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Jason Sharpe 6 Unit Play Take #588 SIU Edwardsville -2 over Southeast Missouri State (8:00pm est):
Been rolling with this SIUE team for this entire month as they have been a point spread covering machine of late with five covers in their last six games overall. They are obviously playing their best basketball of the season of late with two straight-up wins as an underdog in two of their last three games overall. They have struggled on the road but at home they have compiled a solid 5-2 record this year. This is a veteran group as the Cougars brought back four of the five starters from last year's team.
SEMO comes in off a nice win last game, ending a long drought of seven straight point spread losses along the way. It was also their first win in four straight games as they were beat by 8 points or more in all four contests. This is a team that took advantage of playing a schedule ranked one of the easiest in CBB to begin the season but since things have tightened up a bit, they have really struggled. In fact all 11 of the Redhawks wins have come against teams rated worse than 294th this season and they will face an SIUE team here currently 264th this season overall.
Can't beat the better team, at home and favored by less than 3 points. Take SIU Edwardsville here in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #579 Samford +4.5 over UNC Greensboro (7:00pm est):
Talk about no respect, Samford has started the conference season off with a 5-1 mark but despite that remains a mid-sized underdog here in this one. The Bulldogs played a tough non-conference schedule to start their season and look to be finally meshing under their 1st year head coach Bennie Seltzer right now. You can see this young group coming together of late with five wins in their last six games against teams ranked in the bottom half of the CBB rankings overall.
We bet against this UNCG team last weekend and were rewarded as they dropped a home game straight up as a 8 point favorite. The Spartans have just two wins all season against teams playing D-1 CBB and one of those victories came against lowly Citadel. It's obvious this program was being given way too much credit early on before the season as they were trying to build on a 13 win season last year as that year came off of three straight season's of less than ten wins in each year.
Samford is clearly the much better of these two teams right now. Getting any points here is a nice added bonus. Play Samford in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #593 Tennessee Martin +6.5 over Eastern Illinois (8:00pm est):
Very few 4-16 teams should be favored and especially one coming off it's first win in 12 games. Eastern Illinois is one of those teams as they come into this game off a victory in their last contest. They were picked to finish towards the bottom again this year in conference play and so far have shown no reason for anyone to think any different at this time.
Tennessee Martin also has just one conference win (also over Austin Peay) and just four wins total on the season currently. They have done this against a tougher schedule than EIU and also are in the third year for their head coach. Overall I have them just a notch higher than EIU at this time.
4-Unit - #508 Ole Miss (-8.5) over Tennessee - 6:00 PM CST
The Rebels have won & covered seven games in a row by an average of 16.1 points per game. They are 10-0 at home this season, winning each game by an average of 25.5 points per game. They've already beaten Tennessee once this season in Knoxville by 18 points. They held the Vols to just 38.5 percent shooting in that game, and just 7-of-26 from beyond the arc. Ole Miss also has the big advantage down low, as reflected in their +16 rebounding advantage in the first matchup. Expect another big win from the Rebels tonight. Take Ole Miss minus the points at home.
Nelly's Basketball - Thursday, Jan. 24
1* #502 Orlando Magic -4 over Toronto Raptors 6:05 PM CT
1* #510 Richmond +8.5 over VCU 6:00 PM CT
1* #518 Virginia Tech +5.5 over Virginia 7:00 PM CT
BEST Basketball - Thursday, Jan. 24
20* #566 Elon -10.5 over Tennessee-Chattanooga 6:00 PM CT
Bobby Dalton Basketball - Thursday, Jan. 24
5* #505 Los Angeles Clippers -7 over Phoenix Suns 9:35 PM CT
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