3-16-13

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Betting line moves
538 Louisville -4.5

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RTG Sports - Ole Miss Rebels -3

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Dave Miller
10 Units Va Commonwealth -8 over Massachusetts

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


4-Unit Play. #531. Take Under 132 Kansas State vs. Kansas (Saturday @ 6pm est).


We couldn't ask for a better contest as the two Kansas teams hook up for the marbles here. Kansas State and Kansas have hooked up this year and it features everything what organizers want in terms of rivalry, two top 15 teams, national significance and repercussions based on the game and so on. Kansas won the first game 59-55 on the road, then they won the contest at home in a total rout winning 83-62 and it makes for a tough ride here to beat State 3 times in one year. State will want to make this a defensive game. This is very similar to the Ole Miss vs. Missouri game in which we took the Under yesterday because we figured Ole Miss will be an active underdog - but not in the traditional way. We thought the only way they could stay in the game given the short line is what it indicated as a good public fade was through their defense. That's the same way here. With the line being so small, I expect State to be a competitive underdog here but they will slow down the pace similar to the first game in Kansas State. That was a contest they lost by just 4 points and when they went on the road to run and gun they got hammered losing 83-62 rather than 59-55. Look for State to really sharpen up on defense as the referees should let these two teams play and go after it here. The Under is 3-1 over the last 4 contests these past 2 years and ever since Bruce Weber's time at Illinois he has always preached defense. Plus, Kansas did not have a good defensive showing against Iowa State yielding more than 70 points and I like this game to be similar to the Ole Miss vs. Missouri game yesterday as this game will hopefully fall into that range which closed at 126. This game will be competitive given the line, and for that sake, I like State to dictate the pace and likely take this game Under as the Under is 6-1-1 for the Wildcats in their last 8 neutral site games and the Under is 7-3-1 for the Jayhawks after an ATS win such as their ATS cover against Iowa State.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball


3 Straight Winners for us in the NBA. We have put together +$1620 of late including two 6* winners this week alone including the Lakers Over which came through despite a slow start. Let's make it 4 straight winners on the NBA Hardwood today.


7-Unit Play. #506. Take Boston Celtics -15.5 over Charlotte Bobcats (Saturday @ 7:35pm est).


The Celtics always remember their losses. And, you would think they would certainly remember a team they have lost to twice this year. And, a team that is sub .500 who has only won 14 games this year and two of them at the expense of the Celtics who are 35-29. Do you really think the Celtics want to be known as the team that can't beat the Bobcats and losing to them trice in the same year? Pierce did not play against the Bobcats and took the game off in Charlotte and I don't see that happening today as this team will be more than ready for the Bobcats and Jordan coming in. Notice that over 60% of the public is on the Underdog which is always a reason to take a second look at a game. I was hoping the Bobcats would defeat or play a tight game in their last contest against Toronto but I don't think it matters coming into this game. The Bobcats are still 6-27 on the road and the Celtics are still 23-9 at home. The Bobcats didn't just beat this team at home, they routed them by a final score of 100-74 as a 10.5 point underdog. I'm not a fan of big favorites but we have done so when the spots are right as favorites do win in sports as in all items, it is highly situational. I like the Celtics here with double-revenge, with the Celtics playing for seeding in the Eastern Conference and the simple fact they do not want to lose three times to a Bobcat team that is significantly under .500. This is a revenge game as it is losing by 24 points to this team on the road, but combine that they are avoiding losing trice and more importantly, this is a rivalry that has stemmed for a bit, look for the Celtics to be more than ready for this game as a decent public fade to boot. The Celtics are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and the Bobcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games (and teams with a winning record on the road).


Leans: Washington


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


4-Unit Play. #13. Take Carolina -110 over Tampa Bay (Saturday @ 7:05pm est).


Carolina remembers a 5-2 loss they suffered at the hands of Tampa Bay earlier this year. This is a team that has played well of late winning 7 of their last 10 including avoiding back to back losses over the last couple weeks. As this team comes off a rare loss of late by a score of 2-3 to Washington at home, I like them to bounce-back here on the road. Don't hold that loss against them too much because they had just beat Washington at home 4-0 and shut them out so it was a big revenge game for Washington on a home and home. As this team has a 2-5 revenge against Tampa Bay, and coming off a loss and with Tampa Bay having lost 8 of their last 10 games overall, its not a bad play here on Carolina to bounce-back with revenge. The Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last 6 games when they face a team with a losing record at home (meaning the lesser power ranking teams) and Tampa Bay is 0-4 in their last 4 games when they face a team with a winning home record at home.


Leans: Vancouver Puck-Line, Los-Angeles, Buffalo, Colorado,

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Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey

5-Unit Pick Take #22 St.Louis (-1.30) over Anaheim (8 pm, Saturday, March 16th)
Please note this is "Our Game Of The Week"
2-Unit Pick Take #20 Dallas (+1.20) over Chicago (8pm, Saturday, March 16th)
2-Unit Pick Take Over (5.5) New York Islanders at Florida (7:35 pm, Saturday, March 16)

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Goldsheet Line Power Ratings Point Spread Discrepancies 3/16/13




1:30 #523 Butler +4 (line should be Butler +1) difference: 3 points
3:30 #522 North Carolina -4.5 (line should be NC -5) diff: 1.5 points
3:30 #517 Ole Miss -3 (line should be Ole Miss -6) diff: 3 points
4:00 #525 UMASS +9 (line should be UMASS +5) diff: 4 points
6:00 #533 New Mexico +2.5 (line should be New Mex -2) difference: 4.5 points
11:00 # 540 UCLA +1.5 (line should be UCLA -1) difference: 1.5 points
11:00 #544 New Mex St -3.5 (line should be New Mex St -8) difference: 4.5 points

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CAL Sports

4* North Carolina
4* Ohio
3* Indiana
3* Cal Irvine

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Alan Boston

New Mexico St -3.5

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Essler:
kansas state+4.5, double dime bet

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RightSideValuePlays

UNC -4


Free Play- UTAH JAZZ

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Marco D Angelo Triple Dime Play
Pacific

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Doc's NBA - 3/16

#507 Take Cleveland +15 over San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday)

#503 Take Indiana -5 over Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday)

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Youngstown Connection

#571 Mississippi

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Executive 600% Play
VCU

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Vegas Winning Crew

NHL 25 Dime Play - Pittsburgh ML

NCAAB 25 Dime Play Pacific -1.5