-5 ATS slide at home following a road trip of at least seven days. I'm laying the poi•nts with Boston on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Sports Money Profit System
We started the week with a bang yesterday sweeping the card, winning all 3 plays and tonight will hopefully be a good one too.

#1: Take Cleveland Cavaliers at +4.5 spread against Boston Celtics risking 2 Units (7:05pm)

#2: Take Orlando Magic at +5 spread against Detroit Pistons risking 2 Units (7:30 pm)


+18 units YTD

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Trace Adams
Top-Rated
1000♦
Dog Shocker
Michigan State

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Alatex
15* Ohio State
10* Celtics

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Matt Fargo

ENFORCER Celtics

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Ben Burns Main Event Wisconsin

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Mid West Sports Authority:
KU -3.5
Wisky -5.5
Mizzu Un 142
Pitt -7

NBA Late Game:
OKC -1

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Hockey Score Predictions

Winnipeg Jets 3 @ Washington Capitals 4

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 @ Carolina Hurricanes 3

Florida Panthers 3 @ Montreal Canadiens 1

Philadelphia Flyers 3 @ New Jersey Devils 2

Dallas Stars 4 @ Detroit Red Wings 2

Nashville Predators 0 @ Minnesota Wild 3

St. Louis Blues 1 @ Chicago Blackhawks 3

Los Angeles Kings 3 @ Colorado Avalanche 2

San Jose Sharks 4 @ Edmonton Oilers 1

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SPORTS BANK
400 PHILADELPHIA 76ers

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ATS
kansas
maryland

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SPORTS UNLIMITED
4 wisconsin