2-6-13

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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks February 06, 2013 6:37 AM by GT Staff

NBA Basketball

Cleveland Cavaliers -5½

Detroit Pistons -1½

NCAA Basketball

Kansas -18½

Eastern Michigan +1

St. Bonaventure +11

Providence +4½

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NCAA Basketball Play of the Day February 06, 2013 6:44 AM by GT Staff

Buffalo -1 at Eastern Michigan at 4 p.m. PT ESPN

Tough to bet against Eastern, which is 10-2 at home this year.

EASTERN MICHIGAN +1

Results


2012-13 NCAA BK (1-0-0) Overall Record: 22-11-0

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Sports Investment Group

NBA Private Play

Brooklyn Nets +1.5

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HQ REPORT
Early Report
St Joe's +5
Deleware +1
Marshall +5
Drake +4
Boise st +9

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Matt Fargo NHL 10* Breakaway

Colorado

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d. essler
3* prov
2* s.fla

s. nover
2* nba wash

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Jimmy Boyd

5* Dallas Mavericks/Portland Trailblazers UNDER 202
5* Minnesota/Michigan St UNDER 131

4* Detroit Pistons -1.5
4* Buffalo -1

3* Oklahoma City Thunder -10
3* Utah Jazz -5.5
3* Cleveland Cavaliers -5
3* Oklahoma St -7

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Strike Point Sports
2-Unit Play. Take #705 New York (-4) over Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 6)
The Wizards are playing great ball at home, and they have beaten some quality opponents but I don't like this match up for them. New York is playing well and Tyson Chandler is absolutely controlling the glass. The Knicks have had great success versus the Wizards as they are looking for their 11th straight win in this series. Washington, without Bradley Beal will struggle to keep pace with New York. Emeka Okafor and Nene, will struggle with the athleticism of Chandler and Amare Stoudemire, who has scored at least 14 points in nine straight games off the bench. The Knicks second group will handle the Wizards as they won't have the same scoring punch. Lay the points in this one.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 182.0 Indiana at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 6)
Indiana will not have the legs to play the same type of pressure defense that they typically do as they are on a back-to-back-to-back stretch. Philly meanwhile will be without Thaddeus Young, which will allow Indiana's front court to score much easier than they typically do. If both teams were healthy and rested I could see this game being a 75-70 play, but tonight, with the circumstances, I see both teams getting to 90 easily. The Pacers have averaged 106 points a game over their last six games and Philly has scored at least 92 points in seven of their last 10 games.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 200.0 Milwaukee at Utah (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 6)
Utah can score the basketball, especially at home, and Milwaukee with their guard heavy play likes to push the tempo. Utah is a bit short-handed and Milwaukee is coming into this game after a trip to Denver, so defense won't be as intense as it typically is. I know that they will be a bit weary but both teams can still push the tempo and they will get easy baskets with their second units. Milwaukee is number one in the NBA in shot attempts with nearly 87 a night. With Utah's bench a bit depleted this number should be even higher with the second unit being able to play as quick as the first.

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Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey
4-Unit Pick Take #6 Edmonton (-1.25) over Dallas (10pm, Wednesday, February 6)

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


3-Unit Play. #759 Take Charlotte +9.5 over Temple (Wednesday @ 7pm est)

3-Unit Play. #772 Take Tulsa -3.5 over UAB (Wednesday @ 8:05pm est)

3-Unit Play. #802 Take Nevada +6.5 over Colorado State (Wednesday @ 10pm est)

Its never that bad of an idea to back a team that is 17-4 and grabbing nearly double-digits as Charlotte is today. Temple beat this team by 22 points last year when they teamed up and now they have revenge this time around as they hook up once again. Chris Braswell and 4 underclassman lead this team to Temple. This team has not played well in its last 2 road games losing by wide margins to George Washington, Richmond and Miami and if there is ever a time this team needs to step up on the road its today. I do like the fact the total is set at 135 points as getting nearly double-digits is fairly significant here. Though Charlotte struggles on offense they are a top 60 defensive team and for as good as Temple is especially in turnover margin and the like they have not been that impressive as it relates to covering big spreads at home. The Niners of Charlotte have done well against the better teams in the country as they are 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games when facing teams with a winning percentage of 60% or greater and the Owls of Temple are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Atlantic 10 games. Interestingly enough, we will know fairly early if this will be a cover or not as Charlotte will either stay in this game to possibly win this Outright or could get blown out. But, the chance is worth taking given Charlotte's play against the better teams in the country despite some road bumps away from home and given Temple's struggles covering the number at home. Tulsa is led by former Kansas great Danny Manning. He served as an Assistant Coach at Kansas for quite some time and finally got a shot at Tulsa. His team is 4-4 in conference play and as they come off getting routed by Memphis on the road by 30 points and losing a tight game to Southern Miss by 3 points, this is an opportunity for this team to bounce-back at home. This team just faced two teams in the top 50 in the power rankings and that is why they come off those losses but as they return to face a team outside the top 170 that should work to their favor for the win today. UAB lost to Houston by 5 points on the road who is outside the top 200 so as they face a team who is essentially top 150 when considering the splits not a bad opportunity for us to take Tulsa coming off one of the worst losses of the year. Nevada is a team that is performing well under the radar at 11-10 overall and 2-5 in conference play. And though that is not impressive straight up, they are 8-3 overall at home and 14-6-1 ATS coming off a straight up loss. As they come off tough losses to a good UNLV and New Mexico on the road, they look to bounce-back here at home. With this game being a possible look ahead for Colorado State as they look forward to playing Say Diego State at home in their next game, I can see Nevada doing well at home as they will be up for this game. The Rams are also 1-4 ATS when facing teams with a home winning percentage of greater than 60% as well.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball


13-5 NBA Run. Back to Back Winning Months. +$4100 Run.

3-Unit Play. #710. Take Cleveland -5.5 over Charlotte (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

3-Unit Play. #708. Take Toronto -3 over Boston (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

3-Unit Play. #725. Take Milwaukee +5.5 over Utah (Wednesday @ 9pm est).

This is a relatively small line here for Cleveland and although Charlotte has revenge, note that Cleveland has covered this game the last 6 times they have played. In fact, Cleveland has won this game straight up the last 5 times they have played as well in addition to covering this game the last 6 times they have played. With Charlotte coming off an impressive cover against the Heat fitting inside the 14 point spread, this could be a let down spot for a team that has not covered back to back games since December 29th/31st (a little more than a month). Plus, Cleveland has consistently played well against Charlotte and I just don't see that trend ending today despite they could be in for a let down after a huge win against Oklahoma City. Wins are hard to come by for this team and I like Irving, Waiters, Thompson and Speights (who scored 21 in his last game against Oklahoma City) to continue to play well. Sure, not a huge fan of the fact that 70% of the public backs Charlotte, but sometimes the public does win based on a relatively soft line. Toronto is 17-31 overall but they have also showed some spirit with the onset of Rudy Gay into their lineup and are making a push for the playoffs as wild as that may sound. You have to give the Raptors some credit as they have a legitimate star as they came to realize that DeRozan is likely to play better as a secondary scorer or a "Pippen" type player if you will to Gay. This is evidenced by 27 points against the heat and Gay's 29 points against the Heat. Combine that with Lowry and Johnson as well and you have a strong group of core players. Toronto shot very poorly against a Miami team that stepped up their defense as they were coming off a loss as they shot sub 38% from the field and I expect that to improve today. Plus, with Bargnani expected to return to the lineup, it makes for an additional shooter in the mix which should help this team get a little deeper off the bench which they could definitely use. Boston has won 4 straight and covered 4 straight ever since Rondo went out but I like this team to eventually come down to earth and it is likely today on the road against a Raptors team coming off a loss whereas Boston comes off a huge win over the Clippers at home. Boston beat this team by 18 points as well at home and with Toronto's new found lineup I like their chances to exact some revenge this evening. Milwaukee and Utah are the last games to go off the road and normally you would think this line would sit at -7 for Utah given Utah plays well at home. But, with the line being just -5.5 and opening even around -4.5 the oddsmakers do think that the Bucks have a shot at winning this game Outright. With Milwaukee coming off a tough loss against Denver on the road they will look to rebound against a quality Utah team. This is a team that beat Portland and Phoenix on the road in their last road trip and they do play well in general out west against quality teams. Plus, interestingly enough, when Utah is a sub 6 point favorite at home, it typically bodes well for the road team and this is a decent public fade on the last game on the board as I have always believed the 5.5 line favors the Underdog who is expected to win Outright. The Jazz are 1-4 ATS following a straight up win and Utah is probably looking ahead to Chicago coming to visit in their next game as Milwaukee probably wants to avoid going 0-2 on this road trip before they return home to face Detroit.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


I apologize for the absolute dud yesterday on the Rangers. We will bounce-back over the next few days and next week and produce a quality run. Its a long season and I'm confident if we work hard we'll do well.
3-Unit Play. #6 Take Edmonton -125 vs. Dallas (Wednesday @ 10:05 pm est)
The Stars are 0-7 thus far following a win and 2-7 in their last 9 road games in general. Combine that with the fact that the home team has won this game 12 out of the last 17 times it makes for a decent play here with Edmonton. Although Dallas has won this game the last 4 times these two teams have played that is likely to change as the youth movmeent in Edmonton will likely step up. With Dallas coming off a 3-2 win at Colorado and yet to win back to back games, I like them to have a bit of a let down against Edmonton. Edmonton has lost 3 straight including a tough 2-3 loss to Vancouver in overtime and I like them to bounce-back here at home. Dallas GM Joe Nieuwendyk had an extremely busy summer assembling a team full of veteran talent. The feeling in Dallas is the new pieces will blend with the holdover parts to create a playoff team. Edmonton has one of the League's youngest clubs as General manager Steve Tambellini hired Ralph Krueger to be the 11th coach in Oilers franchise history. Krueger has been tasked with taking the young talent the front office has assembled and molding a new generation of champions. Rather than overhaul the roster, the Oilers opted to re-sign a number of players, including forward Sam Gagner, defensemen Theo Peckham and Jeff Petry, and goalie Devan Dubnyk. The Oilers have lost three straight games but have shown a competitive streak that has them competing with some the NHL's elite teams. Th ?Boys from Oil Country? pushed the undefeated San Jose Sharks to the limit in a (3-2) shootout loss. They followed that up with a shoot-out loss to Vancouver in their last outing. The Home team is (12-5) in the last (17) meetings and we'll take the young Guns from Oil Country as this is one of the most entertaining teams in the NHL just waiting to break-out.

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Doc NBA - 2/6

#704 Take Philadelphia -2.5 over Indiana (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

#713 Take Houston/Miami UNDER 208.5 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

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Allen Eastman 2-6

Phi -3
N.O. -6

Northeastern -8

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Jason Sharpe CBB

Baylor +7.5
Delaware PK

Jason Sharpe NBA

Detroit -2

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Frank Patron


20,000 Unit NBA Play


Detroit Pistons -2 over Brooklyn

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4.5-STAR PHILADELPHIA -2.5 over Indiana - Philadelphia is coming off one of the all-time ugliest wins you'll ever see. Still they won the game by 17 points, which is no small feat. They're a team which needs to win on defense, so game like their recent three-game stretch are encouraging at home.
Philadelphia defeated Orlando 78-61 in the lowest scoring game of the season. Dominating defense like that carries over to the next game. Rested teams which allowed less than 64 points last game are 33-16 ATS.
With the total at 189, that game went under by 50 points. Teams off a game which went under by more than 45 points are 68-46-2 ATS.
The 61 points allowed were 28.75 less than expected. The Seventysixers are 7-0 ATS (7.1 ppg) since December 14, 2010 as a favorite after a win in which their DPA was minus 15 points or less.
Philadelphia won easily despite shooting a brutal 3-of-20 on threes. The Seventysixers are 9-0 ATS (7.5 ppg) since March 08, 1996 after a game at home in which they shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than a 25% of them.
A big key to that game was just not committing fouls. Philly had just 10 in the win. The Seventysixers are 6-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) since December 17, 2008 as a favorite after a double digit home win in which they were whistled for fewer than 15 personal fouls.
Indiana played at home last night and won 114-103 over Atlanta. Making 31 free throws was a big boost for their cause in the game. The Pacers are 0-10 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since April 29, 2006 as a dog after a home win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.
Roy Hibbert had eight shots in the game, the second straight contest he did not impose offensively. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since April 15, 2009 after two home games in which Roy Hibbert took fewer than 10 shots in each.
When these teams met in December, Indiana won at home, 95-85. That was after Philly took a two-point lead to half. The Seventysixers are 6-0 ATS (5.6 ppg) since April 04, 2009 as a favorite when seeking revenge for a road loss in which they led at the half.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA 95, Indiana 82
4-STAR Houston and Miami Under 208 - This total is skyocketing after seeing was Houston did last night. However, Miami is going to defend the three in this game and not get fooled in trying to run with Houston. The Rockets will cool off some as well, keeping this game under.
Last night, Houston went a crazy 23-of-40 on threes in a 140-109 win over Golden State. They scored 30 points more than expected in what was already anticipated as a high scoring game. Teams which scored at least 27 points more than expected last game are 121-170-5 OU .
Of the 46 baskets they made in the game, 35 of those were assisted. The Rockets are 0-8 OU (-14.7 ppg) since March 24, 1999 on the road with at most one day of rest after a home win in which more than 75% of their baskets were assisted.
Miami is coming off a 99-94 win over Charlotte Monday. The Heat are 0-12-1 OU (-13.8 ppg) since March 27, 2006 after playing at home against the Bobcats.
Lebron went 13-of-14 from the field in that game with 31 points. The Heat are 0-7 OU (-8.1 ppg) since December 01, 2012 after a win at home in which Lebron James was the Heat's high scorer.
These teams met in November with Miami winning 113-110. The Rockets are 0-7 OU (-18.1 ppg) since January 29, 2011 when seeking revenge for a 1-3 point loss.
Chris Bosh had a strong game there with 24 points on 10-of-14 shooting. The Heat are 0-6 OU (-18.0 ppg) since March 23, 2012 after winning the previous matchup in which Chris Bosh shot better than 66% from the field.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MIAMI 101, Houston 96
4-STAR ORLANDO over LA Clippers - Orlando is coming off one of the all-time worst offensive performances you'll see. However, this banged up LA team is not one to back as a big road favorite right now. The Magic really need a win and at home we like them getting the points.
Orlando lost against Philadelphia Monday night, 78-61. Teams which scored 66 or fewer points last game are 103-66-2 ATS.
The combined score of both teams in that game was a mere 139 points. teams which lost a game where the total score was under 150 points are 120-93-3 ATS.
With the total at 189, that game went under by 50 points. Teams off a game which went under by more than 45 points are 68-46-2 ATS.
Orlando shot particularly bad, going 27-of-80 (33.8%) from the field while managing just six free throws. The Magic are 6-0 ATS (14.6 ppg) since December 14, 2007 after a double digit loss in which they shot less than 35% from the field.
Their struggle is masking how poorly LA has played recently, losing three straight and seven of nine including in Washington Monday. The Clippers are 0-8 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since March 22, 2000 on the road after a loss against the Wizards.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: ORLANDO 96, La Clippers 90
4-STAR Boston and Toronto Under 188.5 - Without Rajon Rondo, Boston is playing at one of the slowest paces in the league. Their scoring totals have masked that as they've shot at least 50% in the last three games but that's bound to run out and when it does here, what will be left is a low scoring game.
Boston won a nice game Sunday, 106-104 over the Clippers. They had led big in the fourth quarter before holding on late. Teams coming off a 1-2 point win where they had led by at least 15 points are 92-142-2 OU.
LA shot 50.6% from the field in the loss. The Celtics are 0-11 OU (-14.1 ppg) since March 13, 2007 on the road after a game at home in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.
They made four more baskets than Boston in that game, with the difference coming at the foul line. The Celtics are 0-8 OU (-19.8 ppg) since March 24, 2006 as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a game at home after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent.
Toronto did nice work at the foul line in their last game as well, scoring 25 points. It was not enough in a 100-85 loss to Miami. The Raptors are 0-7 OU (-14.3 ppg) since November 26, 2008 as a home favorite after a loss in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.
These teams have not met since November. The now-injured Rajon Rondo went just 3-of-4 from the field but had 20 assists in that 107-89 win. The Celtics are 0-8 OU (-17.6 ppg) since April 06, 2010 after winning the previous matchup at home in which Rajon Rondo shot better than 66% from the field.
Kevin Garnett was an efficient scorer in that game as well with 15 points on 6-of-7 shooting. The Celtics are 0-6 OU (-10.0 ppg) since January 26, 2012 on the road after winning the previous matchup in which Kevin Garnett took fewer than 10 shots.
On the other side, Amir Johnson struggled with just one points and no makes from the field. The Raptors are 0-8-1 OU (-13.3 ppg) since April 10, 2011 after losing the previous matchup in which Amir Johnson shot worse than 33% from the field.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Boston 89, TORONTO 87
4-STAR Memphis -1.5 over ATLANTA - Memphis might be the best team in the league with no rest, particularly when they are motivated. With both teams unrested here and Atlanta actually making the farther trip for this game, we think Memphis carries an extra advantage here.
Memphis was upset last night, 96-90 by Phoenix. Just 15 of their 36 baskets in that game were assisted. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (5.0 ppg) since December 01, 2010 with no rest after a game at home in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted.
Tony Allen played a solid game but scored just eight points from the field. The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS (9.0 ppg) since November 20, 2010 with no rest after a loss in which Tony Allen was not the Grizzlies' high scorer.
Mike Conley couldn't pick up the load with just nine points one 3-of-11 shooting. The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS (6.3 ppg) since February 24, 2010 on the road with no rest after a loss in which Mike Conley scored fewer than 10 points.
It was a nice night for Zach Randolph with 21 points and 13 rebounds in the loss. The Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since February 17, 2010 with no rest after a loss in which Zach Randolph had a double double.
Atlanta lost last night 114-103 in Indiana. The 103 points were actually 14.5 more than expected. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since March 12, 2008 as a home dog after a road loss in which their DPS was positive.
However, they also allowed 19.5 more than expected in what had been anticipated as a lower scoring game. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since November 15, 2008 at home after a road loss in which their DPA was at least plus 15 points.
Committing 33 fouls didn't help Atlanta's cause in that game. The Hawks are 0-9 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since November 27, 2004 with no rest after a game in which they were whistled for at least 30 personal fouls. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Memphis 96, ATLANTA 82