4-5-13

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Santa Clara at George Mason

The Broncos look to bounce back from their 73-66 loss on Wednesday and take advantage of a George Mason team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU victory. Santa Clara is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2). Here are all of today's games and Saturday's Final Four picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 5 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 525-526: Santa Clara at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 61.903; George Mason 60.913 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1; 151 Vegas Line: George Mason by 2; 146 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2); Over

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Today's NHL Picks

Ottawa at Buffalo

The Senators look to build on their 6-1 record in their last 7 games against the Sabres. Ottawa is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 5 Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Columbus at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.401; St. Louis 10.810 Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-160); 5 Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+140); Under

Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.710; Pittsburgh 11.304 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+115); Over

Game 5-6: Ottawa at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.183; Buffalo 11.002 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-115); Under

Game 7-8: Detroit at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.834; Colorado 10.540 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-110); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over

Game 9-10: Dallas at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.715; Anaheim 10.860 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-200); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+170); Over

Game 11-12: Calgary at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 9.757; San Jose 12.914 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 3; 5 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-250); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-250); Under

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BVB-MLB Inc.

Hou +135
Min +140
SD +125
Sea +130
Clev + 160
Bos +150
Miami +150

Season Total 10-9 +$442 ($100 wager per game)

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BVB-MLB Inc.

Hou +135
Min +140
SD +125
Sea +130
Clev + 160
Bos +150
Miami +150

Season Total 10-9 +$442 ($100 wager per game)

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Tigers(RL)

W.Sox(RL)

Atl Hawks

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Over 8 runs Oakland and Houston

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Heat Expected to Sit James, Wade, Allen and Chalmers Friday

The Miami Heat are going into full rest mode.

LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Mario Chalmers and Ray Allen are expected to sit out Miami's next game in Charlotte on Friday.

James has missed the last two games due to hamstring tightness. Wade has missed the past two games with an ankle injury. Allen twisted his ankle when he tripped over a cameraman on Tuesday, according to a tweet from Ira Winderman of the Sun Sentinel and Chalmers has missed the past three games with an ankle injury.

Miami is 5-2 ATS without Wade this season.

Charlotte has lost 10 straight against Miami going back to 2010 and the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

The overnight line is off the board but Nevada-based oddsmaking service, The Sports Club, is suggesting a spread of Heat -11 and a 197-point total.

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DAVE ESSLER

Cliff Notes - Friday Baseball

San Diego at Colorado: Padres playing an afternoon game on Thursday, then flying to Colorado, while the Rockies lay in wait after taking two of three in Milwaukee. Clearly the tendency is going to be to hop on Francis in Colorado's home opener. But, in Coors Fiels last season opponents hit .342 against him, so there is little or no chance of taking the Rockies at any number, other than to play the RL. And Marquis and the Rockies haven't meshed well, either. Perhaps the over, but that'll be adjusted for Coors Field, and it IS supposed to be mild with a helping breeze. If you like the over, grab it sooner rather than later. Started this before lines were out. Opened at 11 (the total) and now 10.5. Was obviously hoping for less than that. At -140 if that many runs might be scored, the Rockies might be worth laying the number.

St. Louis at San Francisco: Both teams with Thursday off, and the Cardinals cannot be feeling too good about themselves after that 10-9 loss in Arizona. Obviously the Giants home opener, who DO have to be feeling great about taking two of three from the Dodgers. Most of the Cardinals have fared well against Zito, but if I can find a way to trust HIM, we clearly trust the Giants pen more that the Cardinals. Westbrook has been hit pretty hard by the Giants over the years, and the only case I could make is that he had a great April last season. Other than than, the only bet I could make is the polyognic over. Fairly mild, but cloudy (better vision for the hitters) and slight breeze helping. But, it'll probably reflect what we already know.

Miami at NY Mets: Miami probably looking forward to leaving the Nationals pitching staff behind, and both teams playing day games on Thursday. Miami's a little later, so they probably won't get into NY til 10 PM. Clearly the Mets have gone from a laughing stock to a huge chalk bases on a couple of wins over the Padres and the Fish losing to the Nationals. Without even looking too far, I can tell you that I think Hefner is not worthy of -170 to many teams, and that because the Mets haven't seen Sanabia, that the Fish are the ones with clear value here. They may not be good, but they were made to look worse by Washington's pitching.

Washington at Cincinnati: Well, the pressure may be on Haren after the first two performances, but honestly there may be less than he's used to, being a #4 starter. Now he'll face a Reds team that hasn't seen much of him, and sans Ludwick, who has hit him, my initial lean is to the Nationals. Both pens beastly here (usually) and if the Nationals don't utilize much of theirs against the Fish, possible advantage Washington, since the Reds' pen has been used, and as I type their gonna get used more in the next three innings. I have a tough time backing a pitcher named "homer" but in this case the Nationals haven't seen much of him. What I would expect given these two offenses and the #4 starters AND in Great American is a total that might be too high. Leaning Nationals and under.

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MLB Weather Report: Pitcher's Wind at Citi Field today

A look at notable weather for today's games around the majors. In all likelihood, the dome roof at Rogers Center will be closed for a fourth straight game.

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Site: Comerica Park

Clear skies with temperatures in the low-40s. Seven mph winds headed out center field.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Site: The Ballpark in Arlington

Temperatures in the low-60s and five mph winds blowing in from right field. The over was 13-9-2 in the 24 games in 2012 when the wind blew in from right field in Arlington.

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
Site: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Clear skies, temperatures in the high-50s and winds between 10-13 mph blowing in from left field.

Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Site: Citizens Bank Park

Partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-50s and winds blowing in from center field at 13 mph. The Phillies were 1-4 in 2012 when the wind blew in from center field.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Site: Coors Field

Temperatures in the low-70s with winds blowing to center, but moving towards right field at nine mph as the game goes on. The Rockies went 1-4 in 2012 when the wind blows towards right while the over went 4-1.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
Site: AT&T Park

Winds picking up slightly throughout the game, going from seven to nine mph early into the game.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Site: Great American Ball Park

Winds blowing out to right field at six mph, with temperatures in the mid-50s. The Reds were 3-0 at home in 2012 when the wind blew out to right field.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Site: Citi Field

Temperatures dropping into the mid-40s as the game progresses, with winds blowing in from left field at 15 mph. The under was 7-3 in 2012 when the wind blew in from left field.

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
Site: Turner Field

Winds blowing in from center field at eight mph with temperatures in the high-50s. The average batting average in seven games at Turner Field when the wind blows in from center was .255 and an average of 1.71 home runs were hit per game.

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
Site: U.S. Cellular Field

Winds blowing in from left field at seven mph, with temperatures in the mid-30s. The White Sox were 10-2 in 2012 when the wind blew in from left field.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Site: Dodger Stadium

Slight winds blowing towards center field at three mph, with temperatures in the low-60s- to high-50s. The Dodgers were 25-19 in 2012 when the wind blew out to center field.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE

Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BALTIMORE) American League team who had a batting average of .260 or worse last season
47-32 since 1997. ( 59.5% 31.2 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% 1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 88-62 (+37.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.4)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB SANTA CLARA at GEORGE MASON

Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points playing only their 3rd game in a week, on Friday nights
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

CBB SANTA CLARA at GEORGE MASON

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (SANTA CLARA) in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-17.5 TO's)
357-488 since 1997. ( 42.2% 2.5 units )
28-60 this year. ( 31.8% -30.1 units )

CBB SANTA CLARA at GEORGE MASON

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 playing only their 3rd game in a week, on Friday nights
261-165 since 1997. ( 61.3% 79.5 units )
15-8 this year. ( 65.2% 6.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at PHOENIX

Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) after 2 or more consecutive losses, in April games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

NBA GOLDEN STATE at PHOENIX

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games
34-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% 23.7 units )
10-6 this year. ( 62.5% 3.9 units )

NBA MIAMI at CHARLOTTE

Play On - Home underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (CHARLOTTE) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Thursday with the A's -$150/Mariners.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Orioles -$155/Twins.

"Mr Chalk" is 4-1 + $295 for the 2013 MLB Season.

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Goodfella

NL GOW
2* Colorado

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5Lines

Total Line for 04/05/2013

(Won last game) Today's Winning Team is: MLB - Boston Red Sox : o8.5 Cost: -110

Run Line for 04/05/2013

(Won last game) Today's Winning Team is: MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers : -1.5 Cost: +105