1-29-13

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/29/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 422-217 (.660)
ATS: 324-328 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 919-875 (.512)
Over/Under: 342-312 (.523)
Over/Under Vary Units: 509-456 (.527)

Golden State 103, CLEVELAND 101
DETROIT 98, Milwaukee 96
PORTLAND 102, Dallas 101
L.A. LAKERS 101, New Orleans 95

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

01/29/13 Predictions

Season: 30-16 (.652)

BOSTON 3, New Jersey 2
BUFFALO 4, Toronto 3
Philadelphia vs. N.Y. RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Winnipeg vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
OTTAWA 3, Washington 2
PITTSBURGH 4, N.Y. Islanders 3
TAMPA BAY 4, Florida 2
DETROIT 3, Dallas 2
MINNESOTA 3, Columbus 2
SAN JOSE 3, Anaheim 2

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 972- 725 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner Tues: Indiana St +12

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Tuesday

San Jose -170

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Hockey Crusher
Ottawa Senators -145 over Washington Capitals
(System Record: 5-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 5-2

Basketball Crusher
Evansville (PK) over Northern Iowa
(System Record: 51-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 51-34-1

Soccer Crusher
Aston Villa + Newcastle United OVER 2
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 347-14, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 347-305-41

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Cappers Access

Tennessee
Wisconsin
Mississippi

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Jim Feist Take: High Roller Powerhouse Total: Warriors/Cavs over the total.

Golden State is playing the second of a back to back road spot, so look for Cleveland to run right at them. The over is 5-1 in the Warriors last 6 road games. That's fine with the young Warriors, a team that is 9th in the NBA in points scored, but 21st in defense. They gave up 109 points in a loss at Milwaukee last weekend and now take on a young, uptempo Cleveland offense led by sparkplug G Kyrie Irving. The over is 19-7 in the Cavaliers last 26 games playing on 2 days rest and 4-1 over against a team with a winning percentage above .600. And when these teams meet the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play the Warriors/Cavs over the total.

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Nevada +16 over UNLV

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Tuesday College Hoops:


1/2 Unit Play
512 Virginia U126

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND

Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) extremely tired team - playing their 4rd road game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season.
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

NBA MILWAUKEE at DETROIT

Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DETROIT) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games.
81-47 since 1997. ( 63.3% 37.7 units )

NBA DALLAS at PORTLAND

Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (DALLAS) excellent free throw shooting team (>=79%) against a good free throw shooting team (76-79%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 42+ games.
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB NC STATE at VIRGINIA

Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less in a game involving two teams who don't shoot many 3 point shots (<=15/game), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

CBB INDIANA ST at WICHITA ST.

Play Against - Any team (INDIANA ST) after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in January games.
148-147 since 1997. ( 50.2% 57.5 units )
14-16 this year. ( 46.7% 3.9 units )

CBB N CAROLINA at BOSTON COLLEGE

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team, on Tuesday nights.
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

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Flyers at Rangers: What Bettors Need to Know

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers (-165, 5.5)

The Philadelphia Flyers secured their first win of the season at the expense of the New York Rangers. The Flyers will look to get the better of their Atlantic Division rival for second time in six days when they visit Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. Coach Peter Laviolette's club will need to put forth a better effort than the one it produced in its last outing. Tampa Bay drilled Philadelphia by scoring five unanswered goals en route to a 5-1 victory Sunday.

New York also knows a thing or two about five unanswered goals, having netted that many in a 5-2 triumph over fellow Original Six rival Toronto on Saturday. Marian Gaborik collected two goals and as many assists as the Rangers scored four times in the third period. That offensive firepower was noticeably absent in New York's 2-1 setback to Philadelphia on Thursday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, CSN Philadelphia, MSG (New York)

ABOUT THE FLYERS (2-4-0, 2-3-0 over/under): Michael Leighton's season debut left a lot to be desired. Playing in his first NHL game since the 2011 playoffs, Leighton yielded all five goals - including a couple soft ones - to the Lightning. Ilya Bryzgalov is expected to return to the crease Tuesday. The 32-year-old Russian stopped 18 shots to record only his second career victory in seven starts (2-5-0) versus the Rangers.

ABOUT THE RANGERS (2-3-0, 3-2-0 over/under): Although the celebrated top line of Gaborik, Brad Richards and Rick Nash collected eight points against the Maple Leafs, it was nowhere to be found versus the Flyers. "We're not getting enough good plays from our top guys," coach John Tortorella said after that game. "... I thought we got some good shifts, but our top guys - Gabby, Richards, Nasher - just have to get going more." Gaborik had the lone assist on Taylor Pyatt's goal in the loss.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in New York.
* Flyers are 1-8 in the last nine meetings.
* Flyers are 0-4 in the last four meetings in New York.

OVERTIME:

1. After reaching an agreement with the team Saturday, veteran free agent C Jason Arnott failed his physical, according to TSN.ca and ESPNNewYork.com. The 38-year-old has played in 1,244 games during his 18-year career.

2. RW Wayne Simmonds, who had a goal and an assist versus the Rangers, has four points to share the team lead with captain Claude Giroux and RW Matt Read.

3. The Rangers had won eight straight against the Flyers prior to Thursday's loss.

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NHL: Analyzing the betting numbers to this point
by Jon Campbell

If you like favorites and home teams, the NHL is the place for you in the early going. Teams went just 12-16-2 in their home openers but the home side has come around - especially home faves who are 35-15-0-3 through Monday's action.

And scoring is up too. John Kreimer of NHL.com wrote that scoring has risen through 64 games (before Sunday's action) - barely - compared to the same number of games last season (5.66 versus 5.63). Surprisingly, that has translated into an over/under record of 35-39-3 through 77 games heading into Tuesday's action, according to our trends.

Kreimer wrote the 2011-12 season ended with just 5.32 goals per game on average, so if that is any indicator, scoring will come down as the season progresses.

Here are some other numbers puck bettors will want to know. (Numbers are through 64 games or as of before Sunday's action unless otherwise specified.)

Teams have scored 120 power-play goals compared to just 84 scored in the same number in '11-12.

Power plays are up too. There have been 583 compared to 506 last season. Teams are scoring on 20.6 percent of their PPs this year through 64 games compared to 16.6 percent through the same number last year.

Kreimer writes that the league power play average hasn't reached over 20 percent for a full season since 1989-90 (20.8 percent), so we're seeing some old time hockey numbers on the PP.

In typical NHL fashion, refs are blowing the whistle more early on. So far games are averaging 30 mins per game compared to last season's full-year average of 22.4 PIMs per game. The new rule that prohibits players from gloving the puck on faceoffs is contributing to the rise.

Favorites are 50-21-1-4 so far (65.8%), which isn't a mind-blowing number. But the juice has been pretty low for most favorites early on as oddsmakers try to feel these teams out.

Err, with that in mind, that low juice might be coming to an end. Of the seven games on the board early Tuesday morning, all seven home squads were favored and the lowest juice was around -135 (Ottawa hosting Washington).

Underdogs are 47-30 on the puckline through Monday (61%). With the heavy price you pay on the underdogs on the 1.5-goal line, that's not good enough yet to be blindly betting the pups.

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Maddux Sports CBB

10 units Kentucky +3.5
10 units Nevada +15

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Paul Leiner

100* NC State +3.5

50* North Carolina -5