3-27-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Earnest
Hornets,
Knicks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bronco Sports
14-11
G mason
Weber st.
Miami heat
Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather locks

Okc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (7:05p) Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers	Total 195½ un-110 at BMaker
20* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Celtics/Cavaliers UNDER 195.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers. Both teams are missing key players that will help keep the final combined score UNDER the posted total in this one. Boston will be without Kevin Garnett (14.9 PPG) and Courtney Lee (7.8 PPG) tonight. They were already without Rondo and Jared Sullinger to boot. Cleveland will be without its top two scorers in Kyrie Irving (23.0 PPG) and Dion Waiters (14.7 PPG). Third-leading scorer Anderson Varejao (14.1 PPG) was already out. One look at the recent history in this series and it's easy to see that this total has been inflated. Each of the last five meetings have seen 194 or less combined points and an average of 181.2 points/game. That's roughly 14 points less than tonight's posted total. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (8:05p) Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves	Los Angeles Lakers -4½-109 at 5dimes
15* NBA Wednesday Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 The Los Angeles Lakers will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. They lead both Utah and Dallas by just one game for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They realize they cannot afford a loss to Minnesota tonight. Adding fuel to the fire for the Lakers is the fact that they have lost three straight games heading into this one. They couldn't possibly be playing a better opponent to get back on track tonight considering how they have dominated Minnesota over the year. Los Angeles has won 21 straight meetings with Minnesota heading into this contest. 19 of those 21 victories have come by 5 points or more, making for a 19-2 (90%) system backing the Lakers. Also note that the Timberwolves will be a tired team heading into this one. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days, which is tough for a team that is already short-handed due to injury. Take the Lakers Wednesday.

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (8:05p) Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls	Chicago Bulls +5-101 at 5dimes
15* Heat/Bulls ESPN Side & Total Parlay on Chicago +5/UNDER 186 I am siding with the Chicago Bulls +5 and the UNDER 186 tonight in this contest with the Miami Heat. I fully expect the Bulls to put an end to Miami's 27-game winning streak in a low-scoring, defensive battle, but I'll take the points for some insurance. The reason I'm backing Chicago tonight is because it has proven it can beat Miami recently, and it is one of the most resilient teams in the league. The Bulls have won three of their last five meetings with the Heat. The reason I'm backing the UNDER tonight is due to the recent history between these teams, which has been a very low-scoring one. They have combined for 153, 185, 155 and 168 points (not counting overtime) in each of their last four meetings for an average of 165.3 points/game. That's roughly 21 points less than tonight's posted total. Roll with the Bulls and the UNDER Wednesday.

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (8:05p) Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls	Total 186 un-105 at 5dimes
15* Heat/Bulls ESPN Side & Total Parlay on Chicago +5/UNDER 186 I am siding with the Chicago Bulls +5 and the UNDER 186 tonight in this contest with the Miami Heat. I fully expect the Bulls to put an end to Miami's 27-game winning streak in a low-scoring, defensive battle, but I'll take the points for some insurance. The reason I'm backing Chicago tonight is because it has proven it can beat Miami recently, and it is one of the most resilient teams in the league. The Bulls have won three of their last five meetings with the Heat. The reason I'm backing the UNDER tonight is due to the recent history between these teams, which has been a very low-scoring one. They have combined for 153, 185, 155 and 168 points (not counting overtime) in each of their last four meetings for an average of 165.3 points/game. That's roughly 21 points less than tonight's posted total. Roll with the Bulls and the UNDER Wednesday.

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (9:05p) Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz	Utah Jazz -11½-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -11.5 I look for the Utah Jazz to make easy work of the Phoenix Suns tonight. Utah simply needs this one more as it trails the Los Angeles Lakers by just one game for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. It won't be lacking any motivation tonight because of it. Phoenix has nothing to play for, and it has already shown signs of packing it in over the past few weeks. The Suns have lost nine of their last 11 games overall with seven of those nine losses coming by 13 points or more. Utah picked up a 107-91 home victory over Philadelphia on Monday to put to end a 4-game losing streak that came against playoff contenders in New York, Houston, San Antonio and Dallas with three of those games coming on the road. This team is certainly battle-tested after that tough stretch. The Jazz have one their last two home meetings with the Suns by 13 and 12 points with finals of 94-81 and 100-88. Utah is 25-9 at home this season, while Phoenix is just 7-28 on the road, losing by nearly 10 points/game. The Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Phoenix is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 vs. NBA Northwest division opponents. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. These four trends combine for a 24-3 system backing Utah. Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (10:35p) Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors	Sacramento Kings +9-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +9 The Sacramento Kings are simply catching too many points tonight to the Golden State Warriors. Golden State is in a huge letdown spot following its 109-103 home victory over the rival Los Angeles Lakers Monday night. Sacramento comes in well-rested having last played on Sunday in a home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. Given its tightly-contested recent history with Golden State, it's easy to see that 9 points is too much tonight. In fact, each of the last four meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less, and by a combined 13 points. Three of those meetings have happened this season with Sacramento winning 94-92 and 131-127 at home, and Golden State winning most recently 87-83 at home as a 10.5-point favorite on March 6th. This play falls into a system that is 23-5 (82.1%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against home teams (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. Take the Kings Wednesday.

NBA | Mar 27 '13 (10:35p) Brooklyn Nets vs Portland Trailblazers

Portland Trailblazers -2½-105 at 5dimes

15* Nets/Blazers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland -2.5 It's now or never for the Portland Trail Blazers. They trail the Los Angeles Lakers by just 2.5 games for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They believe they still have a shot, which is huge. Portland checks in well-rested and ready to go having last played on Sunday in a loss at Oklahoma City. It has won the previous two games impressively with road victories at Chicago (99-89) as a 6-point dog and at Atlanta (104-93) as a 7.5-point dog. Brooklyn comes in overvalued due to having won three of its last four games with all four of them coming on the road. However, all three of those victories came against current non-playoff teams in Detroit, Phoenix and Dallas. They'll start feeling the effects of this long road trip in Portland tonight. The Nets are 5-15 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Brooklyn is 3-12 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. It is losing in this spot by an average of 9.4 points/game. Portland is 4-0 SU in its last 4 home meetings with Brooklyn with wins by 13, 7, 10 and 9 points dating back to 2009, respectively. The Blazers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Portland is 18-6-2 ATS in its last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Blazers Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BANK
bulls

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOCTOR SPORTS
Baylor
hawks over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires club
large western michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Mar 27 '13 (7:00p) Iowa vs Virginia Cavaliers	Iowa +4½-110 at betus
15* Iowa/Virginia NIT Thursday No-Brainer on Iowa +4.5 The Iowa Hawkeyes are the best team left in the NIT in my opinion. The Big Ten has proven to be the toughest conference in the country with four teams through to the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament. Iowa is 23-12 on the season with a .500 record in Big Ten play. This team is even better than its record would indicate because it has suffered so many close losses this year. That includes losses to Indiana (65-69), Michigan State (59-62), Purdue (65-62), Minnesota (59-62), Wisconsin (79-74), Nebraska (70-74) and Michigan State (56-59). As you can see, the Hawkeyes have SEVEN Big Ten losses by FOUR POINTS OR LESS. Iowa is 12-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less this season. Iowa is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games overall. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Iowa is 6-0 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this season. These five trends combine for a 39-1 system backing the Hawkeyes. Roll with Iowa Wednesday.

NCAA-B | Mar 27 '13 (8:00p) Brigham Young vs SOUTHERN MISS	Brigham Young +6-106 at 5dimes
15* NIT Thursday ANNIHILATOR on BYU +6 The BYU Cougars should not be catching points against the Southern Miss Eagles tonight. At 23-11 on the season, BYU is one of the most underrated teams in the country. I look for them to lay it all on the line tonight to try and get to Madison Square Garden. No team has been as dominant as BYU in the NIT thus far. It beat Washington 90-79 at home before dominating Mercer 90-71. This is a very balanced team that can beat you inside and out. Tyler Haws (21.5 PPG), Brandon Davies (18.0 PPG) and Matt Carlino (11.2 PPG) form one of the best trios in the country. Southern Miss has not been as impressive thus far with a 78-71 victory over Charleston Southern as an 11.5-point favorite, and a 63-52 win over LA Tech as an 8-point favorite. Having just one day to prepare for this complex, up-tempo BYU team simply isn't enough. The Golden Eagles are 0-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games this season. Southern Miss is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games. The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Conference USA. BYU is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. These five trends combine for a perfect 23-0 system backing the Cougars. Take BYU Wednesday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NCAA-B | Mar 27 '13 (9:00p) PROVIDENCE vs BAYLOR

PROVIDENCE +9-110 at BMaker

25* NIT GAME OF THE YEAR on Providence +9 The Providence Friars are showing excellent value as a 9-point underdog to the Baylor Bears in the NIT Quarterfinals tonight. In fact, they represent my strongest release for the entire 2013 NIT Tournament. Baylor is getting too much respect here due to the extra rest it has had leading up to this game. With a trip to Madison Square Garden on the line, Providence won't show any signs of fatigue despite playing two nights ago in a 77-68 home victory over Robert Morris. The Big 12 has clearly been the most overrated conference in the country all season. That has been evident in the NCAA Tournament as only Kansas has made it through to the Sweet 16. The Big East has three teams in the Sweet 16 to compare. Baylor is 1-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Bears are 4-17 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Bears are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games following a S.U. win. Bet Providence Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner has added two plays

3* On S. Miss
2* on the over in the weber st game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sports insite

3/27 5:18 P (772) Play on SAN Under 208
3/27 5:18 P (757) Play on ATL -2.5
Time (ET) NHL Plays (52-68, 43%, +3.76 units) Result
3/27 5:08 P (56) Play on SJ -115
3/27 5:08 P (53) Play on PHX +135
Time (ET) NCAAB Plays (106-72, 59%, +25.26 units) Result
3/27 5:18 P (787) Play on W-MCH Over 138.5
3/27 5:18 P (782) Play on SOMISS Under 152.5