SCOTT SPREITZER TAPOUT TOTAL G.O.Y.
10-5 RUN
LA Clippers/Memphis Under
10-5 RUN
LA Clippers/Memphis Under
MLB | Apr 25 '13 (7:05p) Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals |
Washington Nationals -133 at BMaker |
15* NL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -133 The Washington Nationals will be highly motivated for a victory tonight as they take on the Cincinnati Reds. They enter this game on a 4-game losing streak, so there's no question they'll be playing with a chip on their shoulder. While the numbers haven't reflected it in the early going, there's absolutely no question that Gio Gonzalez is a much better starter than Bronson Arroyo. He's being undervalued right now because of his slow start. I look for Gonzalez to get back on track tonight against a team that he has simply owned in the past. The left-hander is 1-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in three career starts against Cincinnati, allowing just 2 earned runs and 16 base runners over 19 innings. The Nationals are 11-1 in Gonzalez's last 12 starts vs. National League Central opponents. Gonzalez is 49-19 (+23.6 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. The Reds are 1-6 in Arroyo's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Cincinnati is 0-5 in its last 5 road games. Roll with the Nationals Thursday. |
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NBA | Apr 25 '13 (8:35p) BROOKLYN GM3 vs CHICAGO GM3 |
Total 181½ un-101 at 5dimes |
20* Nets/Bulls Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 181.5 I look for a defensive battle tonight between the Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets in Game 3. As teams become more familiar with each other, points become even harder to come by as a series progresses. After Chicago beat Brooklyn 90-82 in Game 2 for 172 combined points, I don't look for these teams to combine to exceed even that number tonight. I don't expect either team to get to 90 points in this one. This play falls into a system that is 32-10 (76.2%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CHICAGO) - in a playoff series which is tied, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. Brooklyn is 18-6 to the UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Chicago is 12-4 to the UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Bet the UNDER in Game 3 Thursday. |
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NBA | Apr 25 '13 (9:35p) LA CLIPPERS GM3 vs MEMPHIS GM3 |
Total 180 un-110 at BMaker |
15* Clippers/Grizzlies TNT Thursday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 180 The longer a series goes, the more familiar teams become with one another. That makes points harder to come by. I believe there is a ton of value with the UNDER in this Game 3 between Memphis and Los Angeles for a couple different reason. The most important reason is the fact that this game will be played in Memphis. The home team tends to control the tempo in a playoff series, and no team likes to slow it down and grind it out as much as the Grizzlies. The first two games in this series went OVER the total with a 112-91 Game 1 win and a 93-91 Game 2 victory by Los Angeles. That has provided us with some line value on the UNDER in Game 3 as the books have not lowered this total like they should have. In fact, it has been set higher than it was in the first two games in LA. Memphis is 12-1 to the UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. The Grizzlies are 10-1 to the UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. These three trends combine for a 26-2 system backing the UNDER tonight. Take the UNDER in Game 3 Thursday. |
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