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a 4* on AirForce
a 4* on AirForce
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JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks
NCAA-B | Feb 26 '13 (7:00p)
MEMPHIS U vs XavierMEMPHIS U
-4½-110 at SIA15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis -4.5
The Memphis Tigers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are 24-3 on the season yet almost nobody in the media is talking about them. As a result, they remain undervalued. They should be a much heavier favorite over the Xavier Musketeers tonight.
Memphis has won 18 straight games coming in. I've seen this team play several times and I truly believe it can beat anyone in the country. This is the most athletic team in the land, and that athleticism will prove to be too much for Xavier tonight.
At 15-11 on the season, the Musketeers have little to play for the rest of the way. They are coming off a 71-75 home loss to VCU on Saturday, and it will be hard to recover from such a defeat. That's especially the case considering they are likely to be without starting PG Dee Davis, who scored 15 points against VCU. Davis is doubtful with concussion-like symptoms.
What's most impressive about the Tigers is the fact that they have been able to play their best basketball on the road this season. They are a perfect 7-0 in true road games this year, outscoring opponents by an eye-opening 12.4 points/game. Their road wins includes an 85-80 victory at Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog, an 89-76 win at Southern Miss as a 1-point dog, and a 71-59 triumph at Marshall as a 9.5-point favorite.
The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Musketeers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Xavier is 2-12 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Take Memphis Tuesday.NCAA-B | Feb 26 '13 (9:00p)
FLORIDA vs TENNESSEETENNESSEE
+8½-106 at 5dimes15* Florida/Tennessee ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Tennessee +8.5
The Tennessee Volunteers should not be catching nearly double-digits points at home tonight against the Florida Gators. Tennessee comes into this game playing its best basketball of the season. It has gotten to 16-10 on the year to put itself in position to make the NCAA Tournament with a strong finish.
The Volunteers are a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. That includes three road wins at South Carolina (66-61), Vanderbilt (68-46) and Texas A&M (93-85), as well as blowout home victories over Kentucky (88-58) and LSU (82-72). Tennessee is 11-3 at home this season.
Florida has shown signs of coming back down to reality here of late. It has gone just 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games overall, which includes road losses at Arkansas (69-80) and Missouri (60-63) despite being the favorite in both contests.
Tennessee has had Florida's number in recent meetings. It actually won both meetings last season with a 67-56 home victory as a 7.5-point underdog, and a 75-70 road win as a 12-point dog. The Gators are 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings, including 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Tennessee.
This play falls into a system that is 40-10 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLORIDA) - after allowing 60 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games.
Tennessee is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 32-16 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) since 1997. Roll with Tennessee Tuesday.[ back to top ]NBA Basketball Premium Picks
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-= TOP PLAY =-NBA | Feb 26 '13 (7:05p)
Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ersTotal
189½ un-110 at BetOnline25* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/76ers UNDER 189.5
The Orlando Magic and Philadelphia 76ers will take part in a defensive battle tonight. These are two of the worst offensive teams in the league, and this number has certainly been set too high given how poorly both squads have played on that end of the floor all year.
Orlando is scoring just 93.8 points/game overall and 92.3 points/game on the road. Philadelphia is scoring 92.2 points/game overall and 93.4 points/game at home. Both teams allow less than 100 points/game, so each has been solid on that end of the court for the most part. Especially Philadelphia, which is giving up just 95.2 points/game at home this year.
These teams just met on February 4th right before the All-Star game. The 76ers beat the Magic 78-61 at home for 139 combined points. That is 50 points less than tonight's posted total of 189.5. While I do expect them to combine for more than 139 this time, I don't expect it to be anywhere near the posted total tonight.
Orlando is scoring just 88.0 points/game in its last five games overall. It is playing without Glen Davis and Jameer Nelson, which are two of its top scorers this season. Philadelphia has scored 93 or fewer points in 10 straight games, averaging just 86.7 points/game in the process.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Magic last 5 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The UNDER is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. These four trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.
NBA | Feb 26 '13 (7:05p)
Golden State Warriors vs Indiana PacersGolden State Warriors
+8-107 at 5dimes20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Golden State Warriors +8
The Indiana Pacers come into this game way overvalued tonight. They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS with four straight blowout victories over Charlotte, New York, and Detroit twice all by 18 points or more. They have created expectations for themselves that they simply cannot live up to tonight.
Golden State comes in undervalued after having lost six of its last nine games overall. It has been able to get back on track by winning its last three, including a 107-101 (OT) victory over San Antonio. The perception is that this team still isn't playing well, but that isn't the case right now.
This play falls into a system that is 25-8 (75.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
The Warriors beat the Pacers 103-92 at home in their first meeting of the season on December 1st. Indiana is 2-12 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is 14-6 ATS against Eastern Conference opponents this season. Take the Warriors Tuesday.NBA | Feb 26 '13 (7:35p)
Sacramento Kings vs Miami HeatSacramento Kings
+15½-113 at 5dimes15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +15.5
The Sacramento Kings are showing awesome value as a big road underdog to the Miami Heat Tuesday night. I know the Kings have lost five straight coming in, but they've played a brutal schedule that has included Memphis, Dallas, San Antonio, Atlanta and New Orleans with four of those coming on the road. Sacramento is undervalued because of it.
Meanwhile, the Heat come in way overvalued due to their season-high 11-game winning streak. They started showing signs of being overvalued with a 109-105 come-from-behind home victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 12-point favorite on Sunday.
The biggest reason the Cavs were able to hang with the Heat was the fact that Miami came in very tired in that game. It was playing its 4th game in 5 days on Sunday, and now it will be playing its 5th game in 7 days against the Kings. That's one of the toughest situations for any team in the league, and I look for the Heat to come out sluggish once again because of it.
This play falls into a system that is 65-28 (69.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games.
Sacramento comes in well-rested as this will be just its 4th game in 13 days. The Kings are 32-16 ATS in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days since 1996. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Kings Tuesday.NBA | Feb 26 '13 (8:05p)
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago BullsChicago Bulls
-6½-110 at SIA15* NBA Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Chicago Bulls -6.5
The Chicago Bulls are the most resilient team in the league. Off an embarrassing 72-102 loss at Oklahoma City Sunday, I look for the Bulls to bounce back with a double-digit blowout victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers at home Tuesday night.
Cleveland comes in overvalued due to winning eight of its last 14 games overall. One of its losses came at Miami 105-109 last time out on Sunday, but it caught the Heat playing the second of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 5 days. And most of its eight wins have come against non-playoff teams.
Chicago simply owns Cleveland in this series. The Bulls have won 10 straight meetings in this series with each of their last nine wins coming by 9 points or more. This makes for a trends that is a perfect 9-0 since 2011 given tonight's spread of 6.5. Chicago's last four home meetings have resulted in wins by 26, 32, 13 and 9 points, respectively.
This play falls into a system that is 42-13 (76.4%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against any team (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
The Bulls are 53-25-2 ATS in their last 80 games following a S.U. loss. Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS loss. Tom Thibodeau is 63-37 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread as the coach of Chicago. Thibodeau is 44-23 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of Chicago. Bet the Bulls Tuesday.Comment
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Brandon Lang
10 Dimes
Towson Tigers +6.5Comment
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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball
Down day yesterday, we blank the card and we look to bounce-back today and this week. Let's stick to our selectivity, and attempt to stay within 3 plays per day and keep progressing. We come off back to back winning weeks, a winning January at +$2600 and by the end of this week, we will try to make it 3 straight winning weeks. Let's roll.
4-Unit Play. #519. Take Towson +7 over George Mason (Tuesday @ 7pm est).
5-Unit Play. #532. Take Valparaiso -13.5 over Youngstown State (Tuesday @ 8pm est).
4-Unit Play. #527. Take Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14.5 over Wisconsin Green Bay (Tuesday @ 8pm est).
Did you know that Towson was 1-31 last year? Pat Skerry's team was miserable last year but much has changed this year as this team is 16-13 and is in the running for the most improved team in the nation and he has been mentioned for coach of the year as year solidifies that cause. He took over Pat Kennedy's team that was 4-26 to put things in perspective so this is the most successful this team has been in quite some time. The ex-Pitt assistant has done well with this team and now has them going into George Mason looking for the upset. Towson is 11-5 in conference play and this team lost to Georgetown by 6 on the road, Temple by 9 on the road and lost to George Mason by 10 at home and now seeks revenge. I would have played this selection at 5.5 and to see it go to 7 was a nice option. Towson is a defensive type of team so to see a total in the low 130's is a positive element as well and with 3 juniors leading the way its a positive element. George Mason has a revenge game against Delaware on docket (which we will probably be on) and Skerry has a way of motivating his players as well. When this team lost to Georgia State at home they did go on the road to beat State Outright so don't be surprised to see Towson be motivated to do well here against Paul Hewitt's squad. Valparaiso has just 3 losses this year and one of those losses was to Youngstown State by 12 on the road. It was a game that this team who is ranked in the top 70 in most power rankings should have never lost and as they look to get revenge today (just like they did against Loyola Chicago winning by 9 on the road), look for them to bounce-back at home. This is a team that beat a better Eastern Kentucky team compared to Youngstown State by 22 at home, beat Illinois Chicago by 25, Cleveland State by 24 and even beat Murray State and Detroit on the road which is difficult to to do. Look for Bryce Drew's senior laden team to lay the wood down and get some revenge today. Wisconsin Milwaukee is by no means a fantastic team. But what we look for is an opportunity for a team to sneak inside the cover when the other team is not as motivated enough. With Wisconsin Milwaukee losing by 20 to this team at home, winning all 3 of their conference games over their last 5 contests going 3-2 of late, this being the last game of the season for them, with revenge, I do like them motivated here on the road against a Green Bay team that has Valpo on the docket in their next game which will be a big showdown for them. Its hard to get up for a team who you beat by 20 points away from home and I like Milwaukee to hang tough here on the road this evening.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
4-Unit Play. #505. Take Sacramento Kings +15.5 over Miami Heat (Tuesday @ 7:35pm est).
4-Unit Play. #508. Take New Orleans -2.5 over Brooklyn Nets (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).
4-Unit Play. #512. Take Dallas -5.5 over Milwaukee (Tuesday @ 8:35pm est).
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey
Nice winner with the Kings at home yesterday. That's 2 of 3 winners in Hockey. Let's keep it going with a winner today and make it 3 of 4 winners:
4-Unit Play. #8. Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo -150 (Tuesday @ 7:35 pm est)
The Tampa Bay Lightning return home for a game against the reeling Buffalo Sabres on Tuesday before facing a difficult four-game road stretch. The Lightning have recorded (20) goals in the last five games as eighteen different players have at least one goal for the Bolts. Tampa Bay impressed many in the postseason with its surprising depth and exciting offense. Tampa's formula for success is pretty simple: infuse a group of some of the league's best veterans with one of the NHL's premier young talents?C Steven Stamkos (45 goals?second in NHL last season). The Lightning offense with Stamkos, St-Louis and Lecavalier is a quick-strike machine that finished third in the Eastern Conference with (241) goals. Since Ron Rolston replaced Lindy Ruff as coach of the Sabres, they have lost four straight. The Sabres are (0-4) in their last (4) Tuesday games and have allowed (22) goals in the last eight games. Bolts Strike Back and hand the Sabres another loss. The Sabres are 1-5 in their last 6 games when facing a team with a winning home record and the Lightning are 14-6 when facing a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%.Comment
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Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey
4-Unit Pick Take #14 Minnesota (-1.50) over Calgary (8pm, Tuesday, February 26)
2-Unit Pick Take Over (5.5) Colorado at San Jose (10:35 pm, Tuesday, February 26)Comment
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick
Game: Orlando at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Orlando +9.5 (-110)
The Orlando Magic have discovered life without the big guy in the middle isn't very pleasant. The Magic are on a woeful 1-17 run in their last 18 games, and just 3-15 ATS. The Philadelphia 76ers are far from a playoffs-caliber team this season, and without Andre Iguodala they have found out that he was an important cog to their success. The Sixers are also no bargain of late either as they are on a five-game skid. The offense has managed no more than 93 points in any of the five games, and regardless of the opponent the number here is simply an overlay. The Magic have been huge when following a 10+ point loss at 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65. Take the points, and play on Orlando.Comment
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Bryan Leonard | CBBSides - Tuesday, Feb 26 2013 9:00PM
538 Florida St. -5.0 vs 537 Wake Forest double-dime betComment
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Rocky Atkinson | NHL ML - Tuesday, Feb 26 2013 7:05PM
ML 4 WAS -123 vs 3 CAR double-dime betComment
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spartan | CBBSides - Tuesday, Feb 26 2013 7:00PM
522 Xavier, Ohio 5.0 vs 521 Memphis single-dime betComment
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Andre Gomes | NBA Sides - Tuesday, Feb 26 2013 9:05PM
513 MIN 1.5 vs 514 PHO single-dime bet
Analysis: NBA - 513 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 514 Phoenix Suns
Projected Line: Minnesota by 3 pointsComment
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double-dime bet 513 MIN / 514 PHO OVER 194.5 5dimesAnalysis: I'm playing the Over between the T-Wolves & Suns on Tuesday night. The Phoenix Suns have played five home games since January 30. Four of the five games saw posted totals ranging from 199 1/2 to 205. Only one total was below 199 1/2 and that was Friday's total of 187 1/2. We took advantage of the low total on these pages, cashing the Over in their game against the Celtics when the teams combined for 201 points. Tonight's total is also low, in my opinion. After all, the Suns allow 100.2 ppg on the season on 46.9% shooting (28th) and 39.1% 3-point shooting (30th). They're also catching the Timberwolves with Ricky Rubio playing his best offensive basketball since his ACL injury last season. Rubio is averaging 15 ppg and nearly 10 apg over the last nine games and should have little trouble scoring and creating against the soft Suns. It should be noted that the winning team in Minnesota's last 12 road games (and 18 of their last 19) have scored at least 100 points. The T-Wolves and their "hosts" have combined for an average of 200 ppg in those 19 outings. I expect both teams to score their share of points with the way the Suns play defense (or don't play defense, I should say). The T-Wolves are on a 6-1 Over run on the road and they're 7-1 to the Over against teams playing sub-.400 basketball. Finally, five of the last six meetings in Phoenix have gone over the total. I'm playing the Over between Minnesota & Phoenix on Tuesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.Comment
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Matt Fargo 9* CBB Ultimate Underdog
Minnesota
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Wunderdog nhl
2 *phoenix ML +155
2* San Jose PL (-1.5) +175Comment
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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---ROBERT HENZIE
Indiana Pacers-8
Auburn+11
Florida-9
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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---VAUGHN WILSON
5* Indiana-5.5
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EAGLE EYE SPORTS----WINMART
Auburn+11
Ind.Pacers-8Comment
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Kelso
50 Units
Air Force (-4) over Wyoming
AIR FORCE (15-10) -4 over Wyoming (18-9) Prediction: Air Force by 11-12
Comments: The 2012-13 edition of the Air Force Academy basketball team is one of the best it has ever put on the floor and has been show-casing its talent of late with home wins over UNLV (21-7), 71-56, and San Diego State (20-7), 70-67, and by taking powerful Colorado State (21-6) to the money before losing, 89-86. The Falcons only other home loss this season was to Wichita State (22-5), 72-69. Air Force starts a lineup of four seniors and a sophomore and is led by senior guard Michael Lyons who has for the past two seasons been every one’s nemesis. This year he is averaging 18.8 points per game and in that 3-point loss to Colorado State scored 45 points. The Falcons are simply a relentless team that that comes to play every night, is well coached, disciplined and finds ways to win. The first time these teams met this season, a month ago in Laramie, Air Force won, 57-48, as a 7 ½-point underdog. Despite the fact Wyoming is in better shape physically that it was then, my figures say the Falcons should dominate.
25 Units
WiscGreen Bay (-14) over WiscMilwaukee
WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY (15-13) -14 over Wisconsin-Milwaukee (8-122) Prediction: Wisconsin-Green Bay by 19-20
Comments: The first time these teams played this season—four weeks ago in Milwaukee—Green Bay won by 20 points, 74-54, as a 7-point favorite and there is absolutely nothing to suggest that won happen again. Wisconsin-Milwaukee, which is 1-15 on the road, has to be happy about one thing—this is its last game of the regular season. As basketball teams go, Green Bay and Milwaukee operate on different planes and my figures say the former should again win in blowout fashion.
15 Units
Alabama (-11½) over Auburn
7:00 PM -- Coleman Coliseum
ALABAMA (18-9) -11 ½ over Auburn (9-18) Prediction: Alabama by 18-19 Played at Coleman Coliseum (15,383) in Tuscaloosa, Alabama RPI Ranking: Auburn 218 of 347 teams, Alabama 62nd of 347. Strength of Schedule Ranking: Auburn 103rd of 347, Alabama 84th of 347. Home/Road Record: Alabama 12-3 at home, Auburn 2-10 on road. Enrollment: Auburn (20,446), Alabama (28,026) Starting Time: 7:05 TV: ESPNU Comments: This is one of the big revenge games of the year in the SEC. Not only are these two schools heated—and I mean heated—rivals but Auburn, which is 1-11 in its last 12 games, embarrassed Alabama, 49-37, when these teams met three weeks ago at Auburn. Yes, the only win in those last 12 games was over Alabama. There is no question the Crimson Tide are by far the best team in this game and are 10-3 in their last 13 games. Take it to the bank Alabama will come out firing the big guns in this one and wipe away the memory of their terrible performance at Auburn, a game in which they hit but 28.6% from the floor, including 10.5% from 3-point range.
10 Units
Towson (+7) over George Mason
7:00 PM -- Patriot Center
Towson (16-13) +7 over GEORGE MASON (17-11) Prediction: Towson by 3-4
Comments: Towson is the number one surprise of the 2012-13 season, having gone 1-31 last season, and they can really put the icing on the cake with a win tonight, and a victory at home against Hofstra. A win in both those games would close out Towson 18-13 and the team would go into the NCAA record book with the greatest one season turn-around in history. Since Towson is prohibited from post-season play because of past academic problems, I do believe it will give it everything it has to do just that. The first time these teams met this season—January 23 at Towson—George Mason won, 77-67, as a 1 ½-point favorite but now catch an incentive-driven Tigers team that is playing its best basketball right now, is 6-1 in its last seven games, including in that span road wins at Hofstra, 57-50, Georgia State, 90-82, and Old Dominion, 68-66. My figures, plus the hidden incentive factors, should put Towson in the winner’s circle again.
10 Units
Mavericks (-5½) over Bucks
8:30 PM -- American Airlines Center
DALLAS MAVERICKS (25-30) -5 ½ over Milwaukee Bucks (26-28) Prediction: Mavericks by 9-10
Comments: With superstar forward Dirk Nowitzki return to form after missing most of the season with knee surgery Dallas is very much alive for a playoff spot, even they are 4 ½ games out of the final and 8th spot in the NBA West picture. Dallas has gone 5-2 in its last seven games, is playing with real urgency and focus and knows it has to keep winning to make the post season—and time is running out. They must win them all at home and should do that again tonight. The Mavericks have all the edges against a slumping Milwaukee team that is facing its 1-7 in its last eight starts and 0-3 in its last three.Comment
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