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Re: 11-19-08
Vegas Sports Experts
10* Take Ball State (-7) over Central Michigan (NCAA Power Play)
7:00 PM EST
Ball State
• 14-4 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons
• 5-1 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in three consecutive games
• 11-1 ATS after a game where they forced one or less turnovers -
Re: 11-19-08
Robert Ferrringo college hoops
2-Unit Play. Take #541 Murray State (+1) over Arkansas State (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
Here this isn’t just a story about two different teams, but two completely different programs. Murray State is one of the OVC’s best and they are used to winning, and winning a lot. They brought back four of five starters from last year’s squad, which was a pleasant surprise in what should have been a down year, and they added a solid Creighton transfer. Arkansas State, on the other hand, is an absolute disaster. They bottomed out last year and will be without four of five starters from last year’s squad. They have played well under new coach John Brady, but I am not ready to buy in until I see them pick up a couple wins and reverse their bad karma. Murray State beat a better ASU team by 14 last year and should manage a ‘W’ here.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #539 Morehead State (+15.5) over Drake (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
Drake is a solid, sound team. But I don't know if they are ready to be laying these types of numbers. they simply lost too much from last year to be expected to go out and lay a 20-point beating on someone. Morehead State has some nice pieces and is a veteran team. I think they can hang around. Morehead has already played a pair of games. They were winning at halftime against a Sun Belt crew and they were only down seven points at Vanderbilt. They got rocked in the second half in both games. But I think they adjust that situation and manage to keep this one in single digits.
1-Unit Play. Take #523 Ball State (+14.5) over Butler (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
I feel the same way about Butler that I do about Drake - they simply lost too much to be laying these types of numbers this early in the year. Mix in the fact that people are looking for an "easy" play today because of the short schedule and this will be a favorite square target. We'll be on the other side. Before their Horizon League run the Bulldogs had a lot of trouble covering thick home lines last year. Their style is more defensive and deliberate, so I don't see them posting a monster blowout. Further, they are coming off a semi-emotional opener against a team that beat them last year. Seven of the last 10 in this series have been decided by 16 points or less, which keeps us in range. BSU has more motivation here and I think they take the cash.
2-Unit Play. Take #531 Kent State (-1) over St. Louis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
"People that want to see a good college team should come out (tonight), though they might not see one in us." That's a quote straight from the mouth of St. Louis coach Rick Majerus. His team is made up entirely of freshmen and three seniors - one of which is injured and will play hobbled. Kent State beat St. Louis by 41 points last year - yes, 41 points. the Flashes are not as strong as that team, but they have eight of their top 10 back from that club.Comment
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Re: 11-19-08
Bob Balfe
College Football
Central Michigan +6.5 over Ball State
CMU has won back to back MAC Titles and a win tonight would land them in the title game again. This obviously will be their toughest test of the season, but they have won 18 of their last 20 MAC games and at home are getting no love with the oddsmakers. This CMU senior class is deep and this is a statement game for them as all the focus is on the 14th ranked Ball State team. Lets face it. Ball State probably couldn't beat most teams in the SEC or Big 12 and obviously are not the 14th best team in the nation. The weather will be a factor tonight as it should be cold and snowy. CMU has a decent run defense and usually are month in the bank at home. Dan LeFevour will take this CMU team as far as he can. Look for him to make good passes and to scramble for rushing yardage. Take Central Michigan plus the points and hit the money line if you are feeling up to it.
NBA Basketball
Timberwolves +3.5 over Sixers
NCAA Basketball
South Florida +7.5 over VirginiaComment
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Re: 11-19-08
Dave M@linsky
Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
PICK: 4* Denver Nuggets +1
We fully understand the line move in this one, which has now made the Spurs the favorite. We just do not agree with it, and it has opened the door for excellent value to the visitors.
Through the years Denver has had a poor ATS record in those rare occasions in which the Nuggets played a home game, and then had to go to the Central Time Zone the following night. It makes a great deal of sense – playing at the Denver altitude takes more out of a team than any other venue, and heading eastwards across a time zone actually means a loss of two hours of recovery and preparation, one for the time zone itself, and another because of the earlier tip-off time. We have followed this closely, and have taken advantage often, including some 6* plays in the past.
We do not believe that applies in any way tonight, however. The Nuggets were off on Monday, and Tuesday’s rout of Milwaukee was little more than a scrimmage – the stating lineup only played 134 of the 240 floor minutes, with no one going more than 28. In fact, reserves Linas Kleiza and J. R. Smith were on the court more than any starter. Instead of fatigue creating a negative it was the ideal way to prepare for this game, a nice comfortable scrimmage in which they built a 20-point lead, and continued the flow of confidence since Chauncey Billups came on board (they are 6-1 in his seven starts).
Yes, the Spurs enter this one on a three-game win streak, a remarkable achievement when four of your starters are Roger Mason, George Hill, Fabricio Oberto and Michael Finley (perhaps Bruce Bown here, instead of Finely, to try to check Carmelo Anthony a bit). But while that it a tribute to Pops, take it with a grain of salt. Three games back they did pull a stunner against Houston, out-scoring the Rockets 12-0 over the final 4:44 to gut out a 77-75 win. That was a major roll of the dice, but the last two wins were simply a case of out-smarting weak opponents in close games, as they escaped past the short-handed Kings and Clippers in struggles that went to the final possession. They have been buoyed by facing the 26th weakest schedule in the league so far this season, which helps to make them an over-rated item here, and we do not mind getting the far better team in this price range.Comment
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Re: 11-19-08
igz1 sports
Wednesday Action !!
Tuesday Recap: 1-0 CFB (+80) pts : 1-0 NBA (+80) pts : 2-2 CBB (-16) pts
CFB
3* Central Michigan +7 (-110)
NHL
3* Boston -135
3* Under 5 (-120) Vancouver vs NY Rangers
NBA
3* Oklahoma City +1 (-110)
3* Chicago +7.5 (-110)
CBB
3* Charlotte -1.5 (-110)Comment
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