4-2-13

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Goodfella
3* NL GOW- Brewers
2* Parlay- Rays and Rangers

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Stump The Spread

Rays
Indians
Cards/Dbacks under 9
Giants/Dodgers over 6 1/2

Maryland +3

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Bob Balfe

MLB: Giants -105 over Dodgers

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Brian Edwards

Maryland +3½

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Sweet Jones
Lakers first qtr-1

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xpertpicks 4/2

ncaab:
Baylor -3 over BYU
Iowa -3 over Maryland
Weber State -8 over East Carolina

nba:
Washington -1.5 over Chicago

nhl:
Pittsburgh -225 over Buffalo
Tampa Bay -165 over Florida

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Allen Eastman

Cardinals
Rangers RL

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+128)
Listed Pitchers: Masterson vs Dickey
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.56 units)

Like I said in preseason I'm a Blue Jays fan and I will be watching my wagers on them closely to make sure I've got a good record when betting on their games. And I won't be afraid to bet against them either. But tonight we are taking them by 2 on the run line in their season opener. This is season the 20 year anniversary of their last World Series, and the Blue Jays have loaded up their lineup in the off season with trades and free agency. Included in their new acquisitions was NL Cy Young winner R.A Dickey. Dickey will get the opening day start for the Blue Jays after posting a 20-6 record with a 2.73 ERA, .226 opponents batting average (OBA) and 1.05 WHIP last season with the Mets. He will be up against Justin Masterson who had a good opening day last year against the Blue Jays (although the Indians lost). This time around Masterson wil face a much tougher lineup and will have to pitch in a loud Rogers Centre. Last year Masterson went 11-15 with a 4.93 ERA, .269 OBA, and 1.45 WHIP. To finish off the season last year the Indians were 18-45 over their last 63 games and 15-39 in their last 54 road games. One stat I really like in Toronto's favor is that Masterson has a career .292 OBA against left handed hitters, and the Blue Jays will have 6 left handed or switch hitters in their Opening Day line up. Cleveland went out and did a good job with free agency themselves, but their rotation is questionable and the oddsmakers have them struggling again this year. Note that the Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings vs the Indians. I'm on the Blue Jays to win by a couple runs here in their home opener.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: New York Knicks at Miami (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 196.5 -110
This is a big game for the Knicks. They are playing their best basketball of the season, winning eight straight games, and could be on a collision course with Miami for the Eastern Conference Finals. The Knicks have done a great job this season in matching the defensive intensity of the Heat, as they have held them to 91.7 points per game in the three meetings this season. The Knicks have not allowed any team more than 102 points in the eight-game winning streak, and I expect them to bring it on defense here especially with LeBron, Wade and Chalmers all likely out for this game. Miami has allowed 100+ points just two times in their last 18 games, with no one scoring over 103, so this total looks a little too ambitious to me. The Knicks are 11-3-1 to the UNDER in their last 15 vs. a winning team, and the UNDER is an identical 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings between these clubs. In the Eric Spoelstra era, the Heat are 105-82 UNDER to a total set in the 190s and 104-77 UNDER after back-to-back wins. Go with the UNDER.

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Tuesday 4/2/13 Plays...

3* ORIOLES/RAYS (OVER 7) (12:10PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

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Jack Jones

20* BYU +3

15* Iowa -3

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Bryan Rosica
50 Dimes
BYU

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Andy Iskoe | MLB RunLinedouble-dime bet [B]960 TOR vs 959 CLEAnalysis: Toronto is favored by many to win the AL East this season, along with Tampa Bay, based on the major moves the Blue Jays made in the offseason. One was the trade with the Mets that brought over knuckleballer R A Dickey and the other was the big trade with Miami that brought over SS Jose Reyes who will be huge catalyst at the top of the lineup. The Blue Jays should be one of the most potent teams in all of baseball. Cleveland also has a lineup that should be productive against many AL pitchers but they don't figure to have much success against Dickey. The pitching staff is well below average -- one of the reasons I've gone on record playing the Indians UNDER their season win total. Justin Masterson has not been able to develop into the high quality pitcher he was thought to be while moving up in the Red Sox organization. The Blue Jays'potent lineup should have enough success against first Masterson and then a shaky Cleveland bullpen to win by at least 2 runs and get paid a plus price rather than laying a huge price for a straight up win by any margin. The only way we are hurt laying a run and a half is if the favored teams wins by EXACTLY one run -- something that occurs less than 16 percent of the time.

Pick Made: Apr 2 2013 10:51AM PST

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Dave Essler | MLB Money Linedime bet 964 OAK " BetOnline vs 963 SEAAnalysis: Another ML parlay here. I do love Parker because Iwakuma was crushed on the road last season, and I certainly won't lay -180 on the Rangers on the road, although I do suspect they win. So:

Texas -180
Oakland -140


Calculates out to +165


What I probably WILL do is if Texas is ahead, or looks like they're winning, is throw a 1* on Seattle, ensuring some profit. Parker's Spring wasn't great and there appears to be some sharp money on the Mariners. Doing things early matters, because all we care about is the net result.

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Denver Money | NHL Totaldime bet 64 PHO / 63 LOS [/B]Analysis: 1* LA Kings / Phoenix Coyotes OVER 5 -125