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NY Islanders vs. Boston - April 11, 2013 - 7:00 PM
Pick: Your pick will be graded at Pinnacle @ Under 5.5 -132
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: April 11, 2013 - 7:00 PM
Reason For Pick:
I'm playing on Boston and New York to finish UNDER the total. The Bruins are off a high-scoring game (5-4 win) last night. I expect a considerably lower-scoring contest this evening.
This will be just the sixth time that the Bruins have played back-to-back games this season. A look at the previous five times that they were in that situation reveals that the UNDER is 4-1. Despite two of them coming against high-scoring Pittsburgh, those games had scores of 2-0, 1-2, 2-3, 3-4 and 2-1. That's an average of only four combined goals.
Its also worth noting that the UNDER is a profitable 8-2-1 when the Bruins had scored four or more goals in their previous game. That brings the UNDER to a lucrative 48-27-6 when the Bruins were in that situation the past few seasons. (That's 64%.)
Prior to last night, the Bruins had limited five straight opponents to two goals or less, giving up a mere six combined goals during that 5-game stretch. That included a pair of shutouts, 1-0 and 2-0.
While we know that the Bruins can be very stingy, the Isles have quietly started playing some pretty solid defense of their own recently. In fact, they've held five straight opponents to two goals or less, giving up an average of 1.6 goals during that stretch.
Going back further finds that the Isles have allowed two or fewer goals in eight of their last nine, allowing three or less in all nine of those. Not surprisingly, the UNDER is 6-3 during that stretch.
While we do have to lay some extra juice to play at 5.5, note that the UNDER is 39-29 the past few seasons, when the Bruins have played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. I'm expecting those stats to improve tonight. 9* blue chip
Pick: Your pick will be graded at Pinnacle @ Under 5.5 -132
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: April 11, 2013 - 7:00 PM
Reason For Pick:
I'm playing on Boston and New York to finish UNDER the total. The Bruins are off a high-scoring game (5-4 win) last night. I expect a considerably lower-scoring contest this evening.
This will be just the sixth time that the Bruins have played back-to-back games this season. A look at the previous five times that they were in that situation reveals that the UNDER is 4-1. Despite two of them coming against high-scoring Pittsburgh, those games had scores of 2-0, 1-2, 2-3, 3-4 and 2-1. That's an average of only four combined goals.
Its also worth noting that the UNDER is a profitable 8-2-1 when the Bruins had scored four or more goals in their previous game. That brings the UNDER to a lucrative 48-27-6 when the Bruins were in that situation the past few seasons. (That's 64%.)
Prior to last night, the Bruins had limited five straight opponents to two goals or less, giving up a mere six combined goals during that 5-game stretch. That included a pair of shutouts, 1-0 and 2-0.
While we know that the Bruins can be very stingy, the Isles have quietly started playing some pretty solid defense of their own recently. In fact, they've held five straight opponents to two goals or less, giving up an average of 1.6 goals during that stretch.
Going back further finds that the Isles have allowed two or fewer goals in eight of their last nine, allowing three or less in all nine of those. Not surprisingly, the UNDER is 6-3 during that stretch.
While we do have to lay some extra juice to play at 5.5, note that the UNDER is 39-29 the past few seasons, when the Bruins have played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. I'm expecting those stats to improve tonight. 9* blue chip
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