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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthers Two teams coming off of disappointing losses meet when the Pittsburgh Panthers (20-6, 9-10 ATS) host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (20-6, 11-12 ATS) Monday at the Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh at 7:00 ET on ESPN, but which team will bounce back? Well, although these teams have identical records both overall and in the Big East (8-5), Pittsburgh still looks far superior on the Pomeroy Ratings after Saturday's 79-69 road loss to a Marquette team ranked 25th on Pomeroy. Meanwhile, Notre Dame lost 71-54 at 55th ranked Providence Saturday.A case can still be made that Pittsburgh is the most underrated team in the country, as despite having six losses, the Panthers are still remarkably ranked fourth overall in the country by Pomeroy! It helps that five of those six losses came to teams ranked in the Pomeroy Top 30 including two narrow losses to Top 5 teams, as the Panthers lost by three points on the road to third ranked Louisville and by five points on a neutral floor to fifth ranked Michigan. Perhaps most impressively however, Pittsburgh is ranked sixth in the country in offensive efficiency and 14th in defensive efficiency, making it one of only three schools ranked in the top 15 in both categories with the other two teams being Florida and Indiana, who by the way are the two current favorites to win the national championship at most reputable sportsbooks! And yet, Pittsburgh has received hardly any national fanfare, so look for the Panthers to take advantage of this prime time nationally televised opportunity to show the country just how good they are, especially playing at home.As mentioned, Notre Dame as the same records as Pittsburgh both in and out of conference, and yet the Irish are ranked just 60th on Pomeroy, even falling behind Providence after Saturday's loss to the Friars! Now, Notre Dame does have the offense to compete with anyone as it ranks 12th in the land in offensive efficiency, although this will be the only Big East game all year where the Irish actually trail their opponent in that category. But the biggest difference between these two teams and the reason why Notre Dame lags so far behind Pittsburgh on the computers is defense. The Irish rank 180th in the nation in defensive efficiency and 104th in effective field goal percentage allowed overall, and when looking at Big East Conference games only, Notre Dame is ranked 14th out of 15 schools in both defensive efficiency and in effective field goal percentage allowed, and it ranks dead last in defensive turnover percentage. In addition to the troubles Notre Dame will have stopping Pittsburgh's initial shots, also remember that the Panthers rank third in the entire country in offensive rebounding percentage, while the Irish are only 96th in defensive rebounding percentage.The Panthers are usually resilient, as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. On the other hand, the Fighting Irish are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss. Also Notre Dame is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games vs. teams with winning records. Key word USUALLY not tonight.
Pick: NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH+10.5
Game: Norfolk State at Hampton (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Norfolk State -1 (-110)
The Norfolk State Spartans made an NCAA Tournament appearance a year ago. It was more than an appearance as they knocked off Missouri. They enter this game at 16-10, and have caught fire as they continue to improve. The Spartans have won ten straight games. Hampton is 10-13, but have won their last five. However, a closer look shows how fortunate they have been. They have won two of them in overtime and all five by a combined 16 points. That may not be so bad, except those five opponents have a combined record of 45-75. That isn't what they will be seeing tonight. The Spartans are 12-4 ATS following a win and are on a roll. Play on Norfolk State.
NCAA Basketball Play of the Day February 18, 2013 6:20 AM by GT Staff
Notre Dame +10½ at Pittsburgh at 4 p.m. PT ESPN
The Irish come off a humiliating loss at Providence and will be prepared for this game, both teams sit at 20-6 SU and both are 8-4 in the BIg East, take the points.
Maple Leafs ML +100 *1 Unit*
Maple Leafs Team Total OVER 2.5 -125 *0.5 Units*
The Panthers just lost at home to the worst road team in hockey, and now they have to play one of the better road teams and they are favored? We know the Leafs have not had great success against the Panthers recently, but for anyone who has watched a Leafs game and a Panthers game, you would know that both of these teams are much different this year. The Leafs are 6-2 on the road, while the Panthers are just 2-5 at home this season.
Avalanche / Predators UNDER 5 -116 *1 Unit*
Riding the Nashville under train, and it gets even better today with the Predators heading to Colorado. The Predators boast an incredible 12-2 to the under, but the Avalanche are also 8-4 to the under for a combined 20-6.
Predators REG -0.5 +131 *1 Unit*
Going to be riding the Nashville dominance over the Avalanche train today. The Predators are 9-0 in their last 9 meetings with the Avalanche - with only one of those wins coming outside of regulation. Let's look to make a nice chunk from the Predators today.
Ducks ML + Coyotes ML + Devils ML +252 *1 Unit*
Ducks -1 + Coyotes -1 + Devils -1 +582 *0.5 Units*
The 11-2-0-1 Ducks are hosting the abysmal 4-9-1-1 Jackets (1-5 on the road) - one of the best teams in hockey against the worst. Need we say more?
When we consider the Flames to be "turning it around" of late - with a 2-3 record - you know that they are a bad hockey team. Heading into Phoenix does not bode well for them either, as they are 1-5 in their last 6 in Phoenix and just 2-6 over their last 8 meetings in general.
An injury plagued Senators team heading into a place where they never have success? We don't like their chances. The Senators are just 1-8 in their past 9 visits to Jersey, that was with Spezza, Karlsson, etc. Now the Senators (just 2-5 on the road) without their best players play a 6-1-1 (at home) Devils team.
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