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| NBA | Mar 11 '13 (8:35p) Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs |
Total 208½ un-110 at SIA |
| 20* Thunder/Spurs NBA TV No-Brainer on UNDER 208.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs will take part in a defensive battle tonight as they meet for a third time this season. With Tony Parker out for the Spurs, their offense simply isn't going to be as dynamic as it was before he got hurt. This has been a very low-scoring series in recent meetings. Oklahoma City and San Antonio have combined for 206 or fewer points in each of their last three meetings, including 200 and 170 points in their two meetings this season. With the Thunder tired and playing their 4th game in 5 days, and the Spurs without Parker, I look for the final combined score of this one to easily stay under 208 with room to spare. This play falls into a system that is 42-11 (79.2%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. San Antonio is 10-1 to the UNDER in home games after scoring 105 points or more this season. I'm seeing an average of 187.3 points/game in this spot for the Spurs and their opponents. The UNDER is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. These four trends combine for a 29-2 system backing the UNDER tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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| NBA | Mar 11 '13 (10:05p) Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns |
Total 209½ ov-103 at 5dimes |
| 15* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Nuggets/Suns OVER 209.5 I look for an absolute shootout tonight in Phoenix as the Suns host the high-scoring Denver Nuggets. Denver is one of the top scoring teams in the league at 105.8 points/game. However, the Nuggets give up 104.3 points/game defensively, so I look for the Suns to put up a big number as well. Denver's biggest reason for being so efficient offensively is its ability to get in the paint at will. It is one of the top scoring teams in the league in the paint. That's a big factor here considering the Suns will be playing without two of their best post players in Marcin Gortat and Jermaine O'Neal. The Nuggets have scored 104 or more points in nine straight games. Phoenix has been forced to play small ball, which hurts its defense, but helps its offense. That was evident in a 107-105 home victory over the Houston Rockets last time out on Saturday, and a 112-121 loss at Sacramento the night before on Friday. This has already been a high-scoring series in recent meetings, and I look for that to be the case again tonight. Phoenix beat Denver 110-100 at home in their first meeting of the season on November 12th for 210 combined points. Denver beat Phoenix 118-107 on the road in their final meeting of last season for 225 combined points. Denver is 13-2 to the OVER in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. The Nuggets are 9-1 to the OVER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 games overall. The OVER is 21-8 in Nuggets last 29 road games. Take the OVER in this game Monday. |
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| NBA | Mar 11 '13 (10:35p) New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors |
Golden State Warriors -3-105 at 5dimes |
| 15* Knicks/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -3 The Golden State Warriors have certainly been struggling of late. They have lost 12 of their last 17 games overall to fall to 35-29 on the season after a torrid start. However, their recent struggles are the reason I really believe this team is way undervalued right now as only a 3-point home favorite over New York. Not only will the Warriors be motivated to get back on track, they'll also want payback from a 105-109 loss at New York on February 27th in their first meeting of the season just two weeks ago. I like their chances of getting revenge considering the Knicks have played their last three games without Carmelo Anthony (knee), and he's questionable to return tonight. Also, Amare Stoudemire (knee) has been pronounced out for the next 4-6 weeks. Golden State is 20-9 at home this season, so it certainly has a solid home-court advantage this year. It won its last home meeting with New York by a final of 92-78. The Knicks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 meetings with New York. Roll with the Warriors Monday. |
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