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Re: 11-19-08
Frank Patron
7500 Unit College Lock
Ball State Cardinals -7
Frank Patron
7500 Unit College Lock
Ball State Cardinals -7
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Re: 11-19-08
DOC
NBA GAME OF WEEK
5-Unit NBA Game of the Week - #506 Take Detroit Over Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) The Cavs have quickly become the darlings of the oddsmakers and the public. And for the most part it is deserved – they have won eight straight games and covered in four of the last five. However, five of those wins came at home and this will be the biggest test they have faces on the road as their previous opponents during that streak were New Jersey, Chicago and Dallas. In fact, this will be their toughest game since the winning streak started regardless of venue. Detroit is 7-3 this season and this will be just their fourth home game of the season. Cleveland is coming in on a back-to-back while the Pistons have had two nights of rest. Detroit has won and covered three of the last four meetings between these two teams and they have absolutely dominated the last two meetings in Detroit. The Cavs have averaged only 72 points on offense in their last two meetings in Detroit. This is a very public line and we think we are getting a good 3-4 points of value here.Comment
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Re: 11-19-08
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Central Michigan – AiS shows an 85% probability that Central Michigan will lose this game by 8 or fewer points and a also has a 48% probability of winning the game. I would not recommend to add a money line bet to the 7* amount, but rather reducing it to 6* with the line and 2* on the money line – if you are looking for a variation to play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 59-27 for 69% since 1997. Play against a road team off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is undefeated on the season. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 54-23 ATS for 70% since 1992. Play on a home team after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins. Here is the third system reinforcing the graded play that has gone 68-26 ATS for 72% since 2002. Play on a home team after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins and is now playing in a conference game. Central Michigan is a series of strong roles for this upset bid. AiS shows an 87% probability that CMU will score 28 or more points. Note that they are a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a top-level team sporting a win percentage of > 75% since 1992. Take Central Michigan.Comment
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Re: 11-19-08
DOC
NBA GAME OF WEEK
5-Unit NBA Game of the Week - #506 Take Detroit Over Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) The Cavs have quickly become the darlings of the oddsmakers and the public. And for the most part it is deserved – they have won eight straight games and covered in four of the last five. However, five of those wins came at home and this will be the biggest test they have faces on the road as their previous opponents during that streak were New Jersey, Chicago and Dallas. In fact, this will be their toughest game since the winning streak started regardless of venue. Detroit is 7-3 this season and this will be just their fourth home game of the season. Cleveland is coming in on a back-to-back while the Pistons have had two nights of rest. Detroit has won and covered three of the last four meetings between these two teams and they have absolutely dominated the last two meetings in Detroit. The Cavs have averaged only 72 points on offense in their last two meetings in Detroit. This is a very public line and we think we are getting a good 3-4 points of value here.
DOC
NCAA football
3 Unit Play. #104 Take Central Michigan over Ball State (Wednesday 7:00 pm ESPN 2) It end’s tonight! The Cardinals enter this game with an undefeated record but their lack of playing anybody good will finally catch up with them. The Chippewas challenged themselves during the non-conference portion of the season and that has prepaid them for the MAC. They are 6-0 in conference play and like Ball State control their own destiny for a chance to play in the Motor City Bowl. Central Michigan has won the last four games in this series by an average of 10 points. They hung 58 points on the Cardinals last season and without star WR Dante Love, the Cardinals lack the big play guy to put them over the top. Play the homer and watch your money grow.Comment
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