GoodFella
3* Iowa +5 Big 10 GOM
3* Iowa +5 Big 10 GOM
NBA | Mar 15 '13 (7:05p) Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers |
Total 190 un-102 at 5dimes |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Lakers/Pacers UNDER 190 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Los Angeles Lakers and Indiana Pacers. With Kobe Bryant out for Los Angeles, it is going to be lost offensively tonight. It will have to rely on its defense more to be competitive against the Pacers. I look for the Lakers to slow the game down to a snail's pace and to run their offense through Dwight Howard to give themselves the best chance to pull off the upset. Getting the ball to Howard takes some time, which will shorten the game considerably. These teams played in an absolute defensive battle in their first meeting. Indiana won at Los Angeles 79-77 on November 27th for 156 combined points. While I expect more combined points this time around, I do not foresee them coming closer to reaching 190 points. The Lakers are a perfect 8-0 to the UNDER against Central division opponents this season. They are combining with these Central opponents to average 184.9 points/game this year. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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NBA | Mar 15 '13 (8:35p) Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks |
Milwaukee Bucks +6-110 at BetOnline |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Milwaukee Bucks +6 I've been fading the Miami Heat with a ton of success during their current 20-game winning streak. The more games they add onto this streak, the higher the expectations are from the betting public and oddsmakers. This has created excellent line value for their opponents. There's no question that Miami is going to get everyone's best shot because they are the defending champs, and because of this streak. I believe Milwaukee's best shot is good enough to beat the Heat tonight. In fact, Milwaukee has played Miami very tough this season. The home team has won each meeting with Miami prevailing 113-106 at home on November 21st, and Milwaukee winning 104-85 at home on December 29th. Off two straight losses, the Bucks are more hungry than every for a victory tonight. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Heat. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Milwaukee has actually won four of its last six meetings with Miami outright. The Heat are 13-28 ATS in road games after having won 20 or more of their last 25 games since 1996. Roll with the Bucks Friday. |
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NBA | Mar 15 '13 (8:35p) Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks |
Total 203½ un-103 at 5dimes |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Cavaliers/Mavericks UNDER 203.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Dallas Mavericks. Cleveland is without leading scorer Kyrie Irving (23.0 PPG) for the next three weeks, and it will have a hard time putting points on the board until he returns. That has been the case in recent games for the Cavaliers as they've scored 97 or less points in five of their last six games overall. Dallas comes in tired as this will be the second of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days. It will not be pushing the tempo on tired legs tonight. One look at the recent history between these teams and it's easy to see that this number has been inflated tonight. Dallas and Cleveland have combined to score 199 or fewer points in each of their last five meetings. That includes a 103-95 road victory by the Mavericks in their lone meeting this season on November 17th. The UNDER is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The UNDER is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 9-2 in Mavericks last 11 vs. NBA Central foes. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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