| NCAA-B | Jan 23 '13 7:00p |
ST. BONAVENTURE vs ST. JOSEPHS Take: ST. JOSEPHS -7-110 |
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in 2h | ||
| 25* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Joseph's -7 Simply put, the St. Joseph's Hawks have underachieved this season with a 10-6 start despite returning all five starters from last season. However, that works to our advantage here as they are clearly undervalued as only a 7-point home favorite over St. Bonaventure (8-9). St. Joseph's has really started showing signs of being undervalued by going a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. They won at Duquesne 74-66 as a 6-point favorite and at Pennsylvania 79-59 as an 11.5-point favorite. They also lost at VCU 86-92 (OT) as a 12-point dog during this stretch. St. Bonaventure has lost six of its last seven games overall. It is getting too much respect for its 81-78 win at Temple over the weekend, which has kept this line lower than it should be. The Bonnies are 2-6 in true road games this year, including recent ugly road losses to George Washington (59-78), Colorado State (64-85), and NC State (73-92). Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is a perfect 6-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last six meetings. St. Joseph's has won 10 straight home meetings with St. Bonaventure. The last have all come by 7 points or more with victories by 14, 7, 11, 25, 31, 18 and 32 points. As you can see, their last seven home games in this series since 2004 have resulted in wins by an average of 19.7 points/game. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They are winning in this spot by an average of 14.6 points/game. Bet St. Joseph's Wednesday. |
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| NCAA-B | Jan 23 '13 7:30p |
ST. JOHNS vs RUTGERS Take: ST. JOHNS +4½-110 |
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in 3h | ||
| 15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on St. John's +4.5 The St. John's Red Storm want revenge from their 56-58 home loss to Rutgers in their first meeting of the season on January 9th just two weeks ago. With home closely this series has been contested in recent years, there's no question the play is on the road dog tonight. Incredibly, four straight meetings between St. John's and Rutgers have been decided by 3 points or less, and by a combined 9 points. The Red Storm are actually playing with double revenge having lost the last two in this series by a combined 5 points. St. John's comes in playing very well having beaten Notre Dame 67-63 as a 7-point underdog, and also topping Depaul on the road 71-62 as a 3-point dog. Rutgers is coming off a heartbreaking 66-69 loss at Notre Dame and will suffer a hangover from that defeat. Rutgers is 4-12 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Rutgers is 10-26-1 ATS in its last 37 Wednesday games. The Scarlet Knights are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big East opponents. The underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take St. John's Wednesday. |
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| NCAA-B | Jan 23 '13 8:00p |
WICHITA STATE vs MISSOURI ST Take: MISSOURI ST +11-107 |
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in 3h | ||
| 15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +11 The Missouri State Bears are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are playing their best basketball of the season in MVC play, yet they keep getting treating like a bottom feeder in the conference from oddsmakers. I'll gladly take advantage of this false perception and back the Bears as a double-digit home dog to Wichita State tonight. While Missouri State is just 3-4 in MVC play, it is a dominant 6-1 ATS on the season. It has been an underdog in all seven games, and only once has it lost by more than 8 points, and that came against Creighton. Wichita State is in a huge letdown spot tonight. It came into the season as one of the favorites to win the MVC, right alongside Creighton. Well, the Shockers now have the inside track after beating Creighton 67-64 at home on Saturday. However, off such a big win, there's no question they have a letdown tonight against Missouri State. The Shockers really haven't been impressive on the road at all this season. They have a 60-69 loss at Tennessee and a 67-71 loss at Evansville. They also beat Drake 75-63 and Bradley 69-63 on the road in MVC play, which is far from impressive. Missouri State has not lost by more than 7 points to Wichita State in any of its last eight home meetings with the Shockers dating back to 2005. That makes for a perfect 8-0 system since 2005 backing the Bears pertaining to tonight's spread. Roll with Missouri State Wednesday. |
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| NCAA-B | Jan 23 '13 9:00p |
MINNESOTA U vs NORTHWESTERN Take: NORTHWESTERN +9-106 |
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in 4h | ||
| 15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Northwestern +9 The Northwestern Wildcats are showing awesome value as a 9-point home underdog to the Minnesota Golden Golphers tonight. Minnesota is clearly overvalued due to its 15-3 start and should not be this big of a favorite away from home where wins are very tough to come by in Big Ten play. The Golden Gophers have finally come back down to earth with back-to-back losses to Indiana and Michigan, which are the two best teams in the Big Ten in my opinion. Minnesota's chances of winning the Big Ten took a big hit with those two defeats, and I look for it to suffer a mental hangover because of it. It will be very tough for the Gophers to get up emotionally tonight to face a team that they already beat 69-51 at home on January 6th. There's no question that the Wildcats are going to be the more motivated team heading into this one as they want revenge from that loss that occurred just over two weeks ago. Northwestern comes in playing its best basketball of the season. It won 68-54 at Illinois as a 10-point underdog on January 17th before coming back with a solid showing against Indiana at home on Sunday. It lost to the Hoosiers 59-67 as a 12.5-point underdog, and I believe it will stay within 9 points of the Gophers tonight as well. The home team has won nine straight meetings in this series dating back to 2009. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Bet Northwestern Wednesday. |
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| NBA | Jan 23 '13 8:05p |
Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls Take: Total 183 un-102 |
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in 3h | ||
| 15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons/Bulls UNDER 183 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Chicago Bulls and Detroit Pistons. I look for a low-scoring affair tonight as neither team exceeds 90 points in this one. Chicago has been without leading scorer Luol Deng (17.4 PPG) in its last two contests, and with no surprise those two games have gone UNDER the number. Chicago lost at home to Memphis 82-85 (OT) on Saturday before beating the Lakers 95-83 on Monday. Deng remains questionable to return tonight. This has been a low-scoring affair between the Bulls and Pistons in recent meetings. Not counting overtime, the Bulls and Pistons have combined for 182 or less points in four of their last five meetings. The four have been 182, 160, 164 and 172 points. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Pistons last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 3-0-2 in Pistons last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. These four trends combine for a perfect 14-0 system backing the UNDER. Also, the UNDER is 23-8 in Bulls last 31 home games. Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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| NBA | Jan 23 '13 8:35p |
New Orleans Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs Take: New Orleans Hornets +10½-110 |
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in 4h | ||
| 20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Hornets +10.5 The New Orleans Hornets head into this game with the San Antonio Spurs playing their best basketball of the season. They should not be catching double-digits tonight because of it. New Orleans has gone 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games overall. This run has coincided with the return of G Eric Gordon from injury. He leads the team in scoring at 17.4 points per game. and he's played in just 10 games all season. New Orleans has played San Antonio very tough this season. All three meetings have been decided by 7 points or less, including a 95-88 New Orleans home victory on January 7th. The Hornets also lost 95-99 at home on 10/31, and 94-99 on the road on 12/21. This play falls into a system that is 41-13 (75.9%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games. The Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 vs. Western Conference foes. The Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. San Antonio is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. Western Conference opponents. Bet the Hornets Wednesday. Note: I locked in the Hornets early this morning before it was announced that Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard would be out, while Manu Ginobli is expected to return. I still recommend the Hornets +8.5 (the current line as of 2:00 EST) as a 20* play. |
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| NBA | Jan 23 '13 9:05p |
Washington Wizards vs Utah Jazz Take: Washington Wizards +7-104 |
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in 4h | ||
| 15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +7 The Washington Wizards have been the best team to back in the NBA over the past couple weeks. They are playing their best basketball of the season right now, and they should not be a 7-point dog to the Utah Jazz tonight. Washington is 5-2 SU and a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall. Its only losses came 94-95 at Sacramento as a 5-point dog, and 87-94 at the Los Angeles Clippers as a 13-point dog. The biggest reason for the Wizards' resurgence is that PG John Wall has returned to the line-up. He has been on board the past six games, so it's no surprise that they are playing their best basketball right now. Wall is averaging 14.0 points and 6.7 assists in six games this year. This play falls into a system that is 46-22 (67.4%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. Washington is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season. The Wizards are 9-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. The Jazz are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Utah is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take the Wizards Wednesday. |
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