2-16-13

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Scott Spreitzer | CBB SidesSat, 02/16/13 - 12:00 PM

double-dime bet
507 Villanova 4.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 508 UConn
Analysis: I'm taking the points with Villanova on Saturday. The Wildcats have been a mild surprise as far as I'm concerned. They are a young team and struggled early in the season. In fact, I went against the 'Cats and cashed with Columbia when the Ivy League entry whipped Villanova outright. But the underclassmen are no seasoned-veterans. And they're catching UConn off of their biggest post-Calhoun-era win...an 8-point victory over Syracuse. Meanwhile, the 'Cats are off a bad loss to Cincinnati, which gives us a little more value on the underdog. It should also be noted that the Huskies could not have played better than they did against the Orange, while Syracuse was out of synch in just about every aspect of their game, yet it was still a game the 'Cuse could have won with 5 minutes to go. The motivation factor also sides with the visitors. Villanova is playing for a Big Dance at-large berth, while the Huskies were ruled ineligible for this year's tourney. Villanova is on an 11-4 ATS run overall, and they're on a 6-2-1 ATS run on the road. Meanwhile, the Huskies have covered just 17 of their last 42 as a home favorite. I'm taking the points with Villanova (Morning Massacre) as theyƒ look to extend their spread run to 5-1-1 in this series. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Made: Feb 15 2013 10:49PM PST


Scott Spreitzer | CBB SidesSat, 02/16/13 - 4:00 PM

double-dime bet
560 Arkansas 1.0 (-110) 5Dimes vs 559 Missouri
Analysis: I'm backing Arkansas on Saturday afternoon. I went against the Razorbacks last Saturday and we cashed an easy one when Vanderbilt beat the Hogs 67-49 in Nashville. It was a tough spot for an Arkansas team that knocked off Florida by 11 points in their previous game. The Razorbacks got back in the win column last time out at Auburn and I expect another victory against the poor traveling Missouri Tigers. Mizzou, 1-5 SU on the road, allow nearly 71 ppg to their "hosts" on 47% shooting. They also have a turnover problem on the road, giving it up about 16 times per game. That's a major problem in this one, because Arkansas is one of the best in the business at forcing mistakes. The Hogs average 10.5 steals per game at home, forcing nearly 20 turnovers per game. That leads to "odd-man rushes" to steal a hockey term and Arkansas should get a few easy baskets in this one. Offensively, Arkansas owns a strong 1.59 assist-turnover ratio at home, averaging 18.4 assists per game and just 11.5 turnovers per contest. Aƒrkansas scores 83 ppg at home on 48% shooting, with an average margin of 17 ppg. Mizzou enters on a 0-4 ATS run on the road against teams with a winning home record. The Razorbacks enter on a 13-4 ATS run at home following a road game, outscoring their "guests" 75-65 on average. After playing against the Hogs last weekend, I'll back them this week. I'm playing Arkansas, my Blockbuster on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Made: Feb 16 2013 12:37AM PST


Scott Spreitzer | CBB SidesSat, 02/16/13 - 8:00 PM

double-dime bet
632 Nebraska 9.5 (-110) 5Dimes vs 631 Michigan St.
Analysis: I'm taking the points with Nebraska on Saturday night. Tough spot for Michigan State. The Spartans just crushed in-state rival Michigan 75-52 last time out and next up is top-ranked Indiana. It will be easy to overlook the Cornhuskers, who're just 3-9 in Big-10 play. But the Huskers have given others a scare this season. They came within a whisker of upsetting Ohio State in Lincoln, despite making just 6-of-26 3-pointers and getting outscored 23-4 aƒt the FT line. Nebraska gave Michigan State all they could handle in East Lansing and the Huskers will likely get the tempo needed in this one. Tim Miles' squad is young...eight underclassmen are on the roster. They need a slow paced tempo and the Spartans will likely oblige, averaging 66 ppg on the road, while allowing 64 ppg. First team to 60 may very well win this one and while MSU is the odds on favorite to reach 60 first, the big pointspread makes the Huskers well worth taking. MSU feeds off of steals, averaging 8 1/2 per game on the road, but Nebraska only turns the ball over 9.9 times per game at home. They attempt to make every possession count, using the shot clock as much as they can. The teams are virtually even on the glass in this situation and Nebraska allows just 57 ppg at home on 39% shooting. The Spartans, off the 23-point win over Michigan, have covered just 6 of their last 22 off a win by at least 20 points. Meanwhile, the Big Red are on a 4-0 ATS run off a SU loss and a 5-0 ATS run off a spread loss. The Spartans are in a tough spot on Saturday and I'm taking the points with Nebraska, my Top Dog Shocker. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Made: Feb 16 2013 1:24AM PST


Scott Spreitzer | CBB SidesSat, 02/16/13 - 4:00 PM

triple-dime bet
556 Wyoming -9.5 (-110) SportsInterAction vs 555 Fresno St.
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Wyoming on Saturday. When the Cowboys faced Fresno State on January 16, they were 14-1 SU and very close to grabbing a top-25 ranking. Unfortunately, the Cowboys, playing in their second straight road game and coming in off a 59-48 win at Nevada, a game that was closer and more physical than the score would indicate, fell flat on their collective backside. The Cowboys scored 36 points in Fresno, losing by 13, while making just 12-of-50 shots, including 5-of-27 3-pointers. In fact, they were so flat, that they made just 7-of-20 free throws. It was one of the ugliest efforts I have ever seen. But Wyoming has a chance for redemption on Saturday when they host the struggling Bulldogs. Fresno State has won just 1 of their last 6 games and 3 of their last 15. They've dropped five straight on the road, four of which came by double-digits, and by an average margin of 18.5 ppg. The Bulldogs have made just 38% of their FGA on the road this season, have a poor 0.73 assist-turnover ratio, and theyƒ're minus-9 in rebound margin per game. I haven't even mentioned the fact that they struggle badly at the FT line. Now they'll face a fired-up Wyoming squad that allows just 19 made FGs per game in Laramie. Wyoming's last five home wins have all come by double-digits, including a 13-point win over San Diego State and they just whipped Nevada, 68-48 on Wednesday. The Cowboys fit a 27-7 ATS CBB situation playing on home chalk of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points if they are in revenge, scored less than 50 points in that loss, and they're off a home win by at least 20 points. The Cowboys themselves, are on a 16-6 ATS run at home in same season revenge and Fresno enters on a 0-7 ATS slide after playing a game as a home dog. Wyoming is a team that has dealt well with altering their schedule for Saturday home action (12-3 ATS last 15) and I believe they'll have little trouble in this one. I'm laying the points with Wyoming, my Revenge Wipeout on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Made: Feb 16 2013 3:52AM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang - 60 Dime Marquette

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Kelso
100 unit W. Virginia
50 unit LSU

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Scott Rickenback Total Destruction

6* NJ/NYI Over

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Beat You Bookie

Flor
Indiana
Butler
W Va
Kansas

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Around the Rink: Saturday's NHL Betting News & Notes

Take a look at our quick-hitting betting notes for all seven games on the NHL schedule Saturday.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers (+106, 5.5)

Probable goaltenders: Anders Lindback (TB), Jose Theodore (FLA)

The Lightning have let a tremendous 6-1 start fritter away with a six-game winless streak, including a 4-3 home loss to the Washington Capitals on Thursday. Tampa Bay, which still leads the league in scoring, has only one victory in five road games and has given up 12 goals its last three contests. Florida has lost just once in regulation (3-1-3) since falling at Tampa Bay 5-2 on Jan. 29. The Lightning are 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs (-134, 5.5)

Probable goaltenders: Craig Anderson (OTT), Ben Scrivens (TOR)

Jason Spezza (back), Erik Karlsson (Achilles) and Milan Michalek (knee) are all key cogs out for the Senators, who have dropped five of their last seven games (2-4-1). The Maple Leafs saw their four-game winning streak come to an end with a 3-1 setback to Carolina on Thursday. Home has not been a comforting place for Toronto, which is just 2-4-0 at the Air Canada Centre in 2013. The Maple Leafs haven't fared well versus Ottawa at home either, losing four of five (1-3-1). The road team is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens (-140, 5.5)

Probable goaltenders: TBD (PHI), Carey Price (MTL)

Philadelphia squandered a two-goal lead in Friday's 5-3 loss at New Jersey, while Montreal is coming off a successful trip to the Sunshine State, where it posted a shootout win over Tampa Bay and an overtime victory over Florida. The Canadiens have gone beyond regulation in three of their last four games after having eight of their first nine contests settled in 60 minutes. The Flyers have dominated the all-time series of late, winning three straight meetings and six of the last seven.

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders (+102, 5)

Probable goaltenders: Johan Hedberg (NJ), Evgeni Nabokov (NYI)

The New Jersey Devils and New York Islanders certainly are getting to know each other during the early portion of the abbreviated NHL season. The Atlantic Division rivals will meet for the fourth time in 2013 on Saturday. New Jersey, which has won both road contests in the set, has more victories on Long Island than coach Jack Capuano's club this season. The Devils continued their torrid February by posting their sixth win in seven outings on Friday, a 5-3 triumph over Philadelphia. The Islanders also were victorious in their last outing, rallying from a two-goal deficit to snap a five-game losing streak with a 4-3 shootout win over the rival New York Rangers on Thursday. The Devils are 6-1 in the last seven meetings in New York.

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators (-144, 5)

Probable goaltenders: Viktor Fasth (ANA), Pekka Rinne (NSH)

Predators’ netminder Pekka Rinne has recorded back-to-back shutouts for the second time in his career and has three in his last four contests. Rinne hasn't allowed a goal in 137 minutes, 41 seconds. Anaheim posted a 3-2 shootout win over Nashville when the teams met at the Honda Center on Jan. 26. Viktor Fasth, who boasts a perfect 7-0 record after last night’s 5-2 victory over Detroit, made 19 saves - and stopped all three shooters during the bonus format - to secure his first victory. The under is 10-1-2 in the Predators’ last 13 home games.

Columbus Blue Jackets at Phoenix Coyotes (-183, 5)

Probable goaltenders: TBD (CBJ), Mike Smith (PHX)

Columbus managed only 13 shots in Friday's 2-1 loss to the Kings in Los Angeles and avoided being shut out with just 2:25 remaining in the third period. The Blue Jackets were seeking their first winning streak of the season but instead lost for the fourth time in five contests (1-3-1). Phoenix is hoping to find its offense as it returns home from a 2-1-0 road trip. The Coyotes scored a total of three goals on the trek. Columbus has lost five of its last six visits to Phoenix and the home team has taken six of the last seven meetings between the teams.

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers (-139, 5)

Probable goaltenders: Semyon Varlamov (COL), Devan Dubnyk (EDM)

The Oilers have scored three goals or less in all but one of its 13 contests this season. But their best offensive output came against the Avalanche on Jan. 28, when they posted a 4-1 home victory. Colorado halted a three-game winless streak Thursday, when it posted a 4-3 shootout triumph over the Wild in Minnesota. Much like Edmonton, the Avalanche have had difficulty putting the puck in the net. The club has scored three goals or less in each of its last five games and 10 of its 12 contests this season. The home team has won six of the last seven meetings in the all-time series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Anaheim at Nashville

The Ducks look to build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 road games. Anaheim is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 16 Time Posted 9:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Philadelphia at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.092; Montreal 10.561 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Under

Game 3-4: New Jersey at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.260; NY Islanders 12.043 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-105); Over

Game 5-6: Ottawa at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.907; Toronto 12.063 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at Florida (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.484; Florida 9.940 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 9-10: Columbus at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.163; Phoenix 12.050 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-200); Under

Game 11-12: Anaheim at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.615; Nashville 12.310 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+125); Over

Game 13-14: Colorado at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.099; Edmonton 11.656 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-145); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

4* (CBB) Ball St -2
4* (CBB) Duke/Maryland UNDER 140

3* (CBB) Virginia Tech +15
3* (CBB) Bradley +2.5
3* (CBB) Kansas St -4.5
3* (CBB) Southern Illinois -4.5
3* (CBB) Portland/BYU UNDER 138.5

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Dave Price 2/16
(CBB) Drake +3


(CBB) Purdue +19
(CBB) San Francisco +12.5
(CBB) The Citadel +19.5
(CBB) Nebraska +9.5
(CBB) San Jose St +12

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Montreal won five of its last seven home games.
-- Devils won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto won four of its last five games.
-- Coyotes won four of their last six games.
-- Anaheim won seven of last eight games. Predators won six of their last eight.

Cold teams
-- Flyers lost five of last six road games.
-- Islanders lost five of their last six games.
-- Senators lost five of their last seven games.
-- Lightning lost last seven games, outscored 22-12. Florida lost its last three games, outscored 12-5.
-- Blue Jackets lost six of their last eight games.
-- Edmonton lost six of last seven games. Avalanche lost six of its last nine.

Totals
-- Three of last four Montreal games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Devil-Islander games.
-- Four of last five Ottawa-Toronto games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Columbus-Phoenix games went over total.
-- Nine of last ten Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Colorado-Edmonton games stayed under.

Series records
-- Flyers won 12 of last 16 games against Montreal.
-- Islanders lost four of last five games against New Jersey.
-- Senators won four of last five visits to Toronto.
-- Lightning won its last five games against Florida.
-- Coyotes won last two games vs Columbus, allowing one goal.
-- Ducks lost six of last seven games with Nashville.
-- Avalanche won three of last four games with Edmonton.

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CBB

-- UConn won its last four games vs Villanova, last two by 2-3 points; five of last six series games were decided by 6 or less points. Huskies are 5-1 in last six games, coming off Syracuse win; they're 4-1 at home in Big East, with only loss to Louisville. East home favorites of 7 or less points are 3-21 vs spread. Villanova is 4-6 in its last ten games, 2-4 on Big East road; three of their last four losses were by 5 or less points.
-- Virginia (-2.5) beat North Carolina 61-52 at home January 6, just 2nd win for Cavaliers in last 11 series games; they're 1-6 in last seven visits here, with five of six losses by 15+ points. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-11 vs spread. UNC lost its last two games, is 0-6 vs teams ranked in top 40, but they're 4-1 in ACC home games, with four double digit wins. Virginia won seven of its last eight games.
-- Marquette (+10.5) upset Pitt 74-67 in OT Jan 12; Panthers missed 13 of 26 foul shots- it was second straight series win for Eagles, after losing previous four to Pitt, but Panthers are 7-1 since that game- they're 4-2 on Big East road. Marquette is 6-0 at home in conference, with last three home wins by 10-13-11 points- they've won four of last six games. Big East home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-9 vs spread.
-- Oklahoma (-2) beat Oklahoma State 77-68 Jan 12, 8th straight series win for home side in this rivalry; Sooners made 8-13 from arc that day, but they've lost last three visits here, by 21-6-7 points. State is 5-0 in its Big X home games, with last two wins by hoop each; they've won last six overall, with last two by 13-24 points. Sooners lost three of last four road games. Big X home favorites of 8+ points are 12-4 vs spread.

-- Creighton won its last seven games vs Evansville, winning by 22-8-5 in last three visits here; they beat Aces 87-70 (-14) in MVC opener last month, but Bluejays lost four of last five road games, are 3-5 last eight games, after a 17-1 start. Aces are 6-0 at home in MVC, with last couple wins in OT; five of their last six games were decided by 6 or less points, or in OT. MVC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 14-4 vs spread.
-- UCLA won 11 of last 13 games vs Stanford, winning 68-60 (-6.5) at home Jan 5, outscoring Cardinal 23-9 on foul line, but Bruins are 3-4 in last seven games, after 10-game win streak- they were down 47-22 at the half Thursday at Cal. Stanford is 4-2 in last six games, are 4-2 at home in Pac-12. Bruins won three of last five visits to Maples, losing here by 1 LY. Pac-12 home favorites of 6 or less points are 7-18 vs spread.
-- Arkansas coach Anderson left Mizzou to come back here, where he had been an assistant; this is his first meeting with old team, which won five of last seven games but is 1-4 on SEC road, with only win at lowly Miss State. SEC home teams are 12-14 when spread is 4 or less points. Hogs are 5-0 at home in SEC with a win over Florida; they've forced a turnover on 28.6% of possessions in conference games.
-- Duke (-13.5) beat Maryland 84-64 Jan 26, its sixth win in row over Maryland, winning last two visits here, by 18-13 points; Blue Devils are 3-2 on ACC road, winning last three by 5-19-1- they've won six games in row overall, are coming off of UNC win, always an emotional contest. ACC home underdogs are 14-4 vs spread. Maryland is 4-6 in its last ten games, 1-5 in ACC games when they allow more than 60 points.
-- Visitor won four of last five Baylor-Kansas State games; Bears won two of last three visits here, also beat Wildcats in Big X tourney LY on neutral floor. Baylor is just 2-3 on Big X road, but they won last two games, by 23-20 points; they're 2-6 vs top 50 teams. K-State is 4-1 in its Big X home games, with three of four wins by 9+ points. Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-5 against the spread.

-- Arizona State (even) beat Colorado 65-56 at home Jan 6, outscoring Buffs 20-6 on foul line while avenging pair of losses LY. Sun Devils lost three of last four games, are 2-3 on Pac-12 road, beating Washington St., Oregon St. Colorado won seven of last eight games, beating Arizona last game in emotional night for them; they're 4-1 at home in league. Pac-12 home favorites of 7+ points are 5-17 against the spread.
-- UNLV (+3.5) won 82-75 at San Diego State Jan 16, just second win in last eight series games, with last six all decided by 7 or less points. Rebs shot 57% inside arc in first meeting, but forced only five turnovers- they are 4-0 at home in league, winning by 5-12-12-9 points, but they're not playing well, losing three of four overall. Aztecs are 1-3 in last four road games. MWC home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-3 vs spread.
-- Utah State (+4) lost 64-51 in Las Cruces Jan 17, third straight loss to New Mexico State, by 20-11-13 points. NMS's win here LY was first in last eight visits to Logan. WAC home teams are 6-26 when spread is 8 or less points. USU had brutal OT loss to Denver Thursday, as Pioneers drained fallway 3-pointer at buzzer in OT, third straight home loss for Utah State. NM State won its last 12 games after starting 0-2 in WAC.
-- South Dakota State (even) won 59-53 at Western Illinois in Macomb Jan 17, in game where neither team led by more than 6; Jackrabbits won nine of last ten games, are 7-0 at home in Summit, with six of seven wins by 13+ points. Western won 16 of last 18 games; its two league losses are by 6-7 points, with only Summit road loss by 7 at Oakland. Summit home favorites of 5+ points are 9-16 against the spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George | CBBSides - Saturday, Feb 16 2013 4:00PM
560 Arkansas PK vs 559 Missouri single-dime bet

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JR ODonnell | CBBSides - Saturday, Feb 16 2013 9:00PM
642 Colorado -7.0 vs 641 Ariz. St single-dime bet

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Sports Cash System Play of the Day:

Oklahoma State -9.5 over Oklahoma (buy half pt to -9 if possible) (NCAA College Basketball)

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Frank Patron


20,000 Unit Move


Maryland Terps +5.5 over Duke