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-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-B | Jan 28 '13 (7:00p)
Pittsburgh vs Louisville Louisville
-6-108 at 5dimes
20* Pitt/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Louisville -6
The Louisville Cardinals are going to be highly motivated for a win tonight as they host the Pittsburgh Panthers. In fact, I believe they will be giving more effort to get a win in this game than in any other contest all season.
Louisville comes in on a 3-game losing streak with three straight heartbreaking defeats to Syracuse (68-70), Villanova (64-73) and Georgetown (51-53). It hasn't lost four straight games in a single season in nine years.
"We have to get this win. It's a must game for us," head coach Rick Pitino said. "Because four (losses in a row), now you're on the verge of getting a sub-.500 record in the league, and you don't want to mess with that."
I believe Pittsburgh comes in overvalued due to its 4-game winning streak. Those four wins came against a soft schedule in Villanova, UConn, Providence and Depaul. Remember, this is the same Pittsburgh team that opened 1-3 in Big East play with losses to Cincinnati, Rutgers and Marquette.
The Cardinals are 9-1 at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by 21.9 points/game at home this year. They are 8-0 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Louisville is 11-1 ATS when playing its 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. This is always one of the most well-conditioned teams year in and year out under Pitino because they have to be to be able to run his full-court press. Bet Louisville Monday.
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NBA | Jan 28 '13 (7:05p)
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Total
202 un-110 at BetOnline
15* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Raptors UNDER 202
The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors. I look for this to be a defensive battle between two of the most underrated teams in the league.
Golden State comes in hungry for a victory after back-to-back road losses to Chicago and Milwaukee. After giving up 103 points to the Bulls and 109 to the Bucks, there's no question that head coach Mark Jackson is going to preach defense to his team heading into this one.
Toronto is also hungry for a win after dropping six of its last eight, including a 98-99 home loss to Cleveland last time out. This is one of the more underrated defensive teams in the game, especially at home where they are allowing only 95.3 points/game.
Just looking at team averages alone, it's easy to see that there is value with this UNDER tonight. Golden State combines with its opponents to average 200.1 points/game on the season, while Toronto combines with its opponents to average 197.5 points/game.
The Raptors are 21-7 to the UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Paul Casey is 13-3 to the UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game as the coach of Toronto.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 19-8 in Raptors last 28 home games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors beat the Warriors 83-75 for 158 combined points the last time these teams met up. Take the UNDER in this game Monday.
NBA | Jan 28 '13 (8:05p)
Charlotte Bobcats vs Chicago Bulls Total
186 un-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Bobcats/Bulls UNDER 186
The Chicago Bulls and Charlotte Bobcats will take part in a defensive battle tonight. While this is one of the lowest totals on the board Monday, I believe the books have made a big mistake by not setting it low enough.
Chicago comes in motivated for a win following its 73-86 loss at Washington on Saturday. It will be exerting its energy on defense to get the win, which is the trademark of this team.
The Bulls are allowing just 91.8 points/game overall, including 88.8 points/game at home. They have given up 87 or less points in five straight games, yielding an average of 84.6 points/game over this span, and that even includes an overtime game.
Chicago's biggest weakness is an offense that averages 93.3 points/game, including 91.8 at home. The loss of leading scorer Luol Deng (hamstring) has really hurt its offense of late as the Bulls are averaging a mere 87.6 points/game in their last five. Deng is questionable to return tonight.
A quick look at the recent history between the Bobcats and Bulls, and it's easy to see that there is a ton of value with this UNDER tonight. Chicago and Charlotte have combined for 185 or less points in each of their last five meetings with combined scores of 185, 184, 159, 168 and 172 points. That includes the 91-81 victory by the Bobcats on 12/31 in their lone meeting this season.
Chicago is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The Bulls are 7-0 UNDER revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points this season. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Bobcats last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. These five trends combine for a perfect 23-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.
-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-B | Jan 28 '13 (7:00p)
Pittsburgh vs Louisville Louisville
-6-108 at 5dimes
20* Pitt/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Louisville -6
The Louisville Cardinals are going to be highly motivated for a win tonight as they host the Pittsburgh Panthers. In fact, I believe they will be giving more effort to get a win in this game than in any other contest all season.
Louisville comes in on a 3-game losing streak with three straight heartbreaking defeats to Syracuse (68-70), Villanova (64-73) and Georgetown (51-53). It hasn't lost four straight games in a single season in nine years.
"We have to get this win. It's a must game for us," head coach Rick Pitino said. "Because four (losses in a row), now you're on the verge of getting a sub-.500 record in the league, and you don't want to mess with that."
I believe Pittsburgh comes in overvalued due to its 4-game winning streak. Those four wins came against a soft schedule in Villanova, UConn, Providence and Depaul. Remember, this is the same Pittsburgh team that opened 1-3 in Big East play with losses to Cincinnati, Rutgers and Marquette.
The Cardinals are 9-1 at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by 21.9 points/game at home this year. They are 8-0 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Louisville is 11-1 ATS when playing its 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. This is always one of the most well-conditioned teams year in and year out under Pitino because they have to be to be able to run his full-court press. Bet Louisville Monday.
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NBA | Jan 28 '13 (7:05p)
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Total
202 un-110 at BetOnline
15* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Raptors UNDER 202
The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors. I look for this to be a defensive battle between two of the most underrated teams in the league.
Golden State comes in hungry for a victory after back-to-back road losses to Chicago and Milwaukee. After giving up 103 points to the Bulls and 109 to the Bucks, there's no question that head coach Mark Jackson is going to preach defense to his team heading into this one.
Toronto is also hungry for a win after dropping six of its last eight, including a 98-99 home loss to Cleveland last time out. This is one of the more underrated defensive teams in the game, especially at home where they are allowing only 95.3 points/game.
Just looking at team averages alone, it's easy to see that there is value with this UNDER tonight. Golden State combines with its opponents to average 200.1 points/game on the season, while Toronto combines with its opponents to average 197.5 points/game.
The Raptors are 21-7 to the UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Paul Casey is 13-3 to the UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game as the coach of Toronto.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 19-8 in Raptors last 28 home games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors beat the Warriors 83-75 for 158 combined points the last time these teams met up. Take the UNDER in this game Monday.
NBA | Jan 28 '13 (8:05p)
Charlotte Bobcats vs Chicago Bulls Total
186 un-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Bobcats/Bulls UNDER 186
The Chicago Bulls and Charlotte Bobcats will take part in a defensive battle tonight. While this is one of the lowest totals on the board Monday, I believe the books have made a big mistake by not setting it low enough.
Chicago comes in motivated for a win following its 73-86 loss at Washington on Saturday. It will be exerting its energy on defense to get the win, which is the trademark of this team.
The Bulls are allowing just 91.8 points/game overall, including 88.8 points/game at home. They have given up 87 or less points in five straight games, yielding an average of 84.6 points/game over this span, and that even includes an overtime game.
Chicago's biggest weakness is an offense that averages 93.3 points/game, including 91.8 at home. The loss of leading scorer Luol Deng (hamstring) has really hurt its offense of late as the Bulls are averaging a mere 87.6 points/game in their last five. Deng is questionable to return tonight.
A quick look at the recent history between the Bobcats and Bulls, and it's easy to see that there is a ton of value with this UNDER tonight. Chicago and Charlotte have combined for 185 or less points in each of their last five meetings with combined scores of 185, 184, 159, 168 and 172 points. That includes the 91-81 victory by the Bobcats on 12/31 in their lone meeting this season.
Chicago is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The Bulls are 7-0 UNDER revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points this season. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Bobcats last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. These five trends combine for a perfect 23-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 201.5 Golden State at Toronto (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
There has always been a ton of scoring when these two teams get together. The last time they met was last March and the score was just 83-75. But prior to that there was anywhere from 206 to 238 points scored. And I see no reason why that won't happen here. We have a live home underdog and two teams that like to get out and run. The Warriors have gone 'over' in four of their last five games and the 'over' has gone 6-2 in Toronto's last eight games. I see scoring.
2-Unit Play. Take #703 Sacramento (+7.5) over Washington (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
The Kings are a mess again. Surprise, surprise. But they also just beat Washington on Jan. 16 and I think they can at least stay competitive in this game. Washington is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 games and they have just been wrecking people. But, honestly, how good is this team? And how are they laying this many points to anyone? The Wizards have been a cash cow over the last three weeks but they are just 11-31 SU this year. I think that this is a good matchup for the Kings and I think they can cash this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #705 Memphis (-3) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
These two teams are on two different wavelengths. The Sixers are coming off a tough win on Saturday against regional rival New York. Beyond that they have only won two other games this month and I think they would have to win outright in order to beat this number. Memphis is off a loss, and this year they are 9-5 SU in the next game after an outright loss. And most of those losses came during two three-game losing streaks that they have had this year. I think they bounce back with a 'W'.
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